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Live game edges — model vs. Kalshi, ranked

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Colts vs Jaguars player props — Kalshi prices vs the books

Every Kalshi player-prop strike for this game with a real two-sided book, priced against the sportsbook consensus at the same line and the exchanges that quote it, with the cheapest venue for each side named. Week 8. Game preview and model line →

Quick Answer

As of October 29, 2026, Kalshi lists 40 player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Colts vs Jaguars, Week 8.

Kalshi as of Oct 29, 1:10 PM ET · books as of Oct 29, 1:15 PM ET · 163 Kalshi prop strikes listed for this game · 40 with a real two-sided book · 0 priced against 3+ books

This week on the boardNFL Week 8 predictions →Week 9 predictions →Week 7 results →

Week 8 gamesPanthers at PackersRavens at BillsTitans at BengalsCardinals at CowboysVikings at LionsColts at JaguarsRaiders at JetsBrowns at SteelersFalcons at BuccaneersChargers at RamsChiefs at BroncosPatriots at DolphinsEagles at CommandersBears at Seahawks

Oracle calls for this game

Where our projection disagrees with the Kalshi price by enough. The only thing on this page that says play.

NFL player prop edges — our projection against each Kalshi contract (X or more), on the strike closest to our projection. The call is YES or NO on that contract, the market price is the price of the called side, and the edge is stated on the called side. Rows badged WATCH are not plays; rows badged SKEW are calls where the average projection sits on the other side of the threshold.
PlayerContractMatchupCallOur projOur oddsMktTierTrade
Bhayshul TutenRBWatch60+ rush ydsover 59.5JAX vs INDNO🔒MODERATEBuy NO →

1 of 1 prop · 1 locked (Pro)

Watch — the disagreement is real, but our inputs for that player are limited or contradicted, so we are not calling it a play. Watch rows are capped at MODERATE, can never be the top call, and are graded separately from the published record.

Prop market board — Colts vs Jaguars

Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents. Exchange quotes are raw and one-sided, as quoted. A gap is a price difference, not a call.

🔒 Filter by our call — Pro
Every Kalshi NFL player-prop strike with a two-sided book this week: the Kalshi mid, the sportsbook consensus probability read at that strike, exchange quotes at the same strike, and the gap between Kalshi and consensus in cents. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
PlayerPropGameKalshiConsensusGapNovigProphetXBest priceOur P(over)Trade
Bhayshul TutenRBJAX v IND60+ rush ydsIND @ JAX54.5¢53.5%2bk+1.0¢o -133 / u +122u +100over · ESPN Bet 54.5¢under · Novig 45¢🔒Kalshi →
Parker WashingtonJAX v IND70+ rec ydsIND @ JAX46.0¢46.8%2bk-0.8¢o +100o +106 / u -136over · ProphetX 48.5¢under · ESPN Bet 55.6¢—Kalshi →
Trevor LawrenceJAX v INDanytime TDIND @ JAX22.5¢24.4%exch-1.9¢o +285 / u -525o +270 / u -400over · Kalshi 24.2¢under · Kalshi 79.2¢—Kalshi →
Bhayshul TutenJAX v INDanytime TDIND @ JAX51.5¢50.2%exch+1.3¢o -111 / u -127o -123 / u -105over · Novig 52.6¢under · Kalshi 50.8¢—Kalshi →
Trevor LawrenceJAX v IND250+ pass ydsIND @ JAX47.5¢46.2%exch+1.3¢o +113 / u -127o +102 / u -130over · Novig 46.9¢under · Kalshi 54.7¢—Kalshi →
Chris RodriguezJAX v IND25+ rush ydsIND @ JAX54.5¢55.0%exch-0.5¢o -138 / u +117o -136 / u +106over · ProphetX 57.6¢under · Novig 46.1¢—Kalshi →
Bhayshul TutenJAX v IND2+ TDsIND @ JAX13.5¢off-ladderoff-ladder——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Bhayshul TutenJAX v IND40+ rush ydsIND @ JAX72.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -400—over · Kalshi 76.3¢—Kalshi →
Bhayshul TutenJAX v IND50+ rush ydsIND @ JAX62.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -223—over · Kalshi 67.6¢—Kalshi →
Bhayshul TutenRBJAX v IND70+ rush ydsIND @ JAX40.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +125o +123over · Kalshi 42.7¢🔒Kalshi →
Brenton StrangeJAX v INDanytime TDIND @ JAX30.5¢—one-sidedo +203 / u -355o +205over · BetRivers 30.3¢under · Kalshi 71.5¢—Kalshi →
Brenton StrangeJAX v IND50+ rec ydsIND @ JAX33.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +170o +164over · Novig 37¢—Kalshi →
Brian ThomasJAX v INDanytime TDIND @ JAX12.5¢—one-sidedo +614 / u -1011o +530over · DK 13.3¢under · Kalshi 88.7¢—Kalshi →
Chris RodriguezJAX v INDanytime TDIND @ JAX21.5¢—one-sidedo +335 / u -733o +315 / u -470over · FD 22.7¢under · Kalshi 80.2¢—Kalshi →
Chris RodriguezJAX v IND2+ TDsIND @ JAX2.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Chris RodriguezJAX v IND10+ rush ydsIND @ JAX84.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -567—over · Novig 85¢—Kalshi →
Chris RodriguezJAX v IND30+ rush ydsIND @ JAX45.5¢off-ladderoff-ladder——over · Kalshi 48.7¢under · ESPN Bet 57.4¢—Kalshi →
Daniel JonesIND v JAXanytime TDIND @ JAX10.5¢—one-sidedo +809 / u -900—over · Fanatics 10¢under · Novig 90¢—Kalshi →
Daniel JonesIND v JAX1+ pass TDsIND @ JAX64.0¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Daniel JonesIND v JAX150+ pass ydsIND @ JAX74.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -335—over · Novig 77¢—Kalshi →
Daniel JonesIND v JAX200+ pass ydsIND @ JAX44.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +117 / u -138—over · Novig 46.1¢under · Kalshi 57.7¢—Kalshi →
JAC Jaguars D/STJAX v INDanytime TDIND @ JAX14.5¢—one-sided——over · Kalshi 15.9¢—Kalshi →
Jakobi MeyersJAX v IND50+ rec ydsIND @ JAX33.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +150o +142over · Kalshi 38.6¢—Kalshi →
Jonathan TaylorIND v JAXanytime TDIND @ JAX51.5¢—one-sidedo -122 / u -127—over · Kalshi 54.7¢under · Kalshi 51.8¢—Kalshi →
Jonathan TaylorIND v JAX2+ TDsIND @ JAX13.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Jonathan TaylorIND v JAX40+ rush ydsIND @ JAX75.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -426o -485over · Kalshi 80.2¢—Kalshi →
Jonathan TaylorIND v JAX60+ rush ydsIND @ JAX53.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -135o -142over · Novig 57.4¢—Kalshi →
Jonathan TaylorIND v JAX70+ rush ydsIND @ JAX40.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +120o +113over · Novig 45.5¢—Kalshi →
Josh CameronJAX v INDanytime TDIND @ JAX16.5¢—one-sidedo +400 / u -1011o +385over · BetRivers 15.4¢under · Kalshi 84.9¢—Kalshi →
Laquon TreadwellIND v JAXanytime TDIND @ JAX14.0¢—one-sidedo +525 / u -1567o +425 / u -25000over · BetRivers 14.3¢under · Kalshi 87.8¢—Kalshi →
Parker WashingtonJAX v INDanytime TDIND @ JAX42.5¢—one-sidedo +122 / u -170o -104 / u -148over · Kalshi 44.7¢under · Kalshi 59.7¢—Kalshi →
Parker WashingtonJAX v IND50+ rec ydsIND @ JAX65.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -245o -270over · Kalshi 69.5¢—Kalshi →
Parker WashingtonJAX v IND60+ rec ydsIND @ JAX56.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -150 / u +122o -162over · Kalshi 59.7¢under · Novig 45¢—Kalshi →
Travis HunterJAX v INDanytime TDIND @ JAX13.0¢—one-sidedo +669 / u -809o +620over · Novig 13¢under · Kalshi 88.7¢—Kalshi →
Trevor LawrenceJAX v IND2+ pass TDsIND @ JAX64.0¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Trevor LawrenceJAX v IND175+ pass ydsIND @ JAX84.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -809—over · Kalshi 86.8¢—Kalshi →
Trevor LawrenceJAX v IND200+ pass ydsIND @ JAX74.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -344o -420over · Kalshi 77.3¢—Kalshi →
Trevor LawrenceJAX v IND225+ pass ydsIND @ JAX61.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -170 / u +133—over · Novig 63¢under · Kalshi 41.7¢—Kalshi →
Trevor LawrenceJAX v IND10+ rush ydsIND @ JAX54.0¢off-ladderoff-ladder—o -136 / u +106over · Kalshi 56.7¢under · ProphetX 48.5¢—Kalshi →
Trevor LawrenceJAX v IND15+ rush ydsIND @ JAX39.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -127—over · Kalshi 42.7¢—Kalshi →
40 of 40 two-sided strikes · + 123 listed on Kalshi, not yet priced · Our P(over) is Pro · book consensus as of Oct 29, 1:15 PM ET

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Colts vs Jaguars player prop ladders for Week 8: the Kalshi price at every strike vs the sportsbook consensus
The Colts vs Jaguars prop ladders with the widest market disagreement this week — free to share. Updates as the market moves.

Embed this game’s spread ladder

A live card locked to Colts vs Jaguars, Week 8 — the Kalshi price at every spread strike for this one game — for a preview post or a game-day thread. Free to preview on your own page; publishing runs on an Enterprise license, and the credit line stays on.

Every NFL prediction-market widget.

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<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Colts vs Jaguars, Week 8 Kalshi spread ladder from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/nfl/colts-vs-jaguars-week-08-2026?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-ladder">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

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<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Colts vs Jaguars, Week 8 Kalshi spread ladder from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/nfl/colts-vs-jaguars-week-08-2026?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-ladder">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

Same props on both venues: Kalshi vs Polymarket US

Colts at Jaguars · same player, stat and threshold · cost to buy after fees · as of 1:10 PM ET

Player prop (118)Kalshi1:10 PM ETPolymarket USPolymarketPartner1:38 PM ETBest price
Chris Rodriguez Jr. anytime TDno current priceno two-sided book—
Daniel Jones anytime TDno current price11¢11.7¢ after fees—
Bhayshul Tuten 60+ rush ydsno current price56¢57.7¢ after fees—
Bhayshul Tuten anytime TDno current priceno two-sided book—
Bhayshul Tuten 70+ rush ydsno current price44¢45.7¢ after fees—
Daniel Jones 2+ TDsno current priceno two-sided book—
Chris Rodriguez Jr. 30+ rush ydsno current price48¢49.7¢ after fees—
Daniel Jones 200+ pass ydsno current price46¢47.7¢ after fees—
Parker Washington anytime TDno current priceno two-sided book—
Trevor Lawrence 2+ pass TDsno current price65¢66.6¢ after fees—
Chris Rodriguez Jr. 2+ TDsno current price6¢6.4¢ after fees—
Brenton Strange anytime TDno current priceno two-sided book—
Chris Rodriguez Jr. 10+ rush ydsno current price85¢85.9¢ after fees—
Trevor Lawrence 250+ pass ydsno current price49¢50.7¢ after fees—
Jonathan Taylor 70+ rush ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Laquon Treadwell anytime TDno current price17¢18¢ after fees—
Parker Washington 70+ rec ydsno current price50¢51.7¢ after fees—
Josh Cameron first TD5¢5.3¢ after fees5¢5.3¢ after feesEven
Bhayshul Tuten 2+ TDsno current price17¢18¢ after fees—
Jakobi Meyers 50+ rec ydsno current price40¢41.7¢ after fees—
Bhayshul Tuten first TD14¢14.8¢ after fees17¢18¢ after feesKalshi3.1¢ less
Trevor Lawrence 225+ pass ydsno current price62¢63.6¢ after fees—
Brenton Strange 50+ rec ydsno current price37¢38.6¢ after fees—
Trevor Lawrence anytime TDno current priceno two-sided book—
Josh Cameron anytime TDno current priceno two-sided book—
Trevor Lawrence 200+ pass ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Brian Thomas Jr. anytime TDno current price14¢14.8¢ after fees—
Jonathan Taylor 2+ TDsno current priceno two-sided book—
Jonathan Taylor 60+ rush ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Daniel Jones 1+ pass TDsno current price65¢66.6¢ after fees—
Parker Washington 50+ rec ydsno current price70¢71.5¢ after fees—
Jonathan Taylor 40+ rush ydsno current price79¢80.2¢ after fees—
Bhayshul Tuten 40+ rush ydsno current price79¢80.2¢ after fees—
Trevor Lawrence 175+ pass ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Jonathan Taylor anytime TDno current priceno two-sided book—
Parker Washington 60+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Bhayshul Tuten 50+ rush ydsno current price67¢68.5¢ after fees—
Daniel Jones 150+ pass ydsno current price76¢77.3¢ after fees—
Trevor Lawrence 2+ TDsno current price4¢4.3¢ after fees—
Will Mallory first TD3¢3.2¢ after fees12¢12.7¢ after feesKalshi9.5¢ less
Chris Rodriguez Jr. first TD6¢6.4¢ after fees7¢7.5¢ after feesKalshi1.1¢ less
Parker Washington first TD15¢15.9¢ after fees16¢16.9¢ after feesKalshi1¢ less
Jonathan Taylor first TD15¢15.9¢ after fees15¢15.9¢ after feesEven
Brenton Strange first TD9¢9.6¢ after fees9¢9.6¢ after feesEven
Jakobi Meyers first TD9¢9.6¢ after fees9¢9.6¢ after feesEven
Trevor Lawrence first TD7¢7.5¢ after fees7¢7.5¢ after feesEven
Nate Boerkircher first TD5¢5.3¢ after fees5¢5.3¢ after feesEven
Keenan Allen first TD4¢4.3¢ after fees4¢4.3¢ after feesEven
Brian Thomas Jr. first TD4¢4.3¢ after fees4¢4.3¢ after feesEven
Daniel Jones first TD3¢3.2¢ after fees3¢3.2¢ after feesEven
Laquon Treadwell first TD3¢3.2¢ after fees3¢3.2¢ after feesEven
LeQuint Allen Jr. first TD3¢3.2¢ after fees3¢3.2¢ after feesEven
Deion Burks first TD2¢2.1¢ after fees2¢2.1¢ after feesEven
Mo Alie-Cox first TD2¢2.1¢ after fees2¢2.1¢ after feesEven
Ameer Abdullah first TD2¢2.1¢ after fees2¢2.1¢ after feesEven
Quintin Morris first TD2¢2.1¢ after fees2¢2.1¢ after feesEven
Daniel Jones 2+ pass TDsno current price27¢28.4¢ after fees—
Daniel Jones 3+ pass TDsno current price9¢9.6¢ after fees—
Trevor Lawrence 1+ pass TDsno current price92¢92.5¢ after fees—
Trevor Lawrence 3+ pass TDsno current price35¢36.6¢ after fees—
Trevor Lawrence 4+ pass TDsno current price14¢14.8¢ after fees—
Daniel Jones 100+ pass ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Daniel Jones 125+ pass ydsno current price87¢87.8¢ after fees—
Daniel Jones 175+ pass ydsno current price60¢61.7¢ after fees—
Daniel Jones 225+ pass ydsno current price32¢33.5¢ after fees—
Daniel Jones 250+ pass ydsno current price21¢22.2¢ after fees—
Daniel Jones 275+ pass ydsno current price14¢14.8¢ after fees—
Daniel Jones 300+ pass ydsno current price9¢9.6¢ after fees—
Trevor Lawrence 150+ pass ydsno current price93¢93.5¢ after fees—
Trevor Lawrence 275+ pass ydsno current price36¢37.6¢ after fees—
Trevor Lawrence 300+ pass ydsno current price24¢25.3¢ after fees—
Trevor Lawrence 325+ pass ydsno current price17¢18¢ after fees—
Trevor Lawrence 350+ pass ydsno current price10¢10.6¢ after fees—
Jonathan Taylor 10+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Jonathan Taylor 20+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Jonathan Taylor 30+ rec ydsno current price30¢31.5¢ after fees—
Brenton Strange 20+ rec ydsno current price79¢80.2¢ after fees—
Brenton Strange 30+ rec ydsno current price65¢66.6¢ after fees—
Brenton Strange 40+ rec ydsno current price51¢52.7¢ after fees—
Brenton Strange 60+ rec ydsno current price27¢28.4¢ after fees—
Bhayshul Tuten 10+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Bhayshul Tuten 20+ rec ydsno current price42¢43.7¢ after fees—
Jakobi Meyers 20+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Jakobi Meyers 30+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Jakobi Meyers 40+ rec ydsno current price52¢53.7¢ after fees—
Jakobi Meyers 60+ rec ydsno current price29¢30.4¢ after fees—
Parker Washington 100+ rec ydsno current price26¢27.3¢ after fees—
Parker Washington 110+ rec ydsno current price20¢21.1¢ after fees—
Parker Washington 30+ rec ydsno current price89¢89.7¢ after fees—
Parker Washington 40+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Parker Washington 80+ rec ydsno current price41¢42.7¢ after fees—
Parker Washington 90+ rec ydsno current price34¢35.6¢ after fees—
Jonathan Taylor 100+ rush ydsno current price21¢22.2¢ after fees—
Jonathan Taylor 50+ rush ydsno current price69¢70.5¢ after fees—
Jonathan Taylor 80+ rush ydsno current price36¢37.6¢ after fees—
Jonathan Taylor 90+ rush ydsno current price28¢29.4¢ after fees—
Bhayshul Tuten 80+ rush ydsno current price34¢35.6¢ after fees—
Bhayshul Tuten 90+ rush ydsno current price25¢26.3¢ after fees—
Chris Rodriguez Jr. 20+ rush ydsno current price68¢69.5¢ after fees—
Ashton Dulin anytime TDno current price8¢8.5¢ after fees—
Deion Burks anytime TDno current price9¢9.6¢ after fees—
Keenan Allen anytime TDno current priceno two-sided book—
Keenan Allen 2+ TDsno current price3¢3.2¢ after fees—
Laquon Treadwell 2+ TDsno current priceno two-sided book—
Mo Alie-Cox anytime TDno current price8¢8.5¢ after fees—
Pharaoh Brown anytime TDno current price8¢8.5¢ after fees—
Will Mallory anytime TDno current price17¢18¢ after fees—
Will Mallory 2+ TDsno current priceno two-sided book—
Brenton Strange 2+ TDsno current price6¢6.4¢ after fees—
Brian Thomas Jr. 2+ TDsno current priceno two-sided book—
Josh Cameron 2+ TDsno current price3¢3.2¢ after fees—
Jakobi Meyers anytime TDno current priceno two-sided book—
Jakobi Meyers 2+ TDsno current price6¢6.4¢ after fees—
LeQuint Allen Jr. anytime TDno current price9¢9.6¢ after fees—
Nate Boerkircher anytime TDno current price16¢16.9¢ after fees—
Nate Boerkircher 2+ TDsno current priceno two-sided book—
Parker Washington 2+ TDsno current price13¢13.8¢ after fees—
Quintin Morris anytime TDno current price7¢7.5¢ after fees—
This game on Kalshi →This game on Polymarket US →

Sponsored by Polymarket US

18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See https://polymarketexchange.com/files/legal/Polymarket%20US%20Rulebook%20(2026.09.30).pdf for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.

Polymarket US only (31)

  • Ameer Abdullah anytime TDPolymarket US 6¢
  • Ashton Dulin first TDPolymarket US 2¢
  • Bhayshul Tuten 2+ receptionsPolymarket US 68¢
  • Bhayshul Tuten 3+ receptionsPolymarket US 44¢
  • Bhayshul Tuten 3+ TDsPolymarket US 5¢
  • Bhayshul Tuten 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 26¢
  • Bhayshul Tuten 16+ rushing attemptsPolymarket US 47¢
  • Bhayshul Tuten 30+ rush ydsPolymarket US 89¢
  • Brenton Strange 3+ receptionsPolymarket US 74¢
  • Brenton Strange 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 57¢
  • Brenton Strange 5+ receptionsPolymarket US 40¢
  • Daniel Jones 1+ interceptions thrownPolymarket US 62¢
  • Daniel Jones 20+ passing completionsPolymarket US 51¢
  • Daniel Jones 32+ passing attemptsPolymarket US 58¢
  • Jakobi Meyers 3+ receptionsPolymarket US 67¢
  • Jakobi Meyers 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 45¢
  • Jakobi Meyers 5+ receptionsPolymarket US 31¢
  • Jonathan Taylor 2+ receptionsPolymarket US 75¢
  • Jonathan Taylor 3+ receptionsPolymarket US 53¢
  • Jonathan Taylor 3+ TDsPolymarket US 5¢
  • Jonathan Taylor 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 33¢
  • Jonathan Taylor 120+ scrimmage yardsPolymarket US 24¢
  • Parker Washington 3+ TDsPolymarket US 3¢
  • Parker Washington 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 70¢
  • Parker Washington 5+ receptionsPolymarket US 55¢
  • Parker Washington 6+ receptionsPolymarket US 40¢
  • Pharaoh Brown first TDPolymarket US 2¢
  • Seth McGowan 2+ TDsPolymarket US 4¢
  • Seth McGowan first TDPolymarket US 7¢
  • Trevor Lawrence 1+ interceptions thrownPolymarket US 52¢
  • Trevor Lawrence 20+ passing completionsPolymarket US 51¢

Kalshi only (63)

  • JAC Jaguars D/ST anytime TDKalshi 15¢
  • Chris Rodriguez Jr. 25+ rush ydsKalshi 56¢
  • Travis Hunter anytime TDKalshi 14¢
  • Daniel Jones 325+ pass ydsKalshi 5¢
  • Trevor Lawrence 10+ rush ydsKalshi 55¢
  • Trevor Lawrence 15+ rush ydsKalshi 41¢
  • Travis Hunter first TDKalshi 4¢
  • Trevor Lawrence 5+ pass TDsKalshi 6¢
  • Trevor Lawrence 375+ pass ydsKalshi 7¢
  • Jonathan Taylor 15+ rec ydsKalshi 53¢
  • Jonathan Taylor 25+ rec ydsKalshi 37¢
  • Jonathan Taylor 40+ rec ydsKalshi 18¢
  • Jonathan Taylor 50+ rec ydsKalshi 11¢
  • Jonathan Taylor 60+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
  • Brenton Strange 100+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
  • Brenton Strange 15+ rec ydsKalshi 84¢
  • Brenton Strange 25+ rec ydsKalshi 71¢
  • Brenton Strange 70+ rec ydsKalshi 19¢
  • Brenton Strange 80+ rec ydsKalshi 13¢
  • Brenton Strange 90+ rec ydsKalshi 9¢
  • Bhayshul Tuten 15+ rec ydsKalshi 49¢
  • Bhayshul Tuten 25+ rec ydsKalshi 32¢
  • Bhayshul Tuten 30+ rec ydsKalshi 26¢
  • Bhayshul Tuten 40+ rec ydsKalshi 15¢
  • Bhayshul Tuten 50+ rec ydsKalshi 9¢
  • Bhayshul Tuten 60+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
  • Bhayshul Tuten 70+ rec ydsKalshi 6¢
  • Jakobi Meyers 100+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
  • Jakobi Meyers 110+ rec ydsKalshi 6¢
  • Jakobi Meyers 70+ rec ydsKalshi 20¢
  • Jakobi Meyers 80+ rec ydsKalshi 15¢
  • Jakobi Meyers 90+ rec ydsKalshi 11¢
  • Parker Washington 120+ rec ydsKalshi 15¢
  • Parker Washington 130+ rec ydsKalshi 11¢
  • Parker Washington 140+ rec ydsKalshi 8¢
  • Parker Washington 150+ rec ydsKalshi 6¢
  • Parker Washington 160+ rec ydsKalshi 5¢
  • Daniel Jones 10+ rush ydsKalshi 48¢
  • Daniel Jones 15+ rush ydsKalshi 34¢
  • Daniel Jones 20+ rush ydsKalshi 23¢
  • Daniel Jones 25+ rush ydsKalshi 16¢
  • Daniel Jones 30+ rush ydsKalshi 12¢
  • Daniel Jones 40+ rush ydsKalshi 6¢
  • Jonathan Taylor 110+ rush ydsKalshi 15¢
  • Jonathan Taylor 120+ rush ydsKalshi 11¢
  • Jonathan Taylor 130+ rush ydsKalshi 9¢
  • Jonathan Taylor 140+ rush ydsKalshi 7¢
  • Bhayshul Tuten 100+ rush ydsKalshi 18¢
  • Bhayshul Tuten 110+ rush ydsKalshi 13¢
  • Bhayshul Tuten 120+ rush ydsKalshi 9¢
  • Bhayshul Tuten 130+ rush ydsKalshi 7¢
  • Chris Rodriguez Jr. 15+ rush ydsKalshi 78¢
  • Chris Rodriguez Jr. 40+ rush ydsKalshi 32¢
  • Chris Rodriguez Jr. 50+ rush ydsKalshi 21¢
  • Chris Rodriguez Jr. 60+ rush ydsKalshi 13¢
  • Chris Rodriguez Jr. 70+ rush ydsKalshi 9¢
  • Trevor Lawrence 20+ rush ydsKalshi 30¢
  • Trevor Lawrence 25+ rush ydsKalshi 22¢
  • Trevor Lawrence 30+ rush ydsKalshi 16¢
  • Trevor Lawrence 40+ rush ydsKalshi 9¢

+ 3 more listed on Kalshi only.

Not every market is listed on both venues. A row pairs only the same player, stat and threshold, and the club must agree. The single-venue lists show the ask on the one venue that lists the contract, two-sided books only. Cost after fees is the ask plus each venue’s per-contract taker fee — Kalshi: Taker fee 7% × price × (1 − price) per contract, max 1.75¢. Polymarket US: Taker fee 6.95% × price × (1 − price) per contract, max $1.74 per 100. A price older than 30 minutes shows as no current price.

The Ladder: the shape of the distribution vs every strike

Strikes above, distribution here: our full margin curve beside the Kalshi price at each rung, with the verdict — SHAPE, LOCATION or PRICED. This week's widest gap, auto-advancing.

How to read this board — and what we are not claiming

Consensus is the median de-vigged probability across every sportsbook quoting a line, read at the Kalshi strike — exact when a book quotes that line, interpolated when two quoted lines bracket it, refused when they do not. Kalshi prices are the mid of a real two-sided book only. This page carries at least 40 such strikes or it does not exist; we are not claiming to beat the market, only to show where each price is.

Colts vs Jaguars props — FAQ

What are the player props for Colts vs Jaguars?

40 Kalshi player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Week 8 — passing, rushing, receiving and scoring lines — each shown on this page beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line, with the cheapest venue for each side named.

Where are Colts vs Jaguars player props priced best?

The "best price" column on each strike names the venue with the cheapest price for that side, in cents per $1 of payout — Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks and exchanges at their raw quote. It only appears when at least two venues quote the exact strike, because a best price needs a comparison.

What is the gap column?

The Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus probability read at the same strike, in cents. Positive means Kalshi is pricing the over above the books, negative means it is cheaper. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.

Why are some Kalshi strikes not shown here?

Kalshi lists a game's ladder early and most strikes stay unpriced until a day or two before kickoff. This page shows the 40 strikes with a real two-sided book; 123 more are listed and not yet priced. A 1¢ bid against a 99¢ ask is a listing, not a price.

Can you trade NFL player props on Kalshi?

Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists NFL player-prop contracts — for example, will a quarterback record 275 or more passing yards. Each contract settles at $1 if the answer is yes and $0 if no, so its price in cents is the market's implied probability, and traders buy and sell it from each other until it settles.

How is a Kalshi prop different from a prop at the books?

A Kalshi prop is an exchange contract: traders take either side from each other, the price moves with the order book, and a position can be sold before kickoff. At the books the house sets the line. This page reads the books' implied probability at the same line as each Kalshi strike so the two can be compared directly.

What is an Oracle Ladder?

An Oracle Ladder shows every Kalshi strike for one market as a curve — for player props, beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line. Our model's own number is published only between 30% and 70%, the band where it is measured calibrated, and any strike where it sits more than 30 points from the Kalshi price is refused rather than shown.

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