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Giants vs Commanders player props β€” Kalshi prices vs the books

Every Kalshi player-prop strike for this game with a real two-sided book, priced against the sportsbook consensus at the same line and the exchanges that quote it, with the cheapest venue for each side named. Week 5. Game preview and model line β†’

Quick Answer

As of October 8, 2026, Kalshi lists 42 player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Giants vs Commanders, Week 5.

Kalshi as of Oct 8, 9:10 PM ET Β· books as of Oct 8, 6:15 PM ET Β· 159 Kalshi prop strikes listed for this game Β· 42 with a real two-sided book Β· 0 priced against 3+ books

This week on the boardNFL Week 5 predictions β†’NFL Week 6 predictions β€” early lines β†’Week 4 results β†’

Week 5 gamesBuccaneers at CowboysEagles at JaguarsBengals at DolphinsRaiders at PatriotsVikings at SaintsBrowns at JetsColts at SteelersTexans at TitansGiants at CommandersBroncos at ChargersLions at CardinalsBears at Packers49ers at SeahawksRavens at FalconsBills at Rams

Oracle calls for this game

Where our projection disagrees with the Kalshi price by enough. The only thing on this page that says play.

NFL player prop edges β€” our projection against each Kalshi contract (X or more), on the strike closest to our projection. The call is YES or NO on that contract, the market price is the price of the called side, and the edge is stated on the called side. Rows badged WATCH are not plays; rows badged SKEW are calls where the average projection sits on the other side of the threshold.
PlayerContractMatchupCallOur projOur oddsMktEdgeTierTrade
Najee HarrisRBWatch30+ rush ydsover 29.5NYG vs WASNOπŸ”’MODERATEBuy NO β†’
Isaiah LikelyTEWatch40+ rec ydsover 39.5NYG vs WASNOπŸ”’MODERATEBuy NO β†’
Cam SkatteboRBWatch60+ rush ydsover 59.5NYG vs WASNOπŸ”’MODERATEBuy NO β†’

3 of 3 props Β· 3 locked (Pro)

Watch β€” the disagreement is real, but our inputs for that player are limited or contradicted, so we are not calling it a play. Watch rows are capped at MODERATE, can never be the top call, and are graded separately from the published record.

Prop market board β€” Giants vs Commanders

Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents. Exchange quotes are raw and one-sided, as quoted. A gap is a price difference, not a call.

πŸ”’ Filter by our call β€” Pro
Every Kalshi NFL player-prop strike with a two-sided book this week: the Kalshi mid, the sportsbook consensus probability read at that strike, exchange quotes at the same strike, and the gap between Kalshi and consensus in cents. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
PlayerPropGameKalshiConsensusGapNovigProphetXBest priceOur P(over)Trade
Antonio WilliamsWAS v NYGanytime TDNYG @ WAS20.5Β’β€”one-sidedβ€”β€”over Β· Kalshi 22.2Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Austin EkelerWAS v NYGanytime TDNYG @ WAS14.5Β’β€”one-sidedβ€”β€”over Β· Kalshi 15.9Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Cam SkatteboNYG v WASanytime TDNYG @ WAS39.5Β’β€”one-sidedo -104 / u -1567o -420over Β· Kalshi 41.7Β’under Β· Kalshi 62.7Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Cam SkatteboNYG v WAS2+ TDsNYG @ WAS8.5Β’β€”no booksβ€”β€”Kalshi onlyβ€”Kalshi β†’
Cam SkatteboNYG v WAS15+ rec ydsNYG @ WAS43.5Β’β€”no booksβ€”β€”Kalshi onlyβ€”Kalshi β†’
Cam SkatteboNYG v WAS50+ rush ydsNYG @ WAS58.5Β’β€”no booksβ€”β€”Kalshi onlyβ€”Kalshi β†’
Cam SkatteboRBNYG v WAS60+ rush ydsNYG @ WAS46.5Β’β€”no booksβ€”β€”Kalshi onlyπŸ”’Kalshi β†’
Darnell MooneyNYG v WASanytime TDNYG @ WAS10.0Β’β€”one-sidedβ€”β€”over Β· Kalshi 11.7Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Darnell MooneyNYG v WAS15+ rec ydsNYG @ WAS55.5Β’β€”no booksβ€”β€”Kalshi onlyβ€”Kalshi β†’
Isaiah LikelyNYG v WASanytime TDNYG @ WAS27.0Β’β€”one-sidedo +264 / u -525o +215over Β· DK 26.7Β’under Β· Kalshi 75.4Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Isaiah LikelyTENYG v WAS40+ rec ydsNYG @ WAS52.0Β’β€”no booksβ€”β€”Kalshi onlyπŸ”’Kalshi β†’
Isaiah LikelyNYG v WAS50+ rec ydsNYG @ WAS38.0Β’β€”no booksβ€”β€”Kalshi onlyβ€”Kalshi β†’
Isaiah LikelyNYG v WAS60+ rec ydsNYG @ WAS26.5Β’β€”no booksβ€”β€”Kalshi onlyβ€”Kalshi β†’
Isaiah LikelyNYG v WAS70+ rec ydsNYG @ WAS17.5Β’β€”no booksβ€”β€”Kalshi onlyβ€”Kalshi β†’
Jacory Croskey-MerrittWAS v NYG60+ rush ydsNYG @ WAS39.0Β’β€”no booksβ€”β€”Kalshi onlyβ€”Kalshi β†’
Jameis WinstonNYG v WASanytime TDNYG @ WAS8.5Β’β€”one-sidedβ€”β€”over Β· Kalshi 9.6Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Jameis WinstonNYG v WAS31+ pass attNYG @ WAS54.0Β’β€”no booksβ€”β€”Kalshi onlyβ€”Kalshi β†’
Jameis WinstonNYG v WAS1+ INTsNYG @ WAS61.0Β’β€”no booksβ€”β€”Kalshi onlyβ€”Kalshi β†’
Jameis WinstonNYG v WAS2+ pass TDsNYG @ WAS33.0Β’β€”no booksβ€”β€”Kalshi onlyβ€”Kalshi β†’
Jameis WinstonNYG v WAS200+ pass ydsNYG @ WAS51.0Β’β€”no booksβ€”β€”Kalshi onlyβ€”Kalshi β†’
Jameis WinstonNYG v WAS225+ pass ydsNYG @ WAS35.5Β’β€”no booksβ€”β€”Kalshi onlyβ€”Kalshi β†’
Jameis WinstonNYG v WAS10+ rush ydsNYG @ WAS23.5Β’β€”no booksβ€”β€”Kalshi onlyβ€”Kalshi β†’
Jayden DanielsWAS v NYGanytime TDNYG @ WAS25.5Β’β€”one-sidedβ€”β€”over Β· Kalshi 27.4Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Jayden DanielsWAS v NYG2+ TDsNYG @ WAS3.5Β’β€”no booksβ€”β€”Kalshi onlyβ€”Kalshi β†’
Jayden DanielsWAS v NYG18+ completionsNYG @ WAS52.5Β’β€”no booksβ€”β€”Kalshi onlyβ€”Kalshi β†’
Jayden DanielsWAS v NYG2+ pass TDsNYG @ WAS42.0Β’β€”no booksβ€”β€”Kalshi onlyβ€”Kalshi β†’
Jayden DanielsWAS v NYG150+ pass ydsNYG @ WAS75.0Β’β€”no booksβ€”β€”Kalshi onlyβ€”Kalshi β†’
Jayden DanielsWAS v NYG175+ pass ydsNYG @ WAS63.0Β’β€”no booksβ€”β€”Kalshi onlyβ€”Kalshi β†’
Jayden DanielsWAS v NYG200+ pass ydsNYG @ WAS47.5Β’β€”no booksβ€”β€”Kalshi onlyβ€”Kalshi β†’
Jayden DanielsWAS v NYG7+ rush attNYG @ WAS46.5Β’β€”no booksβ€”β€”Kalshi onlyβ€”Kalshi β†’
Luke McCaffreyWAS v NYGanytime TDNYG @ WAS6.0Β’β€”one-sidedβ€”β€”over Β· Kalshi 7.5Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Malachi FieldsNYG v WASanytime TDNYG @ WAS16.0Β’β€”one-sidedβ€”β€”over Β· Fanatics 14.8Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Malachi FieldsNYG v WAS25+ rec ydsNYG @ WAS53.5Β’β€”no booksβ€”β€”Kalshi onlyβ€”Kalshi β†’
Malik NabersNYG v WASanytime TDNYG @ WAS28.0Β’β€”one-sidedo +182 / u -199o +144 / u -420over Β· Kalshi 31.5Β’under Β· Novig 66.6Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Najee HarrisNYG v WASanytime TDNYG @ WAS15.5Β’β€”one-sidedβ€”β€”over Β· Kalshi 18Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Najee HarrisNYG v WAS2+ TDsNYG @ WAS2.5Β’β€”no booksβ€”β€”Kalshi onlyβ€”Kalshi β†’
Najee HarrisNYG v WAS25+ rush ydsNYG @ WAS58.0Β’β€”no booksβ€”β€”Kalshi onlyβ€”Kalshi β†’
Najee HarrisRBNYG v WAS30+ rush ydsNYG @ WAS47.5Β’β€”no booksβ€”β€”Kalshi onlyπŸ”’Kalshi β†’
Theo JohnsonNYG v WASanytime TDNYG @ WAS9.5Β’β€”one-sidedβ€”β€”over Β· Kalshi 10.6Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Treylon BurksWAS v NYGanytime TDNYG @ WAS17.5Β’β€”one-sidedβ€”β€”over Β· Fanatics 18.9Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Tyrone Tracy Jr.NYG v WASanytime TDNYG @ WAS7.0Β’β€”one-sidedβ€”β€”over Β· Fanatics 7.7Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
WAS Commanders D/STWAS v NYGanytime TDNYG @ WAS15.0Β’β€”one-sidedβ€”β€”over Β· Kalshi 16.9Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
42 of 42 two-sided strikes Β· + 117 listed on Kalshi, not yet priced Β· Our P(over) is Pro Β· book consensus as of Oct 8, 6:15 PM ET

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Giants vs Commanders player prop ladders for Week 5: the Kalshi price at every strike vs the sportsbook consensus
The Giants vs Commanders prop ladders with the widest market disagreement this week β€” free to share. Updates as the market moves.

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A live card locked to Giants vs Commanders, Week 5 β€” the Kalshi price at every spread strike for this one game β€” for a preview post or a game-day thread. Free; the credit line is the only ask. No API key, no signup.

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<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Giants vs Commanders, Week 5 Kalshi spread ladder from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/nfl/giants-vs-commanders-week-05-2026?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-ladder">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>
New York GiantsWashington CommandersEvery game this week β†’

The Ladder: the shape of the distribution vs every strike

Strikes above, distribution here: our full margin curve beside the Kalshi price at each rung, with the verdict β€” SHAPE, LOCATION or PRICED. This week's widest gap, auto-advancing.

How to read this board β€” and what we are not claiming

Consensus is the median de-vigged probability across every sportsbook quoting a line, read at the Kalshi strike β€” exact when a book quotes that line, interpolated when two quoted lines bracket it, refused when they do not. Kalshi prices are the mid of a real two-sided book only. This page carries at least 40 such strikes or it does not exist; we are not claiming to beat the market, only to show where each price is.

Giants vs Commanders props β€” FAQ

What are the player props for Giants vs Commanders?

42 Kalshi player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Week 5 β€” passing, rushing, receiving and scoring lines β€” each shown on this page beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line, with the cheapest venue for each side named.

Where are Giants vs Commanders player props priced best?

The "best price" column on each strike names the venue with the cheapest price for that side, in cents per $1 of payout β€” Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks and exchanges at their raw quote. It only appears when at least two venues quote the exact strike, because a best price needs a comparison.

What is the gap column?

The Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus probability read at the same strike, in cents. Positive means Kalshi is pricing the over above the books, negative means it is cheaper. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.

Why are some Kalshi strikes not shown here?

Kalshi lists a game's ladder early and most strikes stay unpriced until a day or two before kickoff. This page shows the 42 strikes with a real two-sided book; 117 more are listed and not yet priced. A 1Β’ bid against a 99Β’ ask is a listing, not a price.

Can you trade NFL player props on Kalshi?

Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists NFL player-prop contracts β€” for example, will a quarterback record 275 or more passing yards. Each contract settles at $1 if the answer is yes and $0 if no, so its price in cents is the market's implied probability, and traders buy and sell it from each other until it settles.

How is a Kalshi prop different from a prop at the books?

A Kalshi prop is an exchange contract: traders take either side from each other, the price moves with the order book, and a position can be sold before kickoff. At the books the house sets the line. This page reads the books' implied probability at the same line as each Kalshi strike so the two can be compared directly.

What is an Oracle Ladder?

An Oracle Ladder shows every Kalshi strike for one market as a curve β€” for player props, beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line. Our model's own number is published only between 30% and 70%, the band where it is measured calibrated, and any strike where it sits more than 30 points from the Kalshi price is refused rather than shown.

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