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Live game edges — model vs. Kalshi, ranked

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Rams vs Commanders player props — Kalshi prices vs the books

Every Kalshi player-prop strike for this game with a real two-sided book, priced against the sportsbook consensus at the same line and the exchanges that quote it, with the cheapest venue for each side named. Week 9. Game preview and model line →

Quick Answer

As of November 5, 2026, Kalshi lists 44 player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Rams vs Commanders, Week 9.

Kalshi as of Nov 5, 1:20 PM ET · books as of Nov 5, 12:15 PM ET · 282 Kalshi prop strikes listed for this game · 44 with a real two-sided book · 3 priced against 3+ books

This week on the boardNFL Week 9 predictions →Week 10 predictions →Week 8 results →

Week 9 gamesJaguars at RavensBengals at FalconsBroncos at PanthersCowboys at ColtsJets at ChiefsLions at DolphinsBrowns at SaintsGiants at EaglesRams at CommandersTexans at ChargersRaiders at 49ersPackers at PatriotsCardinals at SeahawksBuccaneers at BearsBills at Vikings

Prop market board — Rams vs Commanders

Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents. Exchange quotes are raw and one-sided, as quoted. A gap is a price difference, not a call.

Every Kalshi NFL player-prop strike with a two-sided book this week: the Kalshi mid, the sportsbook consensus probability read at that strike, exchange quotes at the same strike, and the gap between Kalshi and consensus in cents. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
PlayerPropGameKalshiConsensusGapNovigProphetXBest priceOur P(over)Trade
Treylon BurksWAS v LAR30+ rec ydsLAR @ WAS48.0¢49.8%5bk-1.8¢o -113 / u -125o -122 / u -122over · ESPN Bet 52.4¢under · DK 53.1¢—Kalshi →
Jayden DanielsWAS v LAR40+ rush ydsLAR @ WAS48.0¢49.3%4bk-1.3¢o -102o +110 / u -142over · ProphetX 47.6¢under · DK 53.1¢—Kalshi →
Blake CorumLAR v WAS50+ rush ydsLAR @ WAS51.5¢51.0%5bk+0.5¢o -115 / u -102o -127 / u -101over · Novig 53.5¢under · ProphetX 50.2¢—Kalshi →
Antonio WilliamsWAS v LARanytime TDLAR @ WAS24.5¢—one-sidedo +264—over · Kalshi 27.4¢—Kalshi →
Antonio WilliamsWAS v LAR15+ rec ydsLAR @ WAS86.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -1150o -1300over · Kalshi 88.7¢—Kalshi →
Antonio WilliamsWAS v LAR50+ rec ydsLAR @ WAS40.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +125o +122 / u -250over · Kalshi 43.7¢under · Kalshi 62.7¢—Kalshi →
Blake CorumLAR v WASanytime TDLAR @ WAS43.5¢—one-sidedo +113 / u -135—over · Kalshi 45.7¢under · Novig 57.4¢—Kalshi →
Blake CorumLAR v WAS60+ rush ydsLAR @ WAS37.5¢off-ladderoff-ladder—o +134over · Kalshi 41.7¢—Kalshi →
Blake CorumLAR v WAS70+ rush ydsLAR @ WAS27.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +217o +205over · Kalshi 30.4¢—Kalshi →
Chig OkonkwoWAS v LAR15+ rec ydsLAR @ WAS76.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -506o -520over · Kalshi 78.2¢—Kalshi →
Jayden DanielsWAS v LARanytime TDLAR @ WAS27.0¢—one-sidedo +239—over · Kalshi 29.4¢—Kalshi →
Jayden DanielsWAS v LAR2+ pass TDsLAR @ WAS40.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Jayden DanielsWAS v LAR3+ pass TDsLAR @ WAS15.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Jayden DanielsWAS v LAR175+ pass ydsLAR @ WAS72.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -388o -350over · Kalshi 75.4¢—Kalshi →
Jayden DanielsWAS v LAR200+ pass ydsLAR @ WAS54.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -167o -154 / u +105over · Kalshi 56.7¢under · Kalshi 47.7¢—Kalshi →
Jayden DanielsWAS v LAR250+ pass ydsLAR @ WAS25.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +203o +220 / u -440over · Kalshi 27.4¢under · Kalshi 76.3¢—Kalshi →
Jayden DanielsWAS v LAR15+ rush ydsLAR @ WAS85.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -900o -1550over · Kalshi 86.8¢—Kalshi →
Kyren WilliamsLAR v WASanytime TDLAR @ WAS58.5¢—one-sidedo -153 / u +100—over · BetRivers 58.5¢under · Kalshi 43.7¢—Kalshi →
Kyren WilliamsLAR v WAS40+ rush ydsLAR @ WAS74.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -376o -375over · Kalshi 77.3¢—Kalshi →
Kyren WilliamsLAR v WAS60+ rush ydsLAR @ WAS49.0¢off-ladderoff-ladder—o -118over · Kalshi 52.8¢—Kalshi →
Kyren WilliamsLAR v WAS70+ rush ydsLAR @ WAS37.5¢off-ladderoff-ladder—o +134over · Kalshi 40.7¢—Kalshi →
LA Rams D/STLAR v WASanytime TDLAR @ WAS14.0¢—one-sided——over · DK 15.4¢—Kalshi →
Matthew StaffordLAR v WAS3+ pass TDsLAR @ WAS26.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Matthew StaffordLAR v WAS4+ pass TDsLAR @ WAS7.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Matthew StaffordLAR v WAS175+ pass ydsLAR @ WAS86.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -2028o -1250 / u +345over · Kalshi 87.8¢under · Kalshi 15.9¢—Kalshi →
Matthew StaffordLAR v WAS250+ pass ydsLAR @ WAS51.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -135o -124 / u -134over · Kalshi 54.7¢under · Kalshi 51.8¢—Kalshi →
Matthew StaffordLAR v WAS300+ pass ydsLAR @ WAS24.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +233o +255 / u -470over · ProphetX 28.2¢under · Kalshi 79.2¢—Kalshi →
Puka NacuaLAR v WASanytime TDLAR @ WAS53.5¢—one-sided——over · Kalshi 55.7¢—Kalshi →
Puka NacuaLAR v WAS2+ TDsLAR @ WAS15.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Puka NacuaLAR v WAS50+ rec ydsLAR @ WAS84.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -1011o -1100over · Kalshi 85.9¢—Kalshi →
Puka NacuaLAR v WAS60+ rec ydsLAR @ WAS77.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -488o -530over · Kalshi 80.2¢—Kalshi →
Puka NacuaLAR v WAS70+ rec ydsLAR @ WAS70.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -300o -330over · Kalshi 73.4¢—Kalshi →
Puka NacuaLAR v WAS80+ rec ydsLAR @ WAS62.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -203o -215over · Kalshi 65.6¢—Kalshi →
Puka NacuaLAR v WAS90+ rec ydsLAR @ WAS52.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -135o -140 / u -134over · Kalshi 55.7¢under · Kalshi 50.8¢—Kalshi →
Puka NacuaLAR v WAS100+ rec ydsLAR @ WAS44.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +111o +109 / u -184over · Novig 47.4¢under · Kalshi 59.7¢—Kalshi →
Puka NacuaLAR v WAS120+ rec ydsLAR @ WAS28.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +194o +192 / u -360over · Kalshi 32.5¢under · Kalshi 76.3¢—Kalshi →
Rachaad WhiteWAS v LARanytime TDLAR @ WAS39.0¢—one-sidedo +127—over · Kalshi 41.7¢—Kalshi →
Rachaad WhiteWAS v LAR60+ rush ydsLAR @ WAS26.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +239o +240over · Kalshi 29.4¢—Kalshi →
Stefon DiggsWAS v LARanytime TDLAR @ WAS29.5¢—one-sidedo +217—over · Kalshi 31.5¢—Kalshi →
Stefon DiggsWAS v LAR30+ rec ydsLAR @ WAS67.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -264o -265 / u +146over · Kalshi 70.5¢under · Kalshi 36.6¢—Kalshi →
Stefon DiggsWAS v LAR40+ rec ydsLAR @ WAS53.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -141o -140 / u -119over · Kalshi 56.7¢under · Kalshi 49.8¢—Kalshi →
Stefon DiggsWAS v LAR50+ rec ydsLAR @ WAS41.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +125o +122 / u -240over · Novig 44.4¢under · Kalshi 62.7¢—Kalshi →
Treylon BurksWAS v LARanytime TDLAR @ WAS17.5¢—one-sidedo +388—over · DK 20¢—Kalshi →
WAS Commanders D/STWAS v LARanytime TDLAR @ WAS13.0¢—one-sided——over · Fanatics 14.3¢—Kalshi →
44 of 44 two-sided strikes · + 238 listed on Kalshi, not yet priced · book consensus as of Nov 5, 12:15 PM ET

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Rams vs Commanders player prop ladders for Week 9: the Kalshi price at every strike vs the sportsbook consensus
The Rams vs Commanders prop ladders with the widest market disagreement this week — free to share. Updates as the market moves.

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A live card locked to Rams vs Commanders, Week 9 — the Kalshi price at every spread strike for this one game — for a preview post or a game-day thread. Free to preview on your own page; publishing runs on an Enterprise license, and the credit line stays on.

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<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Rams vs Commanders, Week 9 Kalshi spread ladder from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/nfl/rams-vs-commanders-week-09-2026?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-ladder">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

Same props on both venues: Kalshi vs Polymarket US

Rams at Commanders · same player, stat and threshold · cost to buy after fees · as of 1:20 PM ET

Player prop (156)Kalshi1:20 PM ETPolymarket USPolymarketPartner2:20 PM ETBest price
Puka Nacua anytime TDno current price57¢58.7¢ after fees—
Puka Nacua 2+ TDsno current priceno two-sided book—
Jayden Daniels 40+ rush ydsno current price50¢51.7¢ after fees—
Jayden Daniels 3+ pass TDsno current price17¢18¢ after fees—
Stefon Diggs anytime TDno current priceno two-sided book—
Kyren Williams anytime TDno current priceno two-sided book—
Matthew Stafford 3+ pass TDsno current price31¢32.5¢ after fees—
Puka Nacua 90+ rec ydsno current price56¢57.7¢ after fees—
Blake Corum anytime TDno current priceno two-sided book—
Blake Corum 50+ rush ydsno current price52¢53.7¢ after fees—
Jayden Daniels anytime TDno current priceno two-sided book—
Blake Corum 60+ rush ydsno current price41¢42.7¢ after fees—
Matthew Stafford 250+ pass ydsno current price54¢55.7¢ after fees—
Stefon Diggs 2+ TDsno current price6¢6.4¢ after fees—
Kyren Williams 60+ rush ydsno current price53¢54.7¢ after fees—
Puka Nacua 100+ rec ydsno current price47¢48.7¢ after fees—
Treylon Burks anytime TDno current priceno two-sided book—
Jayden Daniels 4+ pass TDsno current price7¢7.5¢ after fees—
Kyren Williams 40+ rush ydsno current price75¢76.3¢ after fees—
Puka Nacua 60+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Stefon Diggs 30+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Antonio Williams anytime TDno current price27¢28.4¢ after fees—
Matthew Stafford 4+ pass TDsno current price13¢13.8¢ after fees—
Puka Nacua 50+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Kyren Williams 70+ rush ydsno current price41¢42.7¢ after fees—
Antonio Williams 50+ rec ydsno current price43¢44.7¢ after fees—
Puka Nacua 70+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Stefon Diggs 40+ rec ydsno current price56¢57.7¢ after fees—
Stefon Diggs 50+ rec ydsno current price43¢44.7¢ after fees—
Jayden Daniels 200+ pass ydsno current price61¢62.7¢ after fees—
Jayden Daniels 2+ pass TDsno current price42¢43.7¢ after fees—
Rachaad White anytime TDno current priceno two-sided book—
Puka Nacua 80+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Blake Corum 70+ rush ydsno current price30¢31.5¢ after fees—
Matthew Stafford 300+ pass ydsno current price28¢29.4¢ after fees—
Matthew Stafford 175+ pass ydsno current price89¢89.7¢ after fees—
Treylon Burks 30+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Puka Nacua 120+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Jayden Daniels 175+ pass ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Jayden Daniels 250+ pass ydsno current price31¢32.5¢ after fees—
Rachaad White 60+ rush ydsno current price28¢29.4¢ after fees—
Treylon Burks first TD4¢4.3¢ after fees5¢5.3¢ after feesKalshi1.1¢ less
Austin Ekeler first TD5¢5.3¢ after fees6¢6.4¢ after feesKalshi1.1¢ less
Chig Okonkwo first TD5¢5.3¢ after fees6¢6.4¢ after feesKalshi1.1¢ less
Tyler Higbee first TD6¢6.4¢ after fees7¢7.5¢ after feesKalshi1.1¢ less
Rachaad White first TD11¢11.7¢ after fees12¢12.7¢ after feesKalshi1¢ less
Puka Nacua first TD15¢15.9¢ after fees16¢16.9¢ after feesKalshi1¢ less
Blake Corum first TD12¢12.7¢ after fees12¢12.7¢ after feesEven
Jayden Daniels first TD7¢7.5¢ after fees7¢7.5¢ after feesEven
Stefon Diggs first TD7¢7.5¢ after fees7¢7.5¢ after feesEven
Antonio Williams first TD6¢6.4¢ after fees6¢6.4¢ after feesEven
Davis Allen first TD5¢5.3¢ after fees5¢5.3¢ after feesEven
Konata Mumpfield first TD4¢4.3¢ after fees4¢4.3¢ after feesEven
Tutu Atwell first TD4¢4.3¢ after fees4¢4.3¢ after feesEven
CJ Daniels first TDno two-sided book2¢2.1¢ after fees—
Kyren Williams first TD17¢18¢ after feesno two-sided book—
Matthew Stafford first TDno two-sided book2¢2.1¢ after fees—
Dyami Brown first TDno two-sided book3¢3.2¢ after fees—
Matthew Stafford 1+ pass TDsno current priceno two-sided book—
Matthew Stafford 2+ pass TDsno current price60¢61.7¢ after fees—
Jayden Daniels 1+ pass TDsno current price79¢80.2¢ after fees—
Matthew Stafford 200+ pass ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Matthew Stafford 225+ pass ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Matthew Stafford 275+ pass ydsno current price41¢42.7¢ after fees—
Matthew Stafford 325+ pass ydsno current price18¢19¢ after fees—
Matthew Stafford 350+ pass ydsno current price11¢11.7¢ after fees—
Jayden Daniels 125+ pass ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Jayden Daniels 150+ pass ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Jayden Daniels 225+ pass ydsno current price45¢46.7¢ after fees—
Jayden Daniels 275+ pass ydsno current price20¢21.1¢ after fees—
Jayden Daniels 300+ pass ydsno current price13¢13.8¢ after fees—
Kyren Williams 2+ receptionsno current price78¢79.2¢ after fees—
Kyren Williams 3+ receptionsno current price53¢54.7¢ after fees—
Kyren Williams 4+ receptionsno current price34¢35.6¢ after fees—
Puka Nacua 10+ receptionsno current price36¢37.6¢ after fees—
Puka Nacua 11+ receptionsno current price25¢26.3¢ after fees—
Puka Nacua 7+ receptionsno current priceno two-sided book—
Puka Nacua 8+ receptionsno current price58¢59.7¢ after fees—
Puka Nacua 9+ receptionsno current price46¢47.7¢ after fees—
Antonio Williams 3+ receptionsno current price75¢76.3¢ after fees—
Antonio Williams 4+ receptionsno current price57¢58.7¢ after fees—
Antonio Williams 5+ receptionsno current price41¢42.7¢ after fees—
Chig Okonkwo 3+ receptionsno current priceno two-sided book—
Chig Okonkwo 4+ receptionsno current price47¢48.7¢ after fees—
Chig Okonkwo 5+ receptionsno current price33¢34.5¢ after fees—
Rachaad White 3+ receptionsno current price54¢55.7¢ after fees—
Rachaad White 4+ receptionsno current price36¢37.6¢ after fees—
Rachaad White 5+ receptionsno current priceno two-sided book—
Stefon Diggs 4+ receptionsno current price63¢64.6¢ after fees—
Stefon Diggs 5+ receptionsno current price46¢47.7¢ after fees—
Stefon Diggs 6+ receptionsno current price33¢34.5¢ after fees—
Kyren Williams 10+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Kyren Williams 20+ rec ydsno current price52¢53.7¢ after fees—
Kyren Williams 30+ rec ydsno current price35¢36.6¢ after fees—
Puka Nacua 110+ rec ydsno current price38¢39.6¢ after fees—
Puka Nacua 130+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Antonio Williams 20+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Antonio Williams 30+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Antonio Williams 40+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Antonio Williams 60+ rec ydsno current price33¢34.5¢ after fees—
Chig Okonkwo 10+ rec ydsno current price89¢89.7¢ after fees—
Chig Okonkwo 20+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Chig Okonkwo 30+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Chig Okonkwo 40+ rec ydsno current price40¢41.7¢ after fees—
Chig Okonkwo 50+ rec ydsno current price28¢29.4¢ after fees—
Rachaad White 10+ rec ydsno current price69¢70.5¢ after fees—
Rachaad White 20+ rec ydsno current price45¢46.7¢ after fees—
Rachaad White 30+ rec ydsno current price26¢27.3¢ after fees—
Stefon Diggs 20+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Stefon Diggs 60+ rec ydsno current price32¢33.5¢ after fees—
Treylon Burks 10+ rec ydsno current price82¢83¢ after fees—
Treylon Burks 20+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Treylon Burks 40+ rec ydsno current price40¢41.7¢ after fees—
Treylon Burks 50+ rec ydsno current price30¢31.5¢ after fees—
Blake Corum 30+ rush ydsno current price77¢78.2¢ after fees—
Blake Corum 40+ rush ydsno current price65¢66.6¢ after fees—
Kyren Williams 30+ rush ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Kyren Williams 50+ rush ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Kyren Williams 80+ rush ydsno current price31¢32.5¢ after fees—
Kyren Williams 90+ rush ydsno current price22¢23.2¢ after fees—
Jayden Daniels 20+ rush ydsno current price80¢81.1¢ after fees—
Jayden Daniels 30+ rush ydsno current price66¢67.6¢ after fees—
Jayden Daniels 50+ rush ydsno current price34¢35.6¢ after fees—
Jayden Daniels 60+ rush ydsno current price24¢25.3¢ after fees—
Jayden Daniels 70+ rush ydsno current price16¢16.9¢ after fees—
Jayden Daniels 80+ rush ydsno current price12¢12.7¢ after fees—
Rachaad White 20+ rush ydsno current price84¢84.9¢ after fees—
Rachaad White 30+ rush ydsno current price70¢71.5¢ after fees—
Rachaad White 40+ rush ydsno current price54¢55.7¢ after fees—
Rachaad White 50+ rush ydsno current price40¢41.7¢ after fees—
Blake Corum 2+ TDsno current price11¢11.7¢ after fees—
Blake Corum 3+ TDsno current price2¢2.1¢ after fees—
Davis Allen anytime TDno current priceno two-sided book—
Davis Allen 2+ TDsno current price3¢3.2¢ after fees—
Jordan Whittington anytime TDno current price7¢7.5¢ after fees—
Konata Mumpfield anytime TDno current price13¢13.8¢ after fees—
Konata Mumpfield 2+ TDsno current price2¢2.1¢ after fees—
Kyren Williams 2+ TDsno current price20¢21.1¢ after fees—
Kyren Williams 3+ TDsno current price5¢5.3¢ after fees—
Matthew Stafford anytime TDno current price6¢6.4¢ after fees—
Puka Nacua 3+ TDsno current price3¢3.2¢ after fees—
Tutu Atwell anytime TDno current price13¢13.8¢ after fees—
Tutu Atwell 2+ TDsno current price2¢2.1¢ after fees—
Tyler Higbee anytime TDno current price27¢28.4¢ after fees—
Tyler Higbee 2+ TDsno current price4¢4.3¢ after fees—
Austin Ekeler anytime TDno current priceno two-sided book—
Austin Ekeler 2+ TDsno current price3¢3.2¢ after fees—
Antonio Williams 2+ TDsno current price4¢4.3¢ after fees—
Chig Okonkwo anytime TDno current priceno two-sided book—
Chig Okonkwo 2+ TDsno current price3¢3.2¢ after fees—
Dyami Brown anytime TDno current price10¢10.6¢ after fees—
Dyami Brown 2+ TDsno current price2¢2.1¢ after fees—
Jayden Daniels 2+ TDsno current price5¢5.3¢ after fees—
Rachaad White 2+ TDsno current price9¢9.6¢ after fees—
Rachaad White 3+ TDsno current price2¢2.1¢ after fees—
Treylon Burks 2+ TDsno current price3¢3.2¢ after fees—
This game on Kalshi →This game on Polymarket US →

Sponsored by Polymarket US

18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See https://polymarketexchange.com/files/legal/Polymarket%20US%20Rulebook%20(2026.09.30).pdf for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.

Polymarket US only (14)

  • CJ Daniels anytime TDPolymarket US 7¢
  • Jayden Daniels 1+ interceptions thrownPolymarket US 45¢
  • Jayden Daniels 2+ interceptions thrownPolymarket US 16¢
  • Jayden Daniels 20+ passing completionsPolymarket US 52¢
  • Jayden Daniels 32+ passing attemptsPolymarket US 50¢
  • John Bates anytime TDPolymarket US 5¢
  • John Bates first TDPolymarket US 2¢
  • Jordan Whittington first TDPolymarket US 2¢
  • Kyren Williams 20+ rushing attemptsPolymarket US 16¢
  • Matthew Stafford 1+ interceptions thrownPolymarket US 46¢
  • Max Klare anytime TDPolymarket US 5¢
  • Max Klare first TDPolymarket US 2¢
  • Rachaad White 12+ rushing attemptsPolymarket US 48¢
  • Treylon Burks 3+ receptionsPolymarket US 44¢

Kalshi only (95)

  • LA Rams D/ST anytime TDKalshi 16¢
  • Jayden Daniels 3+ TDsKalshi 2¢
  • Antonio Williams 15+ rec ydsKalshi 88¢
  • WAS Commanders D/ST anytime TDKalshi 14¢
  • Jayden Daniels 15+ rush ydsKalshi 86¢
  • Puka Nacua 150+ rec ydsKalshi 16¢
  • Chig Okonkwo 15+ rec ydsKalshi 77¢
  • Puka Nacua 190+ rec ydsKalshi 8¢
  • Jayden Daniels 32+ pass attemptsKalshi 50¢
  • Matthew Stafford 23+ completionsKalshi 51¢
  • Jayden Daniels 20+ completionsKalshi 53¢
  • Matthew Stafford 375+ pass ydsKalshi 9¢
  • Jayden Daniels 325+ pass ydsKalshi 9¢
  • Jayden Daniels 350+ pass ydsKalshi 6¢
  • Kyren Williams 5+ receptionsKalshi 21¢
  • Kyren Williams 6+ receptionsKalshi 13¢
  • Puka Nacua 5+ receptionsKalshi 94¢
  • Puka Nacua 6+ receptionsKalshi 86¢
  • Antonio Williams 2+ receptionsKalshi 94¢
  • Antonio Williams 6+ receptionsKalshi 28¢
  • Antonio Williams 7+ receptionsKalshi 18¢
  • Antonio Williams 8+ receptionsKalshi 12¢
  • Chig Okonkwo 2+ receptionsKalshi 89¢
  • Chig Okonkwo 6+ receptionsKalshi 20¢
  • Chig Okonkwo 7+ receptionsKalshi 13¢
  • Rachaad White 2+ receptionsKalshi 79¢
  • Rachaad White 6+ receptionsKalshi 14¢
  • Stefon Diggs 2+ receptionsKalshi 97¢
  • Stefon Diggs 3+ receptionsKalshi 84¢
  • Stefon Diggs 7+ receptionsKalshi 21¢
  • Stefon Diggs 8+ receptionsKalshi 14¢
  • Stefon Diggs 9+ receptionsKalshi 9¢
  • Kyren Williams 15+ rec ydsKalshi 63¢
  • Kyren Williams 25+ rec ydsKalshi 42¢
  • Kyren Williams 40+ rec ydsKalshi 22¢
  • Kyren Williams 50+ rec ydsKalshi 14¢
  • Kyren Williams 60+ rec ydsKalshi 9¢
  • Kyren Williams 70+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
  • Puka Nacua 140+ rec ydsKalshi 21¢
  • Puka Nacua 160+ rec ydsKalshi 13¢
  • Puka Nacua 170+ rec ydsKalshi 10¢
  • Puka Nacua 180+ rec ydsKalshi 9¢
  • Antonio Williams 100+ rec ydsKalshi 9¢
  • Antonio Williams 110+ rec ydsKalshi 8¢
  • Antonio Williams 25+ rec ydsKalshi 74¢
  • Antonio Williams 70+ rec ydsKalshi 23¢
  • Antonio Williams 80+ rec ydsKalshi 18¢
  • Antonio Williams 90+ rec ydsKalshi 13¢
  • Chig Okonkwo 25+ rec ydsKalshi 62¢
  • Chig Okonkwo 60+ rec ydsKalshi 20¢
  • Chig Okonkwo 70+ rec ydsKalshi 13¢
  • Chig Okonkwo 80+ rec ydsKalshi 9¢
  • Chig Okonkwo 90+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
  • Rachaad White 15+ rec ydsKalshi 54¢
  • Rachaad White 25+ rec ydsKalshi 32¢
  • Rachaad White 40+ rec ydsKalshi 17¢
  • Rachaad White 50+ rec ydsKalshi 10¢
  • Rachaad White 60+ rec ydsKalshi 8¢
  • Stefon Diggs 100+ rec ydsKalshi 9¢
  • Stefon Diggs 15+ rec ydsKalshi 88¢

+ 35 more listed on Kalshi only.

Not every market is listed on both venues. A row pairs only the same player, stat and threshold, and the club must agree. The single-venue lists show the ask on the one venue that lists the contract, two-sided books only. Cost after fees is the ask plus each venue’s per-contract taker fee — Kalshi: Taker fee 7% × price × (1 − price) per contract, max 1.75¢. Polymarket US: Taker fee 6.95% × price × (1 − price) per contract, max $1.74 per 100. A price older than 30 minutes shows as no current price.

The Ladder: the shape of the distribution vs every strike

Strikes above, distribution here: our full margin curve beside the Kalshi price at each rung, with the verdict — SHAPE, LOCATION or PRICED. This week's widest gap, auto-advancing.

How to read this board — and what we are not claiming

Consensus is the median de-vigged probability across every sportsbook quoting a line, read at the Kalshi strike — exact when a book quotes that line, interpolated when two quoted lines bracket it, refused when they do not. Kalshi prices are the mid of a real two-sided book only. This page carries at least 40 such strikes or it does not exist; we are not claiming to beat the market, only to show where each price is.

Rams vs Commanders props — FAQ

What are the player props for Rams vs Commanders?

44 Kalshi player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Week 9 — passing, rushing, receiving and scoring lines — each shown on this page beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line, with the cheapest venue for each side named.

Where are Rams vs Commanders player props priced best?

The "best price" column on each strike names the venue with the cheapest price for that side, in cents per $1 of payout — Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks and exchanges at their raw quote. It only appears when at least two venues quote the exact strike, because a best price needs a comparison.

What is the gap column?

The Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus probability read at the same strike, in cents. Positive means Kalshi is pricing the over above the books, negative means it is cheaper. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.

Why are some Kalshi strikes not shown here?

Kalshi lists a game's ladder early and most strikes stay unpriced until a day or two before kickoff. This page shows the 44 strikes with a real two-sided book; 238 more are listed and not yet priced. A 1¢ bid against a 99¢ ask is a listing, not a price.

Can you trade NFL player props on Kalshi?

Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists NFL player-prop contracts — for example, will a quarterback record 275 or more passing yards. Each contract settles at $1 if the answer is yes and $0 if no, so its price in cents is the market's implied probability, and traders buy and sell it from each other until it settles.

How is a Kalshi prop different from a prop at the books?

A Kalshi prop is an exchange contract: traders take either side from each other, the price moves with the order book, and a position can be sold before kickoff. At the books the house sets the line. This page reads the books' implied probability at the same line as each Kalshi strike so the two can be compared directly.

What is an Oracle Ladder?

An Oracle Ladder shows every Kalshi strike for one market as a curve — for player props, beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line. Our model's own number is published only between 30% and 70%, the band where it is measured calibrated, and any strike where it sits more than 30 points from the Kalshi price is refused rather than shown.

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