KS Gov
Kansas Governor winner? (2026)
64k contracts traded · 30k open
Kansas is the governor race the market treats as genuinely contested: Laura Kelly, a Democrat who twice won a state Trump carried comfortably, is term-limited, and the open seat prices closer to a two-way contest than the state’s partisan lean would suggest. Kalshi’s ticker for this race carries the 2027 term year rather than the 2026 election year — a trap for anyone building the URL by hand. Read the live price as the market weighing Kelly’s crossover coalition without Kelly on the ballot.
Quick Answer
As of September 17, 2026, Ty Masterson leads the Kansas governor market at 65¢ — real money putting the implied probability at 65%. The seat is open, so that price is the market’s read on the field and the environment, with no incumbent anchoring it.
Seat held by Laura Kelly (D) — open seat; term-limited.
Why trust the price: prediction markets called all seven 2024 presidential swing states correctly, often while polling averages were still split. Our state-by-state audit grades where they missed too.
Prices updated Sep 17, 8:22 PM UTC · refreshed every 15 minutes through Election Day.
Laura Kelly D
Open seat · term-limited — OPEN SEAT · not on the 2026 ballot
Seat facts checked 2026-09-17.
Kansas Governor winner? (2026)
64k contracts traded · 30k open
How to read this
Each contract pays $1 at resolution, so the price in cents is the market’s implied probability — a 58¢ contract is a 58% chance. When the leading price sits near 50¢, the market is telling you the race is a genuine coin flip. A leg with no price shows a dash; we never fill one in.
Kansas also elects a U.S. senator on November 3, 2026, and Kalshi prices that race separately.
The live board above lists every contract Kalshi quotes on the Kansas governor race — one leg per candidate or party — with its current price. We publish the names the market prices rather than a hand-maintained field, so the board is the answer and it updates every 15 minutes. Read each price as the market’s implied probability that leg wins.
Yes. Laura Kelly (Democrat) is term-limited, so no incumbent is on the November 3, 2026 ballot. Every 2026 governor race Kalshi prices is an open seat, which is why these contracts move on the field and the national environment rather than on an incumbency anchor.
The Quick Answer at the top of this page states the leading contract and its price as of the last refresh. A leg priced in the 80s or 90s is the market calling the race; a leading price near 50¢ is the market saying it does not know. We carry no forecaster rating for governor races, so the price stands on its own here rather than against a published band.
Kalshi lists it under the event ticker GOVPARTYKS-27 — one YES/NO contract per leg, each settling at $1 if that side wins the November 3, 2026 election and $0 otherwise. Every price on this page links straight to the live market. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated and open to traders in all 50 states. Kansas also has a 2026 Senate race on the board, linked below.
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