Nevada Governor Results 2026: Ford Beats Lombardo
Quick Answer
Aaron Ford (D) won the 2026 Nevada Governor race, beating Joe Lombardo (R).
The seat changed party.
How the market priced it
Kalshi’s last price at 11 PM ET on Nov. 2, the night before the vote.
- Aaron Ford75¢
- Joe Lombardo27¢
The market had it: Aaron Ford was the favorite at 75¢.
How the markets did across every pre-registered race: the 2026 prediction market scorecard.
Nevada Governor 2026 — frequently asked
Who won the 2026 Nevada governor race?
Aaron Ford (D) won the 2026 Nevada Governor race, beating Joe Lombardo (R). The Associated Press called the race.
What did prediction markets price before the vote?
At 11 PM ET on Nov. 2, Kalshi's last price before polls opened: Aaron Ford 75¢, Joe Lombardo 27¢. Each contract pays $1 if that side wins, so the price reads as an implied probability.
Was it a flip?
Yes. Democrats took a seat held by Republicans.
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Race call as credited above. Prices from Kalshi. This page reports results and prices and takes no side.