Wisconsin Governor Results 2026: Crowley Beats Tiffany
Quick Answer
David Crowley (D) won the 2026 Wisconsin Governor race, beating Tom Tiffany (R).
The seat stayed with the same party.
How the market priced it
Kalshi’s last price at 11 PM ET on Nov. 2, the night before the vote.
- David Crowley85¢
- Tom Tiffany15¢
The market had it: David Crowley was the favorite at 85¢.
How the markets did across every pre-registered race: the 2026 prediction market scorecard.
Wisconsin Governor 2026 — frequently asked
Who won the 2026 Wisconsin governor race?
David Crowley (D) won the 2026 Wisconsin Governor race, beating Tom Tiffany (R). Fox News called the race (Nov. 3, 11:45 PM ET).
What did prediction markets price before the vote?
At 11 PM ET on Nov. 2, Kalshi's last price before polls opened: David Crowley 85¢, Tom Tiffany 15¢. Each contract pays $1 if that side wins, so the price reads as an implied probability.
Was it a flip?
No. Democrats held the seat.
The next market on the board, in your inbox — free
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
Race call as credited above. Prices from Kalshi. This page reports results and prices and takes no side.