7 ORACLES NBA REPORT · WED, OCT 28

7 Oracles NBA Report — Wednesday, Oct 28

$643K on the Sixers at Indiana, Heat Dog Money at 45.5¢, and Four Teams on a Back-to-Back

Biggest Kalshi pool
$643K
PHI ML at IND, 66.5¢
Widest gap vs the books
14.8¢
Collins 10+ pts, Kalshi side
Tonight
12 games
first tip 7:00 PM ET

The 7 Oracles desk · Prices are Kalshi mids as of 1:30 PM ET; updated 1:51 PM ET

Quick Answer

Twelve NBA games tonight: $643K on the Sixers at Indiana, Heat dog money at 45.5¢, four back-to-backs and the Kalshi-vs-books gaps worth knowing, all priced at 1:30 PM ET.

12 games · prices as of 1:30 PM ET · the boards update live

Twelve games tonight. Prices are Kalshi mids as of 1:30 PM ET; the live boards are the NBA game board and the Prop Price Board. Every number is market, not model.

Last night: Boston edged Brooklyn 125-124 in overtime, New York beat Detroit 111-97, San Antonio beat Sacramento 130-103 and Portland outscored the Lakers 136-129. The Pistons, Knicks, Spurs and Lakers all play again tonight: four back-to-backs. Tonight: Giannis in a Heat jersey in the slate's highest total, LaMelo Ball running Minnesota with Anthony Edwards out, Kevin Durant carrying Houston without Alperen Sengun, and the Sixers as the night's biggest Kalshi pool.

Where the money is

The Kalshi moneyline pools total just under $2.0M and one market owns a third of it: Sixers to win at Indiana, 66.5¢ with $642,859 behind it against $131,982 on the Pacers at 34.5¢. With Haliburton and Nembhard questionable, it is a fork until 5 PM. Next is Miami at Atlanta: $247,804 on the Heat at 45.5¢ versus $39,845 on the Hawks at 54.5¢, six dollars of dog money for every dollar on the favorite. Same in Cleveland ($101,674 on the Wizards at 23¢, $15,651 on the Cavs at 76.5¢) and Dallas ($97,183 on the Mavericks at 34.5¢, $27,553 on the Thunder at 65.5¢); the crowd is buying dogs. Warriors-Wolves is the most two-sided pool, $128,164 on Golden State at 39.5¢, $89,709 on Minnesota at 60.5¢. Biggest total pool: Rockets-Bucks 226.5, $84,019. Biggest spread pool: Pistons -7.5, $52,424. The full game board, Kalshi beside every book → NBA game board.

On props, Tyrese Maxey 25+ points has $11,588 traded, YES ask 47¢, and nothing else is close. Behind it: Ayo Dosunmu 25+ points at 15¢ ($4,078) and 20+ at 33¢ ($3,806), Jonathan Kuminga 15+ points at 54¢ ($3,631), Davion Mitchell 15+ points at 35¢ ($2,937) and Jaden McDaniels 6+ rebounds at 40¢ ($2,526). Three of the five are Wolves: the Edwards absence, priced. Here's where the value is on the NBA prop ladder → Prop Price Board.

The disagreements worth knowing

Hornets-Pistons Over 214.5. Kalshi 45.5¢ mid, 47.7¢ fee included; the best book is -110, 52.4¢ through the probability converter. A 4.7¢ gap, the widest game line tonight, and Kalshi beats every book and exchange on it. Both rotations are thin (Jalen Duren out for Detroit; Kon Knueppel, Coby White and Grant Williams out for Charlotte) and Detroit played last night. Here's more on the injury news and the fork → NBA Injury Report + Who Benefits.
Jazz +11.5 against the Spurs. Kalshi 44¢ mid (46.7¢ fee included), FanDuel -104, about 51¢. Flip it and the Kalshi crowd pays 56¢ for Spurs -11.5 against 54.1¢ at the book, on a Spurs team that won by 27 last night and plays again.
Wizards +10.5 in Cleveland. Kalshi 54¢ mid, DraftKings -108 (51.9¢), a 4.8¢ lean toward the dog with three Wizards out.
Clippers against a tired Lakers team. Clippers moneyline 38.5¢ on Kalshi, best book +165 (37.7¢); Clippers +4.5 is 52.5¢ on Kalshi against 51.2¢ at DraftKings. The Lakers gave up 136 last night.

Prop gaps run wider, mostly where one book is the only quote: John Collins 10+ points 70¢ ask (71.5¢ fee included) against Fanatics -630, a 14.8¢ gap; Draymond Green 6+ assists 49¢ ask (50.8¢ fee included) against Fanatics -175, 12.9¢; Karl-Anthony Towns 25+ points 32¢ ask (33.5¢ fee included) against +110 to +141 at the books, 8¢. Size these with the Kelly calculator; the Kalshi fee calculator shows the drag. No Kalshi-vs-Polymarket NBA gap of 3 points or more at 1:30 PM; the Arb Scanner and Kalshi vs Polymarket on NBA are the live views.

Game by game (Kalshi mid · tip ET)

Prop strikes below are the Kalshi YES ask before the taker fee unless marked "fee included".

Hornets @ Pistons · 7:00 PM. DET 72.5¢, CHA 27.5¢. Pistons -7.5 at 50.5¢, total 214.5. Detroit on a back-to-back without Duren; in 16 games without him Paul Reed averaged +9.3 points, +17.3 minutes → injury report. Cade Cunningham 20+ points 71¢, 25+ 45¢, 10+ assists 40¢. Brandon Miller 25+ points 42¢. Kalshi cheapest on the Over at 47.7¢ fee included.
Heat @ Hawks · 7:00 PM. ATL 54.5¢, MIA 45.5¢. Hawks -2.5 at 48.5¢, total 241.5, tied for highest. Giannis ladder: 25+ points 75¢, 30+ 53¢ (Kalshi cheapest, 54.7¢ fee included), 35+ 35¢, 40+ 16¢; 6+ assists 57¢, $1,962 traded. Bam Adebayo 20+ points 39¢.
Sixers @ Pacers · 7:00 PM. PHI 66.5¢, IND 34.5¢. Sixers -5.5 at 51¢, total 235.5. Haliburton (hamstring) and Nembhard (neck) questionable; T.J. McConnell and Ivica Zubac out. In 38 games without Nembhard, Quenton Jackson averaged +5.7 points, +10.8 minutes → injury report. Maxey 20+ points 72¢, 25+ 47¢, 30+ 25¢.
Wizards @ Cavaliers · 7:00 PM. CLE 76.5¢, WAS 23¢. Cavs -9.5 at 50.5¢, total 238.5. Three Wizards out; Peyton Watson now starts for Cleveland.
Magic @ Raptors · 7:30 PM. TOR 63.5¢, ORL 36.5¢. Raptors -4.5 at 51.5¢, total 223.5, the lowest tonight. Paolo Banchero and Jalen Suggs out, Anthony Black questionable. In 42 games without Banchero, Goga Bitadze averaged +5.6 points, +12.0 minutes → injury report. Kalshi cheapest on the Under at 51.8¢ fee included.
Nuggets @ Pelicans · 8:00 PM. DEN 63.5¢, NOP 36.5¢. Nuggets -4.5 at 50.5¢, total 241.5, tied for highest but the quietest pool ($13,073 on Denver, $5,017 on New Orleans). Kalshi cheapest on the Over at 50.8¢ fee included.
Warriors @ Timberwolves · 8:00 PM. MIN 60.5¢, GSW 39.5¢. Wolves -3.5 at 52.5¢, total 227.5. Edwards out, LaMelo runs it, Kuminga faces his old team. LaMelo 20+ points 64¢, 25+ 40¢, 30+ 20¢; 10+ assists 20¢ (Kalshi cheapest, 21.1¢ fee included). Kuminga 15+ points 54¢.
Rockets @ Bucks · 8:00 PM. HOU 75.5¢, MIL 24.5¢. Rockets -8.5 at 48.5¢, total 226.5. Sengun out; in 16 games without him Reed Sheppard averaged +4.4 points, Clint Capela +3.7 → injury report. Durant 25+ points 58¢ (Kalshi cheapest, 59.7¢ fee included), 30+ 35¢; 4+ assists 60¢, 6¢ under the books.
Knicks @ Bulls · 8:00 PM. NYK 71.5¢, CHI 29.5¢. Knicks -7.5 at 47.5¢, total 232.5. Back-to-back after Detroit, where Towns went for 27 and 20. Towns 20+ points 61¢, 25+ 32¢ (Kalshi cheapest, 33.5¢ fee included).
Spurs @ Jazz · 9:00 PM. SAS 84.5¢, UTA 15.5¢. Spurs -12.5 at 51.5¢ carries the volume; -11.5 is the 4.3¢ disagreement, Kalshi cheapest on Utah +11.5 at 46.7¢ fee included. Total 234.5.
Thunder @ Mavericks · 9:30 PM. OKC 65.5¢, DAL 34.5¢. Thunder -6.5 at 46.5¢, total 228.5. The pool leans Dallas $97,183 to $27,553, the clearest crowd-versus-line read on the board.
Lakers @ Clippers · 10:30 PM. LAL 61.5¢, LAC 38.5¢. Lakers -4.5 at 47.5¢, total 229.5. Lakers on a back-to-back; Kalshi cheapest on the Over at 49.8¢ fee included and leans Clippers on moneyline and spread.

Here's where the value is on the NBA prop ladder → Prop Price Board.

The DFS sprinkle

Lock is 7:00 PM ET, and the DraftKings main slate is the first nine games; the 9:00, 9:30 and 10:30 tips are not in it. Projection is per-minute production times minutes, so every play starts with a minutes read.
Salaries lag roles by days, and tonight is full of changed roles. Peyton Watson, Cavaliers starter at 30-plus minutes, $5,000. Terrence Shannon Jr. $3,700 with Edwards out and a 25-minute bench role; LaMelo $7,700 at a projected 31.8% usage. Jabari Smith Jr. $6,500 with Sengun out and 35-to-40 minutes; Durant $7,500 at about 30% usage. Paul Reed and Goga Bitadze fill the Duren and Banchero minutes; no page we read showed their salaries. Salaries are DraftKings Network's.
Check the game lines first. Heat-Hawks (241.5, spread 2.5) and Nuggets-Pelicans (241.5, spread 4.5) are the targets: high total, tight spread. Spurs-Jazz (-12.5) and Cavs-Wizards (-9.5) are blowout risks for the favorite's starters, but the other side still scores.
Value chalk and stud leverage. Shannon Jr. at $3,700 and Tim Hardaway Jr. at $3,500 in the highest total are the near-minimum plays with real minutes. Ownership will pile onto Giannis at $10,500 and Cade Cunningham at $9,900; Towns at $8,400 on a back-to-back and Maxey against a Pacers team missing McConnell and Zubac are the leverage. The prices behind the salaries: Prop Price Board.
Build to swap. Fix the 7:00 tips; leave the 8:00 players (Wolves, Rockets, Knicks) in G, F and UTIL. Late decisions: Haliburton and Nembhard in Indiana, Anthony Black in Orlando, any rest call in Detroit or New York → NBA Injury Report + Who Benefits.
Back-to-backs: Pistons, Knicks, Spurs and Lakers all played last night; rest news lands after 5 PM. If you cannot be at the computer at lock and through the 8:00 window, play a smaller slate.
Week two: roles are unknown and ownership is thin, so be different. Size entries with the Kelly calculator and the EV calculator, not by feel.

Housekeeping

The official NBA injury report refreshes at 1 PM and 5 PM ET; the injury page shows who benefits from every listed name. Tomorrow: Cavaliers at Hawks (CLE 49.5¢, ATL 50¢, a coin flip), Kings at Pelicans (NOP 67¢), Grizzlies at Trail Blazers (POR 68.5¢). Payouts and postponements: how Kalshi NBA contracts settle. New here? NBA prediction markets, explained and the questionable tag and who benefits. The same boards answer inside Claude, ChatGPT and Cursor through the NBA desk inside AI apps.

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Past 7 Oracles NBA Reports

Kalshi charges a trading fee on each fill, not on winnings: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up to the cent, so it peaks at 1.75¢ per contract on a 50¢ contract and shrinks toward zero at the extremes. It is paid at entry whether the position wins or loses; there is no settlement fee. Resting (maker) orders pay no fee on most standard markets. Market information, not financial advice. Trade responsibly.

7 Oracles NBA Report — frequently asked

What is Today's 7 Oracles NBA Report?

A daily read of the NBA slate on prediction markets: where the money is on Kalshi, where Kalshi and the other venues disagree on the same game or player line, game-by-game notes and a short DFS minutes read. It is market information — what the venues are pricing — so you can make your own call.

When does the report update?

Every game day at about 1:30 PM ET, right after the league's official 1 PM injury report, so the prices it quotes already reflect who is in and who is out. This page always shows the newest report; each day also keeps its own dated page in the archive.

Where do the prices come from?

Kalshi prices sit beside the same lines at DraftKings, FanDuel, BetRivers, Fanatics, ESPN, Novig and ProphetX — the same data as our NBA Prop Price Board and game-lines table. Every price carries a time stamp. Kalshi charges a trading fee on each fill, not on winnings: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up to the cent, so it peaks at 1.75¢ per contract on a 50¢ contract and shrinks toward zero at the extremes. It is paid at entry whether the position wins or loses; there is no settlement fee. Resting (maker) orders pay no fee on most standard markets.

Is the report a pick?

No. It reports what the markets are pricing and where they disagree. The DFS notes are minutes reads from the injury report, not projections. The call is yours; trade responsibly.

Where are past reports?

Each day’s report has its own page at /nba/report/<date> — the archive list sits at the bottom of this page.