Pennsylvania Governor Results 2026: Shapiro Beats Garrity
Quick Answer
Josh Shapiro (D) won the 2026 Pennsylvania Governor race, beating Stacy Garrity (R).
The seat stayed with the same party.
How the market priced it
Kalshi’s last price at 11 PM ET on Nov. 2, the night before the vote.
- Josh Shapiro98¢
- Stacy Garrity1¢
The market had it: Josh Shapiro was the favorite at 98¢.
How the markets did across every pre-registered race: the 2026 prediction market scorecard.
Pennsylvania Governor 2026 — frequently asked
Who won the 2026 Pennsylvania governor race?
Josh Shapiro (D) won the 2026 Pennsylvania Governor race, beating Stacy Garrity (R). The Associated Press called the race.
What did prediction markets price before the vote?
At 11 PM ET on Nov. 2, Kalshi's last price before polls opened: Josh Shapiro 98¢, Stacy Garrity 1¢. Each contract pays $1 if that side wins, so the price reads as an implied probability.
Was it a flip?
No. Democrats held the seat.
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Race call as credited above. Prices from Kalshi. This page reports results and prices and takes no side.