OH-13
OH-13 House winner? (2026)
13k contracts traded · 5.3k open
OH-13 HOUSE 2026Live · updated hourly
OH-13 House Race 2026: Emilia Sykes vs Carey Coleman Odds
Ohio’s 13th District
Ohio’s 13th, an Akron-area seat Democrat Emilia Sykes holds, prices as a safe hold — the market has the Democratic side deep in favorite range against Republican Carey Coleman despite a GOP redraw aimed at the district. Incumbency plus a favorable midterm environment overpowers the new map here. The contract functions as a floor reference for how the Democratic House map is holding up.
Currently represented by Emilia Sykes (D)
Quick Answer
As of October 15, 2026, Emilia Sykes leads the OH-13 House market at 96¢ — real money putting the implied probability at 96%.
Seat currently held by Emilia Sykes (D).
Why trust the price: prediction markets called all seven 2024 presidential swing states correctly, often while polling averages were still split. Our state-by-state audit grades where they missed too.
Prices updated Oct 15, 6:37 AM UTC · refreshed hourly through Election Day.
Who is running in OH-13
Emilia Sykes
Democrat96¢
Carey Coleman
Republican1¢
Live OH-13 House Market
Kalshi · CFTC-regulated · real moneyTrade →
How to read this
Each contract pays $1 at resolution, so Sykes at 96¢ is a 96% implied chance. That sits 46 points from a 50¢ coin flip.
OH-13 by the numbers
- Where the price sits
- Emilia Sykes (D) leads OH-13 at 96¢ — a 96% implied chance, against Carey Coleman (R) at 1¢. Quoted book: Sykes 96¢ bid / 97¢ ask; Coleman 1¢ bid / 1¢ ask.
- How close it is
- 55th-closest of the 65 House district markets we track (level with 4 others), by the favorite’s distance from 50¢.
- Money behind it
- 5,344 contracts of open interest and 12,661 traded over the market’s life (280 in the last 24 hours) — the 54th-deepest of those 65 by open interest. By contract: Emilia Sykes 3,080, Carey Coleman 2,264.
- How it has moved
- Sykes’s contract last closed at 96¢ on Oct 14: +1 points since Oct 7 (95¢ → 96¢); +1 since Sep 14, the start of the window we hold (95¢).
- Rating vs market
- The Cook Political Report rated OH-13 a Dem toss-up in its Mar 12 2026 House ratings. The market today has Sykes 46 points past a coin flip — well beyond what a toss-up call implies.
- Seat status
- Incumbent defense — Emilia Sykes is a nominee.
- Ohio’s House map
- Ohio sends 15 members to the House; 2 other Ohio districts trade on our board: OH-09 (Kaptur 72¢), OH-01 (Landsman 91¢). Ohio’s map is final: court-required redraw targeting OH-09 (Kaptur) & OH-13 (Sykes) (net effect +2 R).
- Up the ballot
- Ohio Senate — Sherrod Brown (D) 60¢; Ohio governor — Amy Acton (D) 69¢.
OH-13 House 2026 — frequently asked
Who is favored to win the OH-13 House race in 2026?
As of October 15, 2026, Kalshi prices Emilia Sykes (D) at 96¢ — a 96% implied chance — to win the OH-13 House race; Carey Coleman (R) is at 1¢. Each contract pays $1 if its side wins, so the price in cents is the market’s probability, and it reprices continuously.
Who is running in OH-13 in 2026?
The general-election candidates for the OH-13 House race are Emilia Sykes (Democrat) and Carey Coleman (Republican), per the Kalshi contracts, whose rules name each candidate’s party as of 2026-10-06. Election Day is November 3, 2026.
How do I trade the OH-13 House market on Kalshi?
Kalshi lists OH-13 under event HOUSEOH13-26 as 2 YES contracts: Emilia Sykes (HOUSEOH13-26-D) and Carey Coleman (HOUSEOH13-26-R). Each settles at $1 if its candidate wins and $0 if not, so buying Sykes at 96¢ risks 96¢ to collect $1 — worth it only if you put Sykes’s chance above 96%. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated and open to traders in all 50 states.
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