WI Gov
Wisconsin Governor winner? (2026)
1357k contracts traded · 703k open
WI GOVERNOR 2026Live · updated hourlyOpen seat
Wisconsin Governor Race 2026: David Crowley vs Tom Tiffany Odds
Wisconsin is open with Tony Evers not running. Democrats nominated Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley, who won the Aug. 11 primary by about half a point after suspending and then restarting his campaign; Republicans nominated U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany. In a state whose statewide races are routinely decided by a point or two, read the live price against that history rather than on its own.
Seat held by Tony Evers (D)not seeking re-election — OPEN SEAT
Quick Answer
As of October 15, 2026, David Crowley leads the Wisconsin governor market at 81¢ — real money putting the implied probability at 81%. The seat is open, so that price is the market’s read on the field and the environment, with no incumbent anchoring it.
Seat held by Tony Evers (D) — open seat; not seeking re-election.
Why trust the price: prediction markets called all seven 2024 presidential swing states correctly, often while polling averages were still split. Our state-by-state audit grades where they missed too.
Prices updated Oct 15, 7:52 AM UTC · refreshed hourly through Election Day.
Who is running for Wisconsin governor
David Crowley
Democrat81¢
Tom Tiffany
Republican21¢
Who holds the Wisconsin governor’s office
Tony Evers D
Open seat · not seeking re-election — OPEN SEAT · not on the 2026 ballot
Seat facts checked 2026-09-17.
Live Wisconsin Governor Market
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How to read this
Each contract pays $1 at resolution, so the price in cents is the market’s implied probability — a 58¢ contract is a 58% chance. When the leading price sits near 50¢, the market is telling you the race is a genuine coin flip. A leg with no price shows a dash; we never fill one in.
Wisconsin Governor 2026 — frequently asked
Who is running for governor of Wisconsin in 2026?
The general-election candidates for the Wisconsin governor race are David Crowley (Democrat) and Tom Tiffany (Republican), per published primary results as of 2026-09-28. Election Day is November 3, 2026.
Is the Wisconsin governor’s seat open in 2026?
Yes. Tony Evers (Democrat) is not seeking re-election, so no incumbent is on the November 3, 2026 ballot. With no incumbency anchor, the contract moves on the field and the national environment.
What does the market say about the Wisconsin governor race?
The Quick Answer at the top of this page states the leading contract and its price as of the last refresh. A leg priced in the 80s or 90s is the market calling the race; a leading price near 50¢ is the market saying it does not know. We carry no forecaster rating for governor races, so the price stands on its own here rather than against a published band.
Where is the Wisconsin governor market on Kalshi?
Kalshi lists it under the event ticker GOVPARTYWI-26 — one YES/NO contract per leg, each settling at $1 if that side wins the November 3, 2026 election and $0 otherwise. Every price on this page links straight to the live market. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated and open to traders in all 50 states.
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