GA Gov
Georgia Governor winner? (2026)
1135k contracts traded · 660k open
Georgia is open with Brian Kemp term-limited. Keisha Lance Bottoms, the former Atlanta mayor, won the Democratic nomination without a runoff; businessman Rick Jackson won the Republican runoff on June 16. Georgia split its ticket in 2022 — Kemp won re-election the same night Raphael Warnock held his Senate seat — so the live price is a read on which party’s coalition shows up without either of them on the governor’s line.
Quick Answer
As of September 29, 2026, Rick Jackson leads the Georgia governor market at 52¢ — real money putting the implied probability at 52%. The seat is open, so that price is the market’s read on the field and the environment, with no incumbent anchoring it.
Seat held by Brian Kemp (R) — open seat; term-limited.
Why trust the price: prediction markets called all seven 2024 presidential swing states correctly, often while polling averages were still split. Our state-by-state audit grades where they missed too.
Prices updated Sep 29, 7:00 PM UTC · refreshed every 15 minutes through Election Day.
Brian Kemp R
Open seat · term-limited — OPEN SEAT · not on the 2026 ballot
Seat facts checked 2026-09-17.
Georgia Governor winner? (2026)
1135k contracts traded · 660k open
How to read this
Each contract pays $1 at resolution, so the price in cents is the market’s implied probability — a 58¢ contract is a 58% chance. When the leading price sits near 50¢, the market is telling you the race is a genuine coin flip. A leg with no price shows a dash; we never fill one in.
Georgia also elects a U.S. senator on November 3, 2026, and Kalshi prices that race separately.
The live board above lists every contract Kalshi quotes on the Georgia governor race — one leg per candidate or party — with its current price. We publish the names the market prices rather than a hand-maintained field, so the board is the answer and it updates every 15 minutes. Read each price as the market’s implied probability that leg wins.
Yes. Brian Kemp (Republican) is term-limited, so no incumbent is on the November 3, 2026 ballot. With no incumbency anchor, the contract moves on the field and the national environment.
The Quick Answer at the top of this page states the leading contract and its price as of the last refresh. A leg priced in the 80s or 90s is the market calling the race; a leading price near 50¢ is the market saying it does not know. We carry no forecaster rating for governor races, so the price stands on its own here rather than against a published band.
Kalshi lists it under the event ticker GOVPARTYGA-26 — one YES/NO contract per leg, each settling at $1 if that side wins the November 3, 2026 election and $0 otherwise. Every price on this page links straight to the live market. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated and open to traders in all 50 states. Georgia also has a 2026 Senate race on the board, linked below.
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