Lions vs Dolphins player props — Kalshi prices vs the books
Every Kalshi player-prop strike for this game with a real two-sided book, priced against the sportsbook consensus at the same line and the exchanges that quote it, with the cheapest venue for each side named. Week 9. Game preview and model line →
Quick Answer
As of November 4, 2026, Kalshi lists 47 player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Lions vs Dolphins, Week 9.
Kalshi as of Nov 4, 8:10 PM ET · books as of Nov 4, 8:15 PM ET · 222 Kalshi prop strikes listed for this game · 47 with a real two-sided book · 1 priced against 3+ books
This week on the boardNFL Week 9 predictions →Week 10 predictions →Week 8 results →
Week 9 gamesJaguars at RavensBengals at FalconsBroncos at PanthersCowboys at ColtsJets at ChiefsLions at DolphinsBrowns at SaintsGiants at EaglesRams at CommandersTexans at ChargersRaiders at 49ersPackers at PatriotsCardinals at SeahawksBuccaneers at BearsBills at Vikings
Prop market board — Lions vs Dolphins
Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents. Exchange quotes are raw and one-sided, as quoted. A gap is a price difference, not a call.
| Player | Prop | Game | Kalshi | Consensus | Gap | Novig | ProphetX | Best price | Our P(over) | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ollie GordonMIA v DET | 10+ rec yds | DET @ MIA | 46.5¢ | 50.0%5bk | -3.5¢ | o -113 / u -122 | o -111 / u -111 | over · Kalshi 48.7¢under · ProphetX 52.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Amon-Ra St. BrownDET v MIA | anytime TD | DET @ MIA | 50.5¢ | — | one-sided | o -108 / u -138 | o -122 | over · DK 51.2¢under · Kalshi 52.8¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Amon-Ra St. BrownDET v MIA | 80+ rec yds | DET @ MIA | 44.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Caleb DouglasMIA v DET | anytime TD | DET @ MIA | 24.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +257 / u -488 | — | over · Kalshi 27.4¢under · Kalshi 78.2¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Caleb DouglasMIA v DET | 15+ rec yds | DET @ MIA | 77.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -488 | o -800 | over · Kalshi 83¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Caleb DouglasMIA v DET | 40+ rec yds | DET @ MIA | 49.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -102 / u -122 | o -121 / u -122 | over · Novig 50.5¢under · FD 53.3¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Caleb DouglasMIA v DET | 50+ rec yds | DET @ MIA | 35.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +144 | o +132 | over · Kalshi 40.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Caleb DouglasMIA v DET | 70+ rec yds | DET @ MIA | 19.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +317 | o +320 | over · Kalshi 23.2¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Caleb DouglasMIA v DET | 80+ rec yds | DET @ MIA | 12.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +456 | o +415 | over · Kalshi 15.9¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Greg DulcichMIA v DET | anytime TD | DET @ MIA | 21.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +300 / u -733 | — | over · FD 23.8¢under · Kalshi 81.1¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Greg DulcichMIA v DET | 40+ rec yds | DET @ MIA | 45.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | o -108 | over · Kalshi 49.8¢under · DK 52.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Isaac TeSlaaDET v MIA | anytime TD | DET @ MIA | 18.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +355 / u -809 | — | over · Kalshi 20.1¢under · Kalshi 84¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET v MIA | anytime TD | DET @ MIA | 77.0¢ | — | one-sided | o -376 / u +300 | — | over · Novig 79¢under · Novig 25¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET v MIA | 2+ TDs | DET @ MIA | 38.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET v MIA | 15+ rec yds | DET @ MIA | 73.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -376 | o -485 | over · Kalshi 77.3¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET v MIA | 30+ rec yds | DET @ MIA | 48.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -108 | o -112 | over · Kalshi 51.8¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET v MIA | 40+ rec yds | DET @ MIA | 26.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +178 | o +176 | over · Kalshi 33.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET v MIA | 60+ rush yds | DET @ MIA | 82.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -809 | o -1100 | over · Kalshi 84.9¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET v MIA | 70+ rush yds | DET @ MIA | 74.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -441 | o -455 | over · Kalshi 78.2¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET v MIA | 80+ rush yds | DET @ MIA | 62.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -270 | o -280 | over · Kalshi 70.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET v MIA | 90+ rush yds | DET @ MIA | 57.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -186 | o -184 | over · Kalshi 61.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET v MIA | 100+ rush yds | DET @ MIA | 49.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -127 / u +100 | o -127 | over · Kalshi 52.8¢under · Novig 50¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jameson WilliamsDET v MIA | anytime TD | DET @ MIA | 36.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +156 / u -270 | — | over · Kalshi 38.6¢under · Kalshi 66.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jameson WilliamsDET v MIA | 2+ TDs | DET @ MIA | 6.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Jameson WilliamsDET v MIA | 30+ rec yds | DET @ MIA | 69.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -376 | o -415 | over · Kalshi 77.3¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jameson WilliamsDET v MIA | 50+ rec yds | DET @ MIA | 52.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | — | over · DK 53.3¢under · Kalshi 50.8¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jameson WilliamsDET v MIA | 60+ rec yds | DET @ MIA | 36.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +117 | o +114 | over · Kalshi 44.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jared GoffDET v MIA | anytime TD | DET @ MIA | 7.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +1011 | — | over · BetRivers 7.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jared GoffDET v MIA | 175+ pass yds | DET @ MIA | 88.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -1900 | o -1900 | over · Kalshi 90.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jared GoffDET v MIA | 225+ pass yds | DET @ MIA | 68.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -317 | o -315 | over · Kalshi 73.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jared GoffDET v MIA | 350+ pass yds | DET @ MIA | 10.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +590 | o +570 | over · Kalshi 13.8¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kevin ColemanMIA v DET | anytime TD | DET @ MIA | 8.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +953 | — | over · Novig 9.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Malik WashingtonMIA v DET | anytime TD | DET @ MIA | 27.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +223 / u -400 | — | over · Novig 31¢under · Kalshi 76.3¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Malik WashingtonMIA v DET | 25+ rec yds | DET @ MIA | 67.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -317 | o -395 | over · Kalshi 75.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Malik WashingtonMIA v DET | 50+ rec yds | DET @ MIA | 37.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +133 | o +127 | over · Novig 42.9¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Malik WillisMIA v DET | anytime TD | DET @ MIA | 25.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +233 / u -400 | — | over · Kalshi 27.4¢under · Kalshi 76.3¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Malik WillisMIA v DET | 175+ pass yds | DET @ MIA | 64.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -300 | o -300 | over · Kalshi 72.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Malik WillisMIA v DET | 200+ pass yds | DET @ MIA | 55.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -141 / u +108 | o -140 | over · ProphetX 58.3¢under · Novig 48.1¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Malik WillisMIA v DET | 225+ pass yds | DET @ MIA | 41.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +127 / u -163 | o +117 | over · Novig 44.1¢under · Novig 62¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Ollie GordonMIA v DET | anytime TD | DET @ MIA | 43.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +108 / u -156 | — | over · Kalshi 45.7¢under · Kalshi 58.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Ollie GordonMIA v DET | 2+ TDs | DET @ MIA | 9.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Sam LaPortaDET v MIA | anytime TD | DET @ MIA | 32.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +178 / u -251 | — | over · Fanatics 34.5¢under · Kalshi 70.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Sam LaPortaDET v MIA | 2+ TDs | DET @ MIA | 5.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Sam LaPortaDET v MIA | 15+ rec yds | DET @ MIA | 84.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -1567 | o -1550 | over · Kalshi 87.8¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Sam LaPortaDET v MIA | 40+ rec yds | DET @ MIA | 53.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -144 | o -156 | over · Kalshi 56.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Sione VakiDET v MIA | anytime TD | DET @ MIA | 15.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +488 / u -1567 | — | over · Fanatics 15.4¢under · Kalshi 85.9¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Sione VakiDET v MIA | 20+ rush yds | DET @ MIA | 49.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +127 | o +122 | over · Novig 44.1¢ | — | Kalshi → |
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Same props on both venues: Kalshi vs Polymarket US
Lions at Dolphins · same player, stat and threshold · cost to buy after fees · as of 8:10 PM ET
| Player prop (132) | Kalshi8:10 PM ET | Polymarket USPolymarketPartner8:21 PM ET | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Coleman Jr. anytime TD | 9¢9.6¢ after fees | 12¢12.7¢ after fees | Kalshi3.2¢ less |
| Sam LaPorta 40+ rec yds | 55¢56.7¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Jared Goff anytime TD | 8¢8.5¢ after fees | 10¢10.6¢ after fees | Kalshi2.1¢ less |
| Ollie Gordon II anytime TD | 44¢45.7¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Jahmyr Gibbs 90+ rush yds | 60¢61.7¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Jahmyr Gibbs anytime TD | 78¢79.2¢ after fees | 75¢76.3¢ after fees | Polymarket US2.9¢ less |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown anytime TD | 52¢53.7¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Greg Dulcich 40+ rec yds | 48¢49.7¢ after fees | 50¢51.7¢ after fees | Kalshi2¢ less |
| Jahmyr Gibbs 100+ rush yds | 51¢52.7¢ after fees | 52¢53.7¢ after fees | Even |
| Malik Willis anytime TD | 26¢27.3¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Malik Willis 2+ TDs | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | Polymarket US1.1¢ less |
| Jameson Williams anytime TD | 37¢38.6¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Greg Dulcich anytime TD | 23¢24.2¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Caleb Douglas 40+ rec yds | 50¢51.8¢ after fees | 51¢52.7¢ after fees | Even |
| Caleb Douglas 50+ rec yds | 39¢40.7¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Malik Washington 50+ rec yds | 42¢43.7¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Sam LaPorta anytime TD | 33¢34.5¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Jahmyr Gibbs 2+ TDs | 39¢40.7¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Caleb Douglas 60+ rec yds | 29¢30.4¢ after fees | 29¢30.4¢ after fees | Even |
| Sam LaPorta 2+ TDs | 6¢6.4¢ after fees | 8¢8.5¢ after fees | Kalshi2.1¢ less |
| Caleb Douglas anytime TD | 26¢27.3¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Jameson Williams 2+ TDs | 7¢7.5¢ after fees | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | Polymarket US4.3¢ less |
| Jared Goff 350+ pass yds | 13¢13.8¢ after fees | 13¢13.8¢ after fees | Even |
| Jared Goff 175+ pass yds | 90¢90.6¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Jameson Williams 30+ rec yds | 76¢77.3¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Ollie Gordon II 2+ TDs | 11¢11.7¢ after fees | 12¢12.7¢ after fees | Kalshi1¢ less |
| Jahmyr Gibbs 40+ rec yds | 32¢33.5¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Jahmyr Gibbs 70+ rush yds | 77¢78.2¢ after fees | 79¢80.2¢ after fees | Kalshi1.9¢ less |
| Malik Willis 200+ pass yds | 57¢58.7¢ after fees | 58¢59.7¢ after fees | Even |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown 80+ rec yds | 48¢49.7¢ after fees | 49¢50.7¢ after fees | Even |
| Malik Willis 175+ pass yds | 71¢72.4¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Jahmyr Gibbs 80+ rush yds | 69¢70.5¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Isaac TeSlaa anytime TD | 19¢20.1¢ after fees | 22¢23.2¢ after fees | Kalshi3.1¢ less |
| Jared Goff 225+ pass yds | 72¢73.4¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Jameson Williams 50+ rec yds | 54¢55.7¢ after fees | 55¢56.7¢ after fees | Even |
| Jahmyr Gibbs 30+ rec yds | 50¢51.8¢ after fees | 51¢52.7¢ after fees | Even |
| Jahmyr Gibbs 10+ rec yds | 83¢84¢ after fees | 85¢85.9¢ after fees | Kalshi1.9¢ less |
| Jameson Williams 60+ rec yds | 43¢44.7¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Malik Willis 225+ pass yds | 44¢45.7¢ after fees | 43¢44.7¢ after fees | Polymarket US1¢ less |
| Sione Vaki 20+ rush yds | 51¢52.7¢ after fees | 52¢53.7¢ after fees | Even |
| Sione Vaki anytime TD | 16¢16.9¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Malik Washington anytime TD | 30¢31.5¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Malik Washington 2+ TDs | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | Polymarket US2.1¢ less |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown 120+ rec yds | 18¢19¢ after fees | 20¢21.1¢ after fees | Kalshi2.1¢ less |
| Sione Vaki 10+ rush yds | 73¢74.4¢ after fees | 71¢72.4¢ after fees | Polymarket US1.9¢ less |
| Malik Willis 150+ pass yds | 84¢84.9¢ after fees | 82¢83¢ after fees | Polymarket US1.9¢ less |
| Isaac TeSlaa first TD | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | Polymarket US1.1¢ less |
| Caleb Douglas 2+ TDs | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | Kalshi1.1¢ less |
| Brock Wright anytime TD | 11¢11.7¢ after fees | 10¢10.6¢ after fees | Polymarket US1.1¢ less |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown 2+ TDs | 16¢16.9¢ after fees | 15¢15.9¢ after fees | Polymarket US1.1¢ less |
| Jameson Williams first TD | 9¢9.6¢ after fees | 10¢10.6¢ after fees | Kalshi1.1¢ less |
| Jameson Williams 90+ rec yds | 22¢23.2¢ after fees | 21¢22.2¢ after fees | Polymarket US1¢ less |
| Malik Willis 275+ pass yds | 23¢24.2¢ after fees | 22¢23.2¢ after fees | Polymarket US1¢ less |
| Jameson Williams 80+ rec yds | 29¢30.4¢ after fees | 28¢29.4¢ after fees | Polymarket US1¢ less |
| Jared Goff 3+ pass TDs | 38¢39.6¢ after fees | 37¢38.6¢ after fees | Polymarket US1¢ less |
| Jahmyr Gibbs first TD | 27¢28.4¢ after fees | 28¢29.4¢ after fees | Kalshi1¢ less |
| Jared Goff 300+ pass yds | 31¢32.5¢ after fees | 32¢33.5¢ after fees | Kalshi1¢ less |
| Malik Willis 2+ pass TDs | 37¢38.6¢ after fees | 38¢39.6¢ after fees | Kalshi1¢ less |
| Jared Goff 250+ pass yds | 58¢59.7¢ after fees | 59¢60.7¢ after fees | Even |
| Malik Willis 1+ pass TDs | 78¢79.2¢ after fees | 77¢78.2¢ after fees | Even |
| Malik Willis 30+ rush yds | 52¢53.7¢ after fees | 52¢53.7¢ after fees | Even |
| Jared Goff 275+ pass yds | 45¢46.7¢ after fees | 45¢46.7¢ after fees | Even |
| Jahmyr Gibbs 50+ rec yds | 23¢24.2¢ after fees | 23¢24.2¢ after fees | Even |
| Jared Goff 325+ pass yds | 21¢22.2¢ after fees | 21¢22.2¢ after fees | Even |
| Malik Washington 20+ rec yds | 81¢82.1¢ after fees | 81¢82.1¢ after fees | Even |
| Jared Goff 200+ pass yds | 84¢84.9¢ after fees | 84¢84.9¢ after fees | Even |
| Malik Willis 3+ pass TDs | 15¢15.9¢ after fees | 15¢15.9¢ after fees | Even |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown first TD | 14¢14.8¢ after fees | 14¢14.8¢ after fees | Even |
| Ollie Gordon II first TD | 12¢12.7¢ after fees | 12¢12.7¢ after fees | Even |
| Sam LaPorta first TD | 9¢9.6¢ after fees | 9¢9.6¢ after fees | Even |
| Caleb Douglas first TD | 6¢6.4¢ after fees | 6¢6.4¢ after fees | Even |
| Malik Washington first TD | 6¢6.4¢ after fees | 6¢6.4¢ after fees | Even |
| Malik Willis first TD | 6¢6.4¢ after fees | 6¢6.4¢ after fees | Even |
| Greg Dulcich first TD | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | Even |
| Sione Vaki first TD | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | Even |
| Chris Bell first TD | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | Even |
| Greg Dulcich 2+ TDs | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | Even |
| Brock Wright first TD | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Jared Goff first TD | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Kevin Coleman Jr. first TD | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Malik Willis 4+ pass TDs | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Malik Willis 125+ pass yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Malik Willis 250+ pass yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Malik Willis 300+ pass yds | 12¢12.7¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown 100+ rec yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown 110+ rec yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown 40+ rec yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown 50+ rec yds | 79¢80.2¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown 60+ rec yds | 70¢71.5¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown 70+ rec yds | 61¢62.7¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown 90+ rec yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Isaac TeSlaa 10+ rec yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Isaac TeSlaa 20+ rec yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Isaac TeSlaa 30+ rec yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Jahmyr Gibbs 20+ rec yds | 68¢69.5¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Jameson Williams 20+ rec yds | 87¢87.8¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Jameson Williams 40+ rec yds | 66¢67.6¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Jameson Williams 70+ rec yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Sam LaPorta 20+ rec yds | 82¢83¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Sam LaPorta 30+ rec yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Sam LaPorta 50+ rec yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Sam LaPorta 60+ rec yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Chris Bell 10+ rec yds | 76¢77.3¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Chris Bell 20+ rec yds | 56¢57.7¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Chris Bell 30+ rec yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Caleb Douglas 20+ rec yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Caleb Douglas 30+ rec yds | 64¢65.6¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Greg Dulcich 20+ rec yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Greg Dulcich 30+ rec yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Greg Dulcich 50+ rec yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Greg Dulcich 60+ rec yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Malik Washington 30+ rec yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Malik Washington 40+ rec yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Malik Washington 60+ rec yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Jahmyr Gibbs 110+ rush yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Jahmyr Gibbs 120+ rush yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Jahmyr Gibbs 130+ rush yds | 28¢29.4¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Sione Vaki 30+ rush yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Malik Willis 25+ rush yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Malik Willis 40+ rush yds | 36¢37.6¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Ollie Gordon II 100+ rush yds | 26¢27.3¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Ollie Gordon II 40+ rush yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Ollie Gordon II 50+ rush yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Ollie Gordon II 60+ rush yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Ollie Gordon II 70+ rush yds | 52¢53.7¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Ollie Gordon II 80+ rush yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Ollie Gordon II 90+ rush yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Brock Wright 2+ TDs | 2¢2.1¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Isaac TeSlaa 2+ TDs | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Sione Vaki 2+ TDs | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Chris Bell anytime TD | 17¢18¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Chris Bell 2+ TDs | 2¢2.1¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
Sponsored by Polymarket US
18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See https://polymarketexchange.com/files/legal/Polymarket%20US%20Rulebook%20(2026.09.30).pdf for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.
Polymarket US only (33)
- Amon-Ra St. Brown 3+ TDsPolymarket US 3¢
- Amon-Ra St. Brown 6+ receptionsPolymarket US 62¢
- Amon-Ra St. Brown 7+ receptionsPolymarket US 48¢
- Amon-Ra St. Brown 9+ receptionsPolymarket US 26¢
- Caleb Douglas 3+ receptionsPolymarket US 64¢
- Caleb Douglas 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 43¢
- Chris Bell 3+ receptionsPolymarket US 42¢
- Chris Bell 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 23¢
- Greg Dulcich 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 55¢
- Isaac TeSlaa 2+ receptionsPolymarket US 47¢
- Jahmyr Gibbs 3+ receptionsPolymarket US 75¢
- Jahmyr Gibbs 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 56¢
- Jahmyr Gibbs 5+ receptionsPolymarket US 39¢
- Jahmyr Gibbs 26+ fantasy points (PPR)Polymarket US 52¢
- Jameson Williams 3+ TDsPolymarket US 2¢
- Jameson Williams 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 48¢
- Jameson Williams 13+ fantasy points (PPR)Polymarket US 51¢
- Jared Goff 1+ interceptions thrownPolymarket US 45¢
- Jared Goff 2+ pass TDsPolymarket US 69¢
- Jared Goff 4+ pass TDsPolymarket US 15¢
- Jared Goff 28+ passing completionsPolymarket US 15¢
- Jared Goff 36+ passing attemptsPolymarket US 32¢
- Jared Goff 40+ passing attemptsPolymarket US 16¢
- Malik Washington 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 62¢
- Malik Washington 5+ receptionsPolymarket US 46¢
- Malik Willis 1+ interceptions thrownPolymarket US 57¢
- Malik Willis 18+ passing completionsPolymarket US 54¢
- Malik Willis 28+ passing attemptsPolymarket US 49¢
- Ollie Gordon II 3+ TDsPolymarket US 2¢
- Sam LaPorta 3+ TDsPolymarket US 2¢
- Sam LaPorta 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 56¢
- Sam LaPorta 12+ fantasy points (PPR)Polymarket US 49¢
- Tyler Conklin anytime TDPolymarket US 11¢
Kalshi only (88)
- Caleb Douglas 90+ rec ydsKalshi 12¢
- Caleb Douglas 100+ rec ydsKalshi 9¢
- Caleb Douglas 80+ rec ydsKalshi 15¢
- Caleb Douglas 70+ rec ydsKalshi 22¢
- Jameson Williams 120+ rec ydsKalshi 9¢
- Sam LaPorta 15+ rec ydsKalshi 87¢
- Jahmyr Gibbs 70+ rec ydsKalshi 10¢
- Malik Washington 25+ rec ydsKalshi 74¢
- Jahmyr Gibbs 15+ rec ydsKalshi 76¢
- Caleb Douglas 15+ rec ydsKalshi 82¢
- Greg Dulcich 15+ rec ydsKalshi 84¢
- Ollie Gordon II 10+ rec ydsKalshi 47¢
- Jahmyr Gibbs 60+ rush ydsKalshi 84¢
- Jared Goff 375+ pass ydsKalshi 9¢
- Jared Goff 400+ pass ydsKalshi 5¢
- Malik Willis 325+ pass ydsKalshi 9¢
- Amon-Ra St. Brown 130+ rec ydsKalshi 14¢
- Amon-Ra St. Brown 140+ rec ydsKalshi 11¢
- Amon-Ra St. Brown 150+ rec ydsKalshi 8¢
- Amon-Ra St. Brown 160+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
- Isaac TeSlaa 15+ rec ydsKalshi 55¢
- Isaac TeSlaa 40+ rec ydsKalshi 23¢
- Isaac TeSlaa 50+ rec ydsKalshi 16¢
- Isaac TeSlaa 60+ rec ydsKalshi 10¢
- Isaac TeSlaa 70+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
- Jahmyr Gibbs 25+ rec ydsKalshi 60¢
- Jahmyr Gibbs 60+ rec ydsKalshi 15¢
- Jahmyr Gibbs 80+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
- Jameson Williams 100+ rec ydsKalshi 15¢
- Jameson Williams 110+ rec ydsKalshi 12¢
- Jameson Williams 130+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
- Jameson Williams 25+ rec ydsKalshi 82¢
- Sam LaPorta 100+ rec ydsKalshi 9¢
- Sam LaPorta 110+ rec ydsKalshi 6¢
- Sam LaPorta 25+ rec ydsKalshi 77¢
- Sam LaPorta 80+ rec ydsKalshi 18¢
- Sam LaPorta 90+ rec ydsKalshi 13¢
- Chris Bell 50+ rec ydsKalshi 21¢
- Chris Bell 60+ rec ydsKalshi 15¢
- Chris Bell 70+ rec ydsKalshi 10¢
- Chris Bell 80+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
- Caleb Douglas 10+ rec ydsKalshi 88¢
- Greg Dulcich 100+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
- Greg Dulcich 110+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
- Greg Dulcich 70+ rec ydsKalshi 21¢
- Greg Dulcich 80+ rec ydsKalshi 13¢
- Greg Dulcich 90+ rec ydsKalshi 10¢
- Malik Washington 100+ rec ydsKalshi 9¢
- Malik Washington 15+ rec ydsKalshi 90¢
- Malik Washington 70+ rec ydsKalshi 24¢
- Malik Washington 80+ rec ydsKalshi 17¢
- Malik Washington 90+ rec ydsKalshi 13¢
- Ollie Gordon II 25+ rec ydsKalshi 18¢
- Ollie Gordon II 30+ rec ydsKalshi 15¢
- Ollie Gordon II 40+ rec ydsKalshi 9¢
- Jahmyr Gibbs 140+ rush ydsKalshi 22¢
- Jahmyr Gibbs 150+ rush ydsKalshi 17¢
- Jahmyr Gibbs 160+ rush ydsKalshi 14¢
- Jahmyr Gibbs 170+ rush ydsKalshi 11¢
- Jahmyr Gibbs 180+ rush ydsKalshi 9¢
+ 28 more listed on Kalshi only.
Not every market is listed on both venues. A row pairs only the same player, stat and threshold, and the club must agree. The single-venue lists show the ask on the one venue that lists the contract, two-sided books only. Cost after fees is the ask plus each venue’s per-contract taker fee — Kalshi: Taker fee 7% × price × (1 − price) per contract, max 1.75¢. Polymarket US: Taker fee 6.95% × price × (1 − price) per contract, max $1.74 per 100. A price older than 30 minutes shows as no current price.
The Ladder: the shape of the distribution vs every strike
Strikes above, distribution here: our full margin curve beside the Kalshi price at each rung, with the verdict — SHAPE, LOCATION or PRICED. This week's widest gap, auto-advancing.
How to read this board — and what we are not claiming
Consensus is the median de-vigged probability across every sportsbook quoting a line, read at the Kalshi strike — exact when a book quotes that line, interpolated when two quoted lines bracket it, refused when they do not. Kalshi prices are the mid of a real two-sided book only. This page carries at least 40 such strikes or it does not exist; we are not claiming to beat the market, only to show where each price is.
Lions vs Dolphins props — FAQ
What are the player props for Lions vs Dolphins?
47 Kalshi player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Week 9 — passing, rushing, receiving and scoring lines — each shown on this page beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line, with the cheapest venue for each side named.
Where are Lions vs Dolphins player props priced best?
The "best price" column on each strike names the venue with the cheapest price for that side, in cents per $1 of payout — Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks and exchanges at their raw quote. It only appears when at least two venues quote the exact strike, because a best price needs a comparison.
What is the gap column?
The Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus probability read at the same strike, in cents. Positive means Kalshi is pricing the over above the books, negative means it is cheaper. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
Why are some Kalshi strikes not shown here?
Kalshi lists a game's ladder early and most strikes stay unpriced until a day or two before kickoff. This page shows the 47 strikes with a real two-sided book; 175 more are listed and not yet priced. A 1¢ bid against a 99¢ ask is a listing, not a price.
Can you trade NFL player props on Kalshi?
Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists NFL player-prop contracts — for example, will a quarterback record 275 or more passing yards. Each contract settles at $1 if the answer is yes and $0 if no, so its price in cents is the market's implied probability, and traders buy and sell it from each other until it settles.
How is a Kalshi prop different from a prop at the books?
A Kalshi prop is an exchange contract: traders take either side from each other, the price moves with the order book, and a position can be sold before kickoff. At the books the house sets the line. This page reads the books' implied probability at the same line as each Kalshi strike so the two can be compared directly.
What is an Oracle Ladder?
An Oracle Ladder shows every Kalshi strike for one market as a curve — for player props, beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line. Our model's own number is published only between 30% and 70%, the band where it is measured calibrated, and any strike where it sits more than 30 points from the Kalshi price is refused rather than shown.
More NFL Markets
- NFL Week 9 predictions — Model vs. Kalshi on every game on the board right now.
- NFL Week 10 predictions — Next week’s slate, priced the moment the lines open.
- NFL Week 8 results — Final scores and every graded call from the week just played.
- Will Derrick Henry score a TD? Live Kalshi odds → — Henry anytime TD, 2+ TDs and rushing-yard prices for every Ravens game, plus his TD record vs the market
- Markets 101: be the market maker, not the market taker → — Why the first-TD board prices out to ~118%, and how a resting bid a cent under the ask beats paying it
- Heisman odds 2026 — Kalshi vs Polymarket US → — Every contender priced on both exchanges, cheaper venue named, plus Coach Gene’s longshots
- Grok fantasy football — connect the draft desk → — One URL, no key: the grok.com/connectors walkthrough and six prompts
- NFL MCP server — the in-season desk, inside your AI agent → — Kalshi props venue by venue, spread ladders, correlation-aware combos, weekly game edges — free tools, no key
- MCP setup — connect Claude, ChatGPT or Grok in a minute → — One URL, no API key: per-host install steps and troubleshooting
- NFL 2026 Market Guide — the 61-page book → — All 32 teams priced against the market, plus a 153-player draft board
- NFL 2026 Quarter-Season Report — 64 games, 32 teams, priced → — Weeks 1–4 in one book: opening vs closing lines, the Kalshi board Sept 8 vs Oct 8, all 32 team cards
- Madden 27 ratings vs our model vs the market → — All 32 team ratings, our power ratings, and live win-total prices on one board
- NFL Predictions — every game vs the market → — Free fair value vs Kalshi on all 18 weeks
- 2026 NFL Win Totals — model vs Kalshi → — All 32 teams: projected wins vs the KXNFLWINS ladder
- NFL Standings 2026 — projected records + playoff odds → — All 8 divisions: projected record, PWR, division-title and playoff odds
- NFL Schedule Predictor 2026 — every game picked → — Straight-up winner and win probability for all 272 games, plus the 10,000-season sim
- NFL Game Edges — where the model disagrees → — Game-winner, spread & total edges vs Kalshi prices
- NFL MVP Edges → — Live MVP market mispricings vs Kalshi KXNFLMVP
- Win Total Futures → — Monte Carlo season wins vs the Kalshi line
- Championship Edges → — Playoff / conference / Super Bowl probabilities
- Kalshi NFL Markets → — How Kalshi prices every NFL market + live edges
- Power Rankings — the model methodology anchor → — All 32 teams on the points-per-game scale
- Fantasy Draft Assistant — the same model, in your AI agent → — Free MCP draft desk: board, best available, sleepers vs ADP, who-do-I-draft
- NFL Model Calibration Ledger — how accurate is it, actually → — The graded record: 59.6% straight up, 0.236 Brier, and hit rate by confidence bucket across 3,266 games
- NFL Power Ratings tool — build your own PWR board → — Adjust the model weights and re-rank all 32 teams on the points-per-game scale
- NFL Win Probability calculator → — Turn any rating gap, spread or game-winner price into a calibrated win probability
- NFL Power Ratings vs. the Market — where we disagree → — Our PWR and the rating implied by live Kalshi win-total prices, all 32 teams on one points scale