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Live game edges — model vs. Kalshi, ranked

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Lions vs Dolphins player props — Kalshi prices vs the books

Every Kalshi player-prop strike for this game with a real two-sided book, priced against the sportsbook consensus at the same line and the exchanges that quote it, with the cheapest venue for each side named. Week 9. Game preview and model line →

Quick Answer

As of November 4, 2026, Kalshi lists 47 player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Lions vs Dolphins, Week 9.

Kalshi as of Nov 4, 8:10 PM ET · books as of Nov 4, 8:15 PM ET · 222 Kalshi prop strikes listed for this game · 47 with a real two-sided book · 1 priced against 3+ books

This week on the boardNFL Week 9 predictions →Week 10 predictions →Week 8 results →

Week 9 gamesJaguars at RavensBengals at FalconsBroncos at PanthersCowboys at ColtsJets at ChiefsLions at DolphinsBrowns at SaintsGiants at EaglesRams at CommandersTexans at ChargersRaiders at 49ersPackers at PatriotsCardinals at SeahawksBuccaneers at BearsBills at Vikings

Prop market board — Lions vs Dolphins

Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents. Exchange quotes are raw and one-sided, as quoted. A gap is a price difference, not a call.

Every Kalshi NFL player-prop strike with a two-sided book this week: the Kalshi mid, the sportsbook consensus probability read at that strike, exchange quotes at the same strike, and the gap between Kalshi and consensus in cents. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
PlayerPropGameKalshiConsensusGapNovigProphetXBest priceOur P(over)Trade
Ollie GordonMIA v DET10+ rec ydsDET @ MIA46.5¢50.0%5bk-3.5¢o -113 / u -122o -111 / u -111over · Kalshi 48.7¢under · ProphetX 52.6¢—Kalshi →
Amon-Ra St. BrownDET v MIAanytime TDDET @ MIA50.5¢—one-sidedo -108 / u -138o -122over · DK 51.2¢under · Kalshi 52.8¢—Kalshi →
Amon-Ra St. BrownDET v MIA80+ rec ydsDET @ MIA44.5¢off-ladderoff-ladder——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Caleb DouglasMIA v DETanytime TDDET @ MIA24.5¢—one-sidedo +257 / u -488—over · Kalshi 27.4¢under · Kalshi 78.2¢—Kalshi →
Caleb DouglasMIA v DET15+ rec ydsDET @ MIA77.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -488o -800over · Kalshi 83¢—Kalshi →
Caleb DouglasMIA v DET40+ rec ydsDET @ MIA49.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -102 / u -122o -121 / u -122over · Novig 50.5¢under · FD 53.3¢—Kalshi →
Caleb DouglasMIA v DET50+ rec ydsDET @ MIA35.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +144o +132over · Kalshi 40.7¢—Kalshi →
Caleb DouglasMIA v DET70+ rec ydsDET @ MIA19.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +317o +320over · Kalshi 23.2¢—Kalshi →
Caleb DouglasMIA v DET80+ rec ydsDET @ MIA12.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +456o +415over · Kalshi 15.9¢—Kalshi →
Greg DulcichMIA v DETanytime TDDET @ MIA21.5¢—one-sidedo +300 / u -733—over · FD 23.8¢under · Kalshi 81.1¢—Kalshi →
Greg DulcichMIA v DET40+ rec ydsDET @ MIA45.0¢off-ladderoff-ladder—o -108over · Kalshi 49.8¢under · DK 52.4¢—Kalshi →
Isaac TeSlaaDET v MIAanytime TDDET @ MIA18.0¢—one-sidedo +355 / u -809—over · Kalshi 20.1¢under · Kalshi 84¢—Kalshi →
Jahmyr GibbsDET v MIAanytime TDDET @ MIA77.0¢—one-sidedo -376 / u +300—over · Novig 79¢under · Novig 25¢—Kalshi →
Jahmyr GibbsDET v MIA2+ TDsDET @ MIA38.0¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Jahmyr GibbsDET v MIA15+ rec ydsDET @ MIA73.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -376o -485over · Kalshi 77.3¢—Kalshi →
Jahmyr GibbsDET v MIA30+ rec ydsDET @ MIA48.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -108o -112over · Kalshi 51.8¢—Kalshi →
Jahmyr GibbsDET v MIA40+ rec ydsDET @ MIA26.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +178o +176over · Kalshi 33.5¢—Kalshi →
Jahmyr GibbsDET v MIA60+ rush ydsDET @ MIA82.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -809o -1100over · Kalshi 84.9¢—Kalshi →
Jahmyr GibbsDET v MIA70+ rush ydsDET @ MIA74.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -441o -455over · Kalshi 78.2¢—Kalshi →
Jahmyr GibbsDET v MIA80+ rush ydsDET @ MIA62.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -270o -280over · Kalshi 70.5¢—Kalshi →
Jahmyr GibbsDET v MIA90+ rush ydsDET @ MIA57.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -186o -184over · Kalshi 61.7¢—Kalshi →
Jahmyr GibbsDET v MIA100+ rush ydsDET @ MIA49.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -127 / u +100o -127over · Kalshi 52.8¢under · Novig 50¢—Kalshi →
Jameson WilliamsDET v MIAanytime TDDET @ MIA36.0¢—one-sidedo +156 / u -270—over · Kalshi 38.6¢under · Kalshi 66.6¢—Kalshi →
Jameson WilliamsDET v MIA2+ TDsDET @ MIA6.0¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Jameson WilliamsDET v MIA30+ rec ydsDET @ MIA69.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -376o -415over · Kalshi 77.3¢—Kalshi →
Jameson WilliamsDET v MIA50+ rec ydsDET @ MIA52.5¢off-ladderoff-ladder——over · DK 53.3¢under · Kalshi 50.8¢—Kalshi →
Jameson WilliamsDET v MIA60+ rec ydsDET @ MIA36.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +117o +114over · Kalshi 44.7¢—Kalshi →
Jared GoffDET v MIAanytime TDDET @ MIA7.5¢—one-sidedo +1011—over · BetRivers 7.7¢—Kalshi →
Jared GoffDET v MIA175+ pass ydsDET @ MIA88.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -1900o -1900over · Kalshi 90.6¢—Kalshi →
Jared GoffDET v MIA225+ pass ydsDET @ MIA68.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -317o -315over · Kalshi 73.4¢—Kalshi →
Jared GoffDET v MIA350+ pass ydsDET @ MIA10.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +590o +570over · Kalshi 13.8¢—Kalshi →
Kevin ColemanMIA v DETanytime TDDET @ MIA8.5¢—one-sidedo +953—over · Novig 9.5¢—Kalshi →
Malik WashingtonMIA v DETanytime TDDET @ MIA27.5¢—one-sidedo +223 / u -400—over · Novig 31¢under · Kalshi 76.3¢—Kalshi →
Malik WashingtonMIA v DET25+ rec ydsDET @ MIA67.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -317o -395over · Kalshi 75.4¢—Kalshi →
Malik WashingtonMIA v DET50+ rec ydsDET @ MIA37.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +133o +127over · Novig 42.9¢—Kalshi →
Malik WillisMIA v DETanytime TDDET @ MIA25.5¢—one-sidedo +233 / u -400—over · Kalshi 27.4¢under · Kalshi 76.3¢—Kalshi →
Malik WillisMIA v DET175+ pass ydsDET @ MIA64.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -300o -300over · Kalshi 72.4¢—Kalshi →
Malik WillisMIA v DET200+ pass ydsDET @ MIA55.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -141 / u +108o -140over · ProphetX 58.3¢under · Novig 48.1¢—Kalshi →
Malik WillisMIA v DET225+ pass ydsDET @ MIA41.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +127 / u -163o +117over · Novig 44.1¢under · Novig 62¢—Kalshi →
Ollie GordonMIA v DETanytime TDDET @ MIA43.5¢—one-sidedo +108 / u -156—over · Kalshi 45.7¢under · Kalshi 58.7¢—Kalshi →
Ollie GordonMIA v DET2+ TDsDET @ MIA9.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Sam LaPortaDET v MIAanytime TDDET @ MIA32.0¢—one-sidedo +178 / u -251—over · Fanatics 34.5¢under · Kalshi 70.5¢—Kalshi →
Sam LaPortaDET v MIA2+ TDsDET @ MIA5.0¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Sam LaPortaDET v MIA15+ rec ydsDET @ MIA84.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -1567o -1550over · Kalshi 87.8¢—Kalshi →
Sam LaPortaDET v MIA40+ rec ydsDET @ MIA53.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -144o -156over · Kalshi 56.7¢—Kalshi →
Sione VakiDET v MIAanytime TDDET @ MIA15.5¢—one-sidedo +488 / u -1567—over · Fanatics 15.4¢under · Kalshi 85.9¢—Kalshi →
Sione VakiDET v MIA20+ rush ydsDET @ MIA49.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +127o +122over · Novig 44.1¢—Kalshi →
47 of 47 two-sided strikes · + 175 listed on Kalshi, not yet priced · book consensus as of Nov 4, 8:15 PM ET

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Lions vs Dolphins player prop ladders for Week 9: the Kalshi price at every strike vs the sportsbook consensus
The Lions vs Dolphins prop ladders with the widest market disagreement this week — free to share. Updates as the market moves.

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A live card locked to Lions vs Dolphins, Week 9 — the Kalshi price at every spread strike for this one game — for a preview post or a game-day thread. Free to preview on your own page; publishing runs on an Enterprise license, and the credit line stays on.

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<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Lions vs Dolphins, Week 9 Kalshi spread ladder from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/nfl/lions-vs-dolphins-week-09-2026?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-ladder">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

Same props on both venues: Kalshi vs Polymarket US

Lions at Dolphins · same player, stat and threshold · cost to buy after fees · as of 8:10 PM ET

Player prop (132)Kalshi8:10 PM ETPolymarket USPolymarketPartner8:21 PM ETBest price
Kevin Coleman Jr. anytime TD9¢9.6¢ after fees12¢12.7¢ after feesKalshi3.2¢ less
Sam LaPorta 40+ rec yds55¢56.7¢ after feesno two-sided book—
Jared Goff anytime TD8¢8.5¢ after fees10¢10.6¢ after feesKalshi2.1¢ less
Ollie Gordon II anytime TD44¢45.7¢ after feesno two-sided book—
Jahmyr Gibbs 90+ rush yds60¢61.7¢ after feesno two-sided book—
Jahmyr Gibbs anytime TD78¢79.2¢ after fees75¢76.3¢ after feesPolymarket US2.9¢ less
Amon-Ra St. Brown anytime TD52¢53.7¢ after feesno two-sided book—
Greg Dulcich 40+ rec yds48¢49.7¢ after fees50¢51.7¢ after feesKalshi2¢ less
Jahmyr Gibbs 100+ rush yds51¢52.7¢ after fees52¢53.7¢ after feesEven
Malik Willis anytime TD26¢27.3¢ after feesno two-sided book—
Malik Willis 2+ TDs4¢4.3¢ after fees3¢3.2¢ after feesPolymarket US1.1¢ less
Jameson Williams anytime TD37¢38.6¢ after feesno two-sided book—
Greg Dulcich anytime TD23¢24.2¢ after feesno two-sided book—
Caleb Douglas 40+ rec yds50¢51.8¢ after fees51¢52.7¢ after feesEven
Caleb Douglas 50+ rec yds39¢40.7¢ after feesno two-sided book—
Malik Washington 50+ rec yds42¢43.7¢ after feesno two-sided book—
Sam LaPorta anytime TD33¢34.5¢ after feesno two-sided book—
Jahmyr Gibbs 2+ TDs39¢40.7¢ after feesno two-sided book—
Caleb Douglas 60+ rec yds29¢30.4¢ after fees29¢30.4¢ after feesEven
Sam LaPorta 2+ TDs6¢6.4¢ after fees8¢8.5¢ after feesKalshi2.1¢ less
Caleb Douglas anytime TD26¢27.3¢ after feesno two-sided book—
Jameson Williams 2+ TDs7¢7.5¢ after fees3¢3.2¢ after feesPolymarket US4.3¢ less
Jared Goff 350+ pass yds13¢13.8¢ after fees13¢13.8¢ after feesEven
Jared Goff 175+ pass yds90¢90.6¢ after feesno two-sided book—
Jameson Williams 30+ rec yds76¢77.3¢ after feesno two-sided book—
Ollie Gordon II 2+ TDs11¢11.7¢ after fees12¢12.7¢ after feesKalshi1¢ less
Jahmyr Gibbs 40+ rec yds32¢33.5¢ after feesno two-sided book—
Jahmyr Gibbs 70+ rush yds77¢78.2¢ after fees79¢80.2¢ after feesKalshi1.9¢ less
Malik Willis 200+ pass yds57¢58.7¢ after fees58¢59.7¢ after feesEven
Amon-Ra St. Brown 80+ rec yds48¢49.7¢ after fees49¢50.7¢ after feesEven
Malik Willis 175+ pass yds71¢72.4¢ after feesno two-sided book—
Jahmyr Gibbs 80+ rush yds69¢70.5¢ after feesno two-sided book—
Isaac TeSlaa anytime TD19¢20.1¢ after fees22¢23.2¢ after feesKalshi3.1¢ less
Jared Goff 225+ pass yds72¢73.4¢ after feesno two-sided book—
Jameson Williams 50+ rec yds54¢55.7¢ after fees55¢56.7¢ after feesEven
Jahmyr Gibbs 30+ rec yds50¢51.8¢ after fees51¢52.7¢ after feesEven
Jahmyr Gibbs 10+ rec yds83¢84¢ after fees85¢85.9¢ after feesKalshi1.9¢ less
Jameson Williams 60+ rec yds43¢44.7¢ after feesno two-sided book—
Malik Willis 225+ pass yds44¢45.7¢ after fees43¢44.7¢ after feesPolymarket US1¢ less
Sione Vaki 20+ rush yds51¢52.7¢ after fees52¢53.7¢ after feesEven
Sione Vaki anytime TD16¢16.9¢ after feesno two-sided book—
Malik Washington anytime TD30¢31.5¢ after feesno two-sided book—
Malik Washington 2+ TDs5¢5.3¢ after fees3¢3.2¢ after feesPolymarket US2.1¢ less
Amon-Ra St. Brown 120+ rec yds18¢19¢ after fees20¢21.1¢ after feesKalshi2.1¢ less
Sione Vaki 10+ rush yds73¢74.4¢ after fees71¢72.4¢ after feesPolymarket US1.9¢ less
Malik Willis 150+ pass yds84¢84.9¢ after fees82¢83¢ after feesPolymarket US1.9¢ less
Isaac TeSlaa first TD5¢5.3¢ after fees4¢4.3¢ after feesPolymarket US1.1¢ less
Caleb Douglas 2+ TDs4¢4.3¢ after fees5¢5.3¢ after feesKalshi1.1¢ less
Brock Wright anytime TD11¢11.7¢ after fees10¢10.6¢ after feesPolymarket US1.1¢ less
Amon-Ra St. Brown 2+ TDs16¢16.9¢ after fees15¢15.9¢ after feesPolymarket US1.1¢ less
Jameson Williams first TD9¢9.6¢ after fees10¢10.6¢ after feesKalshi1.1¢ less
Jameson Williams 90+ rec yds22¢23.2¢ after fees21¢22.2¢ after feesPolymarket US1¢ less
Malik Willis 275+ pass yds23¢24.2¢ after fees22¢23.2¢ after feesPolymarket US1¢ less
Jameson Williams 80+ rec yds29¢30.4¢ after fees28¢29.4¢ after feesPolymarket US1¢ less
Jared Goff 3+ pass TDs38¢39.6¢ after fees37¢38.6¢ after feesPolymarket US1¢ less
Jahmyr Gibbs first TD27¢28.4¢ after fees28¢29.4¢ after feesKalshi1¢ less
Jared Goff 300+ pass yds31¢32.5¢ after fees32¢33.5¢ after feesKalshi1¢ less
Malik Willis 2+ pass TDs37¢38.6¢ after fees38¢39.6¢ after feesKalshi1¢ less
Jared Goff 250+ pass yds58¢59.7¢ after fees59¢60.7¢ after feesEven
Malik Willis 1+ pass TDs78¢79.2¢ after fees77¢78.2¢ after feesEven
Malik Willis 30+ rush yds52¢53.7¢ after fees52¢53.7¢ after feesEven
Jared Goff 275+ pass yds45¢46.7¢ after fees45¢46.7¢ after feesEven
Jahmyr Gibbs 50+ rec yds23¢24.2¢ after fees23¢24.2¢ after feesEven
Jared Goff 325+ pass yds21¢22.2¢ after fees21¢22.2¢ after feesEven
Malik Washington 20+ rec yds81¢82.1¢ after fees81¢82.1¢ after feesEven
Jared Goff 200+ pass yds84¢84.9¢ after fees84¢84.9¢ after feesEven
Malik Willis 3+ pass TDs15¢15.9¢ after fees15¢15.9¢ after feesEven
Amon-Ra St. Brown first TD14¢14.8¢ after fees14¢14.8¢ after feesEven
Ollie Gordon II first TD12¢12.7¢ after fees12¢12.7¢ after feesEven
Sam LaPorta first TD9¢9.6¢ after fees9¢9.6¢ after feesEven
Caleb Douglas first TD6¢6.4¢ after fees6¢6.4¢ after feesEven
Malik Washington first TD6¢6.4¢ after fees6¢6.4¢ after feesEven
Malik Willis first TD6¢6.4¢ after fees6¢6.4¢ after feesEven
Greg Dulcich first TD5¢5.3¢ after fees5¢5.3¢ after feesEven
Sione Vaki first TD4¢4.3¢ after fees4¢4.3¢ after feesEven
Chris Bell first TD4¢4.3¢ after fees4¢4.3¢ after feesEven
Greg Dulcich 2+ TDs4¢4.3¢ after fees4¢4.3¢ after feesEven
Brock Wright first TDno two-sided bookno two-sided book—
Jared Goff first TDno two-sided bookno two-sided book—
Kevin Coleman Jr. first TDno two-sided bookno two-sided book—
Malik Willis 4+ pass TDsno two-sided bookno two-sided book—
Malik Willis 125+ pass ydsno two-sided bookno two-sided book—
Malik Willis 250+ pass ydsno two-sided bookno two-sided book—
Malik Willis 300+ pass yds12¢12.7¢ after feesno two-sided book—
Amon-Ra St. Brown 100+ rec ydsno two-sided bookno two-sided book—
Amon-Ra St. Brown 110+ rec ydsno two-sided bookno two-sided book—
Amon-Ra St. Brown 40+ rec ydsno two-sided bookno two-sided book—
Amon-Ra St. Brown 50+ rec yds79¢80.2¢ after feesno two-sided book—
Amon-Ra St. Brown 60+ rec yds70¢71.5¢ after feesno two-sided book—
Amon-Ra St. Brown 70+ rec yds61¢62.7¢ after feesno two-sided book—
Amon-Ra St. Brown 90+ rec ydsno two-sided bookno two-sided book—
Isaac TeSlaa 10+ rec ydsno two-sided bookno two-sided book—
Isaac TeSlaa 20+ rec ydsno two-sided bookno two-sided book—
Isaac TeSlaa 30+ rec ydsno two-sided bookno two-sided book—
Jahmyr Gibbs 20+ rec yds68¢69.5¢ after feesno two-sided book—
Jameson Williams 20+ rec yds87¢87.8¢ after feesno two-sided book—
Jameson Williams 40+ rec yds66¢67.6¢ after feesno two-sided book—
Jameson Williams 70+ rec ydsno two-sided bookno two-sided book—
Sam LaPorta 20+ rec yds82¢83¢ after feesno two-sided book—
Sam LaPorta 30+ rec ydsno two-sided bookno two-sided book—
Sam LaPorta 50+ rec ydsno two-sided bookno two-sided book—
Sam LaPorta 60+ rec ydsno two-sided bookno two-sided book—
Chris Bell 10+ rec yds76¢77.3¢ after feesno two-sided book—
Chris Bell 20+ rec yds56¢57.7¢ after feesno two-sided book—
Chris Bell 30+ rec ydsno two-sided bookno two-sided book—
Caleb Douglas 20+ rec ydsno two-sided bookno two-sided book—
Caleb Douglas 30+ rec yds64¢65.6¢ after feesno two-sided book—
Greg Dulcich 20+ rec ydsno two-sided bookno two-sided book—
Greg Dulcich 30+ rec ydsno two-sided bookno two-sided book—
Greg Dulcich 50+ rec ydsno two-sided bookno two-sided book—
Greg Dulcich 60+ rec ydsno two-sided bookno two-sided book—
Malik Washington 30+ rec ydsno two-sided bookno two-sided book—
Malik Washington 40+ rec ydsno two-sided bookno two-sided book—
Malik Washington 60+ rec ydsno two-sided bookno two-sided book—
Jahmyr Gibbs 110+ rush ydsno two-sided bookno two-sided book—
Jahmyr Gibbs 120+ rush ydsno two-sided bookno two-sided book—
Jahmyr Gibbs 130+ rush yds28¢29.4¢ after feesno two-sided book—
Sione Vaki 30+ rush ydsno two-sided bookno two-sided book—
Malik Willis 25+ rush ydsno two-sided bookno two-sided book—
Malik Willis 40+ rush yds36¢37.6¢ after feesno two-sided book—
Ollie Gordon II 100+ rush yds26¢27.3¢ after feesno two-sided book—
Ollie Gordon II 40+ rush ydsno two-sided bookno two-sided book—
Ollie Gordon II 50+ rush ydsno two-sided bookno two-sided book—
Ollie Gordon II 60+ rush ydsno two-sided bookno two-sided book—
Ollie Gordon II 70+ rush yds52¢53.7¢ after feesno two-sided book—
Ollie Gordon II 80+ rush ydsno two-sided bookno two-sided book—
Ollie Gordon II 90+ rush ydsno two-sided bookno two-sided book—
Brock Wright 2+ TDs2¢2.1¢ after feesno two-sided book—
Isaac TeSlaa 2+ TDs3¢3.2¢ after feesno two-sided book—
Sione Vaki 2+ TDs3¢3.2¢ after feesno two-sided book—
Chris Bell anytime TD17¢18¢ after feesno two-sided book—
Chris Bell 2+ TDs2¢2.1¢ after feesno two-sided book—
This game on Kalshi →This game on Polymarket US →

Sponsored by Polymarket US

18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See https://polymarketexchange.com/files/legal/Polymarket%20US%20Rulebook%20(2026.09.30).pdf for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.

Polymarket US only (33)

  • Amon-Ra St. Brown 3+ TDsPolymarket US 3¢
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown 6+ receptionsPolymarket US 62¢
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown 7+ receptionsPolymarket US 48¢
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown 9+ receptionsPolymarket US 26¢
  • Caleb Douglas 3+ receptionsPolymarket US 64¢
  • Caleb Douglas 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 43¢
  • Chris Bell 3+ receptionsPolymarket US 42¢
  • Chris Bell 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 23¢
  • Greg Dulcich 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 55¢
  • Isaac TeSlaa 2+ receptionsPolymarket US 47¢
  • Jahmyr Gibbs 3+ receptionsPolymarket US 75¢
  • Jahmyr Gibbs 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 56¢
  • Jahmyr Gibbs 5+ receptionsPolymarket US 39¢
  • Jahmyr Gibbs 26+ fantasy points (PPR)Polymarket US 52¢
  • Jameson Williams 3+ TDsPolymarket US 2¢
  • Jameson Williams 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 48¢
  • Jameson Williams 13+ fantasy points (PPR)Polymarket US 51¢
  • Jared Goff 1+ interceptions thrownPolymarket US 45¢
  • Jared Goff 2+ pass TDsPolymarket US 69¢
  • Jared Goff 4+ pass TDsPolymarket US 15¢
  • Jared Goff 28+ passing completionsPolymarket US 15¢
  • Jared Goff 36+ passing attemptsPolymarket US 32¢
  • Jared Goff 40+ passing attemptsPolymarket US 16¢
  • Malik Washington 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 62¢
  • Malik Washington 5+ receptionsPolymarket US 46¢
  • Malik Willis 1+ interceptions thrownPolymarket US 57¢
  • Malik Willis 18+ passing completionsPolymarket US 54¢
  • Malik Willis 28+ passing attemptsPolymarket US 49¢
  • Ollie Gordon II 3+ TDsPolymarket US 2¢
  • Sam LaPorta 3+ TDsPolymarket US 2¢
  • Sam LaPorta 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 56¢
  • Sam LaPorta 12+ fantasy points (PPR)Polymarket US 49¢
  • Tyler Conklin anytime TDPolymarket US 11¢

Kalshi only (88)

  • Caleb Douglas 90+ rec ydsKalshi 12¢
  • Caleb Douglas 100+ rec ydsKalshi 9¢
  • Caleb Douglas 80+ rec ydsKalshi 15¢
  • Caleb Douglas 70+ rec ydsKalshi 22¢
  • Jameson Williams 120+ rec ydsKalshi 9¢
  • Sam LaPorta 15+ rec ydsKalshi 87¢
  • Jahmyr Gibbs 70+ rec ydsKalshi 10¢
  • Malik Washington 25+ rec ydsKalshi 74¢
  • Jahmyr Gibbs 15+ rec ydsKalshi 76¢
  • Caleb Douglas 15+ rec ydsKalshi 82¢
  • Greg Dulcich 15+ rec ydsKalshi 84¢
  • Ollie Gordon II 10+ rec ydsKalshi 47¢
  • Jahmyr Gibbs 60+ rush ydsKalshi 84¢
  • Jared Goff 375+ pass ydsKalshi 9¢
  • Jared Goff 400+ pass ydsKalshi 5¢
  • Malik Willis 325+ pass ydsKalshi 9¢
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown 130+ rec ydsKalshi 14¢
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown 140+ rec ydsKalshi 11¢
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown 150+ rec ydsKalshi 8¢
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown 160+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
  • Isaac TeSlaa 15+ rec ydsKalshi 55¢
  • Isaac TeSlaa 40+ rec ydsKalshi 23¢
  • Isaac TeSlaa 50+ rec ydsKalshi 16¢
  • Isaac TeSlaa 60+ rec ydsKalshi 10¢
  • Isaac TeSlaa 70+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
  • Jahmyr Gibbs 25+ rec ydsKalshi 60¢
  • Jahmyr Gibbs 60+ rec ydsKalshi 15¢
  • Jahmyr Gibbs 80+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
  • Jameson Williams 100+ rec ydsKalshi 15¢
  • Jameson Williams 110+ rec ydsKalshi 12¢
  • Jameson Williams 130+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
  • Jameson Williams 25+ rec ydsKalshi 82¢
  • Sam LaPorta 100+ rec ydsKalshi 9¢
  • Sam LaPorta 110+ rec ydsKalshi 6¢
  • Sam LaPorta 25+ rec ydsKalshi 77¢
  • Sam LaPorta 80+ rec ydsKalshi 18¢
  • Sam LaPorta 90+ rec ydsKalshi 13¢
  • Chris Bell 50+ rec ydsKalshi 21¢
  • Chris Bell 60+ rec ydsKalshi 15¢
  • Chris Bell 70+ rec ydsKalshi 10¢
  • Chris Bell 80+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
  • Caleb Douglas 10+ rec ydsKalshi 88¢
  • Greg Dulcich 100+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
  • Greg Dulcich 110+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
  • Greg Dulcich 70+ rec ydsKalshi 21¢
  • Greg Dulcich 80+ rec ydsKalshi 13¢
  • Greg Dulcich 90+ rec ydsKalshi 10¢
  • Malik Washington 100+ rec ydsKalshi 9¢
  • Malik Washington 15+ rec ydsKalshi 90¢
  • Malik Washington 70+ rec ydsKalshi 24¢
  • Malik Washington 80+ rec ydsKalshi 17¢
  • Malik Washington 90+ rec ydsKalshi 13¢
  • Ollie Gordon II 25+ rec ydsKalshi 18¢
  • Ollie Gordon II 30+ rec ydsKalshi 15¢
  • Ollie Gordon II 40+ rec ydsKalshi 9¢
  • Jahmyr Gibbs 140+ rush ydsKalshi 22¢
  • Jahmyr Gibbs 150+ rush ydsKalshi 17¢
  • Jahmyr Gibbs 160+ rush ydsKalshi 14¢
  • Jahmyr Gibbs 170+ rush ydsKalshi 11¢
  • Jahmyr Gibbs 180+ rush ydsKalshi 9¢

+ 28 more listed on Kalshi only.

Not every market is listed on both venues. A row pairs only the same player, stat and threshold, and the club must agree. The single-venue lists show the ask on the one venue that lists the contract, two-sided books only. Cost after fees is the ask plus each venue’s per-contract taker fee — Kalshi: Taker fee 7% × price × (1 − price) per contract, max 1.75¢. Polymarket US: Taker fee 6.95% × price × (1 − price) per contract, max $1.74 per 100. A price older than 30 minutes shows as no current price.

The Ladder: the shape of the distribution vs every strike

Strikes above, distribution here: our full margin curve beside the Kalshi price at each rung, with the verdict — SHAPE, LOCATION or PRICED. This week's widest gap, auto-advancing.

How to read this board — and what we are not claiming

Consensus is the median de-vigged probability across every sportsbook quoting a line, read at the Kalshi strike — exact when a book quotes that line, interpolated when two quoted lines bracket it, refused when they do not. Kalshi prices are the mid of a real two-sided book only. This page carries at least 40 such strikes or it does not exist; we are not claiming to beat the market, only to show where each price is.

Lions vs Dolphins props — FAQ

What are the player props for Lions vs Dolphins?

47 Kalshi player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Week 9 — passing, rushing, receiving and scoring lines — each shown on this page beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line, with the cheapest venue for each side named.

Where are Lions vs Dolphins player props priced best?

The "best price" column on each strike names the venue with the cheapest price for that side, in cents per $1 of payout — Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks and exchanges at their raw quote. It only appears when at least two venues quote the exact strike, because a best price needs a comparison.

What is the gap column?

The Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus probability read at the same strike, in cents. Positive means Kalshi is pricing the over above the books, negative means it is cheaper. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.

Why are some Kalshi strikes not shown here?

Kalshi lists a game's ladder early and most strikes stay unpriced until a day or two before kickoff. This page shows the 47 strikes with a real two-sided book; 175 more are listed and not yet priced. A 1¢ bid against a 99¢ ask is a listing, not a price.

Can you trade NFL player props on Kalshi?

Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists NFL player-prop contracts — for example, will a quarterback record 275 or more passing yards. Each contract settles at $1 if the answer is yes and $0 if no, so its price in cents is the market's implied probability, and traders buy and sell it from each other until it settles.

How is a Kalshi prop different from a prop at the books?

A Kalshi prop is an exchange contract: traders take either side from each other, the price moves with the order book, and a position can be sold before kickoff. At the books the house sets the line. This page reads the books' implied probability at the same line as each Kalshi strike so the two can be compared directly.

What is an Oracle Ladder?

An Oracle Ladder shows every Kalshi strike for one market as a curve — for player props, beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line. Our model's own number is published only between 30% and 70%, the band where it is measured calibrated, and any strike where it sits more than 30 points from the Kalshi price is refused rather than shown.

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