Entertainment · Dancing With the Stars · Live on Kalshi
Dancing With the Stars Odds — Season 35 Winner & Elimination Prices
Checked against Kalshi Oct 21, 2026, 11:18 PM ET · updates every few minutes
Quick Answer
Ezra Frech is the Kalshi favorite to win Dancing With the Stars Season 35 at 56.5¢ (about a 57% implied chance), ahead of Amber Glenn at 15.5¢. In this week's elimination market, Jackson Olson is priced most likely to go home at 60.5¢.
10 contestants still priced on the Kalshi winner board; the mids add up to 99¢ for a market that pays $1 once.
This week's elimination contracts close Tue, Oct 27, 11:59 PM ET.
Finale: Nov 24, 2026.
Prices are Kalshi mids from a two-sided book, as of Oct 21, 2026, 11:18 PM ET.
Dancing With the Stars Season 35 — the Kalshi board
Each price is the mid of Kalshi's two-sided YES book, in cents per $1 contract — 57¢ reads as a 57% implied chance. A dash means the book is too thin to quote a fair mid. Contestants already eliminated are settled and drop off the board.
| Contestant | Kalshi · to win | Kalshi · out this week | Polymarket (intl) · to win | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ezra Frech | 56.5¢ | 1.5¢ | 56¢ | Kalshi → |
| Amber Glenn | 15.5¢ | 1.5¢ | 15.5¢ | Kalshi → |
| Maura Higgins | 9.5¢ | 3.5¢ | 10.5¢ | Kalshi → |
| Julia Stiles | 5.5¢ | 11.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jenna Dewan | 4.5¢ | 6.5¢ | 4.5¢ | Kalshi → |
| Harry Shum Jr. | 3.5¢ | 2.5¢ | 4¢ | Kalshi → |
| Jackson Olson | 2.5¢ | 60.5¢ | 2.3¢ | Kalshi → |
| Connor Wood | 1.5¢ | 28¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Tatyana Ali | — | 38.5¢ | 1.1¢ | Kalshi → |
| Tyler Cameron | — | 56.5¢ | 0.2¢ | Kalshi → |
Polymarket prices here are from Polymarket's international exchange — a separate venue from Polymarket US, the CFTC-regulated exchange US traders are routed to. The two books are not interchangeable; a mid shows only where the international book is genuinely two-sided.
This season, week by week
Every dated read The 7 Oracles published on the Dancing With the Stars board, newest first — each one quotes the prices on the day it ran.
- Dancing with the Stars Odds: It's Not Who Wins. It's Who Survives.
Oct 19, 2026 · Coach Gene Clemons
Reading a reality-TV board
A winner board pays $1 to one name, so the prices should add up to about 100¢; the gap above that is the cost of trading every name at once. Convert any quote with the Probability Converter, check the break-even with the EV calculator, and size a longshot with Kelly — a 1¢ contract is a lottery ticket, not a position to build a bankroll around.
Videos: Dancing With the Stars on The 7 Oracles. Other shows: Survivor odds · Big Brother odds · all entertainment markets.
Go Pro · 26% off your first year
Which Kalshi contracts are mispriced right now — $150/yr
Pro is every engine we point at Kalshi: the Fed and politics desks against Polymarket and the futures curve, the silver, gold, oil and bitcoin strike grids, Gridiron Edge on every NFL game and prop, Thee Oracle, and edge alerts in Discord the moment a gap opens.
$111 for the first year, then $150/yr. Code applies automatically. Ends Dec 31. Monthly is $14.99/mo.
Every signal graded in public, losers left on the board. See the record →
Dancing With the Stars odds — frequently asked
Who is favored to win Dancing With the Stars Season 35?
As of Oct 21, 2026, 11:18 PM ET, Kalshi's winner market has Ezra Frech at 56.5¢, Amber Glenn at 15.5¢, Maura Higgins at 9.5¢. A price in cents is the market-implied chance: 56.5¢ means the market gives Ezra Frech roughly a 57% chance of winning the Mirrorball. The board on this page updates through the season.
Who is most likely to be eliminated from Dancing With the Stars this week?
Kalshi's weekly elimination market (Dancing with the Stars · Episode 8 Elimination) has Jackson Olson at 60.5¢, Tyler Cameron at 56.5¢, Tatyana Ali at 38.5¢ as of Oct 21, 2026, 11:18 PM ET. Kalshi counts multiple eliminations in one episode, so these prices can add up to more than 100¢ on a week the market expects a double elimination.
How do Kalshi's Dancing With the Stars markets settle?
The winner market resolves Yes for the contestant officially declared the winner in the finale; a joint win splits the $1, and a withdrawal before the finale resolves No. Each weekly elimination contract resolves Yes if that contestant and their partner are officially eliminated before the market's date — an elimination reversed in the same episode does not count. Kalshi charges a taker fee at the fill (7% × price × (1 − price)), win or lose.
Can you trade Dancing With the Stars on Polymarket?
Polymarket lists a Season 35 winner market. The Polymarket prices on this page are from Polymarket's international exchange, which is a separate venue from Polymarket US, the CFTC-regulated exchange US traders use; the two books are not interchangeable, so check the venue you trade before comparing.
The reality-TV boards, weekly — winner and elimination prices with the read.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
Prediction markets carry risk. Contracts can settle at $0. Informational only — not financial advice. Trade responsibly.