Raiders vs 49ers player props — Kalshi prices vs the books
Every Kalshi player-prop strike for this game with a real two-sided book, priced against the sportsbook consensus at the same line and the exchanges that quote it, with the cheapest venue for each side named. Week 9. Game preview and model line →
Quick Answer
As of November 4, 2026, Kalshi lists 41 player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Raiders vs 49ers, Week 9.
Kalshi as of Nov 4, 9:10 PM ET · books as of Nov 4, 9:15 PM ET · 124 Kalshi prop strikes listed for this game · 41 with a real two-sided book · 1 priced against 3+ books
This week on the boardNFL Week 9 predictions →Week 10 predictions →Week 8 results →
Week 9 gamesJaguars at RavensBengals at FalconsBroncos at PanthersCowboys at ColtsJets at ChiefsLions at DolphinsBrowns at SaintsGiants at EaglesRams at CommandersTexans at ChargersRaiders at 49ersPackers at PatriotsCardinals at SeahawksBuccaneers at BearsBills at Vikings
Oracle calls for this game
Where our projection disagrees with the Kalshi price by enough. The only thing on this page that says play.
| Player | Contract | Matchup | Call | Our proj | Our odds | Mkt | Tier | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock PurdyQBWatch | 3+ pass TDsover 2.5 | SF vs LV | NO | 1.7 | — | 60¢ | MODERATE | Buy NO → |
| Brock PurdyQBWatch | 15+ rush ydsover 14.5 | SF vs LV | YES | 20.9 | — | 50¢ | MODERATE | Buy YES → |
| Brock BowersTEWatch | 70+ rec ydsover 69.5 | LV vs SF | NO | 61.6 | — | 44¢ | MODERATE | Buy NO → |
| Ashton JeantyRBWatch | 30+ rush ydsover 29.5 | LV vs SF | YES | 🔒 | MODERATE | Buy YES → | ||
4 of 4 props · 1 locked (Pro)
Watch — the disagreement is real, but our inputs for that player are limited or contradicted, so we are not calling it a play. Watch rows are capped at MODERATE, can never be the top call, and are graded separately from the published record.
Prop market board — Raiders vs 49ers
Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents. Exchange quotes are raw and one-sided, as quoted. A gap is a price difference, not a call.
| Player | Prop | Game | Kalshi | Consensus | Gap | Novig | ProphetX | Best price | Our P(over) | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock PurdyQBSF v LV | 15+ rush yds | LV @ SF | 49.5¢ | 50.0%4bk | -0.5¢ | o -106 / u -106 | o -109 / u -109 | over · Novig 51.5¢under · Novig 51.5¢ | 🔒 | Kalshi → |
| Kirk CousinsLV v SF | anytime TD | LV @ SF | 4.5¢ | 6.2%exch | -1.7¢ | o +1900 / u -2122 | o +1150 / u -25000 | over · Novig 5¢under · Novig 95.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Ashton JeantyLV v SF | anytime TD | LV @ SF | 36.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +156 / u -257 | — | over · Kalshi 38.6¢under · Kalshi 66.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Ashton JeantyLV v SF | 15+ rec yds | LV @ SF | 76.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -525 | — | over · Kalshi 83¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Ashton JeantyLV v SF | 30+ rec yds | LV @ SF | 53.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -150 | — | over · Novig 60¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Ashton JeantyRBLV v SF | 20+ rush yds | LV @ SF | 64.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -199 | o -200 | over · Novig 66.6¢ | 🔒 | Kalshi → |
| Ashton JeantyRBLV v SF | 25+ rush yds | LV @ SF | 58.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -127 | o -127 | over · Novig 55.9¢ | 🔒 | Kalshi → |
| Ashton JeantyRBLV v SF | 30+ rush yds | LV @ SF | 48.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +117 | o +117 | over · Novig 46.1¢ | 🔒 | Kalshi → |
| Ashton JeantyLV v SF | 40+ rush yds | LV @ SF | 31.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +228 | o +225 | over · Novig 30.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Ashton JeantyLV v SF | 50+ rush yds | LV @ SF | 19.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +388 | o +380 | over · Novig 20.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Ashton JeantyLV v SF | 60+ rush yds | LV @ SF | 14.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +590 | o +570 | over · Novig 14.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Ashton JeantyLV v SF | 70+ rush yds | LV @ SF | 9.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +852 | o +820 | over · Novig 10.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Ashton JeantyLV v SF | 80+ rush yds | LV @ SF | 7.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +1076 | o +670 | over · Novig 8.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Brock BowersLV v SF | anytime TD | LV @ SF | 41.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +122 / u -194 | — | over · Kalshi 44.7¢under · Kalshi 61.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Brock BowersLV v SF | 2+ TDs | LV @ SF | 9.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Brock BowersLV v SF | 50+ rec yds | LV @ SF | 71.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -426 | o -485 | over · Kalshi 78.2¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Brock BowersTELV v SF | 70+ rec yds | LV @ SF | 57.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -156 | o -170 | over · Kalshi 60.7¢ | 🔒 | Kalshi → |
| Brock BowersLV v SF | 80+ rec yds | LV @ SF | 45.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +100 | o -108 | over · Kalshi 49.8¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Brock PurdySF v LV | anytime TD | LV @ SF | 21.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +335 / u -669 | — | over · Novig 23¢under · Kalshi 81.1¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Brock PurdySF v LV | 2+ pass TDs | LV @ SF | 70.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Brock PurdyQBSF v LV | 3+ pass TDs | LV @ SF | 39.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | 🔒 | Kalshi → |
| Brock PurdySF v LV | 225+ pass yds | LV @ SF | 58.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -212 | o -210 | over · Kalshi 66.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Brock PurdySF v LV | 250+ pass yds | LV @ SF | 50.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -104 | o -104 | over · Novig 51¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Brock PurdySF v LV | 275+ pass yds | LV @ SF | 30.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +160 | o +156 | over · Novig 38.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Brock PurdySF v LV | 300+ pass yds | LV @ SF | 22.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +292 | o +285 | over · Novig 25.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| George KittleSF v LV | anytime TD | LV @ SF | 50.5¢ | — | one-sided | o -113 | — | over · Novig 53.1¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| George KittleSF v LV | 2+ TDs | LV @ SF | 13.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Kaelon BlackSF v LV | anytime TD | LV @ SF | 25.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +251 / u -525 | — | over · Fanatics 27¢under · Kalshi 76.3¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kirk CousinsLV v SF | 1+ pass TDs | LV @ SF | 82.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Kirk CousinsLV v SF | 2+ pass TDs | LV @ SF | 51.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Kirk CousinsLV v SF | 200+ pass yds | LV @ SF | 75.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -426 | o -425 | over · Kalshi 79.2¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kirk CousinsLV v SF | 225+ pass yds | LV @ SF | 64.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -245 | o -255 | over · Kalshi 70.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kirk CousinsLV v SF | 250+ pass yds | LV @ SF | 51.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -122 / u -113 | o -127 | over · Kalshi 54.7¢under · Kalshi 51.8¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kirk CousinsLV v SF | 10+ rush yds | LV @ SF | 18.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +326 | o +320 | over · Kalshi 23.2¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kyle JuszczykSF v LV | anytime TD | LV @ SF | 13.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +567 / u -1900 | o +455 | over · DK 14.3¢under · Kalshi 88.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Luke FarrellSF v LV | anytime TD | LV @ SF | 6.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +1150 | o +810 | over · Kalshi 7.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| LV Raiders D/STLV v SF | anytime TD | LV @ SF | 9.5¢ | — | one-sided | — | — | over · Kalshi 11.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Mike WashingtonLV v SF | 2+ TDs | LV @ SF | 6.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Mike WashingtonLV v SF | 40+ rush yds | LV @ SF | 47.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -138 | o -150 | over · Kalshi 50.8¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Mike WashingtonLV v SF | 50+ rush yds | LV @ SF | 34.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | o +117 | over · Kalshi 37.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| SF 49ers D/STSF v LV | anytime TD | LV @ SF | 13.5¢ | — | one-sided | — | — | over · Kalshi 15.9¢ | — | Kalshi → |
Share this Oracle Ladder
Embed this game’s spread ladder
A live card locked to Raiders vs 49ers, Week 9 — the Kalshi price at every spread strike for this one game — for a preview post or a game-day thread. Free to preview on your own page; publishing runs on an Enterprise license, and the credit line stays on.
Every NFL prediction-market widget.
Article width · 560×300
<iframe src="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/embed/nfl-ladder/raiders-vs-49ers-week-09-2026/hero" width="560" height="300" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" title="Raiders vs 49ers, Week 9 — model vs Kalshi — PredictionMarketsPicks"> </iframe> <p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Raiders vs 49ers, Week 9 Kalshi spread ladder from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/nfl/raiders-vs-49ers-week-09-2026?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-ladder">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>
Sidebar · 320×280
<iframe src="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/embed/nfl-ladder/raiders-vs-49ers-week-09-2026/sidebar" width="320" height="280" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" title="Raiders vs 49ers, Week 9 — model vs Kalshi — PredictionMarketsPicks"> </iframe> <p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Raiders vs 49ers, Week 9 Kalshi spread ladder from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/nfl/raiders-vs-49ers-week-09-2026?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-ladder">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>
Same props on both venues: Kalshi vs Polymarket US
Raiders at 49ers · same player, stat and threshold · cost to buy after fees · as of 8:59 PM ET
| Player prop (90) | Kalshi9:10 PM ET | Polymarket USPolymarketPartner8:59 PM ET | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kirk Cousins anytime TD | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | Even |
| Kaelon Black anytime TD | 26¢27.3¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Brock Purdy anytime TD | 23¢24.2¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Mike Washington Jr. 40+ rush yds | 49¢50.7¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Ashton Jeanty 30+ rush yds | 51¢52.7¢ after fees | 58¢59.7¢ after fees | Kalshi6.9¢ less |
| Ashton Jeanty 40+ rush yds | 34¢35.6¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Kaelon Black 2+ TDs | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | Kalshi1.1¢ less |
| George Kittle 2+ TDs | 14¢14.8¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Brock Bowers first TD | 9¢9.6¢ after fees | 10¢10.6¢ after fees | Kalshi1.1¢ less |
| George Kittle anytime TD | 52¢53.7¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Ashton Jeanty 20+ rush yds | 68¢69.5¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Kaelon Black first TD | 7¢7.5¢ after fees | 7¢7.5¢ after fees | Even |
| Michael Mayer first TD | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | Even |
| Brock Bowers 2+ TDs | 11¢11.7¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Tre Tucker first TD | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | Even |
| Kirk Cousins 2+ pass TDs | 53¢54.7¢ after fees | 53¢54.7¢ after fees | Even |
| Brock Bowers 70+ rec yds | 59¢60.7¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Brock Bowers anytime TD | 43¢44.7¢ after fees | 43¢44.7¢ after fees | Even |
| George Kittle first TD | 13¢13.8¢ after fees | 13¢13.8¢ after fees | Even |
| Kirk Cousins 225+ pass yds | 69¢70.5¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Kirk Cousins 250+ pass yds | 53¢54.7¢ after fees | 54¢55.7¢ after fees | Even |
| Ashton Jeanty first TD | 8¢8.5¢ after fees | 9¢9.6¢ after fees | Kalshi1.1¢ less |
| Brock Purdy 250+ pass yds | 51¢52.7¢ after fees | 51¢52.7¢ after fees | Even |
| Brock Purdy 3+ pass TDs | 40¢41.7¢ after fees | 41¢42.7¢ after fees | Kalshi1¢ less |
| Brock Purdy 300+ pass yds | 25¢26.3¢ after fees | 24¢25.3¢ after fees | Polymarket US1¢ less |
| Kirk Cousins 200+ pass yds | 78¢79.2¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Ashton Jeanty anytime TD | 37¢38.6¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Mike Washington Jr. 2+ TDs | 7¢7.5¢ after fees | 2¢2.1¢ after fees | Polymarket US5.3¢ less |
| Luke Farrell anytime TD | 7¢7.5¢ after fees | 8¢8.5¢ after fees | Kalshi1.1¢ less |
| Brock Purdy 2+ pass TDs | 73¢74.4¢ after fees | 73¢74.4¢ after fees | Even |
| Brock Purdy 1+ pass TDs | 94¢94.4¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Ashton Jeanty 30+ rec yds | 60¢61.7¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Kirk Cousins 1+ pass TDs | 85¢85.9¢ after fees | 84¢84.9¢ after fees | Even |
| Mike Washington Jr. 50+ rush yds | 36¢37.6¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Brock Purdy 175+ pass yds | 85¢85.9¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Brock Purdy 225+ pass yds | 65¢66.6¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Brock Bowers 80+ rec yds | 48¢49.7¢ after fees | 48¢49.7¢ after fees | Even |
| Brock Purdy 275+ pass yds | 37¢38.6¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Brock Purdy 350+ pass yds | 10¢10.6¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Brock Bowers 50+ rec yds | 77¢78.2¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Mike Washington Jr. anytime TD | 35¢36.6¢ after fees | 2¢2.1¢ after fees | Polymarket US34.5¢ less |
| Brock Bowers 120+ rec yds | 18¢19¢ after fees | 20¢21.1¢ after fees | Kalshi2.1¢ less |
| Brandin Cooks 2+ TDs | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | Polymarket US1.1¢ less |
| Brock Purdy first TD | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | 6¢6.4¢ after fees | Kalshi1.1¢ less |
| Brock Purdy 4+ pass TDs | 19¢20.1¢ after fees | 18¢19¢ after fees | Polymarket US1.1¢ less |
| Brock Purdy 325+ pass yds | 19¢20.1¢ after fees | 18¢19¢ after fees | Polymarket US1.1¢ less |
| Kirk Cousins 3+ pass TDs | 23¢24.2¢ after fees | 24¢25.3¢ after fees | Kalshi1¢ less |
| Brock Bowers 60+ rec yds | 70¢71.5¢ after fees | 69¢70.5¢ after fees | Even |
| Kirk Cousins 275+ pass yds | 41¢42.7¢ after fees | 41¢42.7¢ after fees | Even |
| Ashton Jeanty 50+ rec yds | 33¢34.5¢ after fees | 33¢34.5¢ after fees | Even |
| Tre Tucker anytime TD | 24¢25.3¢ after fees | 24¢25.3¢ after fees | Even |
| Jack Bech anytime TD | 13¢13.8¢ after fees | 13¢13.8¢ after fees | Even |
| Mike Washington Jr. first TD | 8¢8.5¢ after fees | 8¢8.5¢ after fees | Even |
| Jalen Nailor first TD | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | Even |
| Jack Bech first TD | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Brandin Cooks first TD | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Jordan Watkins first TD | no two-sided book | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | — |
| Luke Farrell first TD | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Kirk Cousins 4+ pass TDs | 9¢9.6¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Kirk Cousins 175+ pass yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Kirk Cousins 300+ pass yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Kirk Cousins 325+ pass yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Kirk Cousins 350+ pass yds | 12¢12.7¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Brock Purdy 150+ pass yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Brock Purdy 200+ pass yds | 81¢82.1¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Ashton Jeanty 20+ rec yds | 75¢76.3¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Ashton Jeanty 40+ rec yds | 45¢46.7¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Brock Bowers 100+ rec yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Brock Bowers 110+ rec yds | no two-sided book | 25¢26.3¢ after fees | — |
| Brock Bowers 40+ rec yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Brock Bowers 90+ rec yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Tre Tucker 20+ rec yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Tre Tucker 30+ rec yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Tre Tucker 40+ rec yds | 56¢57.7¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Tre Tucker 50+ rec yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Tre Tucker 60+ rec yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Mike Washington Jr. 20+ rush yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Mike Washington Jr. 30+ rush yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Mike Washington Jr. 60+ rush yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Ashton Jeanty 2+ TDs | 9¢9.6¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Jack Bech 2+ TDs | 2¢2.1¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Jalen Nailor anytime TD | 17¢18¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Jalen Nailor 2+ TDs | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Michael Mayer anytime TD | 20¢21.1¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Michael Mayer 2+ TDs | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Tre Tucker 2+ TDs | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Brandin Cooks anytime TD | 24¢25.3¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Brock Purdy 2+ TDs | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Jordan Watkins anytime TD | 18¢19¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Jordan Watkins 2+ TDs | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
Sponsored by Polymarket US
18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See https://polymarketexchange.com/files/legal/Polymarket%20US%20Rulebook%20(2026.09.30).pdf for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.
Polymarket US only (16)
- Ashton Jeanty 5+ receptionsPolymarket US 48¢
- Ashton Jeanty 12+ rushing attemptsPolymarket US 25¢
- Brayden Willis anytime TDPolymarket US 7¢
- Brock Bowers 7+ receptionsPolymarket US 52¢
- Brock Bowers 9+ receptionsPolymarket US 28¢
- Brock Purdy 1+ interceptions thrownPolymarket US 52¢
- Brock Purdy 22+ passing completionsPolymarket US 51¢
- Brock Purdy 36+ passing attemptsPolymarket US 25¢
- Dylan Laube anytime TDPolymarket US 7¢
- George Kittle 15+ fantasy points (PPR)Polymarket US 75¢
- Ian Thomas anytime TDPolymarket US 8¢
- Jordan James anytime TDPolymarket US 11¢
- Kirk Cousins 1+ interceptions thrownPolymarket US 49¢
- Kirk Cousins 24+ passing completionsPolymarket US 50¢
- Mike Washington Jr. 12+ rushing attemptsPolymarket US 50¢
- Tre Tucker 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 49¢
Kalshi only (44)
- Ashton Jeanty 80+ rush ydsKalshi 9¢
- Ashton Jeanty 70+ rush ydsKalshi 11¢
- Ashton Jeanty 25+ rush ydsKalshi 59¢
- Ashton Jeanty 50+ rush ydsKalshi 22¢
- Ashton Jeanty 60+ rush ydsKalshi 18¢
- Kyle Juszczyk anytime TDKalshi 15¢
- Kyle Juszczyk first TDKalshi 3¢
- Brock Purdy 15+ rush ydsKalshi 50¢
- LV Raiders D/ST anytime TDKalshi 11¢
- Ashton Jeanty 15+ rec ydsKalshi 82¢
- SF 49ers D/ST anytime TDKalshi 15¢
- Mike Washington Jr. 80+ rush ydsKalshi 12¢
- Kirk Cousins 10+ rush ydsKalshi 22¢
- Brock Purdy 5+ pass TDsKalshi 8¢
- Ashton Jeanty 60+ rec ydsKalshi 23¢
- Ashton Jeanty 70+ rec ydsKalshi 13¢
- Ashton Jeanty 80+ rec ydsKalshi 11¢
- Ashton Jeanty 90+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
- Brock Bowers 130+ rec ydsKalshi 14¢
- Brock Bowers 140+ rec ydsKalshi 11¢
- Brock Bowers 150+ rec ydsKalshi 8¢
- Tre Tucker 100+ rec ydsKalshi 9¢
- Tre Tucker 110+ rec ydsKalshi 6¢
- Tre Tucker 15+ rec ydsKalshi 88¢
- Tre Tucker 25+ rec ydsKalshi 75¢
- Tre Tucker 70+ rec ydsKalshi 25¢
- Tre Tucker 80+ rec ydsKalshi 20¢
- Tre Tucker 90+ rec ydsKalshi 13¢
- Ashton Jeanty 10+ rush ydsKalshi 83¢
- Kirk Cousins 15+ rush ydsKalshi 14¢
- Kirk Cousins 20+ rush ydsKalshi 9¢
- Mike Washington Jr. 100+ rush ydsKalshi 7¢
- Mike Washington Jr. 25+ rush ydsKalshi 76¢
- Mike Washington Jr. 70+ rush ydsKalshi 21¢
- Mike Washington Jr. 90+ rush ydsKalshi 10¢
- Brock Purdy 10+ rush ydsKalshi 66¢
- Brock Purdy 20+ rush ydsKalshi 41¢
- Brock Purdy 30+ rush ydsKalshi 24¢
- Brock Purdy 40+ rush ydsKalshi 14¢
- Brock Purdy 50+ rush ydsKalshi 9¢
- Brock Purdy 60+ rush ydsKalshi 6¢
- Connor Heyward anytime TDKalshi 8¢
- Cody White anytime TDKalshi 8¢
- Kyle Juszczyk 2+ TDsKalshi 2¢
Not every market is listed on both venues. A row pairs only the same player, stat and threshold, and the club must agree. The single-venue lists show the ask on the one venue that lists the contract, two-sided books only. Cost after fees is the ask plus each venue’s per-contract taker fee — Kalshi: Taker fee 7% × price × (1 − price) per contract, max 1.75¢. Polymarket US: Taker fee 6.95% × price × (1 − price) per contract, max $1.74 per 100. A price older than 30 minutes shows as no current price.
The Ladder: the shape of the distribution vs every strike
Strikes above, distribution here: our full margin curve beside the Kalshi price at each rung, with the verdict — SHAPE, LOCATION or PRICED. This week's widest gap, auto-advancing.
How to read this board — and what we are not claiming
Consensus is the median de-vigged probability across every sportsbook quoting a line, read at the Kalshi strike — exact when a book quotes that line, interpolated when two quoted lines bracket it, refused when they do not. Kalshi prices are the mid of a real two-sided book only. This page carries at least 40 such strikes or it does not exist; we are not claiming to beat the market, only to show where each price is.
Raiders vs 49ers props — FAQ
What are the player props for Raiders vs 49ers?
41 Kalshi player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Week 9 — passing, rushing, receiving and scoring lines — each shown on this page beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line, with the cheapest venue for each side named.
Where are Raiders vs 49ers player props priced best?
The "best price" column on each strike names the venue with the cheapest price for that side, in cents per $1 of payout — Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks and exchanges at their raw quote. It only appears when at least two venues quote the exact strike, because a best price needs a comparison.
What is the gap column?
The Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus probability read at the same strike, in cents. Positive means Kalshi is pricing the over above the books, negative means it is cheaper. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
Why are some Kalshi strikes not shown here?
Kalshi lists a game's ladder early and most strikes stay unpriced until a day or two before kickoff. This page shows the 41 strikes with a real two-sided book; 83 more are listed and not yet priced. A 1¢ bid against a 99¢ ask is a listing, not a price.
Can you trade NFL player props on Kalshi?
Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists NFL player-prop contracts — for example, will a quarterback record 275 or more passing yards. Each contract settles at $1 if the answer is yes and $0 if no, so its price in cents is the market's implied probability, and traders buy and sell it from each other until it settles.
How is a Kalshi prop different from a prop at the books?
A Kalshi prop is an exchange contract: traders take either side from each other, the price moves with the order book, and a position can be sold before kickoff. At the books the house sets the line. This page reads the books' implied probability at the same line as each Kalshi strike so the two can be compared directly.
What is an Oracle Ladder?
An Oracle Ladder shows every Kalshi strike for one market as a curve — for player props, beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line. Our model's own number is published only between 30% and 70%, the band where it is measured calibrated, and any strike where it sits more than 30 points from the Kalshi price is refused rather than shown.
More NFL Markets
- NFL Week 9 predictions — Model vs. Kalshi on every game on the board right now.
- NFL Week 10 predictions — Next week’s slate, priced the moment the lines open.
- NFL Week 8 results — Final scores and every graded call from the week just played.
- Will Derrick Henry score a TD? Live Kalshi odds → — Henry anytime TD, 2+ TDs and rushing-yard prices for every Ravens game, plus his TD record vs the market
- Markets 101: be the market maker, not the market taker → — Why the first-TD board prices out to ~118%, and how a resting bid a cent under the ask beats paying it
- Heisman odds 2026 — Kalshi vs Polymarket US → — Every contender priced on both exchanges, cheaper venue named, plus Coach Gene’s longshots
- Grok fantasy football — connect the draft desk → — One URL, no key: the grok.com/connectors walkthrough and six prompts
- NFL MCP server — the in-season desk, inside your AI agent → — Kalshi props venue by venue, spread ladders, correlation-aware combos, weekly game edges — free tools, no key
- MCP setup — connect Claude, ChatGPT or Grok in a minute → — One URL, no API key: per-host install steps and troubleshooting
- NFL 2026 Market Guide — the 61-page book → — All 32 teams priced against the market, plus a 153-player draft board
- NFL 2026 Quarter-Season Report — 64 games, 32 teams, priced → — Weeks 1–4 in one book: opening vs closing lines, the Kalshi board Sept 8 vs Oct 8, all 32 team cards
- Madden 27 ratings vs our model vs the market → — All 32 team ratings, our power ratings, and live win-total prices on one board
- NFL Predictions — every game vs the market → — Free fair value vs Kalshi on all 18 weeks
- 2026 NFL Win Totals — model vs Kalshi → — All 32 teams: projected wins vs the KXNFLWINS ladder
- NFL Standings 2026 — projected records + playoff odds → — All 8 divisions: projected record, PWR, division-title and playoff odds
- NFL Schedule Predictor 2026 — every game picked → — Straight-up winner and win probability for all 272 games, plus the 10,000-season sim
- NFL Game Edges — where the model disagrees → — Game-winner, spread & total edges vs Kalshi prices
- NFL MVP Edges → — Live MVP market mispricings vs Kalshi KXNFLMVP
- Win Total Futures → — Monte Carlo season wins vs the Kalshi line
- Championship Edges → — Playoff / conference / Super Bowl probabilities
- Kalshi NFL Markets → — How Kalshi prices every NFL market + live edges
- Power Rankings — the model methodology anchor → — All 32 teams on the points-per-game scale
- Fantasy Draft Assistant — the same model, in your AI agent → — Free MCP draft desk: board, best available, sleepers vs ADP, who-do-I-draft
- NFL Model Calibration Ledger — how accurate is it, actually → — The graded record: 59.6% straight up, 0.236 Brier, and hit rate by confidence bucket across 3,266 games
- NFL Power Ratings tool — build your own PWR board → — Adjust the model weights and re-rank all 32 teams on the points-per-game scale
- NFL Win Probability calculator → — Turn any rating gap, spread or game-winner price into a calibrated win probability
- NFL Power Ratings vs. the Market — where we disagree → — Our PWR and the rating implied by live Kalshi win-total prices, all 32 teams on one points scale