Western Conference · Central Division

St. Louis Blues Playoff Chances & Stanley Cup Odds 2026-27

The Blues three ways: our 10,000-season simulation, the live Kalshi contract and Polymarket's international book — side by side, never averaged.

Quick Answer

As of Oct 18, 6:41 PM ET, The Blues make the playoffs in 65% of our 10,000 simulated seasons against 36¢ on Kalshi, win the Stanley Cup in 1.4% (Kalshi 2¢), and project to 95.5 points. Power rank: 15th of 32.

Playoff chance

65%

model · Kalshi 36¢

Last 14 sim runs (30 days): 44% → 65%

Stanley Cup

1.4%

model · Kalshi 2¢ · Polymarket (intl) 1¢

Power rank

15th / 32

▲ 6 in 7 days · creates chances 16th, suppresses 12th

St. Louis Blues' futures: model vs Kalshi vs Polymarket

Contract	Sim	Kalshi	Polymarket (intl)	Sim − Kalshi
Make the playoffs	65.0%	36¢	—	+29.5pp	Kalshi →
Win the Central Division	1.1%	2¢	—	-0.4pp	Kalshi →
Win the Western Conference	3.2%	3¢	4¢	+0.7pp	Kalshi →
Win the Stanley Cup	1.4%	2¢	1¢	-0.1pp	Kalshi →
Presidents' Trophy	0.1%	—thin	—	—	Kalshi →

Kalshi is the mid on a two-sided book; Polymarket is its international book (Polymarket US is a separate venue with its own prices). A gap of 5 points or more is coloured. A gap is disagreement between a model and a market on a long-dated contract — not a guarantee.

Season points

Sim projection: 95.5 points. Kalshi's points ladder prices 85+ closest to a coin flip at 55¢ (sim 92%) — that rung is the market's median, not its mean. Kalshi →

All 10 rungs

70+ · Kalshi 93¢ · sim 100%
75+ · Kalshi 85¢ · sim 100%
80+ · Kalshi 71¢ · sim 98%
85+ · Kalshi 55¢ · sim 92%
90+ · Kalshi 38¢ · sim 78%
95+ · Kalshi 24¢ · sim 55%
100+ · Kalshi 13¢ · sim 31%
105+ · Kalshi 6¢ · sim 13%
110+ · Kalshi 4¢ · sim 4%
115+ · Kalshi — · sim 1%

Next games

Oct 20 · 8:00 PM ET — vs Winnipeg JetsNot priced yet — the model prices each game on game day once projected starters post.
Oct 22 · 8:00 PM ET — vs Vegas Golden KnightsNot priced yet — the model prices each game on game day once projected starters post.
Oct 24 · 7:00 PM ET — vs Carolina HurricanesNot priced yet — the model prices each game on game day once projected starters post.

In net: goalie form

Joel Hofer — allows about 2% fewer goals than the shots he faces should produce · 5 starts in 30 days
Jordan Binnington — allows about 3% more goals than the shots he faces should produce · 2 starts in 30 days

Goalie factor = goals allowed ÷ expected goals allowed on every unblocked, non-empty-net attempt, shrunk toward league average. It is the layer that moves the game price when the starter changes.

Central Division rivals

All 32 NHL teams →·Stanley Cup odds, every team →·Tonight's NHL predictions →

Embed this team card on your site

A live card locked to the St. Louis Blues — the simulated playoff chance against the Kalshi price, the Stanley Cup chance and the power rank — for a fan site, a newsletter or a subreddit sidebar. Free; the credit line is the only ask. No API key, no signup.

Article width · 560×300

<iframe
  src="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/embed/nhl-team-card/blues/hero"
  width="560"
  height="300"
  frameborder="0"
  loading="lazy"
  title="St. Louis Blues — playoff chance vs Kalshi — PredictionMarketsPicks">
</iframe>
<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">St. Louis Blues playoff chances and Stanley Cup odds from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/nhl/teams/blues?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nhl-team-card">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

Sidebar · 320×380

<iframe
  src="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/embed/nhl-team-card/blues/sidebar"
  width="320"
  height="380"
  frameborder="0"
  loading="lazy"
  title="St. Louis Blues — playoff chance vs Kalshi — PredictionMarketsPicks">
</iframe>
<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">St. Louis Blues playoff chances and Stanley Cup odds from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/nhl/teams/blues?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nhl-team-card">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

MPU · ad slot · 300×250

<iframe
  src="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/embed/nhl-team-card/blues/mpu"
  width="300"
  height="250"
  frameborder="0"
  loading="lazy"
  title="St. Louis Blues — playoff chance vs Kalshi — PredictionMarketsPicks">
</iframe>
<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">St. Louis Blues playoff chances and Stanley Cup odds from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/nhl/teams/blues?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nhl-team-card">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

St. Louis Blues odds — frequently asked

What are the St. Louis Blues' playoff chances?

Our 10,000-season simulation gives the Blues a 65% chance to make the 2026-27 playoffs (as of Oct 18), with 95.5 projected points. Kalshi's make-the-playoffs contract trades at 36¢, the market's implied probability. The sim re-runs every morning after the night's results.

What are the St. Louis Blues' Stanley Cup odds?

The sim makes the Blues a 1.4% Stanley Cup winner; Kalshi's champion contract trades at 2¢ and Polymarket's international book at 1¢ (as of Oct 18). Those are three different reads — a model and two markets — shown side by side and never averaged. A gap is disagreement, not a guarantee.

Where do the St. Louis Blues rank in the NHL power ratings?

The Blues rank 15th of 32 in the Goal Light power ratings (as of Oct 18) — 16th in chance creation and 12th in chance suppression, up 6 from 21st a week earlier. The ratings come from expected goals with a 45-day half-life, so they move with how a team is playing, not only its record.

When do the St. Louis Blues play next, and how is the game priced?

Next up: vs Winnipeg Jets on Oct 20. The model prices each game on game day (10:45 AM ET) once the projected starting goalies post; until then the game shows "not priced yet".

The sim and ratings re-run at 6:15 AM ET; Kalshi and Polymarket prices refresh through the day. Educational analysis, not financial advice. Trade responsibly.