Cowboys vs Colts player props — Kalshi prices vs the books
Every Kalshi player-prop strike for this game with a real two-sided book, priced against the sportsbook consensus at the same line and the exchanges that quote it, with the cheapest venue for each side named. Week 9. Game preview and model line →
Quick Answer
As of November 5, 2026, Kalshi lists 44 player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Cowboys vs Colts, Week 9.
Kalshi as of Nov 5, 3:20 PM ET · books as of Nov 5, 2:15 PM ET · 255 Kalshi prop strikes listed for this game · 44 with a real two-sided book · 0 priced against 3+ books
This week on the boardNFL Week 9 predictions →Week 10 predictions →Week 8 results →
Week 9 gamesJaguars at RavensBengals at FalconsBroncos at PanthersCowboys at ColtsJets at ChiefsLions at DolphinsBrowns at SaintsGiants at EaglesRams at CommandersTexans at ChargersRaiders at 49ersPackers at PatriotsCardinals at SeahawksBuccaneers at BearsBills at Vikings
Oracle calls for this game
Where our projection disagrees with the Kalshi price by enough. The only thing on this page that says play.
| Player | Contract | Matchup | Call | Our proj | Our odds | Mkt | Tier | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dak PrescottQBWatch | 3+ pass TDsover 2.5 | DAL vs IND | NO | 🔒 | MODERATE | Buy NO → | ||
1 of 1 prop · 1 locked (Pro)
Watch — the disagreement is real, but our inputs for that player are limited or contradicted, so we are not calling it a play. Watch rows are capped at MODERATE, can never be the top call, and are graded separately from the published record.
Prop market board — Cowboys vs Colts
Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents. Exchange quotes are raw and one-sided, as quoted. A gap is a price difference, not a call.
| Player | Prop | Game | Kalshi | Consensus | Gap | Novig | ProphetX | Best price | Our P(over) | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CeeDee LambDAL v IND | anytime TD | DAL @ IND | 51.5¢ | — | one-sided | o -115 | — | over · BetRivers 52.2¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| CeeDee LambDAL v IND | 2+ TDs | DAL @ IND | 11.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| CeeDee LambDAL v IND | 60+ rec yds | DAL @ IND | 69.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -317 | o -310 / u +164 | over · Kalshi 73.4¢under · Kalshi 34.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| CeeDee LambDAL v IND | 90+ rec yds | DAL @ IND | 40.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +120 | o +118 / u -200 | over · Kalshi 44.7¢under · Kalshi 63.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Dak PrescottDAL v IND | anytime TD | DAL @ IND | 14.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +525 / u -614 | — | over · BetRivers 13.3¢under · Novig 86¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Dak PrescottDAL v IND | 34+ pass att | DAL @ IND | 48.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Dak PrescottQBDAL v IND | 3+ pass TDs | DAL @ IND | 36.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | 🔒 | Kalshi → |
| Dak PrescottDAL v IND | 175+ pass yds | DAL @ IND | 90.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -1900 | o -1900 | over · Kalshi 92.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Dak PrescottDAL v IND | 200+ pass yds | DAL @ IND | 82.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -669 | o -660 | over · Kalshi 85.9¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Dak PrescottDAL v IND | 225+ pass yds | DAL @ IND | 71.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -300 | o -300 | over · Kalshi 74.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Dak PrescottDAL v IND | 250+ pass yds | DAL @ IND | 55.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | o -148 / u -124 | over · Kalshi 57.7¢under · Kalshi 46.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Dak PrescottDAL v IND | 275+ pass yds | DAL @ IND | 43.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | o +113 / u -174 | over · Kalshi 45.7¢under · Kalshi 59.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Dak PrescottDAL v IND | 300+ pass yds | DAL @ IND | 29.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +208 | o +205 / u -470 | over · Kalshi 31.5¢under · Kalshi 73.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Dak PrescottDAL v IND | 10+ rush yds | DAL @ IND | 36.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +163 | o +162 / u -305 | over · Novig 38¢under · Kalshi 66.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Daniel JonesIND v DAL | 2+ pass TDs | DAL @ IND | 40.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Daniel JonesIND v DAL | 200+ pass yds | DAL @ IND | 53.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -144 | o -180 / u -119 | over · Kalshi 56.7¢under · Kalshi 49.8¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Daniel JonesIND v DAL | 15+ rush yds | DAL @ IND | 29.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +203 | o +205 | over · Kalshi 32.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Daniel JonesIND v DAL | 40+ rush yds | DAL @ IND | 6.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +1011 | o +530 | over · Kalshi 7.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| George PickensDAL v IND | anytime TD | DAL @ IND | 39.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +138 | — | over · DK 41.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| George PickensDAL v IND | 60+ rec yds | DAL @ IND | 53.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -133 | o -142 / u +113 | over · Kalshi 55.7¢under · ProphetX 46.9¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| George PickensDAL v IND | 70+ rec yds | DAL @ IND | 44.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | o +109 / u -132 | over · Kalshi 47.7¢under · ProphetX 56.9¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| George PickensDAL v IND | 80+ rec yds | DAL @ IND | 31.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +163 | o +164 | over · Kalshi 35.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Javonte WilliamsDAL v IND | anytime TD | DAL @ IND | 65.5¢ | — | one-sided | o -212 / u +115 | — | over · Kalshi 67.6¢under · Kalshi 36.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Javonte WilliamsDAL v IND | 2+ TDs | DAL @ IND | 25.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Javonte WilliamsDAL v IND | 20+ rec yds | DAL @ IND | 21.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +270 | o +245 | over · Kalshi 24.2¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Javonte WilliamsDAL v IND | 90+ rush+rec yds | DAL @ IND | 44.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Javonte WilliamsDAL v IND | 40+ rush yds | DAL @ IND | 83.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -733 | o -720 / u +240 | over · Kalshi 85.9¢under · Kalshi 19¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Javonte WilliamsDAL v IND | 50+ rush yds | DAL @ IND | 74.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -365 | o -345 / u +186 | over · Kalshi 76.3¢under · Kalshi 28.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Javonte WilliamsDAL v IND | 70+ rush yds | DAL @ IND | 52.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | o -125 / u -127 | over · ProphetX 55.6¢under · Kalshi 50.8¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Javonte WilliamsDAL v IND | 80+ rush yds | DAL @ IND | 41.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +122 | o +127 / u -205 | over · ProphetX 44.1¢under · Kalshi 62.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Javonte WilliamsDAL v IND | 90+ rush yds | DAL @ IND | 31.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +182 | o +186 | over · Kalshi 33.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Javonte WilliamsDAL v IND | 100+ rush yds | DAL @ IND | 23.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +270 | o +265 / u -510 | over · Kalshi 26.3¢under · Kalshi 80.2¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Javonte WilliamsDAL v IND | 110+ rush yds | DAL @ IND | 17.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +355 | o +335 | over · Kalshi 20.1¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jonathan MingoDAL v IND | anytime TD | DAL @ IND | 9.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +700 | o +620 / u -25000 | over · BetRivers 7.1¢under · Kalshi 92.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jonathan TaylorIND v DAL | anytime TD | DAL @ IND | 56.5¢ | — | one-sided | o -144 | — | over · Kalshi 58.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jonathan TaylorIND v DAL | 2+ TDs | DAL @ IND | 17.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Jonathan TaylorIND v DAL | 50+ rush yds | DAL @ IND | 60.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -212 | o -230 | over · Kalshi 65.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Laquon TreadwellIND v DAL | anytime TD | DAL @ IND | 14.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +441 | — | over · BetRivers 15.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Ryan FlournoyDAL v IND | anytime TD | DAL @ IND | 29.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +190 | — | over · Kalshi 31.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Ryan FlournoyDAL v IND | 25+ rec yds | DAL @ IND | 64.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -270 | o -265 / u +146 | over · Kalshi 68.6¢under · Kalshi 39.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Ryan FlournoyDAL v IND | 30+ rec yds | DAL @ IND | 58.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -186 | o -184 / u +122 | over · Kalshi 61.7¢under · ProphetX 45¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Ryan FlournoyDAL v IND | 40+ rec yds | DAL @ IND | 46.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | o -116 / u -138 | over · Kalshi 49.8¢under · ESPN Bet 56.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Tyler WarrenIND v DAL | anytime TD | DAL @ IND | 30.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +213 / u -223 | — | over · DK 31.3¢under · Novig 69¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Tyler WarrenIND v DAL | 50+ rec yds | DAL @ IND | 39.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +133 | o +128 / u -230 | over · Kalshi 42.7¢under · Kalshi 64.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
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Same props on both venues: Kalshi vs Polymarket US
Cowboys at Colts · same player, stat and threshold · cost to buy after fees · as of 3:20 PM ET
| Player prop (144) | Kalshi3:20 PM ET | Polymarket USPolymarketPartner4:03 PM ET | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Flournoy 40+ rec yds | no current price | 49¢50.7¢ after fees | — |
| Laquon Treadwell anytime TD | no current price | 16¢16.9¢ after fees | — |
| Javonte Williams 100+ rush yds | no current price | 25¢26.3¢ after fees | — |
| CeeDee Lamb anytime TD | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jonathan Mingo anytime TD | no current price | 12¢12.7¢ after fees | — |
| George Pickens first TD | 9¢9.6¢ after fees | 11¢11.7¢ after fees | Kalshi2.1¢ less |
| Dak Prescott anytime TD | no current price | 15¢15.9¢ after fees | — |
| Dak Prescott 275+ pass yds | no current price | 45¢46.7¢ after fees | — |
| Jonathan Taylor anytime TD | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Ryan Flournoy 30+ rec yds | no current price | 62¢63.6¢ after fees | — |
| George Pickens 70+ rec yds | no current price | 47¢48.7¢ after fees | — |
| Daniel Jones 200+ pass yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Dak Prescott 3+ pass TDs | no current price | 38¢39.6¢ after fees | — |
| George Pickens 60+ rec yds | no current price | 56¢57.7¢ after fees | — |
| Javonte Williams anytime TD | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Javonte Williams 50+ rush yds | no current price | 77¢78.2¢ after fees | — |
| CeeDee Lamb 60+ rec yds | no current price | 74¢75.3¢ after fees | — |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford first TD | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | 6¢6.4¢ after fees | Kalshi1.1¢ less |
| Jonathan Taylor first TD | 14¢14.8¢ after fees | 15¢15.9¢ after fees | Kalshi1¢ less |
| Jonathan Mingo 2+ TDs | no current price | 2¢2.1¢ after fees | — |
| Javonte Williams 70+ rush yds | no current price | 54¢55.7¢ after fees | — |
| Jonathan Taylor 2+ TDs | no current price | 19¢20.1¢ after fees | — |
| Dak Prescott 225+ pass yds | no current price | 75¢76.3¢ after fees | — |
| George Pickens anytime TD | no current price | 40¢41.7¢ after fees | — |
| Ryan Flournoy anytime TD | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Tyler Warren 2+ TDs | no current price | 8¢8.5¢ after fees | — |
| Dak Prescott first TD | 2¢2.1¢ after fees | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | Kalshi1.1¢ less |
| Javonte Williams 2+ TDs | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Javonte Williams 80+ rush yds | no current price | 43¢44.7¢ after fees | — |
| CeeDee Lamb 2+ TDs | no current price | 14¢14.8¢ after fees | — |
| Dak Prescott 175+ pass yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| George Pickens 2+ TDs | no current price | 9¢9.6¢ after fees | — |
| Jonathan Taylor 50+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Dak Prescott 300+ pass yds | no current price | 32¢33.5¢ after fees | — |
| Dak Prescott 250+ pass yds | no current price | 61¢62.7¢ after fees | — |
| George Pickens 80+ rec yds | no current price | 37¢38.6¢ after fees | — |
| Javonte Williams 90+ rush yds | no current price | 34¢35.6¢ after fees | — |
| Tyler Warren anytime TD | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Tyler Warren 50+ rec yds | no current price | 43¢44.7¢ after fees | — |
| CeeDee Lamb 90+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Javonte Williams 40+ rush yds | no current price | 82¢83¢ after fees | — |
| Dak Prescott 200+ pass yds | no current price | 86¢86.8¢ after fees | — |
| Daniel Jones 2+ pass TDs | no current price | 42¢43.7¢ after fees | — |
| Javonte Williams first TD | 18¢19¢ after fees | 20¢21.1¢ after fees | Kalshi2.1¢ less |
| CeeDee Lamb first TD | 12¢12.7¢ after fees | 13¢13.8¢ after fees | Kalshi1¢ less |
| Ryan Flournoy first TD | 8¢8.5¢ after fees | 8¢8.5¢ after fees | Even |
| Seth McGowan first TD | 7¢7.5¢ after fees | 7¢7.5¢ after fees | Even |
| Tyler Warren first TD | 7¢7.5¢ after fees | 7¢7.5¢ after fees | Even |
| Keenan Allen first TD | 6¢6.4¢ after fees | 6¢6.4¢ after fees | Even |
| Tyler Goodson first TD | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | Even |
| Josh Downs first TD | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | Even |
| Daniel Jones first TD | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | Even |
| Laquon Treadwell first TD | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | Even |
| Jonathan Mingo first TD | no two-sided book | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | — |
| Ashton Dulin first TD | no two-sided book | 2¢2.1¢ after fees | — |
| Deion Burks first TD | no two-sided book | 2¢2.1¢ after fees | — |
| Mo Alie-Cox first TD | no two-sided book | 2¢2.1¢ after fees | — |
| Will Mallory first TD | no two-sided book | 2¢2.1¢ after fees | — |
| Dak Prescott 1+ pass TDs | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Dak Prescott 2+ pass TDs | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Dak Prescott 4+ pass TDs | no current price | 15¢15.9¢ after fees | — |
| Daniel Jones 1+ pass TDs | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Daniel Jones 3+ pass TDs | no current price | 17¢18¢ after fees | — |
| Daniel Jones 4+ pass TDs | no current price | 6¢6.4¢ after fees | — |
| Dak Prescott 325+ pass yds | no current price | 22¢23.2¢ after fees | — |
| Dak Prescott 350+ pass yds | no current price | 13¢13.8¢ after fees | — |
| Daniel Jones 125+ pass yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Daniel Jones 150+ pass yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Daniel Jones 175+ pass yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Daniel Jones 225+ pass yds | no current price | 41¢42.7¢ after fees | — |
| Daniel Jones 250+ pass yds | no current price | 27¢28.4¢ after fees | — |
| Daniel Jones 275+ pass yds | no current price | 18¢19¢ after fees | — |
| Daniel Jones 300+ pass yds | no current price | 11¢11.7¢ after fees | — |
| CeeDee Lamb 5+ receptions | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| CeeDee Lamb 6+ receptions | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| CeeDee Lamb 7+ receptions | no current price | 48¢49.7¢ after fees | — |
| CeeDee Lamb 8+ receptions | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| CeeDee Lamb 9+ receptions | no current price | 26¢27.3¢ after fees | — |
| Javonte Williams 2+ receptions | no current price | 55¢56.7¢ after fees | — |
| Javonte Williams 3+ receptions | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Ryan Flournoy 3+ receptions | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Ryan Flournoy 4+ receptions | no current price | 45¢46.7¢ after fees | — |
| Ryan Flournoy 5+ receptions | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jonathan Taylor 2+ receptions | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jonathan Taylor 3+ receptions | no current price | 47¢48.7¢ after fees | — |
| Jonathan Taylor 4+ receptions | no current price | 28¢29.4¢ after fees | — |
| Tyler Warren 4+ receptions | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Tyler Warren 5+ receptions | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Tyler Warren 6+ receptions | no current price | 48¢49.7¢ after fees | — |
| Tyler Warren 7+ receptions | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Tyler Warren 8+ receptions | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| CeeDee Lamb 100+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| CeeDee Lamb 110+ rec yds | no current price | 29¢30.4¢ after fees | — |
| CeeDee Lamb 120+ rec yds | no current price | 23¢24.2¢ after fees | — |
| CeeDee Lamb 40+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| CeeDee Lamb 50+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| CeeDee Lamb 70+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| CeeDee Lamb 80+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| George Pickens 100+ rec yds | no current price | 21¢22.2¢ after fees | — |
| George Pickens 30+ rec yds | no current price | 86¢86.8¢ after fees | — |
| George Pickens 40+ rec yds | no current price | 77¢78.2¢ after fees | — |
| George Pickens 50+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| George Pickens 90+ rec yds | no current price | 30¢31.5¢ after fees | — |
| Ryan Flournoy 20+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Ryan Flournoy 50+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jonathan Taylor 10+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jonathan Taylor 20+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jonathan Taylor 30+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Tyler Warren 20+ rec yds | no current price | 84¢84.9¢ after fees | — |
| Tyler Warren 30+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Tyler Warren 40+ rec yds | no current price | 57¢58.7¢ after fees | — |
| Tyler Warren 60+ rec yds | no current price | 32¢33.5¢ after fees | — |
| Javonte Williams 60+ rush yds | no current price | 66¢67.6¢ after fees | — |
| Tyler Goodson 10+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Tyler Goodson 20+ rush yds | no current price | 51¢52.7¢ after fees | — |
| Tyler Goodson 30+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jonathan Taylor 100+ rush yds | no current price | 20¢21.1¢ after fees | — |
| Jonathan Taylor 40+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jonathan Taylor 60+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jonathan Taylor 70+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jonathan Taylor 80+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jonathan Taylor 90+ rush yds | no current price | 28¢29.4¢ after fees | — |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford anytime TD | no current price | 22¢23.2¢ after fees | — |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford 2+ TDs | no current price | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | — |
| CeeDee Lamb 3+ TDs | no current price | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | — |
| Dak Prescott 2+ TDs | no current price | 2¢2.1¢ after fees | — |
| Javonte Williams 3+ TDs | no current price | 8¢8.5¢ after fees | — |
| Ryan Flournoy 2+ TDs | no current price | 6¢6.4¢ after fees | — |
| Tyler Goodson anytime TD | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Tyler Goodson 2+ TDs | no current price | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | — |
| Ashton Dulin anytime TD | no current price | 8¢8.5¢ after fees | — |
| Deion Burks anytime TD | no current price | 8¢8.5¢ after fees | — |
| Daniel Jones anytime TD | no current price | 14¢14.8¢ after fees | — |
| Daniel Jones 2+ TDs | no current price | 2¢2.1¢ after fees | — |
| Josh Downs anytime TD | no current price | 24¢25.3¢ after fees | — |
| Josh Downs 2+ TDs | no current price | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | — |
| Jonathan Taylor 3+ TDs | no current price | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | — |
| Keenan Allen anytime TD | no current price | 28¢29.4¢ after fees | — |
| Keenan Allen 2+ TDs | no current price | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | — |
| Laquon Treadwell 2+ TDs | no current price | 2¢2.1¢ after fees | — |
| Mo Alie-Cox anytime TD | no current price | 7¢7.5¢ after fees | — |
| Seth McGowan anytime TD | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Seth McGowan 2+ TDs | no current price | 6¢6.4¢ after fees | — |
| Seth McGowan 3+ TDs | no current price | 2¢2.1¢ after fees | — |
Sponsored by Polymarket US
18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See https://polymarketexchange.com/files/legal/Polymarket%20US%20Rulebook%20(2026.09.30).pdf for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.
Polymarket US only (20)
- Camden Brown anytime TDPolymarket US 6¢
- Camden Brown first TDPolymarket US 2¢
- CeeDee Lamb 19+ fantasy points (PPR)Polymarket US 59¢
- Dak Prescott 1+ interceptions thrownPolymarket US 42¢
- Dak Prescott 2+ interceptions thrownPolymarket US 16¢
- Dak Prescott 40+ passing attemptsPolymarket US 26¢
- Daniel Jones 1+ interceptions thrownPolymarket US 55¢
- Daniel Jones 20+ passing completionsPolymarket US 53¢
- DJ Giddens 2+ TDsPolymarket US 8¢
- DJ Giddens first TDPolymarket US 10¢
- George Pickens 3+ TDsPolymarket US 2¢
- George Pickens 5+ receptionsPolymarket US 52¢
- George Pickens 6+ receptionsPolymarket US 39¢
- Jonathan Taylor 16+ rushing attemptsPolymarket US 39¢
- Jonathan Taylor 20+ fantasy points (PPR)Polymarket US 38¢
- Jonathan Taylor 20+ rushing attemptsPolymarket US 18¢
- Jonathan Taylor 24+ rushing attemptsPolymarket US 7¢
- Keenan Allen 3+ TDsPolymarket US 2¢
- Ryan Flournoy 10+ rec ydsPolymarket US 90¢
- Will Mallory anytime TDPolymarket US 6¢
Kalshi only (125)
- Ryan Flournoy 25+ rec ydsKalshi 67¢
- Dak Prescott 10+ rush ydsKalshi 38¢
- Javonte Williams 20+ rec ydsKalshi 23¢
- Daniel Jones 40+ rush ydsKalshi 7¢
- Dak Prescott 34+ pass attemptsKalshi 50¢
- Javonte Williams 110+ rush ydsKalshi 19¢
- Daniel Jones 15+ rush ydsKalshi 31¢
- Javonte Williams 90+ rush+rec ydsKalshi 46¢
- Dak Prescott 29+ pass attemptsKalshi 81¢
- Dak Prescott 39+ pass attemptsKalshi 27¢
- Daniel Jones 27+ pass attemptsKalshi 80¢
- Daniel Jones 32+ pass attemptsKalshi 51¢
- Daniel Jones 37+ pass attemptsKalshi 30¢
- Dak Prescott 18+ completionsKalshi 88¢
- Dak Prescott 23+ completionsKalshi 50¢
- Dak Prescott 28+ completionsKalshi 20¢
- Daniel Jones 16+ completionsKalshi 85¢
- Daniel Jones 21+ completionsKalshi 50¢
- Daniel Jones 26+ completionsKalshi 19¢
- Dak Prescott 1+ interceptionsKalshi 43¢
- Dak Prescott 2+ interceptionsKalshi 14¢
- Dak Prescott 3+ interceptionsKalshi 6¢
- Dak Prescott 5+ pass TDsKalshi 6¢
- Dak Prescott 375+ pass ydsKalshi 10¢
- Dak Prescott 400+ pass ydsKalshi 5¢
- CeeDee Lamb 10+ receptionsKalshi 15¢
- CeeDee Lamb 11+ receptionsKalshi 10¢
- CeeDee Lamb 12+ receptionsKalshi 7¢
- CeeDee Lamb 13+ receptionsKalshi 6¢
- CeeDee Lamb 4+ receptionsKalshi 88¢
- Javonte Williams 4+ receptionsKalshi 18¢
- Javonte Williams 5+ receptionsKalshi 10¢
- Javonte Williams 6+ receptionsKalshi 6¢
- Javonte Williams 7+ receptionsKalshi 4¢
- Ryan Flournoy 2+ receptionsKalshi 84¢
- Ryan Flournoy 6+ receptionsKalshi 17¢
- Ryan Flournoy 7+ receptionsKalshi 10¢
- Ryan Flournoy 8+ receptionsKalshi 6¢
- Jonathan Taylor 5+ receptionsKalshi 16¢
- Jonathan Taylor 6+ receptionsKalshi 10¢
- Jonathan Taylor 7+ receptionsKalshi 6¢
- Tyler Warren 10+ receptionsKalshi 10¢
- Tyler Warren 11+ receptionsKalshi 7¢
- Tyler Warren 12+ receptionsKalshi 5¢
- Tyler Warren 3+ receptionsKalshi 91¢
- Tyler Warren 9+ receptionsKalshi 15¢
- CeeDee Lamb 130+ rec ydsKalshi 17¢
- CeeDee Lamb 140+ rec ydsKalshi 13¢
- CeeDee Lamb 150+ rec ydsKalshi 10¢
- CeeDee Lamb 160+ rec ydsKalshi 9¢
- CeeDee Lamb 170+ rec ydsKalshi 6¢
- George Pickens 110+ rec ydsKalshi 16¢
- George Pickens 120+ rec ydsKalshi 14¢
- George Pickens 130+ rec ydsKalshi 10¢
- George Pickens 140+ rec ydsKalshi 9¢
- George Pickens 150+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
- Javonte Williams 10+ rec ydsKalshi 46¢
- Javonte Williams 15+ rec ydsKalshi 33¢
- Javonte Williams 25+ rec ydsKalshi 17¢
- Javonte Williams 30+ rec ydsKalshi 13¢
+ 65 more listed on Kalshi only.
Not every market is listed on both venues. A row pairs only the same player, stat and threshold, and the club must agree. The single-venue lists show the ask on the one venue that lists the contract, two-sided books only. Cost after fees is the ask plus each venue’s per-contract taker fee — Kalshi: Taker fee 7% × price × (1 − price) per contract, max 1.75¢. Polymarket US: Taker fee 6.95% × price × (1 − price) per contract, max $1.74 per 100. A price older than 30 minutes shows as no current price.
The Ladder: the shape of the distribution vs every strike
Strikes above, distribution here: our full margin curve beside the Kalshi price at each rung, with the verdict — SHAPE, LOCATION or PRICED. This week's widest gap, auto-advancing.
How to read this board — and what we are not claiming
Consensus is the median de-vigged probability across every sportsbook quoting a line, read at the Kalshi strike — exact when a book quotes that line, interpolated when two quoted lines bracket it, refused when they do not. Kalshi prices are the mid of a real two-sided book only. This page carries at least 40 such strikes or it does not exist; we are not claiming to beat the market, only to show where each price is.
Cowboys vs Colts props — FAQ
What are the player props for Cowboys vs Colts?
44 Kalshi player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Week 9 — passing, rushing, receiving and scoring lines — each shown on this page beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line, with the cheapest venue for each side named.
Where are Cowboys vs Colts player props priced best?
The "best price" column on each strike names the venue with the cheapest price for that side, in cents per $1 of payout — Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks and exchanges at their raw quote. It only appears when at least two venues quote the exact strike, because a best price needs a comparison.
What is the gap column?
The Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus probability read at the same strike, in cents. Positive means Kalshi is pricing the over above the books, negative means it is cheaper. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
Why are some Kalshi strikes not shown here?
Kalshi lists a game's ladder early and most strikes stay unpriced until a day or two before kickoff. This page shows the 44 strikes with a real two-sided book; 211 more are listed and not yet priced. A 1¢ bid against a 99¢ ask is a listing, not a price.
Can you trade NFL player props on Kalshi?
Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists NFL player-prop contracts — for example, will a quarterback record 275 or more passing yards. Each contract settles at $1 if the answer is yes and $0 if no, so its price in cents is the market's implied probability, and traders buy and sell it from each other until it settles.
How is a Kalshi prop different from a prop at the books?
A Kalshi prop is an exchange contract: traders take either side from each other, the price moves with the order book, and a position can be sold before kickoff. At the books the house sets the line. This page reads the books' implied probability at the same line as each Kalshi strike so the two can be compared directly.
What is an Oracle Ladder?
An Oracle Ladder shows every Kalshi strike for one market as a curve — for player props, beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line. Our model's own number is published only between 30% and 70%, the band where it is measured calibrated, and any strike where it sits more than 30 points from the Kalshi price is refused rather than shown.
More NFL Markets
- NFL Week 9 predictions — Model vs. Kalshi on every game on the board right now.
- NFL Week 10 predictions — Next week’s slate, priced the moment the lines open.
- NFL Week 8 results — Final scores and every graded call from the week just played.
- Will Derrick Henry score a TD? Live Kalshi odds → — Henry anytime TD, 2+ TDs and rushing-yard prices for every Ravens game, plus his TD record vs the market
- Markets 101: be the market maker, not the market taker → — Why the first-TD board prices out to ~118%, and how a resting bid a cent under the ask beats paying it
- Heisman odds 2026 — Kalshi vs Polymarket US → — Every contender priced on both exchanges, cheaper venue named, plus Coach Gene’s longshots
- Grok fantasy football — connect the draft desk → — One URL, no key: the grok.com/connectors walkthrough and six prompts
- NFL MCP server — the in-season desk, inside your AI agent → — Kalshi props venue by venue, spread ladders, correlation-aware combos, weekly game edges — free tools, no key
- MCP setup — connect Claude, ChatGPT or Grok in a minute → — One URL, no API key: per-host install steps and troubleshooting
- NFL 2026 Market Guide — the 61-page book → — All 32 teams priced against the market, plus a 153-player draft board
- NFL 2026 Quarter-Season Report — 64 games, 32 teams, priced → — Weeks 1–4 in one book: opening vs closing lines, the Kalshi board Sept 8 vs Oct 8, all 32 team cards
- Madden 27 ratings vs our model vs the market → — All 32 team ratings, our power ratings, and live win-total prices on one board
- NFL Predictions — every game vs the market → — Free fair value vs Kalshi on all 18 weeks
- 2026 NFL Win Totals — model vs Kalshi → — All 32 teams: projected wins vs the KXNFLWINS ladder
- NFL Standings 2026 — projected records + playoff odds → — All 8 divisions: projected record, PWR, division-title and playoff odds
- NFL Schedule Predictor 2026 — every game picked → — Straight-up winner and win probability for all 272 games, plus the 10,000-season sim
- NFL Game Edges — where the model disagrees → — Game-winner, spread & total edges vs Kalshi prices
- NFL MVP Edges → — Live MVP market mispricings vs Kalshi KXNFLMVP
- Win Total Futures → — Monte Carlo season wins vs the Kalshi line
- Championship Edges → — Playoff / conference / Super Bowl probabilities
- Kalshi NFL Markets → — How Kalshi prices every NFL market + live edges
- Power Rankings — the model methodology anchor → — All 32 teams on the points-per-game scale
- Fantasy Draft Assistant — the same model, in your AI agent → — Free MCP draft desk: board, best available, sleepers vs ADP, who-do-I-draft
- NFL Model Calibration Ledger — how accurate is it, actually → — The graded record: 59.6% straight up, 0.236 Brier, and hit rate by confidence bucket across 3,266 games
- NFL Power Ratings tool — build your own PWR board → — Adjust the model weights and re-rank all 32 teams on the points-per-game scale
- NFL Win Probability calculator → — Turn any rating gap, spread or game-winner price into a calibrated win probability
- NFL Power Ratings vs. the Market — where we disagree → — Our PWR and the rating implied by live Kalshi win-total prices, all 32 teams on one points scale