Eastern Conference · Metropolitan Division

New Jersey Devils Playoff Chances & Stanley Cup Odds 2026-27

The Devils three ways: our 10,000-season simulation, the live Kalshi contract and Polymarket's international book — side by side, never averaged.

Quick Answer

As of Oct 18, 6:41 PM ET, The Devils make the playoffs in 83% of our 10,000 simulated seasons against 56¢ on Kalshi, win the Stanley Cup in 6.4% (Kalshi 4¢), and project to 102.0 points. Power rank: 5th of 32.

Playoff chance

83%

model · Kalshi 56¢

Last 14 sim runs (30 days): 58% → 83%

Stanley Cup

6.4%

model · Kalshi 4¢ · Polymarket (intl) 3¢

Power rank

5th / 32

▲ 6 in 7 days · creates chances 4th, suppresses 9th

New Jersey Devils' futures: model vs Kalshi vs Polymarket

Contract	Sim	Kalshi	Polymarket (intl)	Sim − Kalshi
Make the playoffs	82.8%	56¢	—	+27.3pp	Kalshi →
Win the Metropolitan Division	9.4%	9¢	—	+0.9pp	Kalshi →
Win the Eastern Conference	14.1%	5¢	6¢	+9.6pp	Kalshi →
Win the Stanley Cup	6.4%	4¢	3¢	+2.9pp	Kalshi →
Presidents' Trophy	1.3%	2¢	—	-0.3pp	Kalshi →

Kalshi is the mid on a two-sided book; Polymarket is its international book (Polymarket US is a separate venue with its own prices). A gap of 5 points or more is coloured. A gap is disagreement between a model and a market on a long-dated contract — not a guarantee.

Season points

Sim projection: 102.0 points. Kalshi's points ladder prices 95+ closest to a coin flip at 45¢ (sim 83%) — that rung is the market's median, not its mean. Kalshi →

All 10 rungs

70+ · Kalshi 96¢ · sim 100%
75+ · Kalshi 94¢ · sim 100%
80+ · Kalshi 92¢ · sim 100%
85+ · Kalshi 84¢ · sim 99%
90+ · Kalshi 70¢ · sim 94%
95+ · Kalshi 45¢ · sim 83%
100+ · Kalshi 38¢ · sim 62%
105+ · Kalshi 23¢ · sim 38%
110+ · Kalshi 12¢ · sim 17%
115+ · Kalshi 6¢ · sim 5%

Next games

Oct 20 · 7:00 PM ET — vs Colorado AvalancheNot priced yet — the model prices each game on game day once projected starters post.
Oct 22 · 7:00 PM ET — vs Anaheim DucksNot priced yet — the model prices each game on game day once projected starters post.
Oct 24 · 3:30 PM ET — vs Los Angeles KingsNot priced yet — the model prices each game on game day once projected starters post.

In net: goalie form

Jake Allen — allows about 1% more goals than the shots he faces should produce · 4 starts in 30 days
Nico Daws — allows about 2% more goals than the shots he faces should produce · 3 starts in 30 days

Goalie factor = goals allowed ÷ expected goals allowed on every unblocked, non-empty-net attempt, shrunk toward league average. It is the layer that moves the game price when the starter changes.

Metropolitan Division rivals

All 32 NHL teams →·Stanley Cup odds, every team →·Tonight's NHL predictions →

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New Jersey Devils odds — frequently asked

What are the New Jersey Devils' playoff chances?

Our 10,000-season simulation gives the Devils a 83% chance to make the 2026-27 playoffs (as of Oct 18), with 102.0 projected points. Kalshi's make-the-playoffs contract trades at 56¢, the market's implied probability. The sim re-runs every morning after the night's results.

What are the New Jersey Devils' Stanley Cup odds?

The sim makes the Devils a 6.4% Stanley Cup winner; Kalshi's champion contract trades at 4¢ and Polymarket's international book at 3¢ (as of Oct 18). Those are three different reads — a model and two markets — shown side by side and never averaged. A gap is disagreement, not a guarantee.

Where do the New Jersey Devils rank in the NHL power ratings?

The Devils rank 5th of 32 in the Goal Light power ratings (as of Oct 18) — 4th in chance creation and 9th in chance suppression, up 6 from 11th a week earlier. The ratings come from expected goals with a 45-day half-life, so they move with how a team is playing, not only its record.

When do the New Jersey Devils play next, and how is the game priced?

Next up: vs Colorado Avalanche on Oct 20. The model prices each game on game day (10:45 AM ET) once the projected starting goalies post; until then the game shows "not priced yet".

The sim and ratings re-run at 6:15 AM ET; Kalshi and Polymarket prices refresh through the day. Educational analysis, not financial advice. Trade responsibly.