KS Gov
Kansas Governor winner? (2026)
302k contracts traded · 151k open
KS GOVERNOR 2026Live · updated hourlyOpen seat
Kansas Governor Race 2026: Cindy Holscher vs Ty Masterson Odds
Kansas is the governor race the market treats as genuinely contested: Laura Kelly, a Democrat who twice won a state Trump carried comfortably, is term-limited, and the open seat prices closer to a two-way contest than the state’s partisan lean would suggest. Kalshi’s ticker for this race carries the 2027 term year rather than the 2026 election year — a trap for anyone building the URL by hand. Read the live price as the market weighing Kelly’s crossover coalition without Kelly on the ballot.
Seat held by Laura Kelly (D)term-limited — OPEN SEAT
Quick Answer
As of November 1, 2026, Ty Masterson leads the Kansas governor market at 75¢ — real money putting the implied probability at 75%. The seat is open, so that price is the market’s read on the field and the environment, with no incumbent anchoring it.
Seat held by Laura Kelly (D) — open seat; term-limited.
Why trust the price: prediction markets called all seven 2024 presidential swing states correctly, often while polling averages were still split. Our state-by-state audit grades where they missed too.
Prices updated Nov 2, 12:37 AM UTC · refreshed hourly through Election Day.
Best price after fees
as of Nov 1, 7:37 PM ETThe same contract on two exchanges. Price to buy = the ask plus each venue’s taker fee, per contract.
Cindy Holscher
Same price after fees.
Ty Masterson
Same price after fees.
Sponsored by Polymarket US
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Fees: Kalshi 7% × price × (1 − price); Polymarket US 6.95% × price × (1 − price). Polymarket US is the venue US traders use. Ranked by price only — never by what a venue pays us. Where it’s cheapest today →
Who is running for Kansas governor
Cindy Holscher
Democrat26¢
Ty Masterson
Republican75¢
Who holds the Kansas governor’s office
Laura Kelly D
Open seat · term-limited — OPEN SEAT · not on the 2026 ballot
Seat facts checked 2026-09-17.
Live Kansas Governor Market
Kalshi · CFTC-regulated · real moneyTrade →
How to read this
Each contract pays $1 at resolution, so the price in cents is the market’s implied probability — a 58¢ contract is a 58% chance. When the leading price sits near 50¢, the market is telling you the race is a genuine coin flip. A leg with no price shows a dash; we never fill one in.
Kansas on the same ballot
Kansas also elects a U.S. senator on November 3, 2026, and Kalshi prices that race separately.
Kansas Governor 2026 — frequently asked
Who is running for governor of Kansas in 2026?
The general-election candidates for the Kansas governor race are Cindy Holscher (Democrat) and Ty Masterson (Republican), per Ballotpedia’s general-election listing as of 2026-09-23. Election Day is November 3, 2026.
Is the Kansas governor’s seat open in 2026?
Yes. Laura Kelly (Democrat) is term-limited, so no incumbent is on the November 3, 2026 ballot. With no incumbency anchor, the contract moves on the field and the national environment.
What does the market say about the Kansas governor race?
The Quick Answer at the top of this page states the leading contract and its price as of the last refresh. A leg priced in the 80s or 90s is the market calling the race; a leading price near 50¢ is the market saying it does not know. We carry no forecaster rating for governor races, so the price stands on its own here rather than against a published band.
Where is the Kansas governor market on Kalshi?
Kalshi lists it under the event ticker GOVPARTYKS-27 — one YES/NO contract per leg, each settling at $1 if that side wins the November 3, 2026 election and $0 otherwise. Every price on this page links straight to the live market. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated and available in most states, with sports contracts restricted in some. Kansas also has a 2026 Senate race on the board, linked below.
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