Broncos vs Chiefs player props — Kalshi prices vs the books

Every Kalshi player-prop strike for this game with a real two-sided book, priced against the sportsbook consensus at the same line and the exchanges that quote it, with the cheapest venue for each side named. Week 1. Game preview and model line →

Kalshi as of Sep 13, 10:10 AM ET · books as of Sep 13, 8:15 AM ET · 246 Kalshi prop strikes listed for this game · 95 with a real two-sided book · 20 priced against 3+ books · widest gap: Kenneth Walker III 3+ rec, Kalshi 10¢ above consensus

This week on the boardNFL Week 1 predictions →Week 2 predictions →

Prop market board — Broncos vs Chiefs

Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents. Exchange quotes are raw and one-sided, as quoted. A gap is a price difference, not a call.

Every Kalshi NFL player-prop strike with a two-sided book this week: the Kalshi mid, the sportsbook consensus probability read at that strike, exchange quotes at the same strike, and the gap between Kalshi and consensus in cents. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
Player	Prop	Game	Kalshi	Consensus	Gap	Novig	ProphetX	Best price	Our P(over)	Trade
Kenneth Walker IIIKC v DENarb	3+ rec	DEN @ KC	65.5¢	55.9%6bk	+9.6¢wide	o -130 / u +117	u +156	over · Novig 56.5¢under · Kalshi 36.6¢	—	Kalshi →
Travis KelceKC v DEN	5+ rec	DEN @ KC	34.5¢	43.1%2bk	-8.6¢	o +127	o +115	over · BetRivers 39.2¢	—	Kalshi →
Rashee RiceKC v DEN	60+ rec yds	DEN @ KC	42.0¢	48.4%4bk	-6.4¢gap	o -108 / u -120	o +115 / u -164	over · ProphetX 46.5¢under · Novig 54.5¢	—	Kalshi →
RJ HarveyDEN v KC	20+ rush yds	DEN @ KC	45.5¢	49.0%2bk	-3.5¢	o -102	o -340	over · Kalshi 48.7¢	—	Kalshi →
Courtland SuttonDEN v KC	5+ rec	DEN @ KC	37.5¢	40.8%5bk	-3.3¢	o +141 / u -160	o +160 / u -166	over · ProphetX 38.5¢under · Novig 61.5¢	—	Kalshi →
Kenneth Walker IIIKC v DEN	4+ rec	DEN @ KC	39.0¢	41.3%4bk	-2.3¢	o +160	o +150 / u -190	over · Novig 38.5¢under · Kalshi 63.7¢	—	Kalshi →
Kenneth Walker IIIKC v DEN	60+ rush yds	DEN @ KC	49.5¢	51.6%4bk	-2.1¢	o -113 / u +102	o -125 / u -110	over · Kalshi 51.8¢under · Novig 49.5¢	—	Kalshi →
Noah GrayKC v DEN	2+ rec	DEN @ KC	38.5¢	40.5%6bk	-2.0¢	o +133 / u -186	o +136 / u -166	over · Kalshi 40.7¢under · ProphetX 62.4¢	—	Kalshi →
Xavier WorthyKC v DEN	35+ rec yds	DEN @ KC	53.5¢	51.5%2bk	+2.0¢	—	u +110	over · BetRivers 53.5¢under · ProphetX 47.6¢	—	Kalshi →
Adam TrautmanDEN v KC	2+ rec	DEN @ KC	30.0¢	31.8%6bk	-1.8¢	o +199 / u -251	o +205 / u -255	over · ProphetX 32.8¢under · Novig 71.5¢	—	Kalshi →
Xavier WorthyKC v DEN	4+ rec	DEN @ KC	41.5¢	43.3%7bk	-1.8¢	o +115 / u -120	o +130 / u -148	over · ProphetX 43.5¢under · Novig 54.5¢	—	Kalshi →
Bo NixDEN v KC	15+ rush yds	DEN @ KC	52.0¢	50.3%4bk	+1.7¢	o -133 / u -102	o -132 / u -350	over · BetRivers 54.1¢under · Novig 50.5¢	—	Kalshi →
Jaylen WaddleDEN v KC	5+ rec	DEN @ KC	48.5¢	50.0%6bk	-1.5¢	o -108 / u -111	o -108 / u -111	over · Kalshi 51.8¢under · Novig 52.6¢	—	Kalshi →
Pat BryantDEN v KC	25+ rec yds	DEN @ KC	48.5¢	50.0%2bk	-1.5¢	—	o -127	over · Kalshi 50.8¢under · ESPN Bet 53.5¢	—	Kalshi →
Rashee RiceKC v DEN	6+ rec	DEN @ KC	48.5¢	49.8%6bk	-1.3¢	o -111 / u -115	o +100 / u -108	over · DK 49.8¢under · ProphetX 51.9¢	—	Kalshi →
Tyquan ThorntonKC v DEN	2+ rec	DEN @ KC	44.5¢	45.8%5bk	-1.3¢	o +106 / u -135	o +109 / u -130	over · DK 45.7¢under · ProphetX 56.5¢	—	Kalshi →
Courtland SuttonDEN v KC	4+ rec	DEN @ KC	55.5¢	56.7%3bk	-1.2¢	o -170	o -144 / u +107	over · Kalshi 58.7¢under · Kalshi 47.7¢	—	Kalshi →
Adam TrautmanDEN v KC	15+ rec yds	DEN @ KC	23.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	—	—	over · Kalshi 27.4¢	—	Kalshi →
Adam TrautmanDEN v KC	50+ rec yds	DEN @ KC	6.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	—	—	over · DK 5.2¢	—	Kalshi →
Bo NixDEN v KC	1+ pass TDs	DEN @ KC	68.0¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Bo NixDEN v KC	2+ pass TDs	DEN @ KC	38.5¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Bo NixDEN v KC	3+ pass TDs	DEN @ KC	14.5¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Bo NixDEN v KC	150+ pass yds	DEN @ KC	86.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -1150	—	over · Kalshi 88.7¢	—	Kalshi →
Bo NixDEN v KC	175+ pass yds	DEN @ KC	78.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -456	—	over · Kalshi 80.2¢	—	Kalshi →
Bo NixDEN v KC	200+ pass yds	DEN @ KC	65.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -239	—	over · Kalshi 67.6¢	—	Kalshi →
Bo NixDEN v KC	250+ pass yds	DEN @ KC	36.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +150	—	over · Fanatics 38.5¢	—	Kalshi →
Bo NixDEN v KC	300+ pass yds	DEN @ KC	13.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +441	—	over · DK 15.4¢	—	Kalshi →
Bo NixDEN v KC	350+ pass yds	DEN @ KC	5.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +1150	—	over · DK 4.9¢	—	Kalshi →
Bo NixDEN v KC	10+ rush yds	DEN @ KC	67.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -257	o -300	over · Kalshi 70.5¢	—	Kalshi →
Bo NixDEN v KC	20+ rush yds	DEN @ KC	39.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +138	o +136	over · FD 41.7¢	—	Kalshi →
Bo NixDEN v KC	25+ rush yds	DEN @ KC	25.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +223	—	over · Kalshi 30.4¢	—	Kalshi →
Bo NixDEN v KC	30+ rush yds	DEN @ KC	22.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +308	o +350	over · FD 21.7¢	—	Kalshi →
Courtland SuttonDEN v KC	15+ rec yds	DEN @ KC	84.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	—	—	over · Kalshi 88.7¢	—	Kalshi →
Courtland SuttonDEN v KC	25+ rec yds	DEN @ KC	75.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	—	—	over · Kalshi 77.3¢	—	Kalshi →
Courtland SuttonDEN v KC	40+ rec yds	DEN @ KC	54.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -144	—	over · Fanatics 55.6¢	—	Kalshi →
Courtland SuttonDEN v KC	50+ rec yds	DEN @ KC	37.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	—	—	over · Kalshi 42.7¢	—	Kalshi →
Courtland SuttonDEN v KC	60+ rec yds	DEN @ KC	26.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +186	—	over · DK 33.1¢	—	Kalshi →
Courtland SuttonDEN v KC	3+ rec	DEN @ KC	74.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -456	—	over · Kalshi 80.2¢	—	Kalshi →
Evan EngramDEN v KC	70+ rec yds	DEN @ KC	6.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	—	—	over · DK 6.8¢	—	Kalshi →
Evan EngramDEN v KC	2+ rec	DEN @ KC	69.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -400	—	over · Kalshi 77.3¢	—	Kalshi →
J.K. DobbinsDEN v KC	30+ rush yds	DEN @ KC	72.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -441	o -520	over · Kalshi 80.2¢	—	Kalshi →
J.K. DobbinsDEN v KC	40+ rush yds	DEN @ KC	59.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -217	o -220	over · Kalshi 67.6¢	—	Kalshi →
J.K. DobbinsDEN v KC	60+ rush yds	DEN @ KC	37.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +144	o +150	over · Fanatics 37.7¢	—	Kalshi →
Jaylen WaddleDEN v KC	40+ rec yds	DEN @ KC	63.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -251	o -280	over · Kalshi 69.5¢	—	Kalshi →
Jaylen WaddleDEN v KC	50+ rec yds	DEN @ KC	56.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	—	o -340	over · Fanatics 57.4¢	—	Kalshi →
Jaylen WaddleDEN v KC	60+ rec yds	DEN @ KC	41.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +106	o +113	over · Fanatics 45.5¢	—	Kalshi →
Jaylen WaddleDEN v KC	70+ rec yds	DEN @ KC	28.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	—	o +174	over · Kalshi 35.6¢	—	Kalshi →
Jaylen WaddleDEN v KC	4+ rec	DEN @ KC	61.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	—	—	over · Kalshi 69.5¢	—	Kalshi →
Kenneth Walker IIIKC v DEN	15+ rec yds	DEN @ KC	57.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	u +111	o -176	over · DK 58.8¢under · Kalshi 45.7¢	—	Kalshi →
Kenneth Walker IIIKC v DEN	5+ rec	DEN @ KC	24.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +326	—	over · Novig 23.5¢	—	Kalshi →
Kenneth Walker IIIKC v DEN	40+ rush yds	DEN @ KC	78.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -388	o -455	over · FD 79.2¢	—	Kalshi →
Kenneth Walker IIIKC v DEN	50+ rush yds	DEN @ KC	58.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -208	o -220	over · Kalshi 65.6¢	—	Kalshi →
Kenneth Walker IIIKC v DEN	65+ rush yds	DEN @ KC	45.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Kenneth Walker IIIKC v DEN	70+ rush yds	DEN @ KC	33.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +138	o +138	over · FD 41.3¢	—	Kalshi →
Pat BryantDEN v KC	2+ rec	DEN @ KC	61.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	—	—	over · Kalshi 67.6¢	—	Kalshi →
Pat BryantDEN v KC	3+ rec	DEN @ KC	45.5¢	46.5%6bk	-1.0¢	o +125 / u -160	o +111 / u -125	over · Novig 44.4¢under · ProphetX 55.6¢	—	Kalshi →
Patrick MahomesKC v DEN	2+ pass TDs	DEN @ KC	43.5¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Patrick MahomesKC v DEN	3+ pass TDs	DEN @ KC	16.0¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Patrick MahomesKC v DEN	150+ pass yds	DEN @ KC	85.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -900	—	over · Kalshi 87.8¢	—	Kalshi →
Patrick MahomesKC v DEN	175+ pass yds	DEN @ KC	73.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -426	—	over · Kalshi 79.2¢	—	Kalshi →
Patrick MahomesKC v DEN	200+ pass yds	DEN @ KC	63.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -228	—	over · Kalshi 65.6¢	—	Kalshi →
Patrick MahomesKC v DEN	225+ pass yds	DEN @ KC	48.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -113	—	over · Kalshi 50.8¢	—	Kalshi →
Patrick MahomesKC v DEN	250+ pass yds	DEN @ KC	32.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +160	—	over · Kalshi 36.6¢	—	Kalshi →
Patrick MahomesKC v DEN	275+ pass yds	DEN @ KC	19.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +270	—	over · Kalshi 22.2¢	—	Kalshi →
Patrick MahomesKC v DEN	10+ rush yds	DEN @ KC	58.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -203	o -215	over · Kalshi 66.6¢	—	Kalshi →
Patrick MahomesKC v DEN	20+ rush yds	DEN @ KC	35.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +170	o +170	over · FD 36.5¢	—	Kalshi →
Patrick MahomesKC v DEN	25+ rush yds	DEN @ KC	22.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +277	o +270	over · Kalshi 26.3¢	—	Kalshi →
Patrick MahomesKC v DEN	30+ rush yds	DEN @ KC	15.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +400	o +400	over · Kalshi 19¢	—	Kalshi →
Rashee RiceKC v DEN	50+ rec yds	DEN @ KC	55.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	—	o -340	over · Kalshi 58.7¢	—	Kalshi →
Rashee RiceKC v DEN	70+ rec yds	DEN @ KC	31.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	—	o +148	over · DK 38¢	—	Kalshi →
Rashee RiceKC v DEN	80+ rec yds	DEN @ KC	24.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +194	o +220	over · DK 28.3¢	—	Kalshi →
Rashee RiceKC v DEN	5+ rec	DEN @ KC	63.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	—	—	over · DK 66.8¢	—	Kalshi →
RJ HarveyDEN v KC	15+ rec yds	DEN @ KC	47.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	—	o -340	over · Kalshi 53.8¢	—	Kalshi →
RJ HarveyDEN v KC	2+ rec	DEN @ KC	66.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -335	—	over · DK 73¢	—	Kalshi →
RJ HarveyDEN v KC	10+ rush yds	DEN @ KC	67.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -355	o -425	over · Kalshi 75.4¢	—	Kalshi →
RJ HarveyDEN v KC	25+ rush yds	DEN @ KC	30.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +153	o +154	over · Kalshi 37.6¢	—	Kalshi →
Travis KelceKC v DEN	25+ rec yds	DEN @ KC	68.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	—	—	over · Kalshi 76.3¢	—	Kalshi →
Travis KelceKC v DEN	50+ rec yds	DEN @ KC	35.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	—	—	over · DK 42.2¢	—	Kalshi →
Travis KelceKC v DEN	60+ rec yds	DEN @ KC	25.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +208	—	over · DK 30.5¢	—	Kalshi →
Travis KelceKC v DEN	3+ rec	DEN @ KC	73.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -365	—	over · Kalshi 78.2¢	—	Kalshi →
Tyquan ThorntonKC v DEN	15+ rec yds	DEN @ KC	56.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	—	—	over · Kalshi 60.7¢	—	Kalshi →
Tyquan ThorntonKC v DEN	25+ rec yds	DEN @ KC	34.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	—	—	over · Kalshi 42.7¢	—	Kalshi →
Tyquan ThorntonKC v DEN	40+ rec yds	DEN @ KC	20.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +217	o +255	over · Kalshi 25.3¢	—	Kalshi →
Tyquan ThorntonKC v DEN	80+ rec yds	DEN @ KC	6.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +733	—	over · FD 7.7¢	—	Kalshi →
Xavier WorthyKC v DEN	25+ rec yds	DEN @ KC	62.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	—	—	over · Kalshi 68.6¢	—	Kalshi →
Xavier WorthyKC v DEN	40+ rec yds	DEN @ KC	40.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -108	o +101	over · Kalshi 46.7¢	—	Kalshi →
Xavier WorthyKC v DEN	50+ rec yds	DEN @ KC	28.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	—	o +174	over · Kalshi 33.5¢	—	Kalshi →
Xavier WorthyKC v DEN	3+ rec	DEN @ KC	59.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	—	—	over · Fanatics 64.9¢	—	Kalshi →
J.K. DobbinsDEN v KC	50+ rush yds	DEN @ KC	50.5¢	50.0%6bk	+0.5¢	o -108 / u -104	o -110 / u -111	over · Fanatics 51.2¢under · Novig 51¢	—	Kalshi →
RJ HarveyDEN v KC	3+ rec	DEN @ KC	49.5¢	49.9%6bk	-0.4¢	o +100 / u -122	o -110 / u -111	over · Novig 50¢under · ProphetX 52.6¢	—	Kalshi →
Travis KelceKC v DEN	4+ rec	DEN @ KC	57.5¢	57.9%6bk	-0.4¢	o -147 / u +115	o -144 / u +138	over · ProphetX 59¢under · ProphetX 42¢	—	Kalshi →
Bo NixDEN v KC	225+ pass yds	DEN @ KC	50.0¢	49.8%2bk	+0.2¢	o -127	—	over · Kalshi 52.8¢under · Kalshi 52.8¢	—	Kalshi →
Patrick MahomesKC v DEN	15+ rush yds	DEN @ KC	49.5¢	49.6%4bk	-0.1¢	o +100 / u -111	o -101	over · Novig 50¢under · Novig 52.6¢	—	Kalshi →
Evan EngramDEN v KC	3+ rec	DEN @ KC	53.0¢	53.0%6bk	0.0¢	o -125 / u +102	o -122 / u +103	over · ProphetX 55¢under · ProphetX 49.3¢	—	Kalshi →
Travis KelceKC v DEN	40+ rec yds	DEN @ KC	50.0¢	50.0%3bk	0.0¢	o -133	o -340 / u -340	over · Kalshi 53.8¢under · Kalshi 53.8¢	—	Kalshi →

95 of 95 two-sided strikes · + 151 listed on Kalshi, not yet priced · book consensus as of Sep 13, 8:15 AM ET

Denver Broncos Kansas City Chiefs Every game this week →

How to read this board — and what we are not claiming

Consensus is the median de-vigged probability across every sportsbook quoting a line, read at the Kalshi strike — exact when a book quotes that line, interpolated when two quoted lines bracket it, refused when they do not. Kalshi prices are the mid of a real two-sided book only. This page carries at least 40 such strikes or it does not exist; we are not claiming to beat the market, only to show where each price is.

Broncos vs Chiefs props — FAQ

Where are Broncos vs Chiefs player props priced best?

The "best price" column on each strike names the venue with the cheapest price for that side, in cents per $1 of payout — Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks and exchanges at their raw quote. It only appears when at least two venues quote the exact strike, because a best price needs a comparison.

What is the gap column?

The Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus probability read at the same strike, in cents. Positive means Kalshi is pricing the over above the books, negative means it is cheaper. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.

Why are some Kalshi strikes not shown here?

Kalshi lists a game's ladder early and most strikes stay unpriced until a day or two before kickoff. This page shows the 95 strikes with a real two-sided book; 151 more are listed and not yet priced. A 1¢ bid against a 99¢ ask is a listing, not a price.

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