Soccer is the world's most-traded sport on global prediction markets. While US-focused platforms like Kalshi are still building out their soccer coverage, Polymarket sees massive volume on Champions League, World Cup, and top European league outcomes.
Soccer Markets on Kalshi
Kalshi has been expanding its soccer coverage with:
- MLS — regular season game winners and playoff futures
- World Cup 2026 — tournament winner and group stage markets
- Champions League — knockout stage and final markets
- Copa América and other tournaments
Soccer Markets on Polymarket
Polymarket has significantly deeper soccer liquidity, particularly for:
- Premier League — title race, top 4, relegation
- Champions League — winner, semifinal matchups
- International tournaments — World Cup qualifying, Euros
Note: Polymarket is geo-restricted for US traders. See our Polymarket US guide.
How to Trade Soccer Prediction Markets
Soccer prediction markets work differently from other sports because of the three-outcome structure (win/draw/loss). On binary platforms like Kalshi, draws are usually bundled with one side.
Key factors for soccer market edges:
- Home field advantage is consistently underpriced in early markets
- Squad rotation around fixtures creates mispricing opportunities
- Referee assignment affects style of play and card/penalty markets
Use the Probability Converter to compare Kalshi cents to European bookmaker odds.
Track soccer and other sports markets on the Kalshi daily movers page.