Patriots vs Dolphins player props — Kalshi prices vs the books
Every Kalshi player-prop strike for this game with a real two-sided book, priced against the sportsbook consensus at the same line and the exchanges that quote it, with the cheapest venue for each side named. Week 8. Game preview and model line →
Quick Answer
As of October 29, 2026, Kalshi lists 41 player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Patriots vs Dolphins, Week 8.
Kalshi as of Oct 29, 7:10 AM ET · books as of Oct 29, 7:15 AM ET · 216 Kalshi prop strikes listed for this game · 41 with a real two-sided book · 3 priced against 3+ books
This week on the boardNFL Week 8 predictions →Week 9 predictions →Week 7 results →
Week 8 gamesPanthers at PackersRavens at BillsTitans at BengalsCardinals at CowboysVikings at LionsColts at JaguarsRaiders at JetsBrowns at SteelersFalcons at BuccaneersChargers at RamsChiefs at BroncosPatriots at DolphinsEagles at CommandersBears at Seahawks
Oracle calls for this game
Where our projection disagrees with the Kalshi price by enough. The only thing on this page that says play.
| Player | Contract | Matchup | Call | Our proj | Our odds | Mkt | Tier | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake MayeQBWatch | 2+ pass TDsover 1.5 | NE vs MIA | NOSkew | 1.6 | — | 44¢ | MODERATE | Buy NO → |
1 of 1 prop
Skew — our projection is an average, and on a right-skewed stat a few big games can pull it past a threshold most games never reach. The call comes from the full distribution, not the average; the badge says the two disagree. Never the top call.
Watch — the disagreement is real, but our inputs for that player are limited or contradicted, so we are not calling it a play. Watch rows are capped at MODERATE, can never be the top call, and are graded separately from the published record.
Prop market board — Patriots vs Dolphins
Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents. Exchange quotes are raw and one-sided, as quoted. A gap is a price difference, not a call.
| Player | Prop | Game | Kalshi | Consensus | Gap | Novig | ProphetX | Best price | Our P(over) | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake MayeNE v MIA | 25+ rush yds | NE @ MIA | 49.5¢ | 50.0%6bk | -0.5¢ | o -108 / u -108 | o -110 / u -109 | over · Novig 51.9¢under · Novig 51.9¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Hunter HenryNE v MIA | 40+ rec yds | NE @ MIA | 49.5¢ | 50.0%4bk | -0.5¢ | o -108 / u -104 | o -109 / u -109 | over · ESPN Bet 51.2¢under · Novig 51¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| TreVeyon HendersonNE v MIA | 25+ rush yds | NE @ MIA | 53.5¢ | 53.1%4bk | +0.4¢ | o -138 / u +122 | o -130 / u +101 | over · BetRivers 54.5¢under · Novig 45¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| A.J. BrownNE v MIA | anytime TD | NE @ MIA | 38.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +135 / u -199 | — | over · DK 41.7¢under · Kalshi 65.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| A.J. BrownNE v MIA | 50+ rec yds | NE @ MIA | 56.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -163 | o -176 | over · Kalshi 61.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| A.J. BrownNE v MIA | 60+ rec yds | NE @ MIA | 45.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -102 | o -108 | over · Kalshi 48.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| A.J. BrownNE v MIA | 100+ rec yds | NE @ MIA | 15.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +400 | o +380 | over · Kalshi 19¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Caleb DouglasMIA v NE | anytime TD | NE @ MIA | 18.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +400 | — | over · DK 19¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Corey KinerNE v MIA | anytime TD | NE @ MIA | 12.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +614 / u -641 | o +530 / u -25000 | over · Novig 14¢under · Novig 86.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| DeMario DouglasNE v MIA | anytime TD | NE @ MIA | 23.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +285 / u -441 | — | over · DK 24.4¢under · Kalshi 80.2¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Drake MayeNE v MIA | anytime TD | NE @ MIA | 21.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +317 / u -426 | — | over · DK 22.7¢under · Novig 81¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Drake MayeNE v MIA | 1+ pass TDs | NE @ MIA | 86.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Drake MayeQBNE v MIA | 2+ pass TDs | NE @ MIA | 55.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | 🔒 | Kalshi → |
| Drake MayeNE v MIA | 3+ pass TDs | NE @ MIA | 24.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Drake MayeNE v MIA | 175+ pass yds | NE @ MIA | 82.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -733 | o -800 | over · Kalshi 85.9¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Drake MayeNE v MIA | 200+ pass yds | NE @ MIA | 71.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -308 | o -315 | over · Kalshi 75.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Drake MayeNE v MIA | 225+ pass yds | NE @ MIA | 57.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -156 / u +122 | o -176 | over · Kalshi 60.7¢under · Novig 45¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Drake MayeNE v MIA | 250+ pass yds | NE @ MIA | 41.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +120 | o +118 | over · Kalshi 44.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Drake MayeNE v MIA | 275+ pass yds | NE @ MIA | 28.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | o +186 | over · Kalshi 30.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Drake MayeNE v MIA | 300+ pass yds | NE @ MIA | 16.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +365 | o +355 | over · Kalshi 19¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Drake MayeNE v MIA | 30+ rush yds | NE @ MIA | 39.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | o +138 | over · ProphetX 42¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Efton ChismNE v MIA | anytime TD | NE @ MIA | 16.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +426 / u -614 | — | over · Kalshi 19¢under · Novig 86¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Eli RaridonNE v MIA | anytime TD | NE @ MIA | 18.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +400 / u -456 | — | over · DK 19¢under · Novig 82¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Greg DulcichMIA v NE | 40+ rec yds | NE @ MIA | 32.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +170 | o +150 | over · Novig 37¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Hunter HenryNE v MIA | anytime TD | NE @ MIA | 30.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +194 / u -245 | — | over · DK 33.3¢under · Novig 71¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Hunter HenryNE v MIA | 30+ rec yds | NE @ MIA | 58.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -212 | o -225 | over · Kalshi 64.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Hunter HenryNE v MIA | 50+ rec yds | NE @ MIA | 34.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | o +138 | over · Kalshi 39.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kyle WilliamsNE v MIA | anytime TD | NE @ MIA | 12.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +567 / u -900 | o +530 / u -25000 | over · DK 13.3¢under · Kalshi 89.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Malik WashingtonMIA v NE | anytime TD | NE @ MIA | 22.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +335 / u -376 | — | over · Fanatics 22.7¢under · Novig 79¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Malik WillisMIA v NE | anytime TD | NE @ MIA | 26.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +217 | — | over · BetRivers 28.2¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Malik WillisMIA v NE | 30+ rush yds | NE @ MIA | 60.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -182 | o -184 | over · Kalshi 63.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Malik WillisMIA v NE | 40+ rush yds | NE @ MIA | 42.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +117 | o +118 | over · ProphetX 45.9¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Ollie GordonMIA v NE | anytime TD | NE @ MIA | 42.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +127 / u -141 | — | over · BetRivers 41.2¢under · Novig 58.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Ollie GordonMIA v NE | 2+ TDs | NE @ MIA | 8.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Ollie GordonMIA v NE | 30+ rush yds | NE @ MIA | 85.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -900 | o -1300 | over · Kalshi 88.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Ollie GordonMIA v NE | 50+ rush yds | NE @ MIA | 63.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -212 | o -210 | over · Kalshi 66.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Ollie GordonMIA v NE | 60+ rush yds | NE @ MIA | 51.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -122 | o -122 | over · BetRivers 54.1¢under · Kalshi 52.8¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Rhamondre StevensonNE v MIA | anytime TD | NE @ MIA | 49.5¢ | — | one-sided | o -113 / u +100 | — | over · Kalshi 51.8¢under · Novig 50¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Rhamondre StevensonNE v MIA | 50+ rush yds | NE @ MIA | 46.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -102 | o -104 | over · Kalshi 48.7¢under · ESPN Bet 55.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Rhamondre StevensonNE v MIA | 60+ rush yds | NE @ MIA | 34.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +170 | o +164 | over · Novig 37¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| TreVeyon HendersonNE v MIA | anytime TD | NE @ MIA | 22.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +317 | — | over · Novig 24¢ | — | Kalshi → |
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Same props on both venues: Kalshi vs Polymarket US
Patriots at Dolphins · same player, stat and threshold · cost to buy after fees · as of 8:10 AM ET
| Player prop (148) | Kalshi8:10 AM ET | Polymarket USPolymarketPartner8:37 AM ET | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Raridon anytime TD | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Ollie Gordon II anytime TD | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| A.J. Brown 100+ rec yds | no current price | 20¢21.1¢ after fees | — |
| A.J. Brown 60+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Drake Maye anytime TD | no current price | 24¢25.3¢ after fees | — |
| Drake Maye 275+ pass yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| DeMario Douglas anytime TD | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| A.J. Brown 50+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Rhamondre Stevenson anytime TD | no current price | 55¢56.7¢ after fees | — |
| Hunter Henry anytime TD | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| A.J. Brown anytime TD | no current price | 43¢44.7¢ after fees | — |
| Drake Maye 250+ pass yds | no current price | 46¢47.7¢ after fees | — |
| Drake Maye 2+ pass TDs | no current price | 57¢58.7¢ after fees | — |
| Malik Washington anytime TD | no current price | 22¢23.2¢ after fees | — |
| Caleb Douglas anytime TD | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Drake Maye 25+ rush yds | no current price | 51¢52.7¢ after fees | — |
| Drake Maye 300+ pass yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Hunter Henry 40+ rec yds | no current price | 51¢52.7¢ after fees | — |
| Hunter Henry 30+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Drake Maye 3+ pass TDs | no current price | 26¢27.3¢ after fees | — |
| Ollie Gordon II 50+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Ollie Gordon II 60+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| TreVeyon Henderson first TD | 6¢6.4¢ after fees | 7¢7.5¢ after fees | Kalshi1.1¢ less |
| Malik Willis anytime TD | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Drake Maye 30+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Efton Chism III anytime TD | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Ollie Gordon II first TD | 11¢11.7¢ after fees | 14¢14.8¢ after fees | Kalshi3.2¢ less |
| Greg Dulcich 40+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Drake Maye 200+ pass yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Kyle Williams anytime TD | no current price | 15¢15.9¢ after fees | — |
| Malik Willis 40+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Hunter Henry 50+ rec yds | no current price | 39¢40.7¢ after fees | — |
| Malik Willis 30+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Rhamondre Stevenson 60+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Drake Maye 1+ pass TDs | no current price | 89¢89.7¢ after fees | — |
| Drake Maye 175+ pass yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Ollie Gordon II 30+ rush yds | no current price | 89¢89.7¢ after fees | — |
| TreVeyon Henderson anytime TD | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Drake Maye 225+ pass yds | no current price | 60¢61.7¢ after fees | — |
| Rhamondre Stevenson 50+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Ollie Gordon II 3+ TDs | no current price | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | — |
| Hunter Henry 3+ TDs | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Malik Washington first TD | 6¢6.4¢ after fees | 6¢6.4¢ after fees | Even |
| Malik Willis first TD | 7¢7.5¢ after fees | 8¢8.5¢ after fees | Kalshi1.1¢ less |
| Corey Kiner anytime TD | no current price | 14¢14.8¢ after fees | — |
| Hunter Henry first TD | 8¢8.5¢ after fees | 10¢10.6¢ after fees | Kalshi2.1¢ less |
| A.J. Brown first TD | 11¢11.7¢ after fees | 13¢13.8¢ after fees | Kalshi2.1¢ less |
| Rhamondre Stevenson first TD | 17¢18¢ after fees | 18¢19¢ after fees | Kalshi1¢ less |
| Ollie Gordon II 2+ TDs | no current price | 12¢12.7¢ after fees | — |
| Hunter Henry 2+ TDs | no current price | 7¢7.5¢ after fees | — |
| A.J. Brown 2+ TDs | no current price | 10¢10.6¢ after fees | — |
| Kevin Coleman Jr. first TD | 2¢2.1¢ after fees | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | Kalshi3.2¢ less |
| Corey Kiner first TD | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | 6¢6.4¢ after fees | Kalshi2.1¢ less |
| Greg Dulcich first TD | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | 7¢7.5¢ after fees | Kalshi2.1¢ less |
| Efton Chism III first TD | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | 7¢7.5¢ after fees | Kalshi2.1¢ less |
| Eli Raridon first TD | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | 7¢7.5¢ after fees | Kalshi2.1¢ less |
| DeMario Douglas first TD | 7¢7.5¢ after fees | 9¢9.6¢ after fees | Kalshi2.1¢ less |
| Jaylen Wright first TD | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | Kalshi1.1¢ less |
| Kyle Williams first TD | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | Kalshi1.1¢ less |
| Drake Maye first TD | 7¢7.5¢ after fees | 8¢8.5¢ after fees | Kalshi1.1¢ less |
| Caleb Douglas first TD | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | Even |
| Chris Bell first TD | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | Even |
| Malik Willis 1+ pass TDs | no current price | 64¢65.6¢ after fees | — |
| Malik Willis 2+ pass TDs | no current price | 27¢28.4¢ after fees | — |
| Malik Willis 3+ pass TDs | no current price | 10¢10.6¢ after fees | — |
| Drake Maye 4+ pass TDs | no current price | 9¢9.6¢ after fees | — |
| Malik Willis 125+ pass yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Malik Willis 150+ pass yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Malik Willis 175+ pass yds | no current price | 58¢59.7¢ after fees | — |
| Malik Willis 200+ pass yds | no current price | 44¢45.7¢ after fees | — |
| Malik Willis 225+ pass yds | no current price | 31¢32.5¢ after fees | — |
| Malik Willis 250+ pass yds | no current price | 20¢21.1¢ after fees | — |
| Malik Willis 275+ pass yds | no current price | 13¢13.8¢ after fees | — |
| Drake Maye 150+ pass yds | no current price | 93¢93.5¢ after fees | — |
| Drake Maye 325+ pass yds | no current price | 15¢15.9¢ after fees | — |
| Drake Maye 350+ pass yds | no current price | 11¢11.7¢ after fees | — |
| Chris Bell 10+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Chris Bell 20+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Chris Bell 30+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Caleb Douglas 20+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Caleb Douglas 30+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Caleb Douglas 40+ rec yds | no current price | 52¢53.7¢ after fees | — |
| Caleb Douglas 50+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Caleb Douglas 60+ rec yds | no current price | 30¢31.5¢ after fees | — |
| Greg Dulcich 10+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Greg Dulcich 20+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Greg Dulcich 30+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Greg Dulcich 50+ rec yds | no current price | 26¢27.3¢ after fees | — |
| Malik Washington 20+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Malik Washington 30+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Malik Washington 40+ rec yds | no current price | 54¢55.7¢ after fees | — |
| Malik Washington 50+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Malik Washington 60+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| A.J. Brown 20+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| A.J. Brown 30+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| A.J. Brown 40+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| A.J. Brown 70+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| A.J. Brown 80+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| A.J. Brown 90+ rec yds | no current price | 25¢26.3¢ after fees | — |
| DeMario Douglas 10+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| DeMario Douglas 20+ rec yds | no current price | 70¢71.5¢ after fees | — |
| DeMario Douglas 30+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| DeMario Douglas 40+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| DeMario Douglas 50+ rec yds | no current price | 30¢31.5¢ after fees | — |
| Hunter Henry 20+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Hunter Henry 60+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Rhamondre Stevenson 10+ rec yds | no current price | 70¢71.5¢ after fees | — |
| Rhamondre Stevenson 20+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Rhamondre Stevenson 30+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jaylen Wright 10+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jaylen Wright 20+ rush yds | no current price | 45¢46.7¢ after fees | — |
| Jaylen Wright 30+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Malik Willis 20+ rush yds | no current price | 79¢80.2¢ after fees | — |
| Malik Willis 50+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Malik Willis 60+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Malik Willis 70+ rush yds | no current price | 14¢14.8¢ after fees | — |
| Malik Willis 80+ rush yds | no current price | 9¢9.6¢ after fees | — |
| Ollie Gordon II 40+ rush yds | no current price | 77¢78.2¢ after fees | — |
| Ollie Gordon II 70+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Ollie Gordon II 80+ rush yds | no current price | 33¢34.5¢ after fees | — |
| Ollie Gordon II 90+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Drake Maye 20+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Drake Maye 40+ rush yds | no current price | 26¢27.3¢ after fees | — |
| Rhamondre Stevenson 30+ rush yds | no current price | 78¢79.2¢ after fees | — |
| Rhamondre Stevenson 40+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Rhamondre Stevenson 70+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| TreVeyon Henderson 20+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| TreVeyon Henderson 30+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| TreVeyon Henderson 40+ rush yds | no current price | 30¢31.5¢ after fees | — |
| Chris Bell anytime TD | no current price | 14¢14.8¢ after fees | — |
| Chris Bell 2+ TDs | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Caleb Douglas 2+ TDs | no current price | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | — |
| Greg Dulcich anytime TD | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Greg Dulcich 2+ TDs | no current price | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | — |
| Jaylen Wright anytime TD | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jaylen Wright 2+ TDs | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Kevin Coleman Jr. anytime TD | no current price | 10¢10.6¢ after fees | — |
| Malik Washington 2+ TDs | no current price | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | — |
| Malik Willis 2+ TDs | no current price | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | — |
| Corey Kiner 2+ TDs | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| DeMario Douglas 2+ TDs | no current price | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | — |
| Drake Maye 2+ TDs | no current price | 7¢7.5¢ after fees | — |
| Efton Chism III 2+ TDs | no current price | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | — |
| Eli Raridon 2+ TDs | no current price | 6¢6.4¢ after fees | — |
| Kyle Williams 2+ TDs | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Rhamondre Stevenson 2+ TDs | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Rhamondre Stevenson 3+ TDs | no current price | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | — |
| TreVeyon Henderson 2+ TDs | no current price | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | — |
Sponsored by Polymarket US
18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See https://polymarketexchange.com/files/legal/Polymarket%20US%20Rulebook%20(2026.09.30).pdf for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.
Polymarket US only (22)
- A.J. Brown 3+ TDsPolymarket US 2¢
- A.J. Brown 5+ receptionsPolymarket US 54¢
- Caleb Douglas 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 44¢
- Chris Bell 2+ receptionsPolymarket US 55¢
- Chris Bell 3+ receptionsPolymarket US 30¢
- DeMario Douglas 3+ receptionsPolymarket US 57¢
- Drake Maye 1+ interceptions thrownPolymarket US 53¢
- Drake Maye 24+ passing completionsPolymarket US 32¢
- Drake Maye 32+ passing attemptsPolymarket US 46¢
- Drake Maye 36+ passing attemptsPolymarket US 24¢
- Greg Dulcich 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 47¢
- Hunter Henry 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 52¢
- Malik Washington 5+ receptionsPolymarket US 47¢
- Malik Willis 1+ interceptions thrownPolymarket US 59¢
- Malik Willis 18+ passing completionsPolymarket US 47¢
- Malik Willis 28+ passing attemptsPolymarket US 54¢
- Ollie Gordon II 16+ rushing attemptsPolymarket US 52¢
- Rhamondre Stevenson 3+ receptionsPolymarket US 48¢
- Rhamondre Stevenson 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 28¢
- Rhamondre Stevenson 12+ rushing attemptsPolymarket US 53¢
- Rhamondre Stevenson 16+ rushing attemptsPolymarket US 20¢
- Rhamondre Stevenson 100+ scrimmage yardsPolymarket US 25¢
Kalshi only (89)
- TreVeyon Henderson 25+ rush ydsKalshi 55¢
- A.J. Brown 120+ rec ydsKalshi 10¢
- A.J. Brown 130+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
- Ollie Gordon II 100+ rush ydsKalshi 18¢
- NE Patriots D/ST anytime TDKalshi 16¢
- Will Kacmarek first TDKalshi 2¢
- Drake Maye 5+ pass TDsKalshi 5¢
- Malik Willis 300+ pass ydsKalshi 6¢
- Chris Bell 15+ rec ydsKalshi 57¢
- Chris Bell 25+ rec ydsKalshi 38¢
- Chris Bell 40+ rec ydsKalshi 21¢
- Chris Bell 50+ rec ydsKalshi 13¢
- Chris Bell 60+ rec ydsKalshi 9¢
- Chris Bell 70+ rec ydsKalshi 8¢
- Caleb Douglas 10+ rec ydsKalshi 90¢
- Caleb Douglas 100+ rec ydsKalshi 8¢
- Caleb Douglas 110+ rec ydsKalshi 6¢
- Caleb Douglas 25+ rec ydsKalshi 71¢
- Caleb Douglas 70+ rec ydsKalshi 21¢
- Caleb Douglas 80+ rec ydsKalshi 15¢
- Caleb Douglas 90+ rec ydsKalshi 11¢
- Greg Dulcich 15+ rec ydsKalshi 78¢
- Greg Dulcich 25+ rec ydsKalshi 60¢
- Greg Dulcich 60+ rec ydsKalshi 16¢
- Greg Dulcich 70+ rec ydsKalshi 11¢
- Greg Dulcich 80+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
- Greg Dulcich 90+ rec ydsKalshi 5¢
- Malik Washington 100+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
- Malik Washington 15+ rec ydsKalshi 88¢
- Malik Washington 25+ rec ydsKalshi 74¢
- Malik Washington 70+ rec ydsKalshi 21¢
- Malik Washington 80+ rec ydsKalshi 14¢
- Malik Washington 90+ rec ydsKalshi 10¢
- Ollie Gordon II 10+ rec ydsKalshi 51¢
- Ollie Gordon II 15+ rec ydsKalshi 40¢
- Ollie Gordon II 20+ rec ydsKalshi 30¢
- Ollie Gordon II 25+ rec ydsKalshi 23¢
- Ollie Gordon II 30+ rec ydsKalshi 18¢
- Ollie Gordon II 40+ rec ydsKalshi 11¢
- Ollie Gordon II 50+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
- A.J. Brown 110+ rec ydsKalshi 12¢
- DeMario Douglas 15+ rec ydsKalshi 78¢
- DeMario Douglas 25+ rec ydsKalshi 61¢
- DeMario Douglas 60+ rec ydsKalshi 20¢
- DeMario Douglas 70+ rec ydsKalshi 14¢
- DeMario Douglas 80+ rec ydsKalshi 10¢
- DeMario Douglas 90+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
- Hunter Henry 100+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
- Hunter Henry 110+ rec ydsKalshi 5¢
- Hunter Henry 15+ rec ydsKalshi 86¢
- Hunter Henry 25+ rec ydsKalshi 72¢
- Hunter Henry 70+ rec ydsKalshi 20¢
- Hunter Henry 80+ rec ydsKalshi 14¢
- Hunter Henry 90+ rec ydsKalshi 10¢
- Rhamondre Stevenson 15+ rec ydsKalshi 59¢
- Rhamondre Stevenson 25+ rec ydsKalshi 38¢
- Rhamondre Stevenson 40+ rec ydsKalshi 19¢
- Rhamondre Stevenson 50+ rec ydsKalshi 12¢
- Rhamondre Stevenson 60+ rec ydsKalshi 8¢
- Rhamondre Stevenson 70+ rec ydsKalshi 5¢
+ 29 more listed on Kalshi only.
Not every market is listed on both venues. A row pairs only the same player, stat and threshold, and the club must agree. The single-venue lists show the ask on the one venue that lists the contract, two-sided books only. Cost after fees is the ask plus each venue’s per-contract taker fee — Kalshi: Taker fee 7% × price × (1 − price) per contract, max 1.75¢. Polymarket US: Taker fee 6.95% × price × (1 − price) per contract, max $1.74 per 100. A price older than 30 minutes shows as no current price.
The Ladder: the shape of the distribution vs every strike
Strikes above, distribution here: our full margin curve beside the Kalshi price at each rung, with the verdict — SHAPE, LOCATION or PRICED. This week's widest gap, auto-advancing.
How to read this board — and what we are not claiming
Consensus is the median de-vigged probability across every sportsbook quoting a line, read at the Kalshi strike — exact when a book quotes that line, interpolated when two quoted lines bracket it, refused when they do not. Kalshi prices are the mid of a real two-sided book only. This page carries at least 40 such strikes or it does not exist; we are not claiming to beat the market, only to show where each price is.
Patriots vs Dolphins props — FAQ
What are the player props for Patriots vs Dolphins?
41 Kalshi player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Week 8 — passing, rushing, receiving and scoring lines — each shown on this page beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line, with the cheapest venue for each side named.
Where are Patriots vs Dolphins player props priced best?
The "best price" column on each strike names the venue with the cheapest price for that side, in cents per $1 of payout — Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks and exchanges at their raw quote. It only appears when at least two venues quote the exact strike, because a best price needs a comparison.
What is the gap column?
The Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus probability read at the same strike, in cents. Positive means Kalshi is pricing the over above the books, negative means it is cheaper. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
Why are some Kalshi strikes not shown here?
Kalshi lists a game's ladder early and most strikes stay unpriced until a day or two before kickoff. This page shows the 41 strikes with a real two-sided book; 175 more are listed and not yet priced. A 1¢ bid against a 99¢ ask is a listing, not a price.
Can you trade NFL player props on Kalshi?
Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists NFL player-prop contracts — for example, will a quarterback record 275 or more passing yards. Each contract settles at $1 if the answer is yes and $0 if no, so its price in cents is the market's implied probability, and traders buy and sell it from each other until it settles.
How is a Kalshi prop different from a prop at the books?
A Kalshi prop is an exchange contract: traders take either side from each other, the price moves with the order book, and a position can be sold before kickoff. At the books the house sets the line. This page reads the books' implied probability at the same line as each Kalshi strike so the two can be compared directly.
What is an Oracle Ladder?
An Oracle Ladder shows every Kalshi strike for one market as a curve — for player props, beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line. Our model's own number is published only between 30% and 70%, the band where it is measured calibrated, and any strike where it sits more than 30 points from the Kalshi price is refused rather than shown.
More NFL Markets
- NFL Week 8 predictions — Model vs. Kalshi on every game on the board right now.
- NFL Week 9 predictions — Next week’s slate, priced the moment the lines open.
- NFL Week 7 results — Final scores and every graded call from the week just played.
- Will Derrick Henry score a TD? Live Kalshi odds → — Henry anytime TD, 2+ TDs and rushing-yard prices for every Ravens game, plus his TD record vs the market
- Markets 101: be the market maker, not the market taker → — Why the first-TD board prices out to ~118%, and how a resting bid a cent under the ask beats paying it
- Heisman odds 2026 — Kalshi vs Polymarket US → — Every contender priced on both exchanges, cheaper venue named, plus Coach Gene’s longshots
- Grok fantasy football — connect the draft desk → — One URL, no key: the grok.com/connectors walkthrough and six prompts
- NFL MCP server — the in-season desk, inside your AI agent → — Kalshi props venue by venue, spread ladders, correlation-aware combos, weekly game edges — free tools, no key
- MCP setup — connect Claude, ChatGPT or Grok in a minute → — One URL, no API key: per-host install steps and troubleshooting
- NFL 2026 Market Guide — the 61-page book → — All 32 teams priced against the market, plus a 153-player draft board
- NFL 2026 Quarter-Season Report — 64 games, 32 teams, priced → — Weeks 1–4 in one book: opening vs closing lines, the Kalshi board Sept 8 vs Oct 8, all 32 team cards
- Madden 27 ratings vs our model vs the market → — All 32 team ratings, our power ratings, and live win-total prices on one board
- NFL Predictions — every game vs the market → — Free fair value vs Kalshi on all 18 weeks
- 2026 NFL Win Totals — model vs Kalshi → — All 32 teams: projected wins vs the KXNFLWINS ladder
- NFL Standings 2026 — projected records + playoff odds → — All 8 divisions: projected record, PWR, division-title and playoff odds
- NFL Schedule Predictor 2026 — every game picked → — Straight-up winner and win probability for all 272 games, plus the 10,000-season sim
- NFL Game Edges — where the model disagrees → — Moneyline, spread & total edges vs Kalshi prices
- NFL MVP Edges → — Live MVP market mispricings vs Kalshi KXNFLMVP
- Win Total Futures → — Monte Carlo season wins vs the Kalshi line
- Championship Edges → — Playoff / conference / Super Bowl probabilities
- Kalshi NFL Markets → — How Kalshi prices every NFL market + live edges
- Power Rankings — the model methodology anchor → — All 32 teams on the points-per-game scale
- Fantasy Draft Assistant — the same model, in your AI agent → — Free MCP draft desk: board, best available, sleepers vs ADP, who-do-I-draft
- NFL Model Calibration Ledger — how accurate is it, actually → — The graded record: 59.6% straight up, 0.236 Brier, and hit rate by confidence bucket across 3,266 games
- NFL Power Ratings tool — build your own PWR board → — Adjust the model weights and re-rank all 32 teams on the points-per-game scale
- NFL Win Probability calculator → — Turn any rating gap, spread or moneyline into a calibrated win probability
- NFL Power Ratings vs. the Market — where we disagree → — Our PWR and the rating implied by live Kalshi win-total prices, all 32 teams on one points scale