Chiefs vs Broncos player props — Kalshi prices vs the books
Every Kalshi player-prop strike for this game with a real two-sided book, priced against the sportsbook consensus at the same line and the exchanges that quote it, with the cheapest venue for each side named. Week 8. Game preview and model line →
Quick Answer
As of October 29, 2026, Kalshi lists 41 player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Chiefs vs Broncos, Week 8.
Kalshi as of Oct 29, 12:10 AM ET · books as of Oct 29, 12:15 AM ET · 148 Kalshi prop strikes listed for this game · 41 with a real two-sided book · 1 priced against 3+ books
This week on the boardNFL Week 8 predictions →Week 9 predictions →Week 7 results →
Week 8 gamesPanthers at PackersRavens at BillsTitans at BengalsCardinals at CowboysVikings at LionsColts at JaguarsRaiders at JetsBrowns at SteelersFalcons at BuccaneersChargers at RamsChiefs at BroncosPatriots at DolphinsEagles at CommandersBears at Seahawks
Oracle calls for this game
Where our projection disagrees with the Kalshi price by enough. The only thing on this page that says play.
| Player | Contract | Matchup | Call | Our proj | Our odds | Mkt | Tier | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonah ColemanRBWatch | 20+ rush ydsover 19.5 | DEN vs KC | YES | 🔒 | MODERATE | Buy YES → | ||
1 of 1 prop · 1 locked (Pro)
Watch — the disagreement is real, but our inputs for that player are limited or contradicted, so we are not calling it a play. Watch rows are capped at MODERATE, can never be the top call, and are graded separately from the published record.
Prop market board — Chiefs vs Broncos
Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents. Exchange quotes are raw and one-sided, as quoted. A gap is a price difference, not a call.
| Player | Prop | Game | Kalshi | Consensus | Gap | Novig | ProphetX | Best price | Our P(over) | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonah ColemanDEN v KC | 10+ rec yds | KC @ DEN | 47.5¢ | 49.3%2bk | -1.8¢ | o -104 | o -108 / u -120 | over · Kalshi 50.8¢under · DK 53.1¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Patrick MahomesKC v DEN | 225+ pass yds | KC @ DEN | 51.0¢ | 50.1%3bk | +0.9¢ | o -117 / u -102 | o -117 / u -116 | over · ESPN Bet 52.4¢under · Novig 50.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Bo NixDEN v KC | anytime TD | KC @ DEN | 14.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +488 / u -733 | o +425 / u -25000 | over · DK 16.7¢under · Kalshi 87.8¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Bo NixDEN v KC | 2+ pass TDs | KC @ DEN | 32.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Bo NixDEN v KC | 200+ pass yds | KC @ DEN | 54.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -138 / u +108 | o -138 | over · Kalshi 57.7¢under · Novig 48.1¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Bo NixDEN v KC | 15+ rush yds | KC @ DEN | 51.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -130 | o -128 | over · ProphetX 56.1¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Bo NixDEN v KC | 20+ rush yds | KC @ DEN | 36.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +115 | o +111 | over · Kalshi 44.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Bo NixDEN v KC | 25+ rush yds | KC @ DEN | 27.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +194 | o +215 | over · ProphetX 31.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Bo NixDEN v KC | 30+ rush yds | KC @ DEN | 21.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +285 | o +305 | over · ProphetX 24.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Courtland SuttonDEN v KC | anytime TD | KC @ DEN | 24.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +257 / u -285 | — | over · Kalshi 27.4¢under · Novig 74¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Emmett JohnsonKC v DEN | anytime TD | KC @ DEN | 9.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +900 / u -1076 | — | over · Novig 10¢under · Novig 91.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Evan EngramDEN v KC | anytime TD | KC @ DEN | 14.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +525 / u -733 | — | over · Novig 16¢under · Novig 88¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| J.K. DobbinsDEN v KC | anytime TD | KC @ DEN | 26.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +228 / u -326 | — | over · Kalshi 29.4¢under · Novig 76.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| J.K. DobbinsDEN v KC | 40+ rush yds | KC @ DEN | 25.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +257 / u -300 | o +215 | over · Novig 28¢under · Novig 75¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jonah ColemanDEN v KC | anytime TD | KC @ DEN | 30.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +217 / u -669 | — | over · Novig 31.5¢under · Kalshi 71.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jonah ColemanDEN v KC | 15+ rush yds | KC @ DEN | 78.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -900 | o -1150 | over · Kalshi 82.1¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jonah ColemanRBDEN v KC | 20+ rush yds | KC @ DEN | 73.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -456 | o -680 | over · Kalshi 77.3¢ | 🔒 | Kalshi → |
| Jonah ColemanDEN v KC | 25+ rush yds | KC @ DEN | 69.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -300 | o -300 | over · Kalshi 72.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jonah ColemanDEN v KC | 30+ rush yds | KC @ DEN | 61.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -217 | o -220 | over · Kalshi 65.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jonah ColemanDEN v KC | 40+ rush yds | KC @ DEN | 49.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -104 / u -111 | o -108 / u -110 | over · Novig 51¢under · ProphetX 52.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kenneth WalkerKC v DEN | anytime TD | KC @ DEN | 54.5¢ | — | one-sided | o -133 / u +127 | — | over · Kalshi 56.7¢under · Novig 44.1¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kenneth WalkerKC v DEN | 50+ rush yds | KC @ DEN | 83.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -1438 | o -1400 | over · Kalshi 87.8¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kenneth WalkerKC v DEN | 60+ rush yds | KC @ DEN | 72.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -614 | o -610 | over · Kalshi 78.2¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kenneth WalkerKC v DEN | 70+ rush yds | KC @ DEN | 66.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -233 | — | over · Kalshi 69.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kenneth WalkerKC v DEN | 80+ rush yds | KC @ DEN | 57.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -156 | — | over · Kalshi 59.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kenneth WalkerKC v DEN | 90+ rush yds | KC @ DEN | 46.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -108 | o +106 | over · ProphetX 48.5¢under · ESPN Bet 53.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kenneth WalkerKC v DEN | 100+ rush yds | KC @ DEN | 37.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +138 | o +136 | over · Kalshi 39.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kenneth WalkerKC v DEN | 110+ rush yds | KC @ DEN | 26.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +199 | o +205 | over · Kalshi 32.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kenneth WalkerKC v DEN | 130+ rush yds | KC @ DEN | 17.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +335 | o +300 | over · Kalshi 20.1¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Patrick MahomesKC v DEN | anytime TD | KC @ DEN | 12.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +614 / u -700 | — | over · Novig 14¢under · Novig 87.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Patrick MahomesKC v DEN | 1+ pass TDs | KC @ DEN | 73.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Patrick MahomesKC v DEN | 2+ pass TDs | KC @ DEN | 37.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Patrick MahomesKC v DEN | 150+ pass yds | KC @ DEN | 84.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -1011 | o -1300 | over · Kalshi 88.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Patrick MahomesKC v DEN | 200+ pass yds | KC @ DEN | 65.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -223 | o -225 | over · Kalshi 68.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Patrick MahomesKC v DEN | 250+ pass yds | KC @ DEN | 36.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +156 / u -186 | o +158 | over · Kalshi 38.6¢under · Novig 65¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Patrick MahomesKC v DEN | 15+ rush yds | KC @ DEN | 44.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +111 | o +104 | over · Kalshi 46.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| RJ HarveyDEN v KC | anytime TD | KC @ DEN | 17.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +400 / u -567 | — | over · DK 18.2¢under · Kalshi 84¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Travis KelceKC v DEN | anytime TD | KC @ DEN | 28.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +228 / u -335 | — | over · DK 30.3¢under · Kalshi 73.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Travis KelceKC v DEN | 20+ rec yds | KC @ DEN | 82.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -733 | — | over · Kalshi 86.8¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Travis KelceKC v DEN | 30+ rec yds | KC @ DEN | 67.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -300 | — | over · Novig 75¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Xavier WorthyKC v DEN | anytime TD | KC @ DEN | 23.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +233 | o +205 | over · DK 26.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
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Same props on both venues: Kalshi vs Polymarket US
Chiefs at Broncos · same player, stat and threshold · cost to buy after fees · as of 12:10 AM ET
| Player prop (105) | Kalshi12:10 AM ET | Polymarket USPolymarketPartner12:37 AM ET | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Walker III 90+ rush yds | no current price | 50¢51.7¢ after fees | — |
| Kenneth Walker III 80+ rush yds | no current price | 60¢61.7¢ after fees | — |
| Cyrus Allen anytime TD | no current price | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | — |
| Noah Gray 2+ TDs | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| J.K. Dobbins 40+ rush yds | no current price | 27¢28.4¢ after fees | — |
| Xavier Worthy 2+ TDs | no current price | 6¢6.4¢ after fees | — |
| Jonah Coleman anytime TD | no current price | 32¢33.5¢ after fees | — |
| Jonah Coleman 40+ rush yds | no current price | 51¢52.7¢ after fees | — |
| Travis Kelce anytime TD | no current price | 30¢31.5¢ after fees | — |
| Patrick Mahomes anytime TD | no current price | 15¢15.9¢ after fees | — |
| Travis Kelce 30+ rec yds | no current price | 74¢75.3¢ after fees | — |
| Bo Nix anytime TD | no current price | 17¢18¢ after fees | — |
| Kenneth Walker III 100+ rush yds | no current price | 40¢41.7¢ after fees | — |
| Patrick Mahomes 225+ pass yds | no current price | 53¢54.7¢ after fees | — |
| Kenneth Walker III anytime TD | no current price | 57¢58.7¢ after fees | — |
| Bo Nix 300+ pass yds | no current price | 11¢11.7¢ after fees | — |
| Jonah Coleman 20+ rush yds | no current price | 79¢80.2¢ after fees | — |
| Kenneth Walker III 2+ TDs | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jonah Coleman 30+ rush yds | no current price | 67¢68.5¢ after fees | — |
| Bo Nix 200+ pass yds | no current price | 57¢58.7¢ after fees | — |
| RJ Harvey anytime TD | no current price | 19¢20.1¢ after fees | — |
| J.K. Dobbins anytime TD | no current price | 31¢32.5¢ after fees | — |
| Patrick Mahomes 250+ pass yds | no current price | 37¢38.6¢ after fees | — |
| Patrick Mahomes 2+ pass TDs | no current price | 35¢36.6¢ after fees | — |
| Xavier Worthy anytime TD | no current price | 28¢29.4¢ after fees | — |
| Kenneth Walker III 70+ rush yds | no current price | 69¢70.5¢ after fees | — |
| Courtland Sutton anytime TD | no current price | 28¢29.4¢ after fees | — |
| Bo Nix 15+ rush yds | no current price | 55¢56.7¢ after fees | — |
| Bo Nix 2+ pass TDs | no current price | 32¢33.5¢ after fees | — |
| Kenneth Walker III 50+ rush yds | no current price | 87¢87.8¢ after fees | — |
| Bo Nix 30+ rush yds | no current price | 25¢26.3¢ after fees | — |
| Bo Nix 25+ rush yds | no current price | 32¢33.5¢ after fees | — |
| Emmett Johnson anytime TD | no current price | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | — |
| Kenneth Walker III 110+ rush yds | no current price | 32¢33.5¢ after fees | — |
| Evan Engram anytime TD | no current price | 16¢16.9¢ after fees | — |
| Kenneth Walker III 60+ rush yds | no current price | 79¢80.2¢ after fees | — |
| Patrick Mahomes 3+ pass TDs | no current price | 13¢13.8¢ after fees | — |
| Bo Nix 20+ rush yds | no current price | 48¢49.7¢ after fees | — |
| Patrick Mahomes 150+ pass yds | no current price | 90¢90.6¢ after fees | — |
| Patrick Mahomes 200+ pass yds | no current price | 68¢69.5¢ after fees | — |
| Patrick Mahomes 1+ pass TDs | no current price | 72¢73.4¢ after fees | — |
| Jonah Coleman first TD | 10¢10.6¢ after fees | 2¢2.1¢ after fees | Polymarket US8.5¢ less |
| J.K. Dobbins first TD | 9¢9.6¢ after fees | 2¢2.1¢ after fees | Polymarket US7.4¢ less |
| Travis Kelce first TD | 9¢9.6¢ after fees | 2¢2.1¢ after fees | Polymarket US7.4¢ less |
| Xavier Worthy first TD | 9¢9.6¢ after fees | 2¢2.1¢ after fees | Polymarket US7.4¢ less |
| Evan Engram first TD | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | 2¢2.1¢ after fees | Polymarket US3.2¢ less |
| Courtland Sutton first TD | 8¢8.5¢ after fees | 7¢7.5¢ after fees | Polymarket US1.1¢ less |
| RJ Harvey first TD | 6¢6.4¢ after fees | 6¢6.4¢ after fees | Even |
| Bo Nix first TD | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | Even |
| Troy Franklin first TD | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | Even |
| Jalen Royals first TD | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | Even |
| Patrick Mahomes first TD | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | Even |
| Andrew Armstrong first TD | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | Even |
| Cyrus Allen first TD | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | Even |
| Emmett Johnson first TD | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | Even |
| Adam Trautman first TD | 2¢2.1¢ after fees | 2¢2.1¢ after fees | Even |
| Nate Adkins first TD | 2¢2.1¢ after fees | 2¢2.1¢ after fees | Even |
| Lil'Jordan Humphrey first TD | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Kenneth Walker III first TD | 21¢22.2¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Noah Gray first TD | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Bo Nix 1+ pass TDs | no current price | 68¢69.5¢ after fees | — |
| Bo Nix 3+ pass TDs | no current price | 10¢10.6¢ after fees | — |
| Bo Nix 4+ pass TDs | no current price | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | — |
| Patrick Mahomes 4+ pass TDs | no current price | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | — |
| Bo Nix 150+ pass yds | no current price | 85¢85.9¢ after fees | — |
| Bo Nix 175+ pass yds | no current price | 72¢73.4¢ after fees | — |
| Bo Nix 225+ pass yds | no current price | 42¢43.7¢ after fees | — |
| Bo Nix 250+ pass yds | no current price | 28¢29.4¢ after fees | — |
| Bo Nix 275+ pass yds | no current price | 18¢19¢ after fees | — |
| Patrick Mahomes 175+ pass yds | no current price | 81¢82.1¢ after fees | — |
| Patrick Mahomes 275+ pass yds | no current price | 26¢27.3¢ after fees | — |
| Patrick Mahomes 300+ pass yds | no current price | 16¢16.9¢ after fees | — |
| Patrick Mahomes 325+ pass yds | no current price | 11¢11.7¢ after fees | — |
| Kenneth Walker III 10+ rec yds | no current price | 75¢76.3¢ after fees | — |
| Kenneth Walker III 20+ rec yds | no current price | 50¢51.7¢ after fees | — |
| Kenneth Walker III 30+ rec yds | no current price | 35¢36.6¢ after fees | — |
| Travis Kelce 40+ rec yds | no current price | 61¢62.7¢ after fees | — |
| Travis Kelce 50+ rec yds | no current price | 49¢50.7¢ after fees | — |
| Travis Kelce 60+ rec yds | no current price | 37¢38.6¢ after fees | — |
| Travis Kelce 70+ rec yds | no current price | 29¢30.4¢ after fees | — |
| Bo Nix 10+ rush yds | no current price | 71¢72.4¢ after fees | — |
| Jonah Coleman 50+ rush yds | no current price | 38¢39.6¢ after fees | — |
| Jonah Coleman 60+ rush yds | no current price | 28¢29.4¢ after fees | — |
| J.K. Dobbins 10+ rush yds | no current price | 80¢81.1¢ after fees | — |
| J.K. Dobbins 20+ rush yds | no current price | 62¢63.6¢ after fees | — |
| J.K. Dobbins 30+ rush yds | no current price | 40¢41.7¢ after fees | — |
| J.K. Dobbins 50+ rush yds | no current price | 18¢19¢ after fees | — |
| Adam Trautman anytime TD | no current price | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | — |
| Bo Nix 2+ TDs | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Courtland Sutton 2+ TDs | no current price | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | — |
| Evan Engram 2+ TDs | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jonah Coleman 2+ TDs | no current price | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | — |
| J.K. Dobbins 2+ TDs | no current price | 6¢6.4¢ after fees | — |
| Lil'Jordan Humphrey anytime TD | no current price | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | — |
| Nate Adkins anytime TD | no current price | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | — |
| RJ Harvey 2+ TDs | no current price | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | — |
| Troy Franklin anytime TD | no current price | 16¢16.9¢ after fees | — |
| Troy Franklin 2+ TDs | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Andrew Armstrong anytime TD | no current price | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | — |
| Emmett Johnson 2+ TDs | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jalen Royals anytime TD | no current price | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | — |
| Jalen Royals 2+ TDs | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Noah Gray anytime TD | no current price | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | — |
| Patrick Mahomes 2+ TDs | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Travis Kelce 2+ TDs | no current price | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | — |
Sponsored by Polymarket US
18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See https://polymarketexchange.com/files/legal/Polymarket%20US%20Rulebook%20(2026.09.30).pdf for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.
Polymarket US only (8)
- Bo Nix 1+ interceptions thrownPolymarket US 49¢
- Kenneth Walker 3+ receptionsPolymarket US 60¢
- Kenneth Walker 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 41¢
- Kenneth Walker 5+ receptionsPolymarket US 2¢
- Patrick Mahomes 1+ interceptions thrownPolymarket US 54¢
- Travis Kelce 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 69¢
- Travis Kelce 5+ receptionsPolymarket US 46¢
- Travis Kelce 6+ receptionsPolymarket US 38¢
Kalshi only (62)
- Jonah Coleman 15+ rush ydsKalshi 81¢
- Kenneth Walker III 60+ rec ydsKalshi 8¢
- DEN Broncos D/ST anytime TDKalshi 15¢
- Jonah Coleman 25+ rush ydsKalshi 71¢
- Kenneth Walker III 130+ rush ydsKalshi 19¢
- Patrick Mahomes 15+ rush ydsKalshi 45¢
- Jonah Coleman 10+ rec ydsKalshi 49¢
- Travis Kelce 20+ rec ydsKalshi 86¢
- Dallen Bentley first TDKalshi 3¢
- Bo Nix 325+ pass ydsKalshi 7¢
- Patrick Mahomes 350+ pass ydsKalshi 6¢
- Jonah Coleman 15+ rec ydsKalshi 36¢
- Jonah Coleman 20+ rec ydsKalshi 29¢
- Jonah Coleman 25+ rec ydsKalshi 19¢
- Jonah Coleman 30+ rec ydsKalshi 16¢
- Jonah Coleman 40+ rec ydsKalshi 9¢
- Jonah Coleman 50+ rec ydsKalshi 8¢
- RJ Harvey 10+ rec ydsKalshi 79¢
- RJ Harvey 15+ rec ydsKalshi 69¢
- RJ Harvey 20+ rec ydsKalshi 59¢
- RJ Harvey 25+ rec ydsKalshi 46¢
- RJ Harvey 30+ rec ydsKalshi 39¢
- RJ Harvey 40+ rec ydsKalshi 25¢
- RJ Harvey 50+ rec ydsKalshi 16¢
- RJ Harvey 60+ rec ydsKalshi 10¢
- RJ Harvey 70+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
- RJ Harvey 80+ rec ydsKalshi 6¢
- Kenneth Walker III 15+ rec ydsKalshi 62¢
- Kenneth Walker III 25+ rec ydsKalshi 40¢
- Kenneth Walker III 40+ rec ydsKalshi 19¢
- Kenneth Walker III 50+ rec ydsKalshi 12¢
- Kenneth Walker III 70+ rec ydsKalshi 5¢
- Travis Kelce 100+ rec ydsKalshi 10¢
- Travis Kelce 110+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
- Travis Kelce 120+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
- Travis Kelce 80+ rec ydsKalshi 19¢
- Travis Kelce 90+ rec ydsKalshi 14¢
- Bo Nix 40+ rush ydsKalshi 14¢
- Bo Nix 50+ rush ydsKalshi 11¢
- Bo Nix 60+ rush ydsKalshi 7¢
- Jonah Coleman 100+ rush ydsKalshi 7¢
- Jonah Coleman 70+ rush ydsKalshi 19¢
- Jonah Coleman 80+ rush ydsKalshi 14¢
- Jonah Coleman 90+ rush ydsKalshi 10¢
- J.K. Dobbins 15+ rush ydsKalshi 70¢
- J.K. Dobbins 25+ rush ydsKalshi 49¢
- J.K. Dobbins 60+ rush ydsKalshi 11¢
- J.K. Dobbins 70+ rush ydsKalshi 9¢
- Kenneth Walker III 120+ rush ydsKalshi 25¢
- Kenneth Walker III 140+ rush ydsKalshi 14¢
- Kenneth Walker III 150+ rush ydsKalshi 11¢
- Kenneth Walker III 160+ rush ydsKalshi 9¢
- Kenneth Walker III 170+ rush ydsKalshi 7¢
- Patrick Mahomes 10+ rush ydsKalshi 61¢
- Patrick Mahomes 20+ rush ydsKalshi 35¢
- Patrick Mahomes 25+ rush ydsKalshi 23¢
- Patrick Mahomes 30+ rush ydsKalshi 18¢
- Patrick Mahomes 40+ rush ydsKalshi 11¢
- Patrick Mahomes 50+ rush ydsKalshi 7¢
- Dallen Bentley anytime TDKalshi 6¢
+ 2 more listed on Kalshi only.
Not every market is listed on both venues. A row pairs only the same player, stat and threshold, and the club must agree. The single-venue lists show the ask on the one venue that lists the contract, two-sided books only. Cost after fees is the ask plus each venue’s per-contract taker fee — Kalshi: Taker fee 7% × price × (1 − price) per contract, max 1.75¢. Polymarket US: Taker fee 6.95% × price × (1 − price) per contract, max $1.74 per 100. A price older than 30 minutes shows as no current price.
The Ladder: the shape of the distribution vs every strike
Strikes above, distribution here: our full margin curve beside the Kalshi price at each rung, with the verdict — SHAPE, LOCATION or PRICED. This week's widest gap, auto-advancing.
How to read this board — and what we are not claiming
Consensus is the median de-vigged probability across every sportsbook quoting a line, read at the Kalshi strike — exact when a book quotes that line, interpolated when two quoted lines bracket it, refused when they do not. Kalshi prices are the mid of a real two-sided book only. This page carries at least 40 such strikes or it does not exist; we are not claiming to beat the market, only to show where each price is.
Chiefs vs Broncos props — FAQ
What are the player props for Chiefs vs Broncos?
41 Kalshi player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Week 8 — passing, rushing, receiving and scoring lines — each shown on this page beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line, with the cheapest venue for each side named.
Where are Chiefs vs Broncos player props priced best?
The "best price" column on each strike names the venue with the cheapest price for that side, in cents per $1 of payout — Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks and exchanges at their raw quote. It only appears when at least two venues quote the exact strike, because a best price needs a comparison.
What is the gap column?
The Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus probability read at the same strike, in cents. Positive means Kalshi is pricing the over above the books, negative means it is cheaper. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
Why are some Kalshi strikes not shown here?
Kalshi lists a game's ladder early and most strikes stay unpriced until a day or two before kickoff. This page shows the 41 strikes with a real two-sided book; 107 more are listed and not yet priced. A 1¢ bid against a 99¢ ask is a listing, not a price.
Can you trade NFL player props on Kalshi?
Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists NFL player-prop contracts — for example, will a quarterback record 275 or more passing yards. Each contract settles at $1 if the answer is yes and $0 if no, so its price in cents is the market's implied probability, and traders buy and sell it from each other until it settles.
How is a Kalshi prop different from a prop at the books?
A Kalshi prop is an exchange contract: traders take either side from each other, the price moves with the order book, and a position can be sold before kickoff. At the books the house sets the line. This page reads the books' implied probability at the same line as each Kalshi strike so the two can be compared directly.
What is an Oracle Ladder?
An Oracle Ladder shows every Kalshi strike for one market as a curve — for player props, beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line. Our model's own number is published only between 30% and 70%, the band where it is measured calibrated, and any strike where it sits more than 30 points from the Kalshi price is refused rather than shown.
More NFL Markets
- NFL Week 8 predictions — Model vs. Kalshi on every game on the board right now.
- NFL Week 9 predictions — Next week’s slate, priced the moment the lines open.
- NFL Week 7 results — Final scores and every graded call from the week just played.
- Will Derrick Henry score a TD? Live Kalshi odds → — Henry anytime TD, 2+ TDs and rushing-yard prices for every Ravens game, plus his TD record vs the market
- Markets 101: be the market maker, not the market taker → — Why the first-TD board prices out to ~118%, and how a resting bid a cent under the ask beats paying it
- Heisman odds 2026 — Kalshi vs Polymarket US → — Every contender priced on both exchanges, cheaper venue named, plus Coach Gene’s longshots
- Grok fantasy football — connect the draft desk → — One URL, no key: the grok.com/connectors walkthrough and six prompts
- NFL MCP server — the in-season desk, inside your AI agent → — Kalshi props venue by venue, spread ladders, correlation-aware combos, weekly game edges — free tools, no key
- MCP setup — connect Claude, ChatGPT or Grok in a minute → — One URL, no API key: per-host install steps and troubleshooting
- NFL 2026 Market Guide — the 61-page book → — All 32 teams priced against the market, plus a 153-player draft board
- NFL 2026 Quarter-Season Report — 64 games, 32 teams, priced → — Weeks 1–4 in one book: opening vs closing lines, the Kalshi board Sept 8 vs Oct 8, all 32 team cards
- Madden 27 ratings vs our model vs the market → — All 32 team ratings, our power ratings, and live win-total prices on one board
- NFL Predictions — every game vs the market → — Free fair value vs Kalshi on all 18 weeks
- 2026 NFL Win Totals — model vs Kalshi → — All 32 teams: projected wins vs the KXNFLWINS ladder
- NFL Standings 2026 — projected records + playoff odds → — All 8 divisions: projected record, PWR, division-title and playoff odds
- NFL Schedule Predictor 2026 — every game picked → — Straight-up winner and win probability for all 272 games, plus the 10,000-season sim
- NFL Game Edges — where the model disagrees → — Moneyline, spread & total edges vs Kalshi prices
- NFL MVP Edges → — Live MVP market mispricings vs Kalshi KXNFLMVP
- Win Total Futures → — Monte Carlo season wins vs the Kalshi line
- Championship Edges → — Playoff / conference / Super Bowl probabilities
- Kalshi NFL Markets → — How Kalshi prices every NFL market + live edges
- Power Rankings — the model methodology anchor → — All 32 teams on the points-per-game scale
- Fantasy Draft Assistant — the same model, in your AI agent → — Free MCP draft desk: board, best available, sleepers vs ADP, who-do-I-draft
- NFL Model Calibration Ledger — how accurate is it, actually → — The graded record: 59.6% straight up, 0.236 Brier, and hit rate by confidence bucket across 3,266 games
- NFL Power Ratings tool — build your own PWR board → — Adjust the model weights and re-rank all 32 teams on the points-per-game scale
- NFL Win Probability calculator → — Turn any rating gap, spread or moneyline into a calibrated win probability
- NFL Power Ratings vs. the Market — where we disagree → — Our PWR and the rating implied by live Kalshi win-total prices, all 32 teams on one points scale