Western Conference · Central Division

Nashville Predators Playoff Chances & Stanley Cup Odds 2026-27

The Predators three ways: our 10,000-season simulation, the live Kalshi contract and Polymarket's international book — side by side, never averaged.

Quick Answer

As of Oct 18, 6:41 PM ET, The Predators make the playoffs in 6% of our 10,000 simulated seasons against 32¢ on Kalshi, win the Stanley Cup in 0.0%, and project to 80.4 points. Power rank: 28th of 32.

Playoff chance

model · Kalshi 32¢

Last 14 sim runs (30 days): 13% → 6%

Stanley Cup

0.0%

model · Kalshi — · Polymarket (intl) 1¢

Power rank

28th / 32

▼ 1 in 7 days · creates chances 30th, suppresses 24th

Nashville Predators' futures: model vs Kalshi vs Polymarket

Contract	Sim	Kalshi	Polymarket (intl)	Sim − Kalshi
Make the playoffs	5.8%	32¢thin	—	-25.7pp	Kalshi →
Win the Central Division	0.0%	2¢	—	-1.5pp	Kalshi →
Win the Western Conference	0.0%	—thin	1¢	—	Kalshi →
Win the Stanley Cup	0.0%	—thin	1¢	—	Kalshi →
Presidents' Trophy	0.0%	—thin	—	—	Kalshi →

Kalshi is the mid on a two-sided book; Polymarket is its international book (Polymarket US is a separate venue with its own prices). A gap of 5 points or more is coloured. A gap is disagreement between a model and a market on a long-dated contract — not a guarantee.

Season points

Sim projection: 80.4 points. Kalshi's points ladder prices 85+ closest to a coin flip at 51¢ (sim 31%) — that rung is the market's median, not its mean. Kalshi →

All 10 rungs

70+ · Kalshi 91¢ · sim 91%
75+ · Kalshi 81¢ · sim 77%
80+ · Kalshi 68¢ · sim 54%
85+ · Kalshi 51¢ · sim 31%
90+ · Kalshi 35¢ · sim 13%
95+ · Kalshi 21¢ · sim 4%
100+ · Kalshi 9¢ · sim 1%
105+ · Kalshi 5¢ · sim 0%
110+ · Kalshi — · sim 0%
115+ · Kalshi — · sim 0%

Next games

Oct 22 · 7:00 PM ET — at Boston BruinsNot priced yet — the model prices each game on game day once projected starters post.
Oct 24 · 7:00 PM ET — at Pittsburgh PenguinsNot priced yet — the model prices each game on game day once projected starters post.
Oct 25 · 8:00 PM ET — vs Colorado AvalancheNot priced yet — the model prices each game on game day once projected starters post.

In net: goalie form

Juuse Saros — allows about what the shots he faces should produce (league average) · 6 starts in 30 days
Matt Murray — allows about what the shots he faces should produce (league average) · 1 start in 30 days

Goalie factor = goals allowed ÷ expected goals allowed on every unblocked, non-empty-net attempt, shrunk toward league average. It is the layer that moves the game price when the starter changes.

Central Division rivals

All 32 NHL teams →·Stanley Cup odds, every team →·Tonight's NHL predictions →

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Nashville Predators odds — frequently asked

What are the Nashville Predators' playoff chances?

Our 10,000-season simulation gives the Predators a 6% chance to make the 2026-27 playoffs (as of Oct 18), with 80.4 projected points. Kalshi's make-the-playoffs contract trades at 32¢, the market's implied probability. The sim re-runs every morning after the night's results.

What are the Nashville Predators' Stanley Cup odds?

The sim makes the Predators a 0.0% Stanley Cup winner and Polymarket's international book at 1¢ (as of Oct 18). Those are three different reads — a model and two markets — shown side by side and never averaged. A gap is disagreement, not a guarantee.

Where do the Nashville Predators rank in the NHL power ratings?

The Predators rank 28th of 32 in the Goal Light power ratings (as of Oct 18) — 30th in chance creation and 24th in chance suppression, down 1 from 27th a week earlier. The ratings come from expected goals with a 45-day half-life, so they move with how a team is playing, not only its record.

When do the Nashville Predators play next, and how is the game priced?

Next up: at Boston Bruins on Oct 22. The model prices each game on game day (10:45 AM ET) once the projected starting goalies post; until then the game shows "not priced yet".

The sim and ratings re-run at 6:15 AM ET; Kalshi and Polymarket prices refresh through the day. Educational analysis, not financial advice. Trade responsibly.