Dane Martinez
Analyst & On-Air Talent · The 7 Oracles
National sports broadcaster and analyst — former SiriusXM Sports host, SportsGrid and FNTSY anchor, and SNY on-air personality. Dane covers political and economic prediction markets with a focus on cross-platform price divergence.
Dane Martinez is an analyst and on-air talent for The 7 Oracles. A national sports broadcaster, he has hosted for SiriusXM Sports, anchored at SportsGrid and FNTSY, and appeared as an on-air personality on SNY. He now brings that live-broadcast read to prediction markets.
At PredictionMarketsPicks he writes as one of The 7 Oracles, focused on political and economic markets and the cross-platform price divergence between Kalshi and Polymarket — where the same event trades at two different prices, and which side of that gap is the value.
Covers: Reality-TV markets · 2026 midterms · Politics · Kalshi vs Polymarket gaps
- Coverage
- Prediction Markets · Kalshi · Polymarket · Sports Markets · Reality TV Markets
Also writes / publishes at
Dane Martinez — frequently asked
Who is Dane Martinez?
Dane Martinez is an analyst and on-air talent for The 7 Oracles. A national sports broadcaster — a former SiriusXM Sports host and SportsGrid, FNTSY, and SNY on-air personality — he covers political and economic prediction markets.
What does Dane Martinez write about?
Political and economic prediction markets, with a focus on cross-platform price divergence between Kalshi and Polymarket. He writes as one of The 7 Oracles.
Where else can I follow Dane Martinez?
On X at @spittinspeedz, in The 7 Oracles newsletter, and across every article at PredictionMarketsPicks. His full team bio is on the PredictionMarketsPicks team page.
Videos with Dane
2:36Michigan Senate Odds: El-Sayed vs. Rogers — Follow the MarketsOct 13, 2026
3:18Texas Senate Odds: Talarico vs. Paxton — Fade the PollsOct 7, 2026
2:39Alaska Senate Odds: Peltola vs. Sullivan — Fade the PollsOct 4, 2026
2:33Big Brother 28 Finale Prediction: Will Rick Devens win?Sep 30, 2026
4:11Why Jadarian Price will win NFL's Offensive Rookie of the Year award (and why you should buy NOW)Sep 9, 2026
4:03Big Brother 28: Barrett is going to win this whole thing -- here's howSep 4, 2026
ShortCan the Jets win 8 games?? NFL 2026 Predictions and Kalshi Odds #jets #kalshi #predictionsSep 3, 2026
4:08The Big Brother 28 Twist: Feeds are shut down, could this be the end for Dee and Devens??Aug 28, 2026Articles by Dane
33 articles published on PredictionMarketsPicks.
Alaska Senate Odds: Peltola vs Sullivan — Markets vs Pundits
Kalshi has Mary Peltola at 77¢ to flip Dan Sullivan's Alaska Senate seat. Cook, Sabato and Inside Elections all still call it a toss-up. Here's the gap, why the market reads it that way, and the math on whether 77¢ is still a trade.
Big Brother 28 Final Four Odds: Dane Called Devens a Runaway Train. Drew's One Vote Has Kalshi Pricing Him 70% to Go
Melody is gone, Taylor won the Final Four HOH, Drew won the veto, and Drew now casts the only vote between Rick Devens and Dee Valladares. Kalshi has Devens 70–71¢ to be evicted tonight and 8–9¢ to win the season. Here is what the tape still supports and what it doesn't.
Big Brother 28 Winner Odds: Dane Says a Survivor Takes It — Kalshi Prices Devens and Dee at 71¢ Together
Barrett and Yash both went in the double eviction, Rick Devens won the Week 11 HOH, and the Kalshi winner board now has two Survivor alumni holding 69.5¢ of it. Dane's call is Devens at 37%. The cheaper way to own his actual thesis is both of them. Every price is a live Kalshi snapshot.
Big Brother 28 Week 10 Odds: The Eviction Board Adds Up to 207¢ — Which Means Kalshi Is Pricing Two People Out, Not One
Dane says the value is Melody at 44% to go, not Barrett at 67%. The live Kalshi board agrees more than it looks: seven contracts summing to 207¢ means traders are pricing two exits before Sep 18. Barrett's 61¢ is a 10-cent-wide quote. Melody's 45¢ is a penny wide. Every price is a live snapshot.
Big Brother 28 Week 8 Odds: Kalshi Has Rick Devens 56¢ to Be Evicted — and Yash Just Passed Dee as the Winner Favorite
Haley is gone, Drew is HOH, Yash won the veto, and the Icons are in the minority for the first time all season. Dane filmed with Dee 19% and Yash 18% — by the time the board caught up, Yash was the 23¢ favorite and Rick Devens was 56¢ to be evicted Thursday. Every price is a live Kalshi snapshot.
Big Brother 28 Twist: Live Feeds Are Down — What It Means for Dee and Devens on Kalshi
Kalshi had Dee Valladares at 20¢ and Rick Devens at 19¢ to win Big Brother 28 when the live feeds went dark for a twist with no HoH or Veto this cycle. Dane Martinez on why a straight-competition twist is bad news for the Icons — and why a day of trading repriced the middle of the board while leaving the two favorites where they started.
Big Brother 28 Week 7 Odds: The Market Called the Veto Again — Mallory Flipped to Favorite While Dane Was Sweating Taylor
Dane had Taylor Brown as the 47% eviction favorite when he filmed — and hoped the board was wrong. A day later, Kalshi flipped it: Mallory Aurichio, never an original nominee, is now 57¢ to go, the same pre-ceremony veto tell that called the Diamond Veto week. Here's the Week 7 read and the Big Brother 28 winner board.
Big Brother 28 Week 6 Odds: The Board Flipped on Dane Since He Filmed This — Haley's Now the Favorite, Not Kamu
Dane called the Diamond Power of Veto before it aired and had Kamu Kirk as the 50¢ favorite to go home, with Haley Thogmartin second at 30¢. Twenty-four hours later, Kalshi has Haley at 48¢ and Kamu at 44¢ — the board flipped. Here's the Week 6 elimination read and the Big Brother 28 winner board, devigged.
Big Brother 28 Week 5 Odds: The 2¢ Won HOH — and Kalshi Still Prices a Nominee Above the Head of Household
LaTrice Verrett went from 2¢ to Head of Household and Kalshi only moved her to 4¢. Barrett Pfeiffer is sitting on the block at 9¢. Taylor Brown is 8¢ and up 60% in eight days. The full Big Brother 28 winner board, devigged, ahead of the Week 5 eviction.
Big Brother 28 Winner Odds: LaTrice at 2¢ and Taylor at 5¢ Are the Value on Kalshi
Dee Valladares is 27¢ to win Big Brother 28 and Rick Devens is 20¢ — the two players the house is hunting. LaTrice Verrett is still 2¢ and Taylor Brown just won the veto off a 3¢ price. The Honor Society holds 40¢ of the board and 33¢ of it sits on the wrong two members.
Texans at 43¢ to Win the AFC South on Kalshi: The Division's Best Roster Is Priced Like a Coin Flip
Kalshi has Houston at 43¢ to win the 2026 AFC South while the projection systems make the Texans the class of the AFC. Dane Martinez on the David Montgomery upgrade, a top-three defense nobody is pricing, and the Tank Dell–Jayden Higgins–Nico Collins receiver room — and why 43¢ is the wrong number.
Jason De Puy at 38¢ to Get Evicted on Kalshi: The Backdoor Nobody's Pricing
Kalshi has Jason De Puy at 38¢ to leave the Big Brother 28 house this week while Rome sits the 50¢ favorite as the backdoor target. When the 'obvious' boot survives, the vote lands on the guy with no friends. Here's the trade.
Kalshi Airport Delay Markets: You Can Now Trade Flight Cancellations (And I Have Concerns)
Kalshi listed flight cancellation contracts, and they are not what the headlines say. The live market is one national weekly number settled off a FlightAware page, not your delayed flight. How KXUSFLYCAN works, what the board says, and why the settlement rule is the whole story.
Texas Senate Flipped: Talarico 65¢, Paxton 36¢ on Kalshi (Updated October 2026)
In July Kalshi had Ken Paxton at 58¢ for Texas Senate. By October 4 James Talarico led 65¢ to 36¢, while the forecasters still call it a toss-up and September's polls have him ahead by only 1 to 6 points. Where the market went, and how to read the gap.
Why McConnell Isn't Resigning Before the Midterms — The Kalshi NO Case
Kalshi's McConnell resignation market is spiking on health headlines. But the question is resignation, not health — and the fine print settles a death at last traded price, not YES. Here's why The 7 Oracles are on NO.
Taylor Swift & Travis Kelce Wedding: Every Live Kalshi Market Worth Trading
Dane Martinez runs down every live Kalshi market on the Swift-Kelce wedding — Married This Year at 98%, Jason Kelce the groomsmen favorite, the bridesmaids and dress designer markets, and where the old Rhode Island location pick stands now (New York has led the market the whole way). Video breakdown included.
Wemby Finals MVP at 40¢ on Kalshi: The Spurs-Clinch Re-Rate Is Already Starting
I called Victor Wembanyama Finals MVP at 37¢ on Kalshi yesterday. Twenty-four hours later the market is at 40¢. If San Antonio clinches the West, this contract isn't 40¢ anymore — it's 65-70¢ before Game 1 tips off. Here's the trade.
Get Off My Fantasy Football Lawn: The NFL 2026 Schedule Is Breaking Fantasy Football
Dane Martinez on the NFL 2026 schedule: a Wednesday opener, nine international games, a five-day Thanksgiving slate, and games spread across Netflix, Prime, Peacock, ESPN, YouTube, and NFL+. The Sunday rhythm fantasy football was built on is gone.
Drake YES at 73¢ on Kalshi: The Triple-Album Repricing Already Happened — Is There Still Edge?
Kalshi has Drake at 73¢ to win Spotify USA Top Artist 2026. Two weeks ago he was 29¢ and Bad Bunny was the 68¢ favorite. The triple album hit, the line moved 44 points, Bad Bunny collapsed to 10¢, and the field is cleared. The value window is gone. The trade now is whether Drake's true probability is still meaningfully above 73% with seven months of catalog compounding left.
Marjorie 'Traitor' Greene at 38¢: Dane's Call on Trump's Next Nickname (Kalshi)
Donald Trump has built an entire vocabulary out of nicknames — and Kalshi has a live market on the next one. Dane Martinez says 'Marjorie Traitor Greene' at 38¢ is the trade. Here's the read on the MTG feud, the July 1 window, and the math behind the position.
The Hantavirus Trade: Kalshi's Pandemic Contract at 15¢ Is a Media-Frenzy Buy
Kalshi has 'Pandemic in 2026' at 15¢ YES while the hantavirus story builds — cruise-ship cluster, CDC Level 3, nine states monitoring exposed passengers. The PHEIC contract already mean-reverted from 23¢ to 16¢. The broader pandemic contract hasn't followed. Entry, scale-out, hard exit, and the ethics paragraph up front.
Michael Jackson 'No' at 40¢ on Kalshi: A 2.5x Spotify Global #1 Trade for May
Kalshi has Michael Jackson at 60¢ to land a #1 song on Spotify Global in May. The biopic bump put Billie Jean at #9 and faded. With Olivia Rodrigo, Ariana Grande, Taylor Swift, and BTS all dropping new music, MJ 'No' at 40¢ is a 2.5x trade hiding in plain sight.
Todd Blanche at 55¢ Is the Smart Pick for Trump's Next AG on Kalshi
Pam Bondi is out. Todd Blanche is sitting in the chair as acting AG and recent reporting calls it 'his job to lose.' Kalshi has him at 55¢ — the field has fragmented, Zeldin has already repriced, and the loyalty math points one way. Here's the trade.
2026 NFL OROY Sleepers: Fading Mendoza & Love, Buying Tate (17%) and Price (12%)
Dane Martinez breaks down the 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year market. Mendoza to Raiders and Love to Cardinals are the wrong tickets at top-of-board prices. Carnell Tate to the Titans (17%) and Jadarian Price to the Seahawks (12%) are the value plays — landing spots, depth charts, pass/run splits, gamescript, and a side-by-side Kalshi vs Polymarket compare.
Spurs at 12% to Win the NBA Championship: Dane’s Play of the Day
The Spurs are trading at 12¢ on Kalshi to win the 2026 NBA Championship. Dane Martinez breaks down why that’s the best value on the board — Wemby MVP mode, the deepest guard rotation in the league, and a 4-1 record vs OKC.
2026 NFL Draft: Jeremiyah Love to the Titans at #4 — One of the Best Edges on the Board
Kalshi 36%. DraftKings -105 (in from -120). FanDuel +115. Dane Martinez breaks down why Jeremiyah Love at #4 to the Titans is one of the cleanest edges on the 2026 NFL Draft board — Bijan/Gibbs/CMC comps and the perfect Cam Ward fit.
Drake's ICEMAN: Central Cee YES at 67¢ Is the Cleanest 1.4x on the Board
Kalshi has Central Cee at ~67¢ to appear on Drake's ICEMAN. Between 'Which One,' the Iceman livestream, and a decade of UK collabs, fair value is closer to 85–90%. Dane calls it 'free money' — here's the full case.
What (and Who) We're Buying This Week
This week's top prediction market picks: Cirie for Survivor, Tom Steyer for California Governor, and more trading opportunities across markets.
How We're Trading Trump's Cabinet Chaos on Kalshi and Other Prediction Markets
We're on YES at around 61% that Trump makes another cabinet change this month on Kalshi — targeting 1.5–1.6x. Noem and Bondi are already out. Dane Martinez breaks down the full setup.
Are Gas Prices Headed for a Massive Spike? Prediction Market Breakdown
Dane Martinez dives into the energy landscape — WTI crude past $110, geopolitical supply risks, and where the smart money is moving on Kalshi and DraftKings.
Bondi Out as AG: Polymarket 77%, Kalshi 48-56% — The Cross-Platform Spread
Polymarket: 77% next to leave cabinet. Kalshi: 48-56%. The same event, 20+ points apart. Dane Martinez breaks down the Bondi departure markets and why Kalshi YES is the underpriced side.
Taylor Swift & Travis Kelce Wedding Location: Rhode Island at 47% Is the Play
Rhode Island trades at 47% (1.97x payout) on Kalshi for the Swift-Kelce wedding location. Dane Martinez breaks down why Ocean House in Watch Hill beats the market-leading New York at 57%.
2026 NFL Draft: Arvell Reese to the Jets at #2 — Is the Prediction Market Price Right?
Arvell Reese leads the 2026 NFL Draft #2 overall pick market at 63% on Polymarket and -140 on Kalshi. Is the Jets pick already priced in, or is David Bailey at +150 the smarter play?