World Cup 2026

2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage Predictions

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations for all 72 group stage matches alongside live Kalshi match-winner prices.

Live · Sim from nightly Monte Carlo, Kalshi prices refresh every 30 min · How the simulation works

Knockout Bracket — Round of 32

Full bracket →

The locked knockout ties — sim win/draw/loss splits. Tap any tie for the full prediction.

Round of 168 ties locked

Canada vs Morocco

2026-07-04 · Round of 16 · NRG Stadium

Sim 21% / 30% / 49%→

Paraguay vs France

2026-07-04 · Round of 16 · Lincoln Financial Field

Sim 4% / 15% / 81%→

Brazil vs Norway

2026-07-05 · Round of 16 · MetLife Stadium

Sim 57% / 26% / 17%→

Mexico vs England

2026-07-06 · Round of 16 · Estadio Banorte

Sim 14% / 24% / 62%→

United States vs Belgium

2026-07-06 · Round of 16 · Lumen Field

Sim 29% / 30% / 41%→

Portugal vs Spain

2026-07-06 · Round of 16 · AT&T Stadium

Sim 23% / 29% / 48%→

Argentina vs Egypt

2026-07-07 · Round of 16 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Sim 68% / 22% / 10%→

Switzerland vs Colombia

2026-07-07 · Round of 16 · BC Place

Sim 30% / 33% / 37%→

Round of 3216 ties locked

South Africa vs Canada

2026-06-28 · Round of 32 · SoFi Stadium

FT 0–1→

Brazil vs Japan

2026-06-29 · Round of 32 · NRG Stadium

FT 2–1→

Netherlands vs Morocco

2026-06-29 · Round of 32 · Estadio Akron

1–1 (pens 2–3)→

Germany vs Paraguay

2026-06-29 · Round of 32 · Gillette Stadium

1–1 (pens 3–4)→

COTCote d'Ivoire vs Norway

2026-06-30 · Round of 32 · AT&T Stadium

FT 1–2→

France vs Sweden

2026-06-30 · Round of 32 · MetLife Stadium

FT 3–0→

Mexico vs Ecuador

2026-06-30 · Round of 32 · Estadio Azteca

FT 2–0→

United States vs Bosnia & Herzegovina

2026-07-01 · Round of 32 · Levi's Stadium

FT 2–0→

England vs DR Congo

2026-07-01 · Round of 32 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium

FT 2–1→

Belgium vs Senegal

2026-07-01 · Round of 32 · Lumen Field

AET 3–2→

Portugal vs Croatia

2026-07-02 · Round of 32 · BMO Field

FT 2–1→

Spain vs Austria

2026-07-02 · Round of 32 · SoFi Stadium

FT 3–0→

Argentina vs Cape Verde

2026-07-03 · Round of 32 · Hard Rock Stadium

AET 3–2→

Australia vs Egypt

2026-07-03 · Round of 32 · AT&T Stadium

1–1 (pens 2–4)→

Colombia vs Ghana

2026-07-03 · Round of 32 · Arrowhead Stadium

FT 1–0→

Switzerland vs Algeria

2026-07-03 · Round of 32 · BC Place

FT 2–0→

Group AMexico · Korea Republic · South Africa · Czechia

Mexico vs Korea Republic

2026-06-18 · MD2 · Estadio Akron

Sim 59/27/14%FT 1–0→

South Africa vs Czechia

2026-06-18 · MD2 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Sim 26/31/43%FT 1–1→

Mexico vs South Africa

2026-06-11 · MD1 · Estadio Azteca

Sim 74/20/7%FT 2–0→

Korea Republic vs Czechia

2026-06-11 · MD1 · Estadio Akron

Sim 48/32/20%FT 2–1→

Mexico vs Czechia

2026-06-24 · MD3 · Estadio Azteca

Sim 64/23/13%FT 3–0→

South Africa vs Korea Republic

2026-06-24 · MD3 · Estadio BBVA

Sim 20/35/45%FT 1–0→

Group BCanada · Switzerland · Qatar · Bosnia & Herzegovina

Canada vs Switzerland

2026-06-24 · MD3 · BC Place

Sim 24/29/47%FT 1–2→

Qatar vs Bosnia & Herzegovina

2026-06-24 · MD3 · Lumen Field

Sim 33/32/35%FT 1–3→

Canada vs Qatar

2026-06-18 · MD2 · BC Place

Sim 75/18/8%FT 6–0→

Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina

2026-06-18 · MD2 · SoFi Stadium

Sim 74/18/9%FT 4–1→

Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina

2026-06-12 · MD1 · BMO Field

Sim 66/20/14%FT 1–1→

Qatar vs Switzerland

2026-06-13 · MD1 · Levi's Stadium

Sim 5/14/81%FT 1–1→

Group CBrazil · Morocco · Scotland · Haiti

Brazil vs Morocco

2026-06-13 · MD1 · MetLife Stadium

Sim 54/27/19%FT 1–1→

Scotland vs Haiti

2026-06-13 · MD1 · Gillette Stadium

Sim 54/28/18%FT 1–0→

Brazil vs Scotland

2026-06-24 · MD3 · Hard Rock Stadium

Sim 82/13/5%FT 3–0→

Morocco vs Haiti

2026-06-24 · MD3 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Sim 78/17/5%FT 4–2→

Brazil vs Haiti

2026-06-19 · MD2 · Lincoln Financial Field

Sim 87/10/2%FT 3–0→

Morocco vs Scotland

2026-06-19 · MD2 · Gillette Stadium

Sim 63/25/12%FT 1–0→

Group DUnited States · Paraguay · Australia · Türkiye

United States vs Paraguay

2026-06-12 · MD1 · SoFi Stadium

Sim 66/22/12%FT 4–1→

Australia vs Türkiye

2026-06-13 · MD1 · BC Place

Sim 35/35/31%FT 2–0→

United States vs Australia

2026-06-19 · MD2 · Lumen Field

Sim 54/28/19%FT 2–0→

Paraguay vs Türkiye

2026-06-19 · MD2 · Levi's Stadium

Sim 19/27/54%FT 1–0→

United States vs Türkiye

2026-06-25 · MD3 · SoFi Stadium

Sim 44/28/28%FT 2–3→

Australia vs Paraguay

2026-06-25 · MD3 · Levi's Stadium

Sim 45/31/24%FT 0–0→

Group EGermany · Cote d'Ivoire · Ecuador · Curacao

Germany vs Cote d'IvoireCOT

2026-06-20 · MD2 · BMO Field

Sim 62/24/14%FT 2–1→

Ecuador vs CuracaoCUR

2026-06-20 · MD2 · Arrowhead Stadium

Sim 78/17/5%FT 0–0→

Germany vs Ecuador

2026-06-25 · MD3 · MetLife Stadium

Sim 57/26/17%FT 1–2→

COTCote d'Ivoire vs CuracaoCUR

2026-06-25 · MD3 · Lincoln Financial Field

Sim 78/16/6%FT 2–0→

Germany vs CuracaoCUR

2026-06-14 · MD1 · NRG Stadium

Sim 94/5/1%FT 7–1→

COTCote d'Ivoire vs Ecuador

2026-06-14 · MD1 · Lincoln Financial Field

Sim 30/32/38%FT 1–0→

Group FNetherlands · Japan · Tunisia · Sweden

Netherlands vs Japan

2026-06-14 · MD1 · AT&T Stadium

Sim 44/26/31%FT 2–2→

Tunisia vs Sweden

2026-06-14 · MD1 · Estadio BBVA

Sim 24/32/44%FT 1–5→

Netherlands vs Tunisia

2026-06-25 · MD3 · Arrowhead Stadium

Sim 64/24/12%FT 3–1→

Japan vs Sweden

2026-06-25 · MD3 · AT&T Stadium

Sim 54/24/22%FT 1–1→

Netherlands vs Sweden

2026-06-20 · MD2 · NRG Stadium

Sim 65/19/16%FT 5–1→

Japan vs Tunisia

2026-06-20 · MD2 · Estadio BBVA

Sim 50/30/20%FT 4–0→

Group GBelgium · Iran · Egypt · New Zealand

Belgium vs Iran

2026-06-21 · MD2 · SoFi Stadium

Sim 53/29/17%FT 0–0→

Egypt vs New Zealand

2026-06-21 · MD2 · BC Place

Sim 54/29/17%FT 3–1→

Belgium vs Egypt

2026-06-15 · MD1 · Lumen Field

Sim 49/29/22%FT 1–1→

Iran vs New Zealand

2026-06-15 · MD1 · SoFi Stadium

Sim 56/27/17%FT 2–2→

Belgium vs New Zealand

2026-06-26 · MD3 · BC Place

Sim 74/18/8%FT 5–1→

Iran vs Egypt

2026-06-26 · MD3 · Lumen Field

Sim 33/33/34%FT 1–1→

Group HSpain · Uruguay · Saudi Arabia · Cape Verde

Spain vs Uruguay

2026-06-26 · MD3 · Estadio Akron

Sim 65/22/13%FT 1–0→

Saudi Arabia vs Cape Verde

2026-06-26 · MD3 · NRG Stadium

Sim 44/32/24%FT 0–0→

Spain vs Saudi Arabia

2026-06-21 · MD2 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Sim 84/14/3%FT 4–0→

Uruguay vs Cape Verde

2026-06-21 · MD2 · Hard Rock Stadium

Sim 64/25/11%FT 2–2→

Spain vs Cape Verde

2026-06-15 · MD1 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Sim 88/11/2%FT 0–0→

Uruguay vs Saudi Arabia

2026-06-15 · MD1 · Hard Rock Stadium

Sim 69/21/10%FT 1–1→

Group IFrance · Senegal · Norway · Iraq

France vs Senegal

2026-06-16 · MD1 · MetLife Stadium

Sim 77/15/8%FT 3–1→

Norway vs Iraq

2026-06-16 · MD1 · Gillette Stadium

Sim 77/17/6%FT 4–1→

France vs Norway

2026-06-26 · MD3 · Gillette Stadium

Sim 66/21/13%FT 4–1→

Senegal vs Iraq

2026-06-26 · MD3 · BMO Field

Sim 82/13/5%FT 5–0→

France vs Iraq

2026-06-22 · MD2 · Lincoln Financial Field

Sim 89/10/2%FT 3–0→

Norway vs Senegal

2026-06-22 · MD2 · MetLife Stadium

Sim 42/22/36%FT 3–2→

Group JArgentina · Austria · Algeria · Jordan

Argentina vs Austria

2026-06-22 · MD2 · AT&T Stadium

Sim 77/16/7%FT 2–0→

Algeria vs Jordan

2026-06-22 · MD2 · Levi's Stadium

Sim 48/31/21%FT 2–1→

Argentina vs Algeria

2026-06-16 · MD1 · Arrowhead Stadium

Sim 82/13/5%FT 3–0→

Austria vs Jordan

2026-06-16 · MD1 · Levi's Stadium

Sim 65/21/14%FT 3–1→

Argentina vs Jordan

2026-06-27 · MD3 · AT&T Stadium

Sim 85/12/3%FT 3–1→

Algeria vs Austria

2026-06-27 · MD3 · Arrowhead Stadium

Sim 27/25/48%FT 3–3→

Group KPortugal · Colombia · Uzbekistan · DR Congo

Portugal vs Colombia

2026-06-27 · MD3 · Hard Rock Stadium

Sim 50/28/22%FT 0–0→

Uzbekistan vs DR Congo

2026-06-27 · MD3 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Sim 35/31/34%FT 1–3→

Portugal vs Uzbekistan

2026-06-23 · MD2 · NRG Stadium

Sim 86/11/3%FT 5–0→

Colombia vs DR Congo

2026-06-23 · MD2 · Estadio Akron

Sim 57/28/15%FT 1–0→

Portugal vs DR Congo

2026-06-17 · MD1 · NRG Stadium

Sim 70/21/9%FT 1–1→

Colombia vs Uzbekistan

2026-06-17 · MD1 · Estadio Azteca

Sim 71/20/9%FT 3–1→

Group LEngland · Croatia · Ghana · Panama

England vs Croatia

2026-06-17 · MD1 · AT&T Stadium

Sim 60/25/15%FT 4–2→

Ghana vs Panama

2026-06-17 · MD1 · BMO Field

Sim 36/37/27%FT 1–0→

England vs Ghana

2026-06-23 · MD2 · Gillette Stadium

Sim 74/20/6%FT 0–0→

Croatia vs Panama

2026-06-23 · MD2 · BMO Field

Sim 69/21/10%FT 1–0→

England vs Panama

2026-06-27 · MD3 · MetLife Stadium

Sim 89/9/2%FT 2–0→

Croatia vs Ghana

2026-06-27 · MD3 · Lincoln Financial Field

Sim 55/28/17%FT 2–1→

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