Jets vs Chiefs player props — Kalshi prices vs the books

Every Kalshi player-prop strike for this game with a real two-sided book, priced against the sportsbook consensus at the same line and the exchanges that quote it, with the cheapest venue for each side named. Week 9. Game preview and model line →

Quick Answer

As of November 5, 2026, Kalshi lists 41 player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Jets vs Chiefs, Week 9.

Kalshi as of Nov 5, 8:10 PM ET · books as of Nov 5, 8:15 PM ET · 375 Kalshi prop strikes listed for this game · 41 with a real two-sided book · 2 priced against 3+ books

This week on the boardNFL Week 9 predictions →NFL Week 10 predictions — early lines →Week 8 results →

Week 9 gamesJaguars at Ravens Bengals at Falcons Broncos at Panthers Cowboys at Colts Jets at Chiefs Lions at Dolphins Browns at Saints Giants at Eagles Rams at Commanders Texans at Chargers Raiders at 49ers Packers at Patriots Cardinals at Seahawks Buccaneers at Bears Bills at Vikings

Oracle calls for this game

Where our projection disagrees with the Kalshi price by enough. The only thing on this page that says play.

plays only

NFL player prop edges — our projection against each Kalshi contract (X or more), on the strike closest to our projection. The call is YES or NO on that contract, the market price is the price of the called side, and the edge is stated on the called side. Rows badged WATCH are not plays; rows badged SKEW are calls where the average projection sits on the other side of the threshold.
Player	Contract	Matchup	Call	Our proj	Our odds	Mkt	Tier	Trade
Noah GrayTEWatch	15+ rec ydsover 14.5	KC vs NYJ	YES	🔒			MODERATE	Buy YES →

1 of 1 prop · 1 locked (Pro)

Watch — the disagreement is real, but our inputs for that player are limited or contradicted, so we are not calling it a play. Watch rows are capped at MODERATE, can never be the top call, and are graded separately from the published record.

Prop market board — Jets vs Chiefs

Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents. Exchange quotes are raw and one-sided, as quoted. A gap is a price difference, not a call.

🔒 Filter by our call — Pro

Every Kalshi NFL player-prop strike with a two-sided book this week: the Kalshi mid, the sportsbook consensus probability read at that strike, exchange quotes at the same strike, and the gap between Kalshi and consensus in cents. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
Player	Prop	Game	Kalshi	Consensus	Gap	Novig	ProphetX	Best price	Our P(over)	Trade
Emmett JohnsonKC v NYJ	15+ rec yds	NYJ @ KC	48.5¢	49.8%4bk	-1.3¢	o -113	o -117 / u -122	over · Kalshi 50.8¢under · DK 52.8¢	—	Kalshi →
Rashee RiceKC v NYJ	60+ rec yds	NYJ @ KC	50.0¢	50.1%4bk	-0.1¢	o -113 / u -111	o -115 / u -115	over · Novig 53.1¢under · ESPN Bet 52.4¢	—	Kalshi →
Patrick MahomesKC v NYJ	250+ pass yds	NYJ @ KC	47.0¢	48.5%exch	-1.5¢	o -108 / u -117	o -111 / u -132	over · Kalshi 49.8¢under · Novig 53.9¢	—	Kalshi →
Adonai MitchellNYJ v KC	anytime TD	NYJ @ KC	25.0¢	—	one-sided	o +217	—	over · Kalshi 27.4¢	—	Kalshi →
Braelon AllenNYJ v KC	anytime TD	NYJ @ KC	25.0¢	—	one-sided	o +133	—	over · Kalshi 27.4¢	—	Kalshi →
Breece HallNYJ v KC	60+ rush+rec yds	NYJ @ KC	49.5¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Cyrus AllenKC v NYJ	15+ rec yds	NYJ @ KC	51.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -104	o -111 / u -176	over · Novig 51¢under · Kalshi 51.8¢	—	Kalshi →
Cyrus AllenKC v NYJ	20+ rec yds	NYJ @ KC	40.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +133	o +127	over · Novig 42.9¢	—	Kalshi →
Emmett JohnsonKC v NYJ	anytime TD	NYJ @ KC	19.5¢	—	one-sided	o +376	—	over · Novig 21¢	—	Kalshi →
Emmett JohnsonKC v NYJ	10+ rush yds	NYJ @ KC	55.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -150	o -154 / u -110	over · Kalshi 57.7¢under · Kalshi 46.7¢	—	Kalshi →
Emmett JohnsonKC v NYJ	15+ rush yds	NYJ @ KC	40.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +127	o +117 / u -215	over · Kalshi 43.7¢under · Kalshi 62.7¢	—	Kalshi →
Garrett WilsonNYJ v KC	anytime TD	NYJ @ KC	27.0¢	—	one-sided	o +213	—	over · Kalshi 29.4¢	—	Kalshi →
Geno SmithNYJ v KC	1+ INTs	NYJ @ KC	55.0¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Geno SmithNYJ v KC	10+ rush yds	NYJ @ KC	38.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +138	o +128 / u -235	over · Kalshi 41.7¢under · Kalshi 65.6¢	—	Kalshi →
Kenneth WalkerKC v NYJ	anytime TD	NYJ @ KC	66.5¢	—	one-sided	o -212 / u +115	—	over · Novig 67.9¢under · Kalshi 35.6¢	—	Kalshi →
Kenneth WalkerKC v NYJ	2+ TDs	NYJ @ KC	26.5¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Kenneth WalkerKC v NYJ	110+ rush+rec yds	NYJ @ KC	52.5¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Kenneth WalkerKC v NYJ	60+ rush yds	NYJ @ KC	79.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -525	o -730	over · Kalshi 81.1¢	—	Kalshi →
Kenneth WalkerKC v NYJ	90+ rush yds	NYJ @ KC	51.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	—	o -120 / u -166	over · Kalshi 53.8¢under · Kalshi 51.8¢	—	Kalshi →
Kenneth WalkerKC v NYJ	100+ rush yds	NYJ @ KC	41.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	—	o +124 / u -240	over · ProphetX 44.6¢under · Kalshi 61.7¢	—	Kalshi →
Kenyon SadiqNYJ v KC	anytime TD	NYJ @ KC	14.5¢	—	one-sided	o +400	—	over · Kalshi 15.9¢	—	Kalshi →
Kenyon SadiqNYJ v KC	20+ rec yds	NYJ @ KC	40.5¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Noah GrayKC v NYJ	10+ rec yds	NYJ @ KC	57.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	—	o -144 / u -134	over · ProphetX 59¢under · Kalshi 44.7¢	—	Kalshi →
Noah GrayTEKC v NYJ	15+ rec yds	NYJ @ KC	46.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +117 / u -125	o +108 / u -182	over · Novig 46.1¢under · Novig 55.6¢	🔒	Kalshi →
Noah GrayKC v NYJ	20+ rec yds	NYJ @ KC	37.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	—	o +172 / u -325	over · ProphetX 36.8¢under · Kalshi 65.6¢	—	Kalshi →
Omar CooperNYJ v KC	anytime TD	NYJ @ KC	22.0¢	—	one-sided	o +270	—	over · Kalshi 24.2¢	—	Kalshi →
Patrick MahomesKC v NYJ	anytime TD	NYJ @ KC	17.5¢	—	one-sided	o +456 / u -545	o +400 / u -25000	over · Novig 18¢under · Kalshi 84¢	—	Kalshi →
Patrick MahomesKC v NYJ	27+ pass att	NYJ @ KC	79.0¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Patrick MahomesKC v NYJ	32+ pass att	NYJ @ KC	48.5¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Patrick MahomesKC v NYJ	17+ completions	NYJ @ KC	87.0¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Patrick MahomesKC v NYJ	22+ completions	NYJ @ KC	52.0¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Patrick MahomesKC v NYJ	3+ pass TDs	NYJ @ KC	38.5¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Patrick MahomesKC v NYJ	4+ pass TDs	NYJ @ KC	15.0¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Patrick MahomesKC v NYJ	200+ pass yds	NYJ @ KC	76.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -400	o -395 / u +215	over · Kalshi 79.2¢under · Kalshi 26.3¢	—	Kalshi →
Patrick MahomesKC v NYJ	225+ pass yds	NYJ @ KC	62.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	—	o -210	over · Kalshi 65.6¢	—	Kalshi →
Patrick MahomesKC v NYJ	10+ rush yds	NYJ @ KC	56.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -150	o -156 / u -124	over · BetRivers 54.8¢under · Kalshi 45.7¢	—	Kalshi →
Rashee RiceKC v NYJ	anytime TD	NYJ @ KC	41.0¢	—	one-sided	—	o +121	over · DK 43.5¢	—	Kalshi →
Rashee RiceKC v NYJ	2+ TDs	NYJ @ KC	7.5¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Tim PatrickNYJ v KC	anytime TD	NYJ @ KC	9.5¢	—	one-sided	o +700	o +630 / u -25000	over · DK 9.5¢under · Kalshi 92.5¢	—	Kalshi →
Travis KelceKC v NYJ	anytime TD	NYJ @ KC	35.5¢	—	one-sided	o +147	—	over · Kalshi 37.6¢	—	Kalshi →
Xavier WorthyKC v NYJ	40+ rec yds	NYJ @ KC	43.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +104	o +115 / u -200	over · Kalshi 45.7¢under · Kalshi 58.7¢	—	Kalshi →

41 of 41 two-sided strikes · + 334 listed on Kalshi, not yet priced · Our P(over) is Pro · book consensus as of Nov 5, 8:15 PM ET

Jets vs Chiefs player prop ladders for Week 9: the Kalshi price at every strike vs the sportsbook consensus — The Jets vs Chiefs prop ladders with the widest market disagreement this week — free to share. Updates as the market moves.

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A live card locked to Jets vs Chiefs, Week 9 — the Kalshi price at every spread strike for this one game — for a preview post or a game-day thread. Free to preview on your own page; publishing runs on an Enterprise license, and the credit line stays on.

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New York Jets Kansas City Chiefs Every game this week →

Same props on both venues: Kalshi vs Polymarket US

Jets at Chiefs · same player, stat and threshold · cost to buy after fees · as of 8:10 PM ET

Player prop (191)	Kalshi8:10 PM ET	Polymarket USPolymarketPartner8:47 PM ET	Best price
Isaiah Davis anytime TD	no current price	4¢4.3¢ after fees	—
Kenyon Sadiq anytime TD	no current price	14¢14.8¢ after fees	—
Kenneth Walker III anytime TD	no current price	68¢69.5¢ after fees	—
Kenneth Walker III 2+ TDs	no current price	29¢30.4¢ after fees	—
Rashee Rice anytime TD	no current price	43¢44.7¢ after fees	—
Patrick Mahomes anytime TD	no current price	18¢19¢ after fees	—
Travis Kelce anytime TD	no current price	40¢41.7¢ after fees	—
Patrick Mahomes 2+ TDs	no current price	2¢2.1¢ after fees	—
Noah Gray 20+ rec yds	no current price	39¢40.7¢ after fees	—
Kenyon Sadiq 2+ TDs	no current price	2¢2.1¢ after fees	—
Patrick Mahomes 200+ pass yds	no current price	79¢80.2¢ after fees	—
Emmett Johnson anytime TD	no current price	19¢20.1¢ after fees	—
Tim Patrick anytime TD	no current price	11¢11.7¢ after fees	—
Patrick Mahomes 250+ pass yds	no current price	50¢51.7¢ after fees	—
Jalen Royals 2+ TDs	no current price	2¢2.1¢ after fees	—
Xavier Worthy 40+ rec yds	no current price	45¢46.7¢ after fees	—
Rashee Rice 2+ TDs	no current price	10¢10.6¢ after fees	—
Kenneth Walker III 90+ rush yds	no current price	53¢54.7¢ after fees	—
Emmett Johnson 2+ TDs	no current price	3¢3.2¢ after fees	—
Garrett Wilson anytime TD	no current price	30¢31.5¢ after fees	—
Noah Gray 10+ rec yds	no current price	62¢63.6¢ after fees	—
Cyrus Allen 20+ rec yds	no current price	44¢45.7¢ after fees	—
Kenneth Walker III 3+ TDs	no current price	9¢9.6¢ after fees	—
Braelon Allen 3+ TDs	no current price	2¢2.1¢ after fees	—
Tim Patrick 2+ TDs	no current price	2¢2.1¢ after fees	—
Braelon Allen anytime TD	no current price	28¢29.4¢ after fees	—
Kenneth Walker III first TD	22¢23.2¢ after fees	21¢22.2¢ after fees	Polymarket US1¢ less
Omar Cooper Jr. anytime TD	no current price	23¢24.2¢ after fees	—
Kenneth Walker III 100+ rush yds	no current price	43¢44.7¢ after fees	—
Adonai Mitchell anytime TD	no current price	26¢27.3¢ after fees	—
Emmett Johnson 10+ rush yds	no current price	57¢58.7¢ after fees	—
Kenneth Walker III 60+ rush yds	no current price	82¢83¢ after fees	—
Patrick Mahomes 225+ pass yds	no current price	64¢65.6¢ after fees	—
Patrick Mahomes 4+ pass TDs	no current price	18¢19¢ after fees	—
Patrick Mahomes 3+ pass TDs	no current price	39¢40.7¢ after fees	—
Kenyon Sadiq 20+ rec yds	no current price	48¢49.7¢ after fees	—
Rashee Rice 60+ rec yds	no current price	52¢53.7¢ after fees	—
Patrick Mahomes 1+ pass TDs	no current price	96¢96.3¢ after fees	—
Emmett Johnson first TD	5¢5.3¢ after fees	6¢6.4¢ after fees	Kalshi1.1¢ less
Braelon Allen first TD	6¢6.4¢ after fees	7¢7.5¢ after fees	Kalshi1.1¢ less
Rashee Rice first TD	11¢11.7¢ after fees	12¢12.7¢ after fees	Kalshi1¢ less
Travis Kelce first TD	12¢12.7¢ after fees	12¢12.7¢ after fees	Even
Xavier Worthy first TD	9¢9.6¢ after fees	9¢9.6¢ after fees	Even
Adonai Mitchell first TD	6¢6.4¢ after fees	6¢6.4¢ after fees	Even
Cyrus Allen first TD	5¢5.3¢ after fees	5¢5.3¢ after fees	Even
Noah Gray first TD	5¢5.3¢ after fees	5¢5.3¢ after fees	Even
Patrick Mahomes first TD	5¢5.3¢ after fees	5¢5.3¢ after fees	Even
Omar Cooper Jr. first TD	5¢5.3¢ after fees	5¢5.3¢ after fees	Even
Mason Taylor first TD	4¢4.3¢ after fees	4¢4.3¢ after fees	Even
Andrew Armstrong first TD	3¢3.2¢ after fees	3¢3.2¢ after fees	Even
Jalen Royals first TD	3¢3.2¢ after fees	3¢3.2¢ after fees	Even
Kenyon Sadiq first TD	3¢3.2¢ after fees	3¢3.2¢ after fees	Even
Tim Patrick first TD	3¢3.2¢ after fees	3¢3.2¢ after fees	Even
Geno Smith first TD	2¢2.1¢ after fees	2¢2.1¢ after fees	Even
Isaiah Williams first TD	2¢2.1¢ after fees	2¢2.1¢ after fees	Even
Breece Hall first TD	8¢8.5¢ after fees	no two-sided book	—
Isaiah Davis first TD	no two-sided book	2¢2.1¢ after fees	—
Patrick Mahomes 2+ pass TDs	no current price	71¢72.4¢ after fees	—
Geno Smith 1+ pass TDs	no current price	74¢75.3¢ after fees	—
Geno Smith 2+ pass TDs	no current price	36¢37.6¢ after fees	—
Geno Smith 3+ pass TDs	no current price	13¢13.8¢ after fees	—
Geno Smith 4+ pass TDs	no current price	4¢4.3¢ after fees	—
Patrick Mahomes 150+ pass yds	no current price	98¢98.1¢ after fees	—
Patrick Mahomes 175+ pass yds	no current price	no two-sided book	—
Patrick Mahomes 275+ pass yds	no current price	37¢38.6¢ after fees	—
Patrick Mahomes 300+ pass yds	no current price	22¢23.2¢ after fees	—
Patrick Mahomes 325+ pass yds	no current price	16¢16.9¢ after fees	—
Patrick Mahomes 350+ pass yds	no current price	9¢9.6¢ after fees	—
Geno Smith 125+ pass yds	no current price	no two-sided book	—
Geno Smith 150+ pass yds	no current price	84¢84.9¢ after fees	—
Geno Smith 175+ pass yds	no current price	74¢75.3¢ after fees	—
Geno Smith 200+ pass yds	no current price	60¢61.7¢ after fees	—
Geno Smith 225+ pass yds	no current price	46¢47.7¢ after fees	—
Geno Smith 250+ pass yds	no current price	33¢34.5¢ after fees	—
Geno Smith 275+ pass yds	no current price	23¢24.2¢ after fees	—
Geno Smith 300+ pass yds	no current price	14¢14.8¢ after fees	—
Geno Smith 325+ pass yds	no current price	10¢10.6¢ after fees	—
Cyrus Allen 2+ receptions	no current price	44¢45.7¢ after fees	—
Cyrus Allen 3+ receptions	no current price	22¢23.2¢ after fees	—
Kenneth Walker III 2+ receptions	no current price	76¢77.3¢ after fees	—
Kenneth Walker III 3+ receptions	no current price	53¢54.7¢ after fees	—
Kenneth Walker III 4+ receptions	no current price	34¢35.6¢ after fees	—
Noah Gray 2+ receptions	no current price	46¢47.7¢ after fees	—
Noah Gray 3+ receptions	no current price	23¢24.2¢ after fees	—
Rashee Rice 4+ receptions	no current price	no two-sided book	—
Rashee Rice 5+ receptions	no current price	60¢61.7¢ after fees	—
Rashee Rice 6+ receptions	no current price	44¢45.7¢ after fees	—
Rashee Rice 7+ receptions	no current price	32¢33.5¢ after fees	—
Rashee Rice 8+ receptions	no current price	21¢22.2¢ after fees	—
Travis Kelce 4+ receptions	no current price	63¢64.6¢ after fees	—
Travis Kelce 5+ receptions	no current price	45¢46.7¢ after fees	—
Travis Kelce 6+ receptions	no current price	32¢33.5¢ after fees	—
Xavier Worthy 3+ receptions	no current price	65¢66.6¢ after fees	—
Xavier Worthy 4+ receptions	no current price	44¢45.7¢ after fees	—
Xavier Worthy 5+ receptions	no current price	30¢31.5¢ after fees	—
Adonai Mitchell 2+ receptions	no current price	no two-sided book	—
Adonai Mitchell 3+ receptions	no current price	no two-sided book	—
Adonai Mitchell 4+ receptions	no current price	52¢53.7¢ after fees	—
Breece Hall 2+ receptions	no current price	65¢66.6¢ after fees	—
Breece Hall 3+ receptions	no current price	40¢41.7¢ after fees	—
Kenyon Sadiq 2+ receptions	no current price	no two-sided book	—
Kenyon Sadiq 3+ receptions	no current price	38¢39.6¢ after fees	—
Mason Taylor 2+ receptions	no current price	no two-sided book	—
Mason Taylor 3+ receptions	no current price	no two-sided book	—
Mason Taylor 4+ receptions	no current price	43¢44.7¢ after fees	—
Omar Cooper Jr. 2+ receptions	no current price	no two-sided book	—
Omar Cooper Jr. 3+ receptions	no current price	no two-sided book	—
Omar Cooper Jr. 4+ receptions	no current price	61¢62.7¢ after fees	—
Tim Patrick 2+ receptions	no current price	46¢47.7¢ after fees	—
Tim Patrick 3+ receptions	no current price	26¢27.3¢ after fees	—
Cyrus Allen 10+ rec yds	no current price	no two-sided book	—
Rashee Rice 100+ rec yds	no current price	20¢21.1¢ after fees	—
Rashee Rice 30+ rec yds	no current price	no two-sided book	—
Rashee Rice 40+ rec yds	no current price	no two-sided book	—
Rashee Rice 50+ rec yds	no current price	63¢64.6¢ after fees	—
Rashee Rice 70+ rec yds	no current price	42¢43.7¢ after fees	—
Rashee Rice 80+ rec yds	no current price	33¢34.5¢ after fees	—
Rashee Rice 90+ rec yds	no current price	25¢26.3¢ after fees	—
Travis Kelce 30+ rec yds	no current price	no two-sided book	—
Travis Kelce 40+ rec yds	no current price	no two-sided book	—
Travis Kelce 50+ rec yds	no current price	47¢48.7¢ after fees	—
Travis Kelce 60+ rec yds	no current price	37¢38.6¢ after fees	—
Travis Kelce 70+ rec yds	no current price	28¢29.4¢ after fees	—
Xavier Worthy 20+ rec yds	no current price	73¢74.4¢ after fees	—
Xavier Worthy 30+ rec yds	no current price	58¢59.7¢ after fees	—
Xavier Worthy 50+ rec yds	no current price	34¢35.6¢ after fees	—
Xavier Worthy 60+ rec yds	no current price	25¢26.3¢ after fees	—
Adonai Mitchell 20+ rec yds	no current price	no two-sided book	—
Adonai Mitchell 30+ rec yds	no current price	77¢78.2¢ after fees	—
Adonai Mitchell 40+ rec yds	no current price	no two-sided book	—
Adonai Mitchell 50+ rec yds	no current price	no two-sided book	—
Adonai Mitchell 60+ rec yds	no current price	no two-sided book	—
Adonai Mitchell 70+ rec yds	no current price	35¢36.6¢ after fees	—
Adonai Mitchell 80+ rec yds	no current price	28¢29.4¢ after fees	—
Adonai Mitchell 90+ rec yds	no current price	21¢22.2¢ after fees	—
Breece Hall 10+ rec yds	no current price	64¢65.6¢ after fees	—
Breece Hall 20+ rec yds	no current price	41¢42.7¢ after fees	—
Breece Hall 30+ rec yds	no current price	24¢25.3¢ after fees	—
Kenyon Sadiq 10+ rec yds	no current price	no two-sided book	—
Kenyon Sadiq 30+ rec yds	no current price	31¢32.5¢ after fees	—
Mason Taylor 10+ rec yds	no current price	no two-sided book	—
Mason Taylor 20+ rec yds	no current price	no two-sided book	—
Mason Taylor 30+ rec yds	no current price	no two-sided book	—
Mason Taylor 40+ rec yds	no current price	no two-sided book	—
Mason Taylor 50+ rec yds	no current price	20¢21.1¢ after fees	—
Omar Cooper Jr. 20+ rec yds	no current price	no two-sided book	—
Omar Cooper Jr. 30+ rec yds	no current price	no two-sided book	—
Omar Cooper Jr. 40+ rec yds	no current price	no two-sided book	—
Omar Cooper Jr. 50+ rec yds	no current price	no two-sided book	—
Omar Cooper Jr. 60+ rec yds	no current price	no two-sided book	—
Tim Patrick 10+ rec yds	no current price	no two-sided book	—
Tim Patrick 20+ rec yds	no current price	no two-sided book	—
Emmett Johnson 20+ rush yds	no current price	33¢34.5¢ after fees	—
Kenneth Walker III 110+ rush yds	no current price	33¢34.5¢ after fees	—
Kenneth Walker III 120+ rush yds	no current price	30¢31.5¢ after fees	—
Kenneth Walker III 70+ rush yds	no current price	73¢74.4¢ after fees	—
Kenneth Walker III 80+ rush yds	no current price	63¢64.6¢ after fees	—
Braelon Allen 30+ rush yds	no current price	58¢59.7¢ after fees	—
Braelon Allen 40+ rush yds	no current price	41¢42.7¢ after fees	—
Braelon Allen 50+ rush yds	no current price	29¢30.4¢ after fees	—
Braelon Allen 60+ rush yds	no current price	22¢23.2¢ after fees	—
Braelon Allen 70+ rush yds	no current price	11¢11.7¢ after fees	—
Breece Hall 20+ rush yds	no current price	84¢84.9¢ after fees	—
Breece Hall 30+ rush yds	no current price	68¢69.5¢ after fees	—
Breece Hall 40+ rush yds	no current price	54¢55.7¢ after fees	—
Breece Hall 50+ rush yds	no current price	40¢41.7¢ after fees	—
Breece Hall 60+ rush yds	no current price	29¢30.4¢ after fees	—
Andrew Armstrong anytime TD	no current price	8¢8.5¢ after fees	—
Cyrus Allen anytime TD	no current price	18¢19¢ after fees	—
Cyrus Allen 2+ TDs	no current price	2¢2.1¢ after fees	—
Jalen Royals anytime TD	no current price	11¢11.7¢ after fees	—
Noah Gray anytime TD	no current price	15¢15.9¢ after fees	—
Noah Gray 2+ TDs	no current price	2¢2.1¢ after fees	—
Rashee Rice 3+ TDs	no current price	2¢2.1¢ after fees	—
Travis Kelce 2+ TDs	no current price	8¢8.5¢ after fees	—
Travis Kelce 3+ TDs	no current price	2¢2.1¢ after fees	—
Xavier Worthy anytime TD	no current price	33¢34.5¢ after fees	—
Xavier Worthy 2+ TDs	no current price	7¢7.5¢ after fees	—
Xavier Worthy 3+ TDs	no current price	2¢2.1¢ after fees	—
Adonai Mitchell 2+ TDs	no current price	5¢5.3¢ after fees	—
Braelon Allen 2+ TDs	no current price	5¢5.3¢ after fees	—
Breece Hall anytime TD	no current price	no two-sided book	—
Breece Hall 2+ TDs	no current price	7¢7.5¢ after fees	—
Breece Hall 3+ TDs	no current price	no two-sided book	—
Geno Smith anytime TD	no current price	7¢7.5¢ after fees	—
Isaiah Davis 2+ TDs	no current price	2¢2.1¢ after fees	—
Isaiah Williams anytime TD	no current price	7¢7.5¢ after fees	—
Jeremy Ruckert anytime TD	no current price	6¢6.4¢ after fees	—
Mason Taylor anytime TD	no current price	no two-sided book	—
Mason Taylor 2+ TDs	no current price	2¢2.1¢ after fees	—
Omar Cooper Jr. 2+ TDs	no current price	4¢4.3¢ after fees	—

This game on Kalshi →This game on Polymarket US →

Polymarket US only (24)

Braelon Allen 12+ rushing attemptsPolymarket US 32¢
Braelon Allen 16+ rushing attemptsPolymarket US 9¢
Breece Hall 11+ fantasy points (PPR)Polymarket US 50¢
Breece Hall 60+ scrimmage yardsPolymarket US 52¢
Garrett Wilson 2+ TDsPolymarket US 5¢
Garrett Wilson 3+ TDsPolymarket US 2¢
Garrett Wilson first TDPolymarket US 6¢
Geno Smith 1+ interceptions thrownPolymarket US 56¢
Jake Briningstool anytime TDPolymarket US 5¢
Jake Briningstool first TDPolymarket US 2¢
Jared Wiley anytime TDPolymarket US 5¢
Jared Wiley first TDPolymarket US 2¢
Jelani Woods anytime TDPolymarket US 4¢
Jelani Woods first TDPolymarket US 2¢
Jeremy Ruckert first TDPolymarket US 2¢
Kenneth Walker 20+ rushing attemptsPolymarket US 52¢
Kenneth Walker 30+ rec ydsPolymarket US 31¢
Nikko Remigio anytime TDPolymarket US 4¢
Patrick Mahomes 1+ interceptions thrownPolymarket US 42¢
Patrick Mahomes 2+ interceptions thrownPolymarket US 15¢
Patrick Mahomes 22+ passing completionsPolymarket US 53¢
Patrick Mahomes 32+ passing attemptsPolymarket US 51¢
Patrick Mahomes 36+ passing attemptsPolymarket US 32¢
Travis Kelce 12+ fantasy points (PPR)Polymarket US 58¢

Kalshi only (173)

Emmett Johnson 15+ rec ydsKalshi 49¢
Noah Gray 15+ rec ydsKalshi 47¢
Cyrus Allen 15+ rec ydsKalshi 52¢
Patrick Mahomes 32+ pass attemptsKalshi 50¢
Emmett Johnson 15+ rush ydsKalshi 42¢
Patrick Mahomes 27+ pass attemptsKalshi 81¢
Kenneth Walker III 110+ rush+rec ydsKalshi 54¢
Patrick Mahomes 10+ rush ydsKalshi 57¢
Geno Smith 10+ rush ydsKalshi 40¢
Geno Smith 1+ interceptionsKalshi 56¢
Patrick Mahomes 22+ completionsKalshi 53¢
Breece Hall 60+ rush+rec ydsKalshi 51¢
Patrick Mahomes 17+ completionsKalshi 90¢
Patrick Mahomes 37+ pass attemptsKalshi 26¢
Geno Smith 28+ pass attemptsKalshi 77¢
Geno Smith 33+ pass attemptsKalshi 50¢
Geno Smith 38+ pass attemptsKalshi 26¢
Patrick Mahomes 27+ completionsKalshi 19¢
Geno Smith 16+ completionsKalshi 84¢
Geno Smith 21+ completionsKalshi 48¢
Geno Smith 26+ completionsKalshi 18¢
Patrick Mahomes 1+ interceptionsKalshi 41¢
Patrick Mahomes 2+ interceptionsKalshi 14¢
Patrick Mahomes 3+ interceptionsKalshi 6¢
Geno Smith 2+ interceptionsKalshi 22¢
Geno Smith 3+ interceptionsKalshi 8¢
Patrick Mahomes 5+ pass TDsKalshi 7¢
Patrick Mahomes 375+ pass ydsKalshi 8¢
Cyrus Allen 4+ receptionsKalshi 11¢
Cyrus Allen 5+ receptionsKalshi 6¢
Emmett Johnson 2+ receptionsKalshi 61¢
Emmett Johnson 3+ receptionsKalshi 38¢
Emmett Johnson 4+ receptionsKalshi 22¢
Emmett Johnson 5+ receptionsKalshi 13¢
Emmett Johnson 6+ receptionsKalshi 7¢
Kenneth Walker III 5+ receptionsKalshi 20¢
Kenneth Walker III 6+ receptionsKalshi 12¢
Kenneth Walker III 7+ receptionsKalshi 7¢
Noah Gray 4+ receptionsKalshi 12¢
Noah Gray 5+ receptionsKalshi 6¢
Rashee Rice 10+ receptionsKalshi 9¢
Rashee Rice 11+ receptionsKalshi 6¢
Rashee Rice 3+ receptionsKalshi 91¢
Rashee Rice 9+ receptionsKalshi 13¢
Travis Kelce 10+ receptionsKalshi 6¢
Travis Kelce 3+ receptionsKalshi 81¢
Travis Kelce 7+ receptionsKalshi 19¢
Travis Kelce 8+ receptionsKalshi 12¢
Travis Kelce 9+ receptionsKalshi 8¢
Xavier Worthy 2+ receptionsKalshi 84¢
Xavier Worthy 6+ receptionsKalshi 17¢
Xavier Worthy 7+ receptionsKalshi 10¢
Xavier Worthy 8+ receptionsKalshi 6¢
Adonai Mitchell 5+ receptionsKalshi 36¢
Adonai Mitchell 6+ receptionsKalshi 23¢
Adonai Mitchell 7+ receptionsKalshi 13¢
Adonai Mitchell 8+ receptionsKalshi 11¢
Adonai Mitchell 9+ receptionsKalshi 6¢
Breece Hall 5+ receptionsKalshi 13¢
Breece Hall 6+ receptionsKalshi 10¢

+ 113 more listed on Kalshi only.

Not every market is listed on both venues. A row pairs only the same player, stat and threshold, and the club must agree. The single-venue lists show the ask on the one venue that lists the contract, two-sided books only. Cost after fees is the ask plus each venue’s per-contract taker fee — Kalshi: Taker fee 7% × price × (1 − price) per contract, max 1.75¢. Polymarket US: Taker fee 6.95% × price × (1 − price) per contract, max $1.74 per 100. A price older than 30 minutes shows as no current price.

The Ladder: the shape of the distribution vs every strike

Strikes above, distribution here: our full margin curve beside the Kalshi price at each rung, with the verdict — SHAPE, LOCATION or PRICED. This week's widest gap, auto-advancing.

How to read this board — and what we are not claiming

Consensus is the median de-vigged probability across every sportsbook quoting a line, read at the Kalshi strike — exact when a book quotes that line, interpolated when two quoted lines bracket it, refused when they do not. Kalshi prices are the mid of a real two-sided book only. This page carries at least 40 such strikes or it does not exist; we are not claiming to beat the market, only to show where each price is.

Jets vs Chiefs props — FAQ

What are the player props for Jets vs Chiefs?

41 Kalshi player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Week 9 — passing, rushing, receiving and scoring lines — each shown on this page beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line, with the cheapest venue for each side named.

Where are Jets vs Chiefs player props priced best?

The "best price" column on each strike names the venue with the cheapest price for that side, in cents per $1 of payout — Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks and exchanges at their raw quote. It only appears when at least two venues quote the exact strike, because a best price needs a comparison.

What is the gap column?

The Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus probability read at the same strike, in cents. Positive means Kalshi is pricing the over above the books, negative means it is cheaper. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.

Why are some Kalshi strikes not shown here?

Kalshi lists a game's ladder early and most strikes stay unpriced until a day or two before kickoff. This page shows the 41 strikes with a real two-sided book; 334 more are listed and not yet priced. A 1¢ bid against a 99¢ ask is a listing, not a price.

Can you trade NFL player props on Kalshi?

Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists NFL player-prop contracts — for example, will a quarterback record 275 or more passing yards. Each contract settles at $1 if the answer is yes and $0 if no, so its price in cents is the market's implied probability, and traders buy and sell it from each other until it settles.

How is a Kalshi prop different from a prop at the books?

A Kalshi prop is an exchange contract: traders take either side from each other, the price moves with the order book, and a position can be sold before kickoff. At the books the house sets the line. This page reads the books' implied probability at the same line as each Kalshi strike so the two can be compared directly.

What is an Oracle Ladder?

An Oracle Ladder shows every Kalshi strike for one market as a curve — for player props, beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line. Our model's own number is published only between 30% and 70%, the band where it is measured calibrated, and any strike where it sits more than 30 points from the Kalshi price is refused rather than shown.

More NFL Markets

NFL Week 9 predictions — Model vs. Kalshi on every game on the board right now.
NFL Week 10 predictions — early lines — Next week’s slate, priced the moment the lines open.
NFL Week 8 results — Final scores and every graded call from the week just played.
Will Derrick Henry score a TD? Live Kalshi odds → — Henry anytime TD, 2+ TDs and rushing-yard prices for every Ravens game, plus his TD record vs the market
Markets 101: be the market maker, not the market taker → — Why the first-TD board prices out to ~118%, and how a resting bid a cent under the ask beats paying it
Heisman odds 2026 — Kalshi vs Polymarket US → — Every contender priced on both exchanges, cheaper venue named, plus Coach Gene’s longshots
Grok fantasy football — connect the draft desk → — One URL, no key: the grok.com/connectors walkthrough and six prompts
NFL MCP server — the in-season desk, inside your AI agent → — Kalshi props venue by venue, spread ladders, correlation-aware combos, weekly game edges — free tools, no key
MCP setup — connect Claude, ChatGPT or Grok in a minute → — One URL, no API key: per-host install steps and troubleshooting
NFL 2026 Market Guide — the 61-page book → — All 32 teams priced against the market, plus a 153-player draft board
NFL 2026 Quarter-Season Report — 64 games, 32 teams, priced → — Weeks 1–4 in one book: opening vs closing lines, the Kalshi board Sept 8 vs Oct 8, all 32 team cards
Madden 27 ratings vs our model vs the market → — All 32 team ratings, our power ratings, and live win-total prices on one board
NFL Predictions — every game vs the market → — Free fair value vs Kalshi on all 18 weeks
2026 NFL Win Totals — model vs Kalshi → — All 32 teams: projected wins vs the KXNFLWINS ladder
NFL Standings 2026 — projected records + playoff odds → — All 8 divisions: projected record, PWR, division-title and playoff odds
NFL Schedule Predictor 2026 — every game picked → — Straight-up winner and win probability for all 272 games, plus the 10,000-season sim
NFL Game Edges — where the model disagrees → — Game-winner, spread & total edges vs Kalshi prices
NFL MVP Edges → — Live MVP market mispricings vs Kalshi KXNFLMVP
Win Total Futures → — Monte Carlo season wins vs the Kalshi line
Championship Edges → — Playoff / conference / Super Bowl probabilities
Kalshi NFL Markets → — How Kalshi prices every NFL market + live edges
Power Rankings — the model methodology anchor → — All 32 teams on the points-per-game scale
Fantasy Draft Assistant — the same model, in your AI agent → — Free MCP draft desk: board, best available, sleepers vs ADP, who-do-I-draft
NFL Model Calibration Ledger — how accurate is it, actually → — The graded record: 59.6% straight up, 0.236 Brier, and hit rate by confidence bucket across 3,266 games
NFL Power Ratings tool — build your own PWR board → — Adjust the model weights and re-rank all 32 teams on the points-per-game scale
NFL Win Probability calculator → — Turn any rating gap, spread or game-winner price into a calibrated win probability
NFL Power Ratings vs. the Market — where we disagree → — Our PWR and the rating implied by live Kalshi win-total prices, all 32 teams on one points scale