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ME GOVERNOR 2026Live · updated hourlyOpen seat

Maine Governor Race 2026: Hannah Pingree vs Bobby Charles Odds

Maine opens up with Janet Mills term-limited, in a state that splits its ticket more readily than most and runs ranked-choice primaries. The governor contract sits beside a genuine toss-up Senate race and a Senate-and-Governor combination contract, so the price here is one of the few governor markets that can be read against a second statewide number. Watch the gap between the two offices rather than either in isolation.

Seat held by Janet Mills (D)term-limited — OPEN SEAT

Quick Answer

As of October 15, 2026, Hannah Pingree leads the Maine governor market at 94¢ — real money putting the implied probability at 94%. The seat is open, so that price is the market’s read on the field and the environment, with no incumbent anchoring it.

Seat held by Janet Mills (D) — open seat; term-limited.

Kalshi quotes 3 priced legs here, not two — read the leader against the whole board, because a third leg is probability the two-party numbers leave out.

See how accurate the markets were in 2024 →

Prices updated Oct 15, 7:52 AM UTC · refreshed hourly through Election Day.

Who is running for Maine governor

Hannah Pingree, Democratic nominee for Maine governor 2026

Hannah Pingree

Democrat

94¢

Bobby Charles

Republican

6¢

Rick Bennett, independent candidate for Maine governor 2026

Rick Bennett

Independent

2¢

Live Kalshi price per contract (¢ = implied %). Photos: Hannah Pingree for Governor, CC BY 4.0; Dirigo Blue, CC BY 3.0.

Who holds the Maine governor’s office

Janet Mills D

Open seat · term-limited — OPEN SEAT · not on the 2026 ballot

Seat facts checked 2026-09-17.

Live Maine Governor Market

Kalshi · CFTC-regulated · real money

How to read this

Each contract pays $1 at resolution, so the price in cents is the market’s implied probability — a 58¢ contract is a 58% chance. When the leading price sits near 50¢, the market is telling you the race is a genuine coin flip. A leg with no price shows a dash; we never fill one in.

Trade the ME governor market on Kalshi →

Maine on the same ballot

Maine also elects a U.S. senator on November 3, 2026, and Kalshi prices that race separately. Kalshi additionally lists a four-outcome Senate-and-Governor combination contract for Maine, priced against the product of its two legs on the Senate race page.

Maine Governor 2026 — frequently asked

Who is running for governor of Maine in 2026?

The general-election candidates for the Maine governor race are Hannah Pingree (Democrat), Bobby Charles (Republican) and Rick Bennett (independent), per Ballotpedia’s general-election listing as of 2026-09-23. Election Day is November 3, 2026.

Is the Maine governor’s seat open in 2026?

Yes. Janet Mills (Democrat) is term-limited, so no incumbent is on the November 3, 2026 ballot. With no incumbency anchor, the contract moves on the field and the national environment.

What does the market say about the Maine governor race?

The Quick Answer at the top of this page states the leading contract and its price as of the last refresh. A leg priced in the 80s or 90s is the market calling the race; a leading price near 50¢ is the market saying it does not know. We carry no forecaster rating for governor races, so the price stands on its own here rather than against a published band.

Where is the Maine governor market on Kalshi?

Kalshi lists it under the event ticker GOVPARTYME-26 — one YES/NO contract per leg, each settling at $1 if that side wins the November 3, 2026 election and $0 otherwise. Every price on this page links straight to the live market. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated and open to traders in all 50 states. Maine also has a 2026 Senate race on the board, linked below.

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