SC Gov
South Carolina Governor winner? (2026)
31k contracts traded · 24k open
SC GOVERNOR 2026Live · refreshed every 15 minutesOpen seat
South Carolina Governor 2026 — Live Kalshi Odds
South Carolina’s governor race is open — Henry McMaster is term-limited — and the market prices it as a safe Republican hold, which makes the contract more useful as a calibration anchor than as a contest. The interesting number is the Democratic leg: how far below 10¢ the market keeps it is a live read on how much a national environment can move a deep-red statewide race. Search traffic for this race was landing on the South Carolina Senate page; this is the governor contract.
Seat held by Henry McMaster (R)term-limited — OPEN SEAT
Quick Answer
As of September 17, 2026, Alan Wilson leads the South Carolina governor market at 94¢ — real money putting the implied probability at 94%. The seat is open, so that price is the market’s read on the field and the environment, with no incumbent anchoring it.
Seat held by Henry McMaster (R) — open seat; term-limited.
Why trust the price: prediction markets called all seven 2024 presidential swing states correctly, often while polling averages were still split. Our state-by-state audit grades where they missed too.
Prices updated Sep 17, 8:22 PM UTC · refreshed every 15 minutes through Election Day.
Who holds the South Carolina governor’s office
Henry McMaster R
Open seat · term-limited — OPEN SEAT · not on the 2026 ballot
Seat facts checked 2026-09-17.
Live South Carolina Governor Market
Kalshi · CFTC-regulated · real moneyTrade →
How to read this
Each contract pays $1 at resolution, so the price in cents is the market’s implied probability — a 58¢ contract is a 58% chance. When the leading price sits near 50¢, the market is telling you the race is a genuine coin flip. A leg with no price shows a dash; we never fill one in.
South Carolina on the same ballot
South Carolina also elects a U.S. senator on November 3, 2026, and Kalshi prices that race separately.
South Carolina Governor 2026 — frequently asked
Who is running for governor of South Carolina in 2026?
The live board above lists every contract Kalshi quotes on the South Carolina governor race — one leg per candidate or party — with its current price. We publish the names the market prices rather than a hand-maintained field, so the board is the answer and it updates every 15 minutes. Read each price as the market’s implied probability that leg wins.
Is the South Carolina governor’s seat open in 2026?
Yes. Henry McMaster (Republican) is term-limited, so no incumbent is on the November 3, 2026 ballot. Every 2026 governor race Kalshi prices is an open seat, which is why these contracts move on the field and the national environment rather than on an incumbency anchor.
What does the market say about the South Carolina governor race?
The Quick Answer at the top of this page states the leading contract and its price as of the last refresh. A leg priced in the 80s or 90s is the market calling the race; a leading price near 50¢ is the market saying it does not know. We carry no forecaster rating for governor races, so the price stands on its own here rather than against a published band.
Where is the South Carolina governor market on Kalshi?
Kalshi lists it under the event ticker GOVPARTYSC-26 — one YES/NO contract per leg, each settling at $1 if that side wins the November 3, 2026 election and $0 otherwise. Every price on this page links straight to the live market. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated and open to traders in all 50 states. South Carolina also has a 2026 Senate race on the board, linked below.
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