Skip to content
THE 7 ORACLESPowered by PredictionMarketsPicks
Pro
NFL EDGES

Live game edges — model vs. Kalshi, ranked

Gridiron Edge · 5-min refresh

NFL 2026

Power rankings, futures & win totals — all 32 teams

FED DESK

Kalshi vs Polymarket vs futures on the next FOMC decision

Fed Rate Tracker · live

COMBO EDGE

Correlation-aware Kalshi combos — free

Chiefs vs Seahawks player props — Kalshi prices vs the books

Every Kalshi player-prop strike for this game with a real two-sided book, priced against the sportsbook consensus at the same line and the exchanges that quote it, with the cheapest venue for each side named. Week 7. Game preview and model line →

Quick Answer

As of October 21, 2026, Kalshi lists 47 player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Chiefs vs Seahawks, Week 7.

Kalshi as of Oct 21, 10:10 PM ET · books as of Oct 21, 9:15 PM ET · 151 Kalshi prop strikes listed for this game · 47 with a real two-sided book · 5 priced against 3+ books

This week on the boardNFL Week 7 predictions →Week 8 predictions →Week 6 results →

Week 7 gamesPatriots at BearsSteelers at Saints49ers at FalconsBengals at RavensBuccaneers at PanthersGiants at TexansColts at VikingsDolphins at JetsBrowns at TitansBroncos at CardinalsPackers at LionsRams at RaidersChiefs at SeahawksCowboys at Eagles

Oracle calls for this game

Where our projection disagrees with the Kalshi price by enough. The only thing on this page that says play.

NFL player prop edges — our projection against each Kalshi contract (X or more), on the strike closest to our projection. The call is YES or NO on that contract, the market price is the price of the called side, and the edge is stated on the called side. Rows badged WATCH are not plays; rows badged SKEW are calls where the average projection sits on the other side of the threshold.
PlayerContractMatchupCallOur projOur oddsMktTierTrade
Kenneth Walker IIIRBWatch80+ rush ydsover 79.5KC vs SEANO79.3—46¢MODERATEBuy NO →

1 of 1 prop

Watch — the disagreement is real, but our inputs for that player are limited or contradicted, so we are not calling it a play. Watch rows are capped at MODERATE, can never be the top call, and are graded separately from the published record.

Prop market board — Chiefs vs Seahawks

Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents. Exchange quotes are raw and one-sided, as quoted. A gap is a price difference, not a call.

🔒 Filter by our call — Pro
Every Kalshi NFL player-prop strike with a two-sided book this week: the Kalshi mid, the sportsbook consensus probability read at that strike, exchange quotes at the same strike, and the gap between Kalshi and consensus in cents. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
PlayerPropGameKalshiConsensusGapNovigProphetXBest priceOur P(over)Trade
Kenneth WalkerRBKC v SEA90+ rush ydsKC @ SEA44.5¢49.0%2bk·int-4.5¢o +108o +108 / u -330over · Kalshi 47.7¢under · Kalshi 58.7¢🔒Kalshi →
Cooper KuppSEA v KC25+ rec ydsKC @ SEA51.0¢49.4%7bk+1.6¢o -113 / u -120o -122 / u -119over · DK 52.2¢under · Kalshi 51.8¢—Kalshi →
Patrick MahomesKC v SEA15+ rush ydsKC @ SEA49.0¢50.0%4bk-1.0¢o -113 / u -113o -112 / u -112over · Kalshi 52.8¢under · DK 52.2¢—Kalshi →
Kenneth WalkerKC v SEA20+ rec ydsKC @ SEA49.0¢49.9%4bk-0.9¢o -113 / u -122o -122 / u -118over · Kalshi 51.8¢under · DK 53.1¢—Kalshi →
Sam DarnoldSEA v KC225+ pass ydsKC @ SEA50.5¢50.3%3bk+0.2¢o -113 / u -104o -117 / u -114over · ESPN Bet 51.2¢under · Novig 51¢—Kalshi →
AJ BarnerSEA v KC25+ rec ydsKC @ SEA49.5¢49.6%5bk-0.1¢o -113 / u -117o -119 / u -117over · DK 52.4¢under · DK 53.3¢—Kalshi →
Cooper KuppSEA v KCanytime TDKC @ SEA17.5¢—one-sidedo +413o +355 / u -25000over · Novig 19.5¢under · Kalshi 84.9¢—Kalshi →
Cyrus AllenKC v SEAanytime TDKC @ SEA8.0¢—one-sidedo +1011 / u -1329o +730 / u -25000over · Novig 9¢under · Novig 93¢—Kalshi →
Emanuel WilsonSEA v KCanytime TDKC @ SEA36.0¢—one-sidedo +117 / u -257o +108over · BetRivers 38.5¢under · Kalshi 68.6¢—Kalshi →
Emmett JohnsonKC v SEAanytime TDKC @ SEA8.5¢—one-sidedo +1150 / u -1233o -25000 / u -25000over · Novig 8¢under · Kalshi 92.5¢—Kalshi →
Emmett JohnsonKC v SEA10+ rush ydsKC @ SEA43.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +108o +105over · Novig 48.1¢—Kalshi →
Eric SaubertSEA v KCanytime TDKC @ SEA7.0¢—one-sidedo +1329 / u -1567o -25000 / u -25000over · BetRivers 4.8¢under · Novig 94¢—Kalshi →
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA v KCanytime TDKC @ SEA43.5¢—one-sidedo +125o -265 / u -25000over · Novig 44.4¢under · Kalshi 58.7¢—Kalshi →
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA v KC2+ TDsKC @ SEA9.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA v KC50+ rec ydsKC @ SEA83.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -809o -1000over · Kalshi 86.8¢—Kalshi →
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA v KC60+ rec ydsKC @ SEA76.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -456o -520over · Kalshi 81.1¢—Kalshi →
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA v KC90+ rec ydsKC @ SEA50.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -122 / u -135o -123over · ESPN Bet 54.5¢under · ESPN Bet 52.4¢—Kalshi →
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA v KC100+ rec ydsKC @ SEA41.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +113o +106over · Kalshi 45.7¢—Kalshi →
Kenneth WalkerKC v SEAanytime TDKC @ SEA55.5¢—one-sidedo -127 / u +108o -138 / u -25000over · Novig 55.9¢under · Kalshi 46.7¢—Kalshi →
Kenneth WalkerKC v SEA2+ TDsKC @ SEA16.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Kenneth WalkerKC v SEA3+ TDsKC @ SEA3.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Kenneth WalkerKC v SEA70+ rush ydsKC @ SEA64.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -217o -210over · ProphetX 67.7¢—Kalshi →
Kenneth WalkerRBKC v SEA80+ rush ydsKC @ SEA53.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -144o -142over · Kalshi 57.7¢🔒Kalshi →
Kenneth WalkerKC v SEA100+ rush ydsKC @ SEA33.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +163o +160over · Novig 38¢—Kalshi →
Kenneth WalkerKC v SEA110+ rush ydsKC @ SEA24.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +228o +215over · Novig 30.5¢—Kalshi →
Noah GrayKC v SEAanytime TDKC @ SEA11.5¢—one-sidedo +733o -25000 / u -25000over · BetRivers 11.8¢under · Kalshi 89.7¢—Kalshi →
Patrick MahomesKC v SEAanytime TDKC @ SEA13.0¢—one-sidedo +614o -25000 / u -25000over · Novig 14¢under · Kalshi 88.7¢—Kalshi →
Patrick MahomesKC v SEA1+ pass TDsKC @ SEA74.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Patrick MahomesKC v SEA2+ pass TDsKC @ SEA38.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Patrick MahomesKC v SEA150+ pass ydsKC @ SEA84.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -900o -890over · Kalshi 88.7¢—Kalshi →
Patrick MahomesKC v SEA175+ pass ydsKC @ SEA73.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -400o -400over · Kalshi 77.3¢—Kalshi →
Patrick MahomesKC v SEA200+ pass ydsKC @ SEA62.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -186o -184over · ProphetX 64.8¢—Kalshi →
Patrick MahomesKC v SEA225+ pass ydsKC @ SEA47.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -106 / u -125o -108over · Kalshi 50.8¢under · Novig 55.6¢—Kalshi →
Patrick MahomesKC v SEA250+ pass ydsKC @ SEA33.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +186o +186over · Novig 35¢—Kalshi →
Patrick MahomesKC v SEA275+ pass ydsKC @ SEA20.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +308o +285over · Kalshi 24.2¢—Kalshi →
Patrick MahomesKC v SEA325+ pass ydsKC @ SEA6.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +809o +740over · Kalshi 7.5¢—Kalshi →
Patrick MahomesKC v SEA20+ rush ydsKC @ SEA34.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +156o +156over · Kalshi 38.6¢—Kalshi →
Rashid ShaheedSEA v KCanytime TDKC @ SEA20.5¢—one-sidedo +355o -25000 / u -25000over · Novig 22¢under · Kalshi 82.1¢—Kalshi →
Sam DarnoldSEA v KCanytime TDKC @ SEA9.5¢—one-sidedo +669 / u -809o +530 / u -25000over · BetRivers 8.7¢under · Novig 89¢—Kalshi →
Sam DarnoldSEA v KC3+ pass TDsKC @ SEA14.0¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Sam DarnoldSEA v KC10+ rush ydsKC @ SEA33.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +186o +186over · Novig 35¢—Kalshi →
Tory HortonSEA v KCanytime TDKC @ SEA10.0¢—one-sidedo +809 / u -1011o -25000 / u -25000over · BetRivers 10¢under · Novig 91¢—Kalshi →
Tory HortonSEA v KC25+ rec ydsKC @ SEA25.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +245o +225over · Novig 29¢—Kalshi →
Travis KelceKC v SEAanytime TDKC @ SEA28.5¢—one-sidedo +257 / u -317o +230 / u -25000over · Novig 28¢under · Kalshi 73.4¢—Kalshi →
Travis KelceKC v SEA50+ rec ydsKC @ SEA43.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +102 / u -208o +101over · Novig 49.5¢under · Kalshi 63.7¢—Kalshi →
Travis KelceKC v SEA80+ rec ydsKC @ SEA16.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +376 / u -2603o +400over · ProphetX 20¢under · Kalshi 87.8¢—Kalshi →
Xavier WorthyKC v SEAanytime TDKC @ SEA30.0¢—one-sidedo +213o -25000 / u -25000over · BetRivers 31.7¢under · Kalshi 72.4¢—Kalshi →
47 of 47 two-sided strikes · + 104 listed on Kalshi, not yet priced · Our P(over) is Pro · book consensus as of Oct 21, 9:15 PM ET

Share this Oracle Ladder

Chiefs vs Seahawks player prop ladders for Week 7: the Kalshi price at every strike vs the sportsbook consensus
The Chiefs vs Seahawks prop ladders with the widest market disagreement this week — free to share. Updates as the market moves.

Embed this game’s spread ladder

A live card locked to Chiefs vs Seahawks, Week 7 — the Kalshi price at every spread strike for this one game — for a preview post or a game-day thread. Free; the credit line is the only ask. No API key, no signup.

Every NFL prediction-market widget.

Article width · 560×300

<iframe
  src="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/embed/nfl-ladder/chiefs-vs-seahawks-week-07-2026/hero"
  width="560"
  height="300"
  frameborder="0"
  loading="lazy"
  title="Chiefs vs Seahawks, Week 7 — model vs Kalshi — PredictionMarketsPicks">
</iframe>
<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Chiefs vs Seahawks, Week 7 Kalshi spread ladder from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/nfl/chiefs-vs-seahawks-week-07-2026?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-ladder">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

Sidebar · 320×280

<iframe
  src="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/embed/nfl-ladder/chiefs-vs-seahawks-week-07-2026/sidebar"
  width="320"
  height="280"
  frameborder="0"
  loading="lazy"
  title="Chiefs vs Seahawks, Week 7 — model vs Kalshi — PredictionMarketsPicks">
</iframe>
<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Chiefs vs Seahawks, Week 7 Kalshi spread ladder from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/nfl/chiefs-vs-seahawks-week-07-2026?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-ladder">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>
Kansas City ChiefsSeattle SeahawksEvery game this week →

The Ladder: the shape of the distribution vs every strike

Strikes above, distribution here: our full margin curve beside the Kalshi price at each rung, with the verdict — SHAPE, LOCATION or PRICED. This week's widest gap, auto-advancing.

How to read this board — and what we are not claiming

Consensus is the median de-vigged probability across every sportsbook quoting a line, read at the Kalshi strike — exact when a book quotes that line, interpolated when two quoted lines bracket it, refused when they do not. Kalshi prices are the mid of a real two-sided book only. This page carries at least 40 such strikes or it does not exist; we are not claiming to beat the market, only to show where each price is.

Chiefs vs Seahawks props — FAQ

What are the player props for Chiefs vs Seahawks?

47 Kalshi player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Week 7 — passing, rushing, receiving and scoring lines — each shown on this page beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line, with the cheapest venue for each side named.

Where are Chiefs vs Seahawks player props priced best?

The "best price" column on each strike names the venue with the cheapest price for that side, in cents per $1 of payout — Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks and exchanges at their raw quote. It only appears when at least two venues quote the exact strike, because a best price needs a comparison.

What is the gap column?

The Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus probability read at the same strike, in cents. Positive means Kalshi is pricing the over above the books, negative means it is cheaper. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.

Why are some Kalshi strikes not shown here?

Kalshi lists a game's ladder early and most strikes stay unpriced until a day or two before kickoff. This page shows the 47 strikes with a real two-sided book; 104 more are listed and not yet priced. A 1¢ bid against a 99¢ ask is a listing, not a price.

Can you trade NFL player props on Kalshi?

Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists NFL player-prop contracts — for example, will a quarterback record 275 or more passing yards. Each contract settles at $1 if the answer is yes and $0 if no, so its price in cents is the market's implied probability, and traders buy and sell it from each other until it settles.

How is a Kalshi prop different from a prop at the books?

A Kalshi prop is an exchange contract: traders take either side from each other, the price moves with the order book, and a position can be sold before kickoff. At the books the house sets the line. This page reads the books' implied probability at the same line as each Kalshi strike so the two can be compared directly.

What is an Oracle Ladder?

An Oracle Ladder shows every Kalshi strike for one market as a curve — for player props, beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line. Our model's own number is published only between 30% and 70%, the band where it is measured calibrated, and any strike where it sits more than 30 points from the Kalshi price is refused rather than shown.

More NFL Markets