FL Gov
Florida Governor winner? (2026)
2315k contracts traded · 1872k open
FL GOVERNOR 2026Live · refreshed every 15 minutesOpen seat
Florida Governor 2026 — Live Kalshi Odds
Florida is open with Ron DeSantis term-limited. Byron Donalds, the Republican nominee, carries Donald Trump’s endorsement; the Democrat is David Jolly, a former Republican congressman who switched parties. A state that has moved decisively right since 2018 anchors the price — read the Democratic leg as the market’s view of how far a party-switcher and a national environment can pull against that lean.
Seat held by Ron DeSantis (R)term-limited — OPEN SEAT
Quick Answer
As of September 29, 2026, Byron Donalds leads the Florida governor market at 78¢ — real money putting the implied probability at 78%. The seat is open, so that price is the market’s read on the field and the environment, with no incumbent anchoring it.
Seat held by Ron DeSantis (R) — open seat; term-limited.
Why trust the price: prediction markets called all seven 2024 presidential swing states correctly, often while polling averages were still split. Our state-by-state audit grades where they missed too.
Prices updated Sep 29, 7:00 PM UTC · refreshed every 15 minutes through Election Day.
Who holds the Florida governor’s office
Ron DeSantis R
Open seat · term-limited — OPEN SEAT · not on the 2026 ballot
Seat facts checked 2026-09-17.
Live Florida Governor Market
Kalshi · CFTC-regulated · real moneyTrade →
How to read this
Each contract pays $1 at resolution, so the price in cents is the market’s implied probability — a 58¢ contract is a 58% chance. When the leading price sits near 50¢, the market is telling you the race is a genuine coin flip. A leg with no price shows a dash; we never fill one in.
Florida on the same ballot
Florida also elects a U.S. senator on November 3, 2026, and Kalshi prices that race separately.
Florida Governor 2026 — frequently asked
Who is running for governor of Florida in 2026?
The live board above lists every contract Kalshi quotes on the Florida governor race — one leg per candidate or party — with its current price. We publish the names the market prices rather than a hand-maintained field, so the board is the answer and it updates every 15 minutes. Read each price as the market’s implied probability that leg wins.
Is the Florida governor’s seat open in 2026?
Yes. Ron DeSantis (Republican) is term-limited, so no incumbent is on the November 3, 2026 ballot. With no incumbency anchor, the contract moves on the field and the national environment.
What does the market say about the Florida governor race?
The Quick Answer at the top of this page states the leading contract and its price as of the last refresh. A leg priced in the 80s or 90s is the market calling the race; a leading price near 50¢ is the market saying it does not know. We carry no forecaster rating for governor races, so the price stands on its own here rather than against a published band.
Where is the Florida governor market on Kalshi?
Kalshi lists it under the event ticker GOVPARTYFL-26 — one YES/NO contract per leg, each settling at $1 if that side wins the November 3, 2026 election and $0 otherwise. Every price on this page links straight to the live market. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated and open to traders in all 50 states. Florida also has a 2026 Senate race on the board, linked below.
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