PMP · MMAPFL Chicago
Main Event · Women’s Flyweight
Liz Carmouche26-8 · #2
VSJena Bishop11-3 · #4
Market opens soon
PFL · MMAPFL Champions Series
PFL Chicago: Carmouche vs. Bishop 2
Friday, October 16, 2026 · Wintrust Arena · ESPN2
The 7 OraclesPMP · MMAPFL ChicagoFriday, October 16, 2026Quick Answer
As of August 27, 2026, PFL Chicago: Carmouche vs. Bishop 2 is headlined by Liz Carmouche (26-8, ranked #2) vs Jena Bishop (11-3, #4) in the women’s flyweight division, Friday, October 16, 2026 at Wintrust Arena. Kalshi and Polymarket list combat-fight markets close to fight night — when PFL Chicago's contracts open, the tale of the tape below fills with live win probabilities for all 6 bouts.
Why you can trade this card
The inaugural PFL Women’s Flyweight World Championship gets decided in Chicago — a rematch of a fight Carmouche ended by third-round KO in August 2025. Illinois has retail and mobile books, but Kalshi’s CFTC-regulated exchange runs the same one-account market in all 50 states, and PFL bouts have already listed there this season.
What the market says
The full card at a glance — the market favorite, cross-platform price gap, method lean and liquidity for every bout. Market-derived, not a pick.
No bout on this card has a listed prediction market yet. Kalshi and Polymarket open combat-fight contracts close to fight night — the scanner fills with live market favorites, win probabilities and price gaps the moment they do. No prices are shown before then.
- Liz Carmouche vs Jena BishopMain Event · Women’s Flyweight
- Timur Khizriev vs Gabriel BragaFeatherweight
- Alexandr Shabliy vs Landry WardLightweight
- Denis Goltsov vs Maxwell Djantou NanaHeavyweight
- Sarvarjon Khamidov vs Rafael do NascimentoBantamweight
- Oualy Tandia vs Kendly St. LouisWelterweight
Main card
PMP · MMAPFL Chicago
Main Event · Women’s Flyweight
Liz Carmouche26-8 · #2
VSJena Bishop11-3 · #4
Market opens soon
Prelims
PMP · MMAPFL Chicago
Featherweight
Timur Khizriev18-0
VSGabriel Braga17-3
Market opens soon
PMP · MMAPFL Chicago
Lightweight
Alexandr Shabliy25-4
VSLandry Ward11-3
Market opens soon
PMP · MMAPFL Chicago
Heavyweight
Denis Goltsov37-9
VSMaxwell Djantou Nana9-2
Market opens soon
PMP · MMAPFL Chicago
Bantamweight
Sarvarjon Khamidov17-1
VSRafael do Nascimento13-3
Market opens soon
PMP · MMAPFL Chicago
Welterweight
Oualy Tandia5-0
VSKendly St. Louis11-6
Market opens soon
The prediction-market read
PFL Chicago: Carmouche vs. Bishop 2 brings 6 bouts to Wintrust Arena in Chicago, Illinois on Friday, October 16, 2026, live on ESPN2. The card is headlined by Liz Carmouche (26-8, ranked #2) against Jena Bishop (11-3, #4) in the women’s flyweight division.
Kalshi and Polymarket list combat-fight markets close to fight night, so PFL Chicago's win prices aren't posted yet. The card above shows the full tale of the tape — records, divisional ranks and country — and each bout flips to a live market-implied win probability the moment its contract opens. No prices are fabricated before then.
Prediction markets are not sportsbooks — you trade a contract that settles at $1 or $0, not a wager against a house line. Informational only; trade responsibly.
PFL Chicago — frequently asked
Who is favored at PFL Chicago?
Liz Carmouche (26-8) meets Jena Bishop (11-3) in the main event. PFL Chicago's combat-fight markets list close to fight night — once they open, the tale of the tape above shows the market favorite and a live win probability for each bout, with no fabricated prices before then.
How can I watch PFL Chicago?
PFL Chicago: Carmouche vs. Bishop 2 streams on ESPN2 on Friday, October 16, 2026. While you watch, the live market read for every bout — market-implied win probability and comma-free American odds — is on this page the moment PFL Chicago's contracts list.
Can you trade PFL Chicago fights on Kalshi or Polymarket?
Yes — these are prediction markets, not a sportsbook. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange available to traders in all 50 states, and PFL fights have traded on Polymarket. You take a yes/no position on a fighter in a contract that settles at $1 or $0 — no point spread, just the binary outcome.
When and where is PFL Chicago?
PFL Chicago: Carmouche vs. Bishop 2 takes place Friday, October 16, 2026 at Wintrust Arena in Chicago, Illinois, broadcast on ESPN2.
What is the PFL World Tournament "Road to $1M"?
PFL runs single-elimination divisional brackets that pay $1 million to each division champion. Track the live price-to-win futures on our PFL World Tournament hub, which also carries the featured tale of the tape from this card.
How do prediction-market MMA odds work?
Each fighter's price is the market-implied probability they win, quoted in cents (a 69¢ contract implies a 69% chance) and shown here as comma-free American odds. Unlike a sportsbook line, the contract settles at $1 if the fighter wins and $0 if they lose, so the price IS the probability.
More PFL predictions
Every card we cover is indexed on the PFL predictions hub, alongside the graded record for every bout that has settled.
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Prediction markets carry risk. Contracts can settle at $0. Informational only — not financial advice. Trade responsibly.