Vikings vs Lions player props — Kalshi prices vs the books
Every Kalshi player-prop strike for this game with a real two-sided book, priced against the sportsbook consensus at the same line and the exchanges that quote it, with the cheapest venue for each side named. Week 8. Game preview and model line →
Quick Answer
As of October 28, 2026, Kalshi lists 41 player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Vikings vs Lions, Week 8.
Kalshi as of Oct 28, 8:10 AM ET · books as of Oct 28, 8:15 AM ET · 143 Kalshi prop strikes listed for this game · 41 with a real two-sided book · 3 priced against 3+ books
This week on the boardNFL Week 8 predictions →Week 9 predictions →Week 7 results →
Week 8 gamesPanthers at PackersRavens at BillsTitans at BengalsCardinals at CowboysVikings at LionsColts at JaguarsRaiders at JetsBrowns at SteelersFalcons at BuccaneersChargers at RamsChiefs at BroncosPatriots at DolphinsEagles at CommandersBears at Seahawks
Oracle calls for this game
Where our projection disagrees with the Kalshi price by enough. The only thing on this page that says play.
| Player | Contract | Matchup | Call | Our proj | Our odds | Mkt | Tier | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyler MurrayQBWatch | 2+ pass TDsover 1.5 | MIN vs DET | NO | 0.9 | — | 57¢ | MODERATE | Buy NO → |
1 of 1 prop
Watch — the disagreement is real, but our inputs for that player are limited or contradicted, so we are not calling it a play. Watch rows are capped at MODERATE, can never be the top call, and are graded separately from the published record.
Prop market board — Vikings vs Lions
Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents. Exchange quotes are raw and one-sided, as quoted. A gap is a price difference, not a call.
| Player | Prop | Game | Kalshi | Consensus | Gap | Novig | ProphetX | Best price | Our P(over) | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. HockensonMIN v DET | 40+ rec yds | MIN @ DET | 49.0¢ | 50.0%3bk | -1.0¢ | o -108 / u -135 | o -117 | over · Novig 51.9¢under · DK 52.2¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET v MIN | 85+ rush yds | MIN @ DET | 49.5¢ | 50.1%4bk | -0.6¢ | o -122 / u -115 | o -121 / u -106 | over · DK 52.4¢under · ProphetX 51.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Sam LaPortaDET v MIN | 50+ rec yds | MIN @ DET | 49.0¢ | 49.5%4bk | -0.5¢ | o -102 / u -115 | o -117 / u -117 | over · Novig 50.5¢under · FD 53.3¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Brock WrightDET v MIN | anytime TD | MIN @ DET | 6.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +1233 | — | over · Novig 7.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Isaac TeSlaaDET v MIN | anytime TD | MIN @ DET | 16.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +426 | — | over · Kalshi 19¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET v MIN | anytime TD | MIN @ DET | 71.5¢ | — | one-sided | — | — | over · DK 74¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET v MIN | 2+ TDs | MIN @ DET | 30.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET v MIN | 15+ rec yds | MIN @ DET | 80.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -567 | o -730 | over · Kalshi 84.9¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET v MIN | 50+ rush yds | MIN @ DET | 83.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -770 | o -1000 | over · Kalshi 86.8¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET v MIN | 70+ rush yds | MIN @ DET | 64.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -233 | o -240 | over · Kalshi 69.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET v MIN | 80+ rush yds | MIN @ DET | 55.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -156 | o -156 | over · Kalshi 59.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET v MIN | 90+ rush yds | MIN @ DET | 44.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +100 | o +101 | over · Kalshi 48.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET v MIN | 110+ rush yds | MIN @ DET | 24.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +217 | o +205 | over · Kalshi 31.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jameson WilliamsDET v MIN | anytime TD | MIN @ DET | 29.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +213 | — | over · DK 31.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jameson WilliamsDET v MIN | 50+ rec yds | MIN @ DET | 51.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -125 | o -136 | over · ESPN Bet 53.5¢under · Kalshi 52.8¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jared GoffDET v MIN | anytime TD | MIN @ DET | 6.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +1233 | — | over · DK 6.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jared GoffDET v MIN | 1+ pass TDs | MIN @ DET | 84.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Jared GoffDET v MIN | 2+ pass TDs | MIN @ DET | 53.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Jared GoffDET v MIN | 250+ pass yds | MIN @ DET | 55.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -163 | o -162 | over · Kalshi 59.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jared GoffDET v MIN | 275+ pass yds | MIN @ DET | 43.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +113 / u -144 | o +118 | over · ProphetX 45.9¢under · Novig 59¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jared GoffDET v MIN | 300+ pass yds | MIN @ DET | 26.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +203 | o +205 | over · ProphetX 32.8¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jordan AddisonMIN v DET | anytime TD | MIN @ DET | 21.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +326 | — | over · Novig 23.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Justin JeffersonMIN v DET | anytime TD | MIN @ DET | 34.5¢ | — | one-sided | — | — | over · FD 36.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Justin JeffersonMIN v DET | 2+ TDs | MIN @ DET | 6.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Justin JeffersonMIN v DET | 60+ rec yds | MIN @ DET | 66.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -233 | o -270 | over · Kalshi 69.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Justin JeffersonMIN v DET | 70+ rec yds | MIN @ DET | 57.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -153 | o -170 | over · Novig 60.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Justin JeffersonMIN v DET | 80+ rec yds | MIN @ DET | 47.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +100 | o -108 | over · Novig 50¢under · ESPN Bet 55.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Justin JeffersonMIN v DET | 100+ rec yds | MIN @ DET | 31.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | o +178 | over · Kalshi 33.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Justin JeffersonMIN v DET | 120+ rec yds | MIN @ DET | 19.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +365 | o +300 | over · Kalshi 21.1¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kyler MurrayMIN v DET | anytime TD | MIN @ DET | 13.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +545 / u -9900 | — | over · DK 15.4¢under · Kalshi 88.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kyler MurrayQBMIN v DET | 2+ pass TDs | MIN @ DET | 42.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | 🔒 | Kalshi → |
| Kyler MurrayMIN v DET | 3+ pass TDs | MIN @ DET | 16.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Kyler MurrayMIN v DET | 175+ pass yds | MIN @ DET | 72.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -400 | o -395 | over · Kalshi 79.2¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kyler MurrayMIN v DET | 200+ pass yds | MIN @ DET | 62.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -194 / u +150 | o -200 | over · Kalshi 65.6¢under · Novig 40¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kyler MurrayMIN v DET | 225+ pass yds | MIN @ DET | 47.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -104 / u -117 | o -104 | over · Kalshi 49.8¢under · Novig 53.9¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kyler MurrayMIN v DET | 250+ pass yds | MIN @ DET | 30.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +178 | o +148 | over · Novig 36¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kyler MurrayMIN v DET | 350+ pass yds | MIN @ DET | 5.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +1329 | o +900 | over · Kalshi 6.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Sam LaPortaDET v MIN | anytime TD | MIN @ DET | 27.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +233 | — | over · Fanatics 29.9¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Sam LaPortaDET v MIN | 40+ rec yds | MIN @ DET | 60.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -203 | o -225 | over · Kalshi 65.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| T.J. HockensonMIN v DET | anytime TD | MIN @ DET | 26.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +264 / u -344 | — | over · BetRivers 25¢under · Kalshi 76.3¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| T.J. HockensonMIN v DET | 30+ rec yds | MIN @ DET | 60.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -223 | o -240 | over · Kalshi 68.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
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A live card locked to Vikings vs Lions, Week 8 — the Kalshi price at every spread strike for this one game — for a preview post or a game-day thread. Free to preview on your own page; publishing runs on an Enterprise license, and the credit line stays on.
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Same props on both venues: Kalshi vs Polymarket US
Vikings at Lions · same player, stat and threshold · cost to buy after fees · as of 9:10 AM ET
| Player prop (94) | Kalshi9:10 AM ET | Polymarket USPolymarketPartner9:43 AM ET | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Goff 250+ pass yds | no current price | 58¢59.7¢ after fees | — |
| Kyler Murray 2+ pass TDs | no current price | 43¢44.7¢ after fees | — |
| Justin Jefferson 70+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Kyler Murray anytime TD | no current price | 14¢14.8¢ after fees | — |
| Kyler Murray 250+ pass yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Kyler Murray 275+ pass yds | no current price | 24¢25.3¢ after fees | — |
| Jared Goff anytime TD | no current price | 6¢6.4¢ after fees | — |
| Justin Jefferson 60+ rec yds | no current price | 68¢69.5¢ after fees | — |
| Justin Jefferson 2+ TDs | no current price | 7¢7.5¢ after fees | — |
| Justin Jefferson anytime TD | no current price | 35¢36.6¢ after fees | — |
| Justin Jefferson 80+ rec yds | no current price | 49¢50.7¢ after fees | — |
| T.J. Hockenson anytime TD | no current price | 27¢28.4¢ after fees | — |
| Kyler Murray 3+ pass TDs | no current price | 16¢16.9¢ after fees | — |
| Jahmyr Gibbs 90+ rush yds | no current price | 47¢48.7¢ after fees | — |
| Justin Jefferson first TD | 8¢8.5¢ after fees | 13¢13.8¢ after fees | Kalshi5.3¢ less |
| Jameson Williams anytime TD | no current price | 32¢33.5¢ after fees | — |
| Kyler Murray 225+ pass yds | no current price | 50¢51.7¢ after fees | — |
| Jordan Addison anytime TD | no current price | 23¢24.2¢ after fees | — |
| Jahmyr Gibbs first TD | 23¢24.2¢ after fees | 26¢27.3¢ after fees | Kalshi3.1¢ less |
| Sam LaPorta 50+ rec yds | no current price | 52¢53.7¢ after fees | — |
| Jameson Williams first TD | 8¢8.5¢ after fees | 9¢9.6¢ after fees | Kalshi1.1¢ less |
| Jahmyr Gibbs 2+ TDs | no current price | 33¢34.5¢ after fees | — |
| T.J. Hockenson 30+ rec yds | no current price | 67¢68.5¢ after fees | — |
| T.J. Hockenson first TD | 6¢6.4¢ after fees | 7¢7.5¢ after fees | Kalshi1.1¢ less |
| Justin Jefferson 100+ rec yds | no current price | 33¢34.5¢ after fees | — |
| Jahmyr Gibbs 70+ rush yds | no current price | 67¢68.5¢ after fees | — |
| Kyler Murray first TD | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | Even |
| Jahmyr Gibbs anytime TD | no current price | 74¢75.3¢ after fees | — |
| Kyler Murray 200+ pass yds | no current price | 65¢66.6¢ after fees | — |
| T.J. Hockenson 20+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Justin Jefferson 120+ rec yds | no current price | 23¢24.2¢ after fees | — |
| Sam LaPorta anytime TD | no current price | 30¢31.5¢ after fees | — |
| Kyler Murray 175+ pass yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jahmyr Gibbs 80+ rush yds | no current price | 58¢59.7¢ after fees | — |
| Sam LaPorta 40+ rec yds | no current price | 67¢68.5¢ after fees | — |
| Jared Goff 300+ pass yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Kyler Murray 150+ pass yds | no current price | 88¢88.7¢ after fees | — |
| Jahmyr Gibbs 110+ rush yds | no current price | 29¢30.4¢ after fees | — |
| T.J. Hockenson 40+ rec yds | no current price | 51¢52.7¢ after fees | — |
| Jameson Williams 50+ rec yds | no current price | 55¢56.7¢ after fees | — |
| Jared Goff 2+ pass TDs | no current price | 55¢56.7¢ after fees | — |
| Jordan Mason first TD | 10¢10.6¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Jared Goff 275+ pass yds | no current price | 44¢45.7¢ after fees | — |
| Jared Goff 1+ pass TDs | no current price | 87¢87.8¢ after fees | — |
| Jared Goff 175+ pass yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Sam LaPorta first TD | 8¢8.5¢ after fees | 8¢8.5¢ after fees | Even |
| Jordan Addison first TD | 6¢6.4¢ after fees | 6¢6.4¢ after fees | Even |
| Jared Goff first TD | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Jared Goff 3+ pass TDs | no current price | 24¢25.3¢ after fees | — |
| Jared Goff 4+ pass TDs | no current price | 9¢9.6¢ after fees | — |
| Kyler Murray 1+ pass TDs | no current price | 80¢81.1¢ after fees | — |
| Kyler Murray 4+ pass TDs | no current price | 8¢8.5¢ after fees | — |
| Jared Goff 200+ pass yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jared Goff 225+ pass yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jared Goff 325+ pass yds | no current price | 21¢22.2¢ after fees | — |
| Jared Goff 350+ pass yds | no current price | 12¢12.7¢ after fees | — |
| Jared Goff 375+ pass yds | no current price | 10¢10.6¢ after fees | — |
| Kyler Murray 300+ pass yds | no current price | 14¢14.8¢ after fees | — |
| Kyler Murray 325+ pass yds | no current price | 9¢9.6¢ after fees | — |
| Jahmyr Gibbs 20+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jahmyr Gibbs 30+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jahmyr Gibbs 40+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jahmyr Gibbs 50+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jameson Williams 20+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jameson Williams 30+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jameson Williams 40+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jameson Williams 60+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jameson Williams 70+ rec yds | no current price | 33¢34.5¢ after fees | — |
| Jameson Williams 80+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jameson Williams 90+ rec yds | no current price | 20¢21.1¢ after fees | — |
| Sam LaPorta 30+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Sam LaPorta 60+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Sam LaPorta 70+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jordan Addison 20+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jordan Addison 30+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jordan Addison 40+ rec yds | no current price | 55¢56.7¢ after fees | — |
| Jordan Addison 50+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jordan Addison 60+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Justin Jefferson 110+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Justin Jefferson 40+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Justin Jefferson 50+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Justin Jefferson 90+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| T.J. Hockenson 50+ rec yds | no current price | 37¢38.6¢ after fees | — |
| T.J. Hockenson 60+ rec yds | no current price | 26¢27.3¢ after fees | — |
| Jahmyr Gibbs 100+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jahmyr Gibbs 120+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jahmyr Gibbs 60+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jameson Williams 2+ TDs | no current price | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | — |
| Sam LaPorta 2+ TDs | no current price | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | — |
| Jordan Addison 2+ TDs | no current price | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | — |
| Jordan Mason anytime TD | no current price | 47¢48.7¢ after fees | — |
| Jordan Mason 2+ TDs | no current price | 13¢13.8¢ after fees | — |
| Kyler Murray 2+ TDs | no current price | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | — |
| T.J. Hockenson 2+ TDs | no current price | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | — |
Sponsored by Polymarket US
18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See https://polymarketexchange.com/files/legal/Polymarket%20US%20Rulebook%20(2026.09.30).pdf for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.
Polymarket US only (13)
- Amon-Ra St. Brown 2+ TDsPolymarket US 11¢
- Amon-Ra St. Brown 3+ TDsPolymarket US 6¢
- Amon-Ra St. Brown 7+ receptionsPolymarket US 55¢
- Jahmyr Gibbs 3+ TDsPolymarket US 11¢
- Jahmyr Gibbs 5+ receptionsPolymarket US 49¢
- Jameson Williams 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 47¢
- Jordan Addison 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 45¢
- Jordan Mason 3+ TDsPolymarket US 8¢
- Justin Jefferson 6+ receptionsPolymarket US 58¢
- Kyler Murray 20+ passing completionsPolymarket US 54¢
- Kyler Murray 32+ passing attemptsPolymarket US 50¢
- Sam LaPorta 5+ receptionsPolymarket US 55¢
- T.J. Hockenson 5+ receptionsPolymarket US 47¢
Kalshi only (59)
- Isaac TeSlaa anytime TDKalshi 18¢
- Brock Wright anytime TDKalshi 8¢
- Kyler Murray 350+ pass ydsKalshi 6¢
- MIN Vikings D/ST anytime TDKalshi 12¢
- Jauan Jennings first TDKalshi 4¢
- Jahmyr Gibbs 85+ rush ydsKalshi 51¢
- Jahmyr Gibbs 50+ rush ydsKalshi 86¢
- Jahmyr Gibbs 15+ rec ydsKalshi 84¢
- Brock Wright first TDKalshi 3¢
- Isaac TeSlaa first TDKalshi 5¢
- Sione Vaki first TDKalshi 3¢
- Ben Yurosek first TDKalshi 2¢
- Gavin Bartholomew first TDKalshi 2¢
- Tai Felton first TDKalshi 3¢
- Jared Goff 5+ pass TDsKalshi 5¢
- Jared Goff 400+ pass ydsKalshi 6¢
- Jahmyr Gibbs 25+ rec ydsKalshi 69¢
- Jahmyr Gibbs 35+ rec ydsKalshi 53¢
- Jahmyr Gibbs 60+ rec ydsKalshi 21¢
- Jahmyr Gibbs 70+ rec ydsKalshi 14¢
- Jahmyr Gibbs 80+ rec ydsKalshi 9¢
- Jahmyr Gibbs 90+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
- Jameson Williams 100+ rec ydsKalshi 15¢
- Jameson Williams 110+ rec ydsKalshi 11¢
- Jameson Williams 120+ rec ydsKalshi 8¢
- Jameson Williams 130+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
- Sam LaPorta 100+ rec ydsKalshi 12¢
- Sam LaPorta 110+ rec ydsKalshi 9¢
- Sam LaPorta 120+ rec ydsKalshi 8¢
- Sam LaPorta 25+ rec ydsKalshi 84¢
- Sam LaPorta 80+ rec ydsKalshi 21¢
- Sam LaPorta 90+ rec ydsKalshi 16¢
- Jordan Addison 100+ rec ydsKalshi 8¢
- Jordan Addison 110+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
- Jordan Addison 70+ rec ydsKalshi 23¢
- Jordan Addison 80+ rec ydsKalshi 16¢
- Jordan Addison 90+ rec ydsKalshi 11¢
- Justin Jefferson 130+ rec ydsKalshi 15¢
- Justin Jefferson 140+ rec ydsKalshi 12¢
- Justin Jefferson 150+ rec ydsKalshi 9¢
- Justin Jefferson 160+ rec ydsKalshi 8¢
- Justin Jefferson 75+ rec ydsKalshi 55¢
- T.J. Hockenson 100+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
- T.J. Hockenson 15+ rec ydsKalshi 88¢
- T.J. Hockenson 25+ rec ydsKalshi 75¢
- T.J. Hockenson 70+ rec ydsKalshi 18¢
- T.J. Hockenson 80+ rec ydsKalshi 13¢
- T.J. Hockenson 90+ rec ydsKalshi 9¢
- Jahmyr Gibbs 130+ rush ydsKalshi 17¢
- Jahmyr Gibbs 140+ rush ydsKalshi 13¢
- Jahmyr Gibbs 150+ rush ydsKalshi 11¢
- Jahmyr Gibbs 160+ rush ydsKalshi 8¢
- DET Lions D/ST anytime TDKalshi 14¢
- Isaac TeSlaa 2+ TDsKalshi 3¢
- Sione Vaki anytime TDKalshi 11¢
- Gavin Bartholomew anytime TDKalshi 7¢
- Jauan Jennings anytime TDKalshi 14¢
- Jauan Jennings 2+ TDsKalshi 2¢
- Tai Felton anytime TDKalshi 10¢
Not every market is listed on both venues. A row pairs only the same player, stat and threshold, and the club must agree. The single-venue lists show the ask on the one venue that lists the contract, two-sided books only. Cost after fees is the ask plus each venue’s per-contract taker fee — Kalshi: Taker fee 7% × price × (1 − price) per contract, max 1.75¢. Polymarket US: Taker fee 6.95% × price × (1 − price) per contract, max $1.74 per 100. A price older than 30 minutes shows as no current price.
The Ladder: the shape of the distribution vs every strike
Strikes above, distribution here: our full margin curve beside the Kalshi price at each rung, with the verdict — SHAPE, LOCATION or PRICED. This week's widest gap, auto-advancing.
How to read this board — and what we are not claiming
Consensus is the median de-vigged probability across every sportsbook quoting a line, read at the Kalshi strike — exact when a book quotes that line, interpolated when two quoted lines bracket it, refused when they do not. Kalshi prices are the mid of a real two-sided book only. This page carries at least 40 such strikes or it does not exist; we are not claiming to beat the market, only to show where each price is.
Vikings vs Lions props — FAQ
What are the player props for Vikings vs Lions?
41 Kalshi player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Week 8 — passing, rushing, receiving and scoring lines — each shown on this page beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line, with the cheapest venue for each side named.
Where are Vikings vs Lions player props priced best?
The "best price" column on each strike names the venue with the cheapest price for that side, in cents per $1 of payout — Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks and exchanges at their raw quote. It only appears when at least two venues quote the exact strike, because a best price needs a comparison.
What is the gap column?
The Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus probability read at the same strike, in cents. Positive means Kalshi is pricing the over above the books, negative means it is cheaper. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
Why are some Kalshi strikes not shown here?
Kalshi lists a game's ladder early and most strikes stay unpriced until a day or two before kickoff. This page shows the 41 strikes with a real two-sided book; 102 more are listed and not yet priced. A 1¢ bid against a 99¢ ask is a listing, not a price.
Can you trade NFL player props on Kalshi?
Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists NFL player-prop contracts — for example, will a quarterback record 275 or more passing yards. Each contract settles at $1 if the answer is yes and $0 if no, so its price in cents is the market's implied probability, and traders buy and sell it from each other until it settles.
How is a Kalshi prop different from a prop at the books?
A Kalshi prop is an exchange contract: traders take either side from each other, the price moves with the order book, and a position can be sold before kickoff. At the books the house sets the line. This page reads the books' implied probability at the same line as each Kalshi strike so the two can be compared directly.
What is an Oracle Ladder?
An Oracle Ladder shows every Kalshi strike for one market as a curve — for player props, beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line. Our model's own number is published only between 30% and 70%, the band where it is measured calibrated, and any strike where it sits more than 30 points from the Kalshi price is refused rather than shown.
More NFL Markets
- NFL Week 8 predictions — Model vs. Kalshi on every game on the board right now.
- NFL Week 9 predictions — Next week’s slate, priced the moment the lines open.
- NFL Week 7 results — Final scores and every graded call from the week just played.
- Will Derrick Henry score a TD? Live Kalshi odds → — Henry anytime TD, 2+ TDs and rushing-yard prices for every Ravens game, plus his TD record vs the market
- Markets 101: be the market maker, not the market taker → — Why the first-TD board prices out to ~118%, and how a resting bid a cent under the ask beats paying it
- Heisman odds 2026 — Kalshi vs Polymarket US → — Every contender priced on both exchanges, cheaper venue named, plus Coach Gene’s longshots
- Grok fantasy football — connect the draft desk → — One URL, no key: the grok.com/connectors walkthrough and six prompts
- NFL MCP server — the in-season desk, inside your AI agent → — Kalshi props venue by venue, spread ladders, correlation-aware combos, weekly game edges — free tools, no key
- MCP setup — connect Claude, ChatGPT or Grok in a minute → — One URL, no API key: per-host install steps and troubleshooting
- NFL 2026 Market Guide — the 61-page book → — All 32 teams priced against the market, plus a 153-player draft board
- NFL 2026 Quarter-Season Report — 64 games, 32 teams, priced → — Weeks 1–4 in one book: opening vs closing lines, the Kalshi board Sept 8 vs Oct 8, all 32 team cards
- Madden 27 ratings vs our model vs the market → — All 32 team ratings, our power ratings, and live win-total prices on one board
- NFL Predictions — every game vs the market → — Free fair value vs Kalshi on all 18 weeks
- 2026 NFL Win Totals — model vs Kalshi → — All 32 teams: projected wins vs the KXNFLWINS ladder
- NFL Standings 2026 — projected records + playoff odds → — All 8 divisions: projected record, PWR, division-title and playoff odds
- NFL Schedule Predictor 2026 — every game picked → — Straight-up winner and win probability for all 272 games, plus the 10,000-season sim
- NFL Game Edges — where the model disagrees → — Moneyline, spread & total edges vs Kalshi prices
- NFL MVP Edges → — Live MVP market mispricings vs Kalshi KXNFLMVP
- Win Total Futures → — Monte Carlo season wins vs the Kalshi line
- Championship Edges → — Playoff / conference / Super Bowl probabilities
- Kalshi NFL Markets → — How Kalshi prices every NFL market + live edges
- Power Rankings — the model methodology anchor → — All 32 teams on the points-per-game scale
- Fantasy Draft Assistant — the same model, in your AI agent → — Free MCP draft desk: board, best available, sleepers vs ADP, who-do-I-draft
- NFL Model Calibration Ledger — how accurate is it, actually → — The graded record: 59.6% straight up, 0.236 Brier, and hit rate by confidence bucket across 3,266 games
- NFL Power Ratings tool — build your own PWR board → — Adjust the model weights and re-rank all 32 teams on the points-per-game scale
- NFL Win Probability calculator → — Turn any rating gap, spread or moneyline into a calibrated win probability
- NFL Power Ratings vs. the Market — where we disagree → — Our PWR and the rating implied by live Kalshi win-total prices, all 32 teams on one points scale