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Ravens vs Bills player props — Kalshi prices vs the books

Every Kalshi player-prop strike for this game with a real two-sided book, priced against the sportsbook consensus at the same line and the exchanges that quote it, with the cheapest venue for each side named. Week 8. Game preview and model line →

Quick Answer

As of October 28, 2026, Kalshi lists 45 player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Ravens vs Bills, Week 8.

Kalshi as of Oct 28, 4:10 PM ET · books as of Oct 28, 2:15 PM ET · 214 Kalshi prop strikes listed for this game · 45 with a real two-sided book · 2 priced against 3+ books

This week on the boardNFL Week 8 predictions →Week 9 predictions →Week 7 results →

Week 8 gamesPanthers at PackersRavens at BillsTitans at BengalsCardinals at CowboysVikings at LionsColts at JaguarsRaiders at JetsBrowns at SteelersFalcons at BuccaneersChargers at RamsChiefs at BroncosPatriots at DolphinsEagles at CommandersBears at Seahawks

Prop market board — Ravens vs Bills

Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents. Exchange quotes are raw and one-sided, as quoted. A gap is a price difference, not a call.

Every Kalshi NFL player-prop strike with a two-sided book this week: the Kalshi mid, the sportsbook consensus probability read at that strike, exchange quotes at the same strike, and the gap between Kalshi and consensus in cents. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
PlayerPropGameKalshiConsensusGapNovigProphetXBest priceOur P(over)Trade
Mark AndrewsBAL v BUF30+ rec ydsBAL @ BUF52.0¢49.6%3bk+2.4¢o -113 / u -117o -118 / u -122over · Novig 53.1¢under · Kalshi 51.8¢—Kalshi →
Josh AllenBUF v BAL250+ pass ydsBAL @ BUF50.0¢51.3%2bk-1.3¢o -125 / u +100o -127over · Kalshi 52.8¢under · Novig 50¢—Kalshi →
James CookBUF v BAL10+ rec ydsBAL @ BUF50.5¢50.0%4bk+0.5¢o -115 / u -115o -122 / u -122over · FD 53.3¢under · BetRivers 52.4¢—Kalshi →
Dalton KincaidBUF v BALanytime TDBAL @ BUF29.5¢—one-sidedo +213 / u -257—over · Novig 31.9¢under · Novig 72¢—Kalshi →
Dawson KnoxBUF v BALanytime TDBAL @ BUF14.5¢—one-sidedo +641—over · Novig 13.5¢—Kalshi →
Derrick HenryBAL v BUFanytime TDBAL @ BUF64.5¢—one-sided——over · Kalshi 66.6¢—Kalshi →
Derrick HenryBAL v BUF2+ TDsBAL @ BUF27.0¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Derrick HenryBAL v BUF50+ rush ydsBAL @ BUF79.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -590o -610over · Kalshi 84.9¢—Kalshi →
Derrick HenryBAL v BUF70+ rush ydsBAL @ BUF63.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -203o -210over · Novig 67¢—Kalshi →
Derrick HenryBAL v BUF80+ rush ydsBAL @ BUF51.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -133o -138over · Kalshi 56.7¢—Kalshi →
Derrick HenryBAL v BUF100+ rush ydsBAL @ BUF33.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +163o +158over · Novig 38¢—Kalshi →
Ja'Kobi LaneBAL v BUFanytime TDBAL @ BUF19.5¢—one-sidedo +365—over · Fanatics 21.3¢—Kalshi →
Ja'Kobi LaneBAL v BUF25+ rec ydsBAL @ BUF53.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -138o -156over · Novig 58¢—Kalshi →
Ja'Kobi LaneBAL v BUF40+ rec ydsBAL @ BUF33.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +178o +170over · Novig 36¢—Kalshi →
Ja'Kobi LaneBAL v BUF60+ rec ydsBAL @ BUF15.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +441o +400over · Novig 18.5¢—Kalshi →
Ja'Kobi LaneBAL v BUF70+ rec ydsBAL @ BUF10.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +669o +620over · Novig 13¢—Kalshi →
James CookBUF v BALanytime TDBAL @ BUF58.5¢—one-sided——over · Fanatics 60¢—Kalshi →
James CookBUF v BAL2+ TDsBAL @ BUF19.0¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
James CookBUF v BAL80+ rush ydsBAL @ BUF54.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -163o -184over · Kalshi 59.7¢—Kalshi →
James CookBUF v BAL90+ rush ydsBAL @ BUF44.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -108o -117over · Kalshi 49.8¢—Kalshi →
Josh AllenBUF v BALanytime TDBAL @ BUF59.5¢—one-sided——over · Kalshi 61.7¢—Kalshi →
Josh AllenBUF v BAL2+ TDsBAL @ BUF19.0¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Josh AllenBUF v BAL2+ pass TDsBAL @ BUF52.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Josh AllenBUF v BAL200+ pass ydsBAL @ BUF77.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -456o -455over · Kalshi 80.2¢—Kalshi →
Josh AllenBUF v BAL225+ pass ydsBAL @ BUF65.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -245o -270over · Kalshi 68.6¢—Kalshi →
Josh AllenBUF v BAL300+ pass ydsBAL @ BUF24.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +251o +245over · Kalshi 27.4¢—Kalshi →
Josh AllenBUF v BAL375+ pass ydsBAL @ BUF6.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +953o +670over · Kalshi 7.5¢—Kalshi →
Josh AllenBUF v BAL25+ rush ydsBAL @ BUF66.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -257o -315over · Novig 72¢—Kalshi →
Josh AllenBUF v BAL30+ rush ydsBAL @ BUF59.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -186o -184over · Kalshi 64.6¢—Kalshi →
Josh AllenBUF v BAL40+ rush ydsBAL @ BUF44.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +113o +113over · Novig 46.9¢—Kalshi →
Josh CuevasBAL v BUFanytime TDBAL @ BUF8.5¢—one-sidedo +1076 / u -1233—over · Novig 8.5¢under · Kalshi 92.5¢—Kalshi →
Keon ColemanBUF v BALanytime TDBAL @ BUF19.5¢—one-sidedo +456—over · Novig 18¢—Kalshi →
Keon ColemanBUF v BAL50+ rec ydsBAL @ BUF24.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +217o +205over · Kalshi 30.4¢—Kalshi →
Keon ColemanBUF v BAL60+ rec ydsBAL @ BUF17.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +326o +265over · Kalshi 22.2¢—Kalshi →
Khalil ShakirBUF v BALanytime TDBAL @ BUF27.5¢—one-sidedo +233—over · Novig 30¢—Kalshi →
Rashod BatemanBAL v BUFanytime TDBAL @ BUF18.5¢—one-sidedo +388—over · BetRivers 20¢—Kalshi →
Zay FlowersBAL v BUFanytime TDBAL @ BUF35.5¢—one-sided——over · Kalshi 37.6¢—Kalshi →
Zay FlowersBAL v BUF40+ rec ydsBAL @ BUF81.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -669o -900over · Kalshi 86.8¢—Kalshi →
Zay FlowersBAL v BUF60+ rec ydsBAL @ BUF63.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -233o -240over · Novig 70¢—Kalshi →
Zay FlowersBAL v BUF70+ rec ydsBAL @ BUF55.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -156o -160over · Kalshi 60.7¢—Kalshi →
Zay FlowersBAL v BUF80+ rec ydsBAL @ BUF48.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -104o -104over · Novig 51¢—Kalshi →
Zay FlowersBAL v BUF90+ rec ydsBAL @ BUF37.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +141o +138over · Novig 41.5¢—Kalshi →
Zay FlowersBAL v BUF100+ rec ydsBAL @ BUF30.5¢off-ladderoff-ladder—o +186 / u -245over · Kalshi 34.6¢under · ProphetX 71¢—Kalshi →
Zay FlowersBAL v BUF110+ rec ydsBAL @ BUF23.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +277o +260over · Novig 26.5¢—Kalshi →
Zay FlowersBAL v BUF120+ rec ydsBAL @ BUF19.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +376o +345 / u -510over · Novig 21¢under · Kalshi 83¢—Kalshi →
45 of 45 two-sided strikes · + 169 listed on Kalshi, not yet priced · book consensus as of Oct 28, 2:15 PM ET

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Ravens vs Bills player prop ladders for Week 8: the Kalshi price at every strike vs the sportsbook consensus
The Ravens vs Bills prop ladders with the widest market disagreement this week — free to share. Updates as the market moves.

Embed this game’s spread ladder

A live card locked to Ravens vs Bills, Week 8 — the Kalshi price at every spread strike for this one game — for a preview post or a game-day thread. Free to preview on your own page; publishing runs on an Enterprise license, and the credit line stays on.

Every NFL prediction-market widget.

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<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Ravens vs Bills, Week 8 Kalshi spread ladder from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/nfl/ravens-vs-bills-week-08-2026?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-ladder">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

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<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Ravens vs Bills, Week 8 Kalshi spread ladder from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/nfl/ravens-vs-bills-week-08-2026?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-ladder">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

Same props on both venues: Kalshi vs Polymarket US

Ravens at Bills · same player, stat and threshold · cost to buy after fees · as of 4:10 PM ET

Player prop (109)Kalshi4:10 PM ETPolymarket USPolymarketPartner4:36 PM ETBest price
Keon Coleman anytime TDno current price18¢19¢ after fees—
Dawson Knox anytime TDno current price14¢14.8¢ after fees—
Zay Flowers anytime TDno current price37¢38.6¢ after fees—
Derrick Henry anytime TDno current priceno two-sided book—
Josh Cuevas 2+ TDsno current priceno two-sided book—
Joshua Palmer 2+ TDsno current priceno two-sided book—
Josh Allen 2+ pass TDsno current price55¢56.7¢ after fees—
Zay Flowers 80+ rec ydsno current price54¢55.7¢ after fees—
Derrick Henry 70+ rush ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Josh Allen anytime TDno current priceno two-sided book—
Derrick Henry 2+ TDsno current priceno two-sided book—
Josh Allen 2+ TDsno current priceno two-sided book—
James Cook III 2+ TDsno current price21¢22.2¢ after fees—
Mark Andrews 30+ rec ydsno current price54¢55.7¢ after fees—
Zay Flowers 100+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Josh Allen 250+ pass ydsno current price51¢52.7¢ after fees—
Ja'Kobi Lane anytime TDno current priceno two-sided book—
Ja'Kobi Lane 40+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Josh Allen 40+ rush ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Josh Cuevas anytime TDno current price9¢9.6¢ after fees—
Zay Flowers 110+ rec ydsno current price28¢29.4¢ after fees—
James Cook III anytime TDno current priceno two-sided book—
Josh Allen 300+ pass ydsno current price26¢27.3¢ after fees—
Rashod Bateman anytime TDno current priceno two-sided book—
Khalil Shakir anytime TDno current priceno two-sided book—
Zay Flowers 90+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Josh Allen 175+ pass ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Josh Allen 200+ pass ydsno current price80¢81.1¢ after fees—
Zay Flowers 70+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Zay Flowers 60+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Josh Allen 30+ rush ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Keon Coleman 60+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Derrick Henry 80+ rush ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Keon Coleman 50+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Josh Allen 225+ pass ydsno current price67¢68.5¢ after fees—
Derrick Henry 50+ rush ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Zay Flowers 40+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
James Cook III 80+ rush ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Derrick Henry 100+ rush ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
James Cook III 90+ rush ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Keon Coleman first TD5¢5.3¢ after fees4¢4.3¢ after feesPolymarket US1.1¢ less
Khalil Shakir first TD6¢6.4¢ after fees7¢7.5¢ after feesKalshi1.1¢ less
Derrick Henry first TD18¢19¢ after fees19¢20.1¢ after feesKalshi1¢ less
Josh Allen first TD17¢18¢ after fees17¢18¢ after feesEven
James Cook III first TD17¢18¢ after fees17¢18¢ after feesEven
Zay Flowers first TD7¢7.5¢ after fees7¢7.5¢ after feesEven
Mark Andrews first TD5¢5.3¢ after fees5¢5.3¢ after feesEven
Ja'Kobi Lane first TD4¢4.3¢ after fees4¢4.3¢ after feesEven
Rashod Bateman first TD4¢4.3¢ after fees4¢4.3¢ after feesEven
Justice Hill first TD3¢3.2¢ after fees3¢3.2¢ after feesEven
Dawson Knox first TD3¢3.2¢ after fees3¢3.2¢ after feesEven
Joshua Palmer first TD3¢3.2¢ after fees3¢3.2¢ after feesEven
Josh Cuevas first TD2¢2.1¢ after fees2¢2.1¢ after feesEven
Josh Allen 1+ pass TDsno current price89¢89.7¢ after fees—
Josh Allen 3+ pass TDsno current price26¢27.3¢ after fees—
Josh Allen 4+ pass TDsno current price9¢9.6¢ after fees—
Josh Allen 275+ pass ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Josh Allen 325+ pass ydsno current price16¢16.9¢ after fees—
Josh Allen 350+ pass ydsno current price11¢11.7¢ after fees—
Ja'Kobi Lane 10+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Ja'Kobi Lane 20+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Ja'Kobi Lane 30+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Ja'Kobi Lane 50+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Mark Andrews 10+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Mark Andrews 20+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Mark Andrews 40+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Mark Andrews 50+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Rashod Bateman 10+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Rashod Bateman 20+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Rashod Bateman 30+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Rashod Bateman 40+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Rashod Bateman 50+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Zay Flowers 50+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Joshua Palmer 10+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Joshua Palmer 20+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Keon Coleman 20+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Keon Coleman 30+ rec ydsno current price52¢53.7¢ after fees—
Keon Coleman 40+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Khalil Shakir 20+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Khalil Shakir 30+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Khalil Shakir 40+ rec ydsno current price51¢52.7¢ after fees—
Khalil Shakir 50+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Khalil Shakir 60+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Derrick Henry 110+ rush ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Derrick Henry 60+ rush ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Derrick Henry 90+ rush ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Justice Hill 10+ rush ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Justice Hill 20+ rush ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Josh Allen 20+ rush ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Josh Allen 50+ rush ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Josh Allen 60+ rush ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Josh Allen 70+ rush ydsno current price15¢15.9¢ after fees—
Josh Allen 80+ rush ydsno current price10¢10.6¢ after fees—
James Cook III 100+ rush ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
James Cook III 110+ rush ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
James Cook III 120+ rush ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
James Cook III 60+ rush ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
James Cook III 70+ rush ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Justice Hill anytime TDno current price15¢15.9¢ after fees—
Justice Hill 2+ TDsno current price2¢2.1¢ after fees—
Ja'Kobi Lane 2+ TDsno current price3¢3.2¢ after fees—
Mark Andrews anytime TDno current priceno two-sided book—
Mark Andrews 2+ TDsno current price5¢5.3¢ after fees—
Rashod Bateman 2+ TDsno current price3¢3.2¢ after fees—
Zay Flowers 2+ TDsno current price8¢8.5¢ after fees—
Dawson Knox 2+ TDsno current priceno two-sided book—
Joshua Palmer anytime TDno current price13¢13.8¢ after fees—
Keon Coleman 2+ TDsno current price2¢2.1¢ after fees—
Khalil Shakir 2+ TDsno current price5¢5.3¢ after fees—
This game on Kalshi →This game on Polymarket US →

Sponsored by Polymarket US

18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See https://polymarketexchange.com/files/legal/Polymarket%20US%20Rulebook%20(2026.09.30).pdf for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.

Polymarket US only (24)

  • Dawson Knox 2+ receptionsPolymarket US 39¢
  • Derrick Henry 3+ TDsPolymarket US 8¢
  • Ja'Kobi Lane 3+ receptionsPolymarket US 53¢
  • James Cook III 3+ TDsPolymarket US 5¢
  • Josh Allen 1+ interceptions thrownPolymarket US 49¢
  • Josh Allen 3+ TDsPolymarket US 5¢
  • Joshua Palmer 2+ receptionsPolymarket US 40¢
  • Keon Coleman 3+ receptionsPolymarket US 46¢
  • Khalil Shakir 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 58¢
  • Lamar Jackson 1+ interceptions thrownPolymarket US 50¢
  • Lamar Jackson 1+ pass TDsPolymarket US 82¢
  • Lamar Jackson 2+ pass TDsPolymarket US 49¢
  • Lamar Jackson 2+ TDsPolymarket US 4¢
  • Lamar Jackson 3+ pass TDsPolymarket US 20¢
  • Lamar Jackson 4+ pass TDsPolymarket US 8¢
  • Lamar Jackson 20+ passing completionsPolymarket US 55¢
  • Lamar Jackson 225+ pass ydsPolymarket US 60¢
  • Lamar Jackson 250+ pass ydsPolymarket US 46¢
  • Lamar Jackson 325+ pass ydsPolymarket US 14¢
  • Lamar Jackson 350+ pass ydsPolymarket US 9¢
  • Lamar Jackson first TDPolymarket US 5¢
  • Mark Andrews 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 50¢
  • Rashod Bateman 3+ receptionsPolymarket US 48¢
  • Zay Flowers 6+ receptionsPolymarket US 58¢

Kalshi only (122)

  • Zay Flowers 120+ rec ydsKalshi 20¢
  • Ja'Kobi Lane 60+ rec ydsKalshi 18¢
  • Ray Davis 2+ TDsKalshi 2¢
  • Ja'Kobi Lane 70+ rec ydsKalshi 13¢
  • James Cook III 10+ rec ydsKalshi 52¢
  • Ja'Kobi Lane 25+ rec ydsKalshi 57¢
  • James Cook III 20+ rec ydsKalshi 30¢
  • Dalton Kincaid anytime TDKalshi 31¢
  • Justice Hill 10+ rec ydsKalshi 56¢
  • Josh Allen 25+ rush ydsKalshi 71¢
  • Josh Allen 15+ rush ydsKalshi 86¢
  • Josh Allen 375+ pass ydsKalshi 7¢
  • Devontez Walker first TDKalshi 2¢
  • Matt Hibner first TDKalshi 3¢
  • Nick Vannett first TDKalshi 2¢
  • Dalton Kincaid first TDKalshi 7¢
  • Ray Davis first TDKalshi 3¢
  • Skyler Bell first TDKalshi 2¢
  • Ty Johnson first TDKalshi 3¢
  • Josh Allen 5+ pass TDsKalshi 5¢
  • Derrick Henry 10+ rec ydsKalshi 42¢
  • Derrick Henry 15+ rec ydsKalshi 30¢
  • Derrick Henry 20+ rec ydsKalshi 21¢
  • Derrick Henry 25+ rec ydsKalshi 15¢
  • Derrick Henry 30+ rec ydsKalshi 11¢
  • Derrick Henry 40+ rec ydsKalshi 6¢
  • Justice Hill 15+ rec ydsKalshi 42¢
  • Justice Hill 20+ rec ydsKalshi 31¢
  • Justice Hill 25+ rec ydsKalshi 23¢
  • Justice Hill 30+ rec ydsKalshi 18¢
  • Justice Hill 40+ rec ydsKalshi 10¢
  • Justice Hill 50+ rec ydsKalshi 6¢
  • Ja'Kobi Lane 15+ rec ydsKalshi 73¢
  • Ja'Kobi Lane 80+ rec ydsKalshi 8¢
  • Ja'Kobi Lane 90+ rec ydsKalshi 6¢
  • Mark Andrews 15+ rec ydsKalshi 79¢
  • Mark Andrews 60+ rec ydsKalshi 16¢
  • Mark Andrews 70+ rec ydsKalshi 11¢
  • Mark Andrews 80+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
  • Mark Andrews 90+ rec ydsKalshi 5¢
  • Rashod Bateman 15+ rec ydsKalshi 72¢
  • Rashod Bateman 25+ rec ydsKalshi 54¢
  • Rashod Bateman 60+ rec ydsKalshi 15¢
  • Rashod Bateman 70+ rec ydsKalshi 10¢
  • Rashod Bateman 80+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
  • Zay Flowers 130+ rec ydsKalshi 15¢
  • Zay Flowers 140+ rec ydsKalshi 12¢
  • Zay Flowers 150+ rec ydsKalshi 9¢
  • Zay Flowers 160+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
  • Dalton Kincaid 100+ rec ydsKalshi 11¢
  • Dalton Kincaid 110+ rec ydsKalshi 8¢
  • Dalton Kincaid 120+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
  • Dalton Kincaid 25+ rec ydsKalshi 79¢
  • Dalton Kincaid 30+ rec ydsKalshi 74¢
  • Dalton Kincaid 40+ rec ydsKalshi 61¢
  • Dalton Kincaid 50+ rec ydsKalshi 48¢
  • Dalton Kincaid 60+ rec ydsKalshi 37¢
  • Dalton Kincaid 70+ rec ydsKalshi 27¢
  • Dalton Kincaid 80+ rec ydsKalshi 20¢
  • Dalton Kincaid 90+ rec ydsKalshi 14¢

+ 62 more listed on Kalshi only.

Not every market is listed on both venues. A row pairs only the same player, stat and threshold, and the club must agree. The single-venue lists show the ask on the one venue that lists the contract, two-sided books only. Cost after fees is the ask plus each venue’s per-contract taker fee — Kalshi: Taker fee 7% × price × (1 − price) per contract, max 1.75¢. Polymarket US: Taker fee 6.95% × price × (1 − price) per contract, max $1.74 per 100. A price older than 30 minutes shows as no current price.

The Ladder: the shape of the distribution vs every strike

Strikes above, distribution here: our full margin curve beside the Kalshi price at each rung, with the verdict — SHAPE, LOCATION or PRICED. This week's widest gap, auto-advancing.

How to read this board — and what we are not claiming

Consensus is the median de-vigged probability across every sportsbook quoting a line, read at the Kalshi strike — exact when a book quotes that line, interpolated when two quoted lines bracket it, refused when they do not. Kalshi prices are the mid of a real two-sided book only. This page carries at least 40 such strikes or it does not exist; we are not claiming to beat the market, only to show where each price is.

Ravens vs Bills props — FAQ

What are the player props for Ravens vs Bills?

45 Kalshi player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Week 8 — passing, rushing, receiving and scoring lines — each shown on this page beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line, with the cheapest venue for each side named.

Where are Ravens vs Bills player props priced best?

The "best price" column on each strike names the venue with the cheapest price for that side, in cents per $1 of payout — Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks and exchanges at their raw quote. It only appears when at least two venues quote the exact strike, because a best price needs a comparison.

What is the gap column?

The Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus probability read at the same strike, in cents. Positive means Kalshi is pricing the over above the books, negative means it is cheaper. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.

Why are some Kalshi strikes not shown here?

Kalshi lists a game's ladder early and most strikes stay unpriced until a day or two before kickoff. This page shows the 45 strikes with a real two-sided book; 169 more are listed and not yet priced. A 1¢ bid against a 99¢ ask is a listing, not a price.

Can you trade NFL player props on Kalshi?

Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists NFL player-prop contracts — for example, will a quarterback record 275 or more passing yards. Each contract settles at $1 if the answer is yes and $0 if no, so its price in cents is the market's implied probability, and traders buy and sell it from each other until it settles.

How is a Kalshi prop different from a prop at the books?

A Kalshi prop is an exchange contract: traders take either side from each other, the price moves with the order book, and a position can be sold before kickoff. At the books the house sets the line. This page reads the books' implied probability at the same line as each Kalshi strike so the two can be compared directly.

What is an Oracle Ladder?

An Oracle Ladder shows every Kalshi strike for one market as a curve — for player props, beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line. Our model's own number is published only between 30% and 70%, the band where it is measured calibrated, and any strike where it sits more than 30 points from the Kalshi price is refused rather than shown.

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