IA Gov
Iowa Governor winner? (2026)
680k contracts traded · 469k open
IA GOVERNOR 2026Live · refreshed every 15 minutesOpen seat
Iowa Governor 2026 — Live Kalshi Odds
Iowa is open for the first time since 2017: Kim Reynolds is not seeking another term. The market prices this as a Republican-leaning seat in a state that has moved right at the top of the ticket, and the contract is quoted alongside an Iowa Senate race and a combination contract on the pair. Read the live price as the market’s view of how much of that statewide lean transfers to an open governor’s office.
Seat held by Kim Reynolds (R)not seeking re-election — OPEN SEAT
Quick Answer
As of September 17, 2026, Rob Sand leads the Iowa governor market at 79¢ — real money putting the implied probability at 79%. The seat is open, so that price is the market’s read on the field and the environment, with no incumbent anchoring it.
Seat held by Kim Reynolds (R) — open seat; not seeking re-election.
Why trust the price: prediction markets called all seven 2024 presidential swing states correctly, often while polling averages were still split. Our state-by-state audit grades where they missed too.
Prices updated Sep 17, 8:22 PM UTC · refreshed every 15 minutes through Election Day.
Who holds the Iowa governor’s office
Kim Reynolds R
Open seat · not seeking re-election — OPEN SEAT · not on the 2026 ballot
Seat facts checked 2026-09-17.
Live Iowa Governor Market
Kalshi · CFTC-regulated · real moneyTrade →
How to read this
Each contract pays $1 at resolution, so the price in cents is the market’s implied probability — a 58¢ contract is a 58% chance. When the leading price sits near 50¢, the market is telling you the race is a genuine coin flip. A leg with no price shows a dash; we never fill one in.
Iowa on the same ballot
Iowa also elects a U.S. senator on November 3, 2026, and Kalshi prices that race separately. Kalshi additionally lists a four-outcome Senate-and-Governor combination contract for Iowa, priced against the product of its two legs on the Senate race page.
Iowa Governor 2026 — frequently asked
Who is running for governor of Iowa in 2026?
The live board above lists every contract Kalshi quotes on the Iowa governor race — one leg per candidate or party — with its current price. We publish the names the market prices rather than a hand-maintained field, so the board is the answer and it updates every 15 minutes. Read each price as the market’s implied probability that leg wins.
Is the Iowa governor’s seat open in 2026?
Yes. Kim Reynolds (Republican) is not seeking re-election, so no incumbent is on the November 3, 2026 ballot. Every 2026 governor race Kalshi prices is an open seat, which is why these contracts move on the field and the national environment rather than on an incumbency anchor.
What does the market say about the Iowa governor race?
The Quick Answer at the top of this page states the leading contract and its price as of the last refresh. A leg priced in the 80s or 90s is the market calling the race; a leading price near 50¢ is the market saying it does not know. We carry no forecaster rating for governor races, so the price stands on its own here rather than against a published band.
Where is the Iowa governor market on Kalshi?
Kalshi lists it under the event ticker GOVPARTYIA-26 — one YES/NO contract per leg, each settling at $1 if that side wins the November 3, 2026 election and $0 otherwise. Every price on this page links straight to the live market. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated and open to traders in all 50 states. Iowa also has a 2026 Senate race on the board, linked below.
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