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Live game edges — model vs. Kalshi, ranked

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Cowboys vs Colts player props — Kalshi prices vs the books

Every Kalshi player-prop strike for this game with a real two-sided book, priced against the sportsbook consensus at the same line and the exchanges that quote it, with the cheapest venue for each side named. Week 9. Game preview and model line →

Quick Answer

As of November 5, 2026, Kalshi lists 44 player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Cowboys vs Colts, Week 9.

Kalshi as of Nov 5, 3:20 PM ET · books as of Nov 5, 2:15 PM ET · 255 Kalshi prop strikes listed for this game · 44 with a real two-sided book · 0 priced against 3+ books

This week on the boardNFL Week 9 predictions →Week 10 predictions →Week 8 results →

Week 9 gamesJaguars at RavensBengals at FalconsBroncos at PanthersCowboys at ColtsJets at ChiefsLions at DolphinsBrowns at SaintsGiants at EaglesRams at CommandersTexans at ChargersRaiders at 49ersPackers at PatriotsCardinals at SeahawksBuccaneers at BearsBills at Vikings

Oracle calls for this game

Where our projection disagrees with the Kalshi price by enough. The only thing on this page that says play.

NFL player prop edges — our projection against each Kalshi contract (X or more), on the strike closest to our projection. The call is YES or NO on that contract, the market price is the price of the called side, and the edge is stated on the called side. Rows badged WATCH are not plays; rows badged SKEW are calls where the average projection sits on the other side of the threshold.
PlayerContractMatchupCallOur projOur oddsMktTierTrade
Dak PrescottQBWatch3+ pass TDsover 2.5DAL vs INDNO🔒MODERATEBuy NO →

1 of 1 prop · 1 locked (Pro)

Watch — the disagreement is real, but our inputs for that player are limited or contradicted, so we are not calling it a play. Watch rows are capped at MODERATE, can never be the top call, and are graded separately from the published record.

Prop market board — Cowboys vs Colts

Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents. Exchange quotes are raw and one-sided, as quoted. A gap is a price difference, not a call.

🔒 Filter by our call — Pro
Every Kalshi NFL player-prop strike with a two-sided book this week: the Kalshi mid, the sportsbook consensus probability read at that strike, exchange quotes at the same strike, and the gap between Kalshi and consensus in cents. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
PlayerPropGameKalshiConsensusGapNovigProphetXBest priceOur P(over)Trade
CeeDee LambDAL v INDanytime TDDAL @ IND51.5¢—one-sidedo -115—over · BetRivers 52.2¢—Kalshi →
CeeDee LambDAL v IND2+ TDsDAL @ IND11.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
CeeDee LambDAL v IND60+ rec ydsDAL @ IND69.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -317o -310 / u +164over · Kalshi 73.4¢under · Kalshi 34.6¢—Kalshi →
CeeDee LambDAL v IND90+ rec ydsDAL @ IND40.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +120o +118 / u -200over · Kalshi 44.7¢under · Kalshi 63.7¢—Kalshi →
Dak PrescottDAL v INDanytime TDDAL @ IND14.5¢—one-sidedo +525 / u -614—over · BetRivers 13.3¢under · Novig 86¢—Kalshi →
Dak PrescottDAL v IND34+ pass attDAL @ IND48.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Dak PrescottQBDAL v IND3+ pass TDsDAL @ IND36.0¢—no books——Kalshi only🔒Kalshi →
Dak PrescottDAL v IND175+ pass ydsDAL @ IND90.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -1900o -1900over · Kalshi 92.5¢—Kalshi →
Dak PrescottDAL v IND200+ pass ydsDAL @ IND82.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -669o -660over · Kalshi 85.9¢—Kalshi →
Dak PrescottDAL v IND225+ pass ydsDAL @ IND71.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -300o -300over · Kalshi 74.4¢—Kalshi →
Dak PrescottDAL v IND250+ pass ydsDAL @ IND55.5¢off-ladderoff-ladder—o -148 / u -124over · Kalshi 57.7¢under · Kalshi 46.7¢—Kalshi →
Dak PrescottDAL v IND275+ pass ydsDAL @ IND43.0¢off-ladderoff-ladder—o +113 / u -174over · Kalshi 45.7¢under · Kalshi 59.7¢—Kalshi →
Dak PrescottDAL v IND300+ pass ydsDAL @ IND29.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +208o +205 / u -470over · Kalshi 31.5¢under · Kalshi 73.4¢—Kalshi →
Dak PrescottDAL v IND10+ rush ydsDAL @ IND36.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +163o +162 / u -305over · Novig 38¢under · Kalshi 66.6¢—Kalshi →
Daniel JonesIND v DAL2+ pass TDsDAL @ IND40.0¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Daniel JonesIND v DAL200+ pass ydsDAL @ IND53.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -144o -180 / u -119over · Kalshi 56.7¢under · Kalshi 49.8¢—Kalshi →
Daniel JonesIND v DAL15+ rush ydsDAL @ IND29.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +203o +205over · Kalshi 32.5¢—Kalshi →
Daniel JonesIND v DAL40+ rush ydsDAL @ IND6.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +1011o +530over · Kalshi 7.5¢—Kalshi →
George PickensDAL v INDanytime TDDAL @ IND39.5¢—one-sidedo +138—over · DK 41.7¢—Kalshi →
George PickensDAL v IND60+ rec ydsDAL @ IND53.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -133o -142 / u +113over · Kalshi 55.7¢under · ProphetX 46.9¢—Kalshi →
George PickensDAL v IND70+ rec ydsDAL @ IND44.0¢off-ladderoff-ladder—o +109 / u -132over · Kalshi 47.7¢under · ProphetX 56.9¢—Kalshi →
George PickensDAL v IND80+ rec ydsDAL @ IND31.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +163o +164over · Kalshi 35.6¢—Kalshi →
Javonte WilliamsDAL v INDanytime TDDAL @ IND65.5¢—one-sidedo -212 / u +115—over · Kalshi 67.6¢under · Kalshi 36.6¢—Kalshi →
Javonte WilliamsDAL v IND2+ TDsDAL @ IND25.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Javonte WilliamsDAL v IND20+ rec ydsDAL @ IND21.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +270o +245over · Kalshi 24.2¢—Kalshi →
Javonte WilliamsDAL v IND90+ rush+rec ydsDAL @ IND44.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Javonte WilliamsDAL v IND40+ rush ydsDAL @ IND83.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -733o -720 / u +240over · Kalshi 85.9¢under · Kalshi 19¢—Kalshi →
Javonte WilliamsDAL v IND50+ rush ydsDAL @ IND74.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -365o -345 / u +186over · Kalshi 76.3¢under · Kalshi 28.4¢—Kalshi →
Javonte WilliamsDAL v IND70+ rush ydsDAL @ IND52.5¢off-ladderoff-ladder—o -125 / u -127over · ProphetX 55.6¢under · Kalshi 50.8¢—Kalshi →
Javonte WilliamsDAL v IND80+ rush ydsDAL @ IND41.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +122o +127 / u -205over · ProphetX 44.1¢under · Kalshi 62.7¢—Kalshi →
Javonte WilliamsDAL v IND90+ rush ydsDAL @ IND31.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +182o +186over · Kalshi 33.5¢—Kalshi →
Javonte WilliamsDAL v IND100+ rush ydsDAL @ IND23.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +270o +265 / u -510over · Kalshi 26.3¢under · Kalshi 80.2¢—Kalshi →
Javonte WilliamsDAL v IND110+ rush ydsDAL @ IND17.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +355o +335over · Kalshi 20.1¢—Kalshi →
Jonathan MingoDAL v INDanytime TDDAL @ IND9.5¢—one-sidedo +700o +620 / u -25000over · BetRivers 7.1¢under · Kalshi 92.5¢—Kalshi →
Jonathan TaylorIND v DALanytime TDDAL @ IND56.5¢—one-sidedo -144—over · Kalshi 58.7¢—Kalshi →
Jonathan TaylorIND v DAL2+ TDsDAL @ IND17.0¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Jonathan TaylorIND v DAL50+ rush ydsDAL @ IND60.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -212o -230over · Kalshi 65.6¢—Kalshi →
Laquon TreadwellIND v DALanytime TDDAL @ IND14.5¢—one-sidedo +441—over · BetRivers 15.4¢—Kalshi →
Ryan FlournoyDAL v INDanytime TDDAL @ IND29.0¢—one-sidedo +190—over · Kalshi 31.5¢—Kalshi →
Ryan FlournoyDAL v IND25+ rec ydsDAL @ IND64.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -270o -265 / u +146over · Kalshi 68.6¢under · Kalshi 39.7¢—Kalshi →
Ryan FlournoyDAL v IND30+ rec ydsDAL @ IND58.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -186o -184 / u +122over · Kalshi 61.7¢under · ProphetX 45¢—Kalshi →
Ryan FlournoyDAL v IND40+ rec ydsDAL @ IND46.5¢off-ladderoff-ladder—o -116 / u -138over · Kalshi 49.8¢under · ESPN Bet 56.5¢—Kalshi →
Tyler WarrenIND v DALanytime TDDAL @ IND30.5¢—one-sidedo +213 / u -223—over · DK 31.3¢under · Novig 69¢—Kalshi →
Tyler WarrenIND v DAL50+ rec ydsDAL @ IND39.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +133o +128 / u -230over · Kalshi 42.7¢under · Kalshi 64.6¢—Kalshi →
44 of 44 two-sided strikes · + 211 listed on Kalshi, not yet priced · Our P(over) is Pro · book consensus as of Nov 5, 2:15 PM ET

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Cowboys vs Colts player prop ladders for Week 9: the Kalshi price at every strike vs the sportsbook consensus
The Cowboys vs Colts prop ladders with the widest market disagreement this week — free to share. Updates as the market moves.

Embed this game’s spread ladder

A live card locked to Cowboys vs Colts, Week 9 — the Kalshi price at every spread strike for this one game — for a preview post or a game-day thread. Free to preview on your own page; publishing runs on an Enterprise license, and the credit line stays on.

Every NFL prediction-market widget.

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<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Cowboys vs Colts, Week 9 Kalshi spread ladder from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/nfl/cowboys-vs-colts-week-09-2026?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-ladder">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

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<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Cowboys vs Colts, Week 9 Kalshi spread ladder from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/nfl/cowboys-vs-colts-week-09-2026?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-ladder">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

Same props on both venues: Kalshi vs Polymarket US

Cowboys at Colts · same player, stat and threshold · cost to buy after fees · as of 3:20 PM ET

Player prop (144)Kalshi3:20 PM ETPolymarket USPolymarketPartner4:03 PM ETBest price
Ryan Flournoy 40+ rec ydsno current price49¢50.7¢ after fees—
Laquon Treadwell anytime TDno current price16¢16.9¢ after fees—
Javonte Williams 100+ rush ydsno current price25¢26.3¢ after fees—
CeeDee Lamb anytime TDno current priceno two-sided book—
Jonathan Mingo anytime TDno current price12¢12.7¢ after fees—
George Pickens first TD9¢9.6¢ after fees11¢11.7¢ after feesKalshi2.1¢ less
Dak Prescott anytime TDno current price15¢15.9¢ after fees—
Dak Prescott 275+ pass ydsno current price45¢46.7¢ after fees—
Jonathan Taylor anytime TDno current priceno two-sided book—
Ryan Flournoy 30+ rec ydsno current price62¢63.6¢ after fees—
George Pickens 70+ rec ydsno current price47¢48.7¢ after fees—
Daniel Jones 200+ pass ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Dak Prescott 3+ pass TDsno current price38¢39.6¢ after fees—
George Pickens 60+ rec ydsno current price56¢57.7¢ after fees—
Javonte Williams anytime TDno current priceno two-sided book—
Javonte Williams 50+ rush ydsno current price77¢78.2¢ after fees—
CeeDee Lamb 60+ rec ydsno current price74¢75.3¢ after fees—
Brevyn Spann-Ford first TD5¢5.3¢ after fees6¢6.4¢ after feesKalshi1.1¢ less
Jonathan Taylor first TD14¢14.8¢ after fees15¢15.9¢ after feesKalshi1¢ less
Jonathan Mingo 2+ TDsno current price2¢2.1¢ after fees—
Javonte Williams 70+ rush ydsno current price54¢55.7¢ after fees—
Jonathan Taylor 2+ TDsno current price19¢20.1¢ after fees—
Dak Prescott 225+ pass ydsno current price75¢76.3¢ after fees—
George Pickens anytime TDno current price40¢41.7¢ after fees—
Ryan Flournoy anytime TDno current priceno two-sided book—
Tyler Warren 2+ TDsno current price8¢8.5¢ after fees—
Dak Prescott first TD2¢2.1¢ after fees3¢3.2¢ after feesKalshi1.1¢ less
Javonte Williams 2+ TDsno current priceno two-sided book—
Javonte Williams 80+ rush ydsno current price43¢44.7¢ after fees—
CeeDee Lamb 2+ TDsno current price14¢14.8¢ after fees—
Dak Prescott 175+ pass ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
George Pickens 2+ TDsno current price9¢9.6¢ after fees—
Jonathan Taylor 50+ rush ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Dak Prescott 300+ pass ydsno current price32¢33.5¢ after fees—
Dak Prescott 250+ pass ydsno current price61¢62.7¢ after fees—
George Pickens 80+ rec ydsno current price37¢38.6¢ after fees—
Javonte Williams 90+ rush ydsno current price34¢35.6¢ after fees—
Tyler Warren anytime TDno current priceno two-sided book—
Tyler Warren 50+ rec ydsno current price43¢44.7¢ after fees—
CeeDee Lamb 90+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Javonte Williams 40+ rush ydsno current price82¢83¢ after fees—
Dak Prescott 200+ pass ydsno current price86¢86.8¢ after fees—
Daniel Jones 2+ pass TDsno current price42¢43.7¢ after fees—
Javonte Williams first TD18¢19¢ after fees20¢21.1¢ after feesKalshi2.1¢ less
CeeDee Lamb first TD12¢12.7¢ after fees13¢13.8¢ after feesKalshi1¢ less
Ryan Flournoy first TD8¢8.5¢ after fees8¢8.5¢ after feesEven
Seth McGowan first TD7¢7.5¢ after fees7¢7.5¢ after feesEven
Tyler Warren first TD7¢7.5¢ after fees7¢7.5¢ after feesEven
Keenan Allen first TD6¢6.4¢ after fees6¢6.4¢ after feesEven
Tyler Goodson first TD5¢5.3¢ after fees5¢5.3¢ after feesEven
Josh Downs first TD5¢5.3¢ after fees5¢5.3¢ after feesEven
Daniel Jones first TD4¢4.3¢ after fees4¢4.3¢ after feesEven
Laquon Treadwell first TD4¢4.3¢ after fees4¢4.3¢ after feesEven
Jonathan Mingo first TDno two-sided book3¢3.2¢ after fees—
Ashton Dulin first TDno two-sided book2¢2.1¢ after fees—
Deion Burks first TDno two-sided book2¢2.1¢ after fees—
Mo Alie-Cox first TDno two-sided book2¢2.1¢ after fees—
Will Mallory first TDno two-sided book2¢2.1¢ after fees—
Dak Prescott 1+ pass TDsno current priceno two-sided book—
Dak Prescott 2+ pass TDsno current priceno two-sided book—
Dak Prescott 4+ pass TDsno current price15¢15.9¢ after fees—
Daniel Jones 1+ pass TDsno current priceno two-sided book—
Daniel Jones 3+ pass TDsno current price17¢18¢ after fees—
Daniel Jones 4+ pass TDsno current price6¢6.4¢ after fees—
Dak Prescott 325+ pass ydsno current price22¢23.2¢ after fees—
Dak Prescott 350+ pass ydsno current price13¢13.8¢ after fees—
Daniel Jones 125+ pass ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Daniel Jones 150+ pass ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Daniel Jones 175+ pass ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Daniel Jones 225+ pass ydsno current price41¢42.7¢ after fees—
Daniel Jones 250+ pass ydsno current price27¢28.4¢ after fees—
Daniel Jones 275+ pass ydsno current price18¢19¢ after fees—
Daniel Jones 300+ pass ydsno current price11¢11.7¢ after fees—
CeeDee Lamb 5+ receptionsno current priceno two-sided book—
CeeDee Lamb 6+ receptionsno current priceno two-sided book—
CeeDee Lamb 7+ receptionsno current price48¢49.7¢ after fees—
CeeDee Lamb 8+ receptionsno current priceno two-sided book—
CeeDee Lamb 9+ receptionsno current price26¢27.3¢ after fees—
Javonte Williams 2+ receptionsno current price55¢56.7¢ after fees—
Javonte Williams 3+ receptionsno current priceno two-sided book—
Ryan Flournoy 3+ receptionsno current priceno two-sided book—
Ryan Flournoy 4+ receptionsno current price45¢46.7¢ after fees—
Ryan Flournoy 5+ receptionsno current priceno two-sided book—
Jonathan Taylor 2+ receptionsno current priceno two-sided book—
Jonathan Taylor 3+ receptionsno current price47¢48.7¢ after fees—
Jonathan Taylor 4+ receptionsno current price28¢29.4¢ after fees—
Tyler Warren 4+ receptionsno current priceno two-sided book—
Tyler Warren 5+ receptionsno current priceno two-sided book—
Tyler Warren 6+ receptionsno current price48¢49.7¢ after fees—
Tyler Warren 7+ receptionsno current priceno two-sided book—
Tyler Warren 8+ receptionsno current priceno two-sided book—
CeeDee Lamb 100+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
CeeDee Lamb 110+ rec ydsno current price29¢30.4¢ after fees—
CeeDee Lamb 120+ rec ydsno current price23¢24.2¢ after fees—
CeeDee Lamb 40+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
CeeDee Lamb 50+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
CeeDee Lamb 70+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
CeeDee Lamb 80+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
George Pickens 100+ rec ydsno current price21¢22.2¢ after fees—
George Pickens 30+ rec ydsno current price86¢86.8¢ after fees—
George Pickens 40+ rec ydsno current price77¢78.2¢ after fees—
George Pickens 50+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
George Pickens 90+ rec ydsno current price30¢31.5¢ after fees—
Ryan Flournoy 20+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Ryan Flournoy 50+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Jonathan Taylor 10+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Jonathan Taylor 20+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Jonathan Taylor 30+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Tyler Warren 20+ rec ydsno current price84¢84.9¢ after fees—
Tyler Warren 30+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Tyler Warren 40+ rec ydsno current price57¢58.7¢ after fees—
Tyler Warren 60+ rec ydsno current price32¢33.5¢ after fees—
Javonte Williams 60+ rush ydsno current price66¢67.6¢ after fees—
Tyler Goodson 10+ rush ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Tyler Goodson 20+ rush ydsno current price51¢52.7¢ after fees—
Tyler Goodson 30+ rush ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Jonathan Taylor 100+ rush ydsno current price20¢21.1¢ after fees—
Jonathan Taylor 40+ rush ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Jonathan Taylor 60+ rush ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Jonathan Taylor 70+ rush ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Jonathan Taylor 80+ rush ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Jonathan Taylor 90+ rush ydsno current price28¢29.4¢ after fees—
Brevyn Spann-Ford anytime TDno current price22¢23.2¢ after fees—
Brevyn Spann-Ford 2+ TDsno current price3¢3.2¢ after fees—
CeeDee Lamb 3+ TDsno current price3¢3.2¢ after fees—
Dak Prescott 2+ TDsno current price2¢2.1¢ after fees—
Javonte Williams 3+ TDsno current price8¢8.5¢ after fees—
Ryan Flournoy 2+ TDsno current price6¢6.4¢ after fees—
Tyler Goodson anytime TDno current priceno two-sided book—
Tyler Goodson 2+ TDsno current price3¢3.2¢ after fees—
Ashton Dulin anytime TDno current price8¢8.5¢ after fees—
Deion Burks anytime TDno current price8¢8.5¢ after fees—
Daniel Jones anytime TDno current price14¢14.8¢ after fees—
Daniel Jones 2+ TDsno current price2¢2.1¢ after fees—
Josh Downs anytime TDno current price24¢25.3¢ after fees—
Josh Downs 2+ TDsno current price3¢3.2¢ after fees—
Jonathan Taylor 3+ TDsno current price4¢4.3¢ after fees—
Keenan Allen anytime TDno current price28¢29.4¢ after fees—
Keenan Allen 2+ TDsno current price4¢4.3¢ after fees—
Laquon Treadwell 2+ TDsno current price2¢2.1¢ after fees—
Mo Alie-Cox anytime TDno current price7¢7.5¢ after fees—
Seth McGowan anytime TDno current priceno two-sided book—
Seth McGowan 2+ TDsno current price6¢6.4¢ after fees—
Seth McGowan 3+ TDsno current price2¢2.1¢ after fees—
This game on Kalshi →This game on Polymarket US →

Sponsored by Polymarket US

18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See https://polymarketexchange.com/files/legal/Polymarket%20US%20Rulebook%20(2026.09.30).pdf for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.

Polymarket US only (20)

  • Camden Brown anytime TDPolymarket US 6¢
  • Camden Brown first TDPolymarket US 2¢
  • CeeDee Lamb 19+ fantasy points (PPR)Polymarket US 59¢
  • Dak Prescott 1+ interceptions thrownPolymarket US 42¢
  • Dak Prescott 2+ interceptions thrownPolymarket US 16¢
  • Dak Prescott 40+ passing attemptsPolymarket US 26¢
  • Daniel Jones 1+ interceptions thrownPolymarket US 55¢
  • Daniel Jones 20+ passing completionsPolymarket US 53¢
  • DJ Giddens 2+ TDsPolymarket US 8¢
  • DJ Giddens first TDPolymarket US 10¢
  • George Pickens 3+ TDsPolymarket US 2¢
  • George Pickens 5+ receptionsPolymarket US 52¢
  • George Pickens 6+ receptionsPolymarket US 39¢
  • Jonathan Taylor 16+ rushing attemptsPolymarket US 39¢
  • Jonathan Taylor 20+ fantasy points (PPR)Polymarket US 38¢
  • Jonathan Taylor 20+ rushing attemptsPolymarket US 18¢
  • Jonathan Taylor 24+ rushing attemptsPolymarket US 7¢
  • Keenan Allen 3+ TDsPolymarket US 2¢
  • Ryan Flournoy 10+ rec ydsPolymarket US 90¢
  • Will Mallory anytime TDPolymarket US 6¢

Kalshi only (125)

  • Ryan Flournoy 25+ rec ydsKalshi 67¢
  • Dak Prescott 10+ rush ydsKalshi 38¢
  • Javonte Williams 20+ rec ydsKalshi 23¢
  • Daniel Jones 40+ rush ydsKalshi 7¢
  • Dak Prescott 34+ pass attemptsKalshi 50¢
  • Javonte Williams 110+ rush ydsKalshi 19¢
  • Daniel Jones 15+ rush ydsKalshi 31¢
  • Javonte Williams 90+ rush+rec ydsKalshi 46¢
  • Dak Prescott 29+ pass attemptsKalshi 81¢
  • Dak Prescott 39+ pass attemptsKalshi 27¢
  • Daniel Jones 27+ pass attemptsKalshi 80¢
  • Daniel Jones 32+ pass attemptsKalshi 51¢
  • Daniel Jones 37+ pass attemptsKalshi 30¢
  • Dak Prescott 18+ completionsKalshi 88¢
  • Dak Prescott 23+ completionsKalshi 50¢
  • Dak Prescott 28+ completionsKalshi 20¢
  • Daniel Jones 16+ completionsKalshi 85¢
  • Daniel Jones 21+ completionsKalshi 50¢
  • Daniel Jones 26+ completionsKalshi 19¢
  • Dak Prescott 1+ interceptionsKalshi 43¢
  • Dak Prescott 2+ interceptionsKalshi 14¢
  • Dak Prescott 3+ interceptionsKalshi 6¢
  • Dak Prescott 5+ pass TDsKalshi 6¢
  • Dak Prescott 375+ pass ydsKalshi 10¢
  • Dak Prescott 400+ pass ydsKalshi 5¢
  • CeeDee Lamb 10+ receptionsKalshi 15¢
  • CeeDee Lamb 11+ receptionsKalshi 10¢
  • CeeDee Lamb 12+ receptionsKalshi 7¢
  • CeeDee Lamb 13+ receptionsKalshi 6¢
  • CeeDee Lamb 4+ receptionsKalshi 88¢
  • Javonte Williams 4+ receptionsKalshi 18¢
  • Javonte Williams 5+ receptionsKalshi 10¢
  • Javonte Williams 6+ receptionsKalshi 6¢
  • Javonte Williams 7+ receptionsKalshi 4¢
  • Ryan Flournoy 2+ receptionsKalshi 84¢
  • Ryan Flournoy 6+ receptionsKalshi 17¢
  • Ryan Flournoy 7+ receptionsKalshi 10¢
  • Ryan Flournoy 8+ receptionsKalshi 6¢
  • Jonathan Taylor 5+ receptionsKalshi 16¢
  • Jonathan Taylor 6+ receptionsKalshi 10¢
  • Jonathan Taylor 7+ receptionsKalshi 6¢
  • Tyler Warren 10+ receptionsKalshi 10¢
  • Tyler Warren 11+ receptionsKalshi 7¢
  • Tyler Warren 12+ receptionsKalshi 5¢
  • Tyler Warren 3+ receptionsKalshi 91¢
  • Tyler Warren 9+ receptionsKalshi 15¢
  • CeeDee Lamb 130+ rec ydsKalshi 17¢
  • CeeDee Lamb 140+ rec ydsKalshi 13¢
  • CeeDee Lamb 150+ rec ydsKalshi 10¢
  • CeeDee Lamb 160+ rec ydsKalshi 9¢
  • CeeDee Lamb 170+ rec ydsKalshi 6¢
  • George Pickens 110+ rec ydsKalshi 16¢
  • George Pickens 120+ rec ydsKalshi 14¢
  • George Pickens 130+ rec ydsKalshi 10¢
  • George Pickens 140+ rec ydsKalshi 9¢
  • George Pickens 150+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
  • Javonte Williams 10+ rec ydsKalshi 46¢
  • Javonte Williams 15+ rec ydsKalshi 33¢
  • Javonte Williams 25+ rec ydsKalshi 17¢
  • Javonte Williams 30+ rec ydsKalshi 13¢

+ 65 more listed on Kalshi only.

Not every market is listed on both venues. A row pairs only the same player, stat and threshold, and the club must agree. The single-venue lists show the ask on the one venue that lists the contract, two-sided books only. Cost after fees is the ask plus each venue’s per-contract taker fee — Kalshi: Taker fee 7% × price × (1 − price) per contract, max 1.75¢. Polymarket US: Taker fee 6.95% × price × (1 − price) per contract, max $1.74 per 100. A price older than 30 minutes shows as no current price.

The Ladder: the shape of the distribution vs every strike

Strikes above, distribution here: our full margin curve beside the Kalshi price at each rung, with the verdict — SHAPE, LOCATION or PRICED. This week's widest gap, auto-advancing.

How to read this board — and what we are not claiming

Consensus is the median de-vigged probability across every sportsbook quoting a line, read at the Kalshi strike — exact when a book quotes that line, interpolated when two quoted lines bracket it, refused when they do not. Kalshi prices are the mid of a real two-sided book only. This page carries at least 40 such strikes or it does not exist; we are not claiming to beat the market, only to show where each price is.

Cowboys vs Colts props — FAQ

What are the player props for Cowboys vs Colts?

44 Kalshi player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Week 9 — passing, rushing, receiving and scoring lines — each shown on this page beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line, with the cheapest venue for each side named.

Where are Cowboys vs Colts player props priced best?

The "best price" column on each strike names the venue with the cheapest price for that side, in cents per $1 of payout — Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks and exchanges at their raw quote. It only appears when at least two venues quote the exact strike, because a best price needs a comparison.

What is the gap column?

The Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus probability read at the same strike, in cents. Positive means Kalshi is pricing the over above the books, negative means it is cheaper. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.

Why are some Kalshi strikes not shown here?

Kalshi lists a game's ladder early and most strikes stay unpriced until a day or two before kickoff. This page shows the 44 strikes with a real two-sided book; 211 more are listed and not yet priced. A 1¢ bid against a 99¢ ask is a listing, not a price.

Can you trade NFL player props on Kalshi?

Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists NFL player-prop contracts — for example, will a quarterback record 275 or more passing yards. Each contract settles at $1 if the answer is yes and $0 if no, so its price in cents is the market's implied probability, and traders buy and sell it from each other until it settles.

How is a Kalshi prop different from a prop at the books?

A Kalshi prop is an exchange contract: traders take either side from each other, the price moves with the order book, and a position can be sold before kickoff. At the books the house sets the line. This page reads the books' implied probability at the same line as each Kalshi strike so the two can be compared directly.

What is an Oracle Ladder?

An Oracle Ladder shows every Kalshi strike for one market as a curve — for player props, beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line. Our model's own number is published only between 30% and 70%, the band where it is measured calibrated, and any strike where it sits more than 30 points from the Kalshi price is refused rather than shown.

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