SC Gov
South Carolina Governor winner? (2026)
195k contracts traded · 138k open
SC GOVERNOR 2026Live · updated hourlyOpen seat
South Carolina Governor Race 2026: Jermaine Johnson vs Alan Wilson Odds
South Carolina’s governor race is open — Henry McMaster is term-limited — and the market prices it as a safe Republican hold, which makes the contract more useful as a calibration anchor than as a contest. The interesting number is the Democratic leg: how deep in the tail the market keeps it is a live read on how much a national environment can move a deep-red statewide race. Search traffic for this race was landing on the South Carolina Senate page; this is the governor contract.
Seat held by Henry McMaster (R)term-limited — OPEN SEAT
Quick Answer
As of November 1, 2026, Alan Wilson leads the South Carolina governor market at 96¢ — real money putting the implied probability at 96%. The seat is open, so that price is the market’s read on the field and the environment, with no incumbent anchoring it.
Seat held by Henry McMaster (R) — open seat; term-limited.
Why trust the price: prediction markets called all seven 2024 presidential swing states correctly, often while polling averages were still split. Our state-by-state audit grades where they missed too.
Prices updated Nov 2, 12:37 AM UTC · refreshed hourly through Election Day.
Best price after fees
as of Nov 1, 7:37 PM ETThe same contract on two exchanges. Price to buy = the ask plus each venue’s taker fee, per contract.
Jermaine Johnson
Same price after fees.
Alan Wilson
Same price after fees.
Sponsored by Polymarket US
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Fees: Kalshi 7% × price × (1 − price); Polymarket US 6.95% × price × (1 − price). Polymarket US is the venue US traders use. Ranked by price only — never by what a venue pays us. Where it’s cheapest today →
Who is running for South Carolina governor
Jermaine Johnson
Democrat5¢
Alan Wilson
Republican96¢
Who holds the South Carolina governor’s office
Henry McMaster R
Open seat · term-limited — OPEN SEAT · not on the 2026 ballot
Seat facts checked 2026-09-17.
Live South Carolina Governor Market
Kalshi · CFTC-regulated · real moneyTrade →
How to read this
Each contract pays $1 at resolution, so the price in cents is the market’s implied probability — a 58¢ contract is a 58% chance. When the leading price sits near 50¢, the market is telling you the race is a genuine coin flip. A leg with no price shows a dash; we never fill one in.
South Carolina on the same ballot
South Carolina also elects a U.S. senator on November 3, 2026, and Kalshi prices that race separately.
South Carolina Governor 2026 — frequently asked
Who is running for governor of South Carolina in 2026?
The general-election candidates for the South Carolina governor race are Jermaine Johnson (Democrat) and Alan Wilson (Republican), per Ballotpedia’s general-election listing as of 2026-09-23. Election Day is November 3, 2026.
Is the South Carolina governor’s seat open in 2026?
Yes. Henry McMaster (Republican) is term-limited, so no incumbent is on the November 3, 2026 ballot. With no incumbency anchor, the contract moves on the field and the national environment.
What does the market say about the South Carolina governor race?
The Quick Answer at the top of this page states the leading contract and its price as of the last refresh. A leg priced in the 80s or 90s is the market calling the race; a leading price near 50¢ is the market saying it does not know. We carry no forecaster rating for governor races, so the price stands on its own here rather than against a published band.
Where is the South Carolina governor market on Kalshi?
Kalshi lists it under the event ticker GOVPARTYSC-26 — one YES/NO contract per leg, each settling at $1 if that side wins the November 3, 2026 election and $0 otherwise. Every price on this page links straight to the live market. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated and available in most states, with sports contracts restricted in some. South Carolina also has a 2026 Senate race on the board, linked below.
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