Main Event · Lightweight
PFL MENA 11: 2026 Semifinals
Friday, October 2, 2026 · TBA · YouTube (free) & the PFL App
Quick Answer
As of August 27, 2026, PFL MENA 11: 2026 Semifinals is headlined by Ylies Djiroun (25-9) vs Basel Ahmed Shalaan (7-1) in the lightweight division, Friday, October 2, 2026 at TBA. Kalshi and Polymarket list combat-fight markets close to fight night — when PFL MENA 11's contracts open, the tale of the tape below fills with live win probabilities for all 8 bouts.
Why you can trade this card
Six MENA tournament semifinals land in Riyadh on one Friday card — winners punch tickets to the season finals. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange open in all 50 states, so US traders can take a position on a Riyadh card the moment contracts list, no local account required.
What the market says
The full card at a glance — the market favorite, cross-platform price gap, method lean and liquidity for every bout. Market-derived, not a pick.
No bout on this card has a listed prediction market yet. Kalshi and Polymarket open combat-fight contracts close to fight night — the scanner fills with live market favorites, win probabilities and price gaps the moment they do. No prices are shown before then.
- Ylies Djiroun vs Basel Ahmed ShalaanMain Event · Lightweight
- Mohammad Fahmi vs Ahmed El SisyLightweight Tournament SF · Lightweight
- Badreddine Diani vs Hazem KayyaliWelterweight Tournament SF · Welterweight
- Omar Hussein vs Abdelkrim ZouadWelterweight Tournament SF · Welterweight
- Hamza Kooheji vs Elias BoudegzdameFeatherweight Tournament SF · Featherweight
- Shadi Kabbani vs Mehdi SaadiFeatherweight Tournament SF · Featherweight
- Mostafa Rashed Nada vs Osama ElSeadyLight Heavyweight
- Hassan Shaaban vs Assem GhanemLightweight
Main card
Main Event · Lightweight
Lightweight Tournament SF · Lightweight
Welterweight Tournament SF · Welterweight
Welterweight Tournament SF · Welterweight
Featherweight Tournament SF · Featherweight
Featherweight Tournament SF · Featherweight
Prelims
Light Heavyweight
Lightweight
The prediction-market read
PFL MENA 11: 2026 Semifinals brings 8 bouts to TBA in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia on Friday, October 2, 2026, live on YouTube (free) & the PFL App. The card is headlined by Ylies Djiroun (25-9) against Basel Ahmed Shalaan (7-1) in the lightweight division.
Kalshi and Polymarket list combat-fight markets close to fight night, so PFL MENA 11's win prices aren't posted yet. The card above shows the full tale of the tape — records, divisional ranks and country — and each bout flips to a live market-implied win probability the moment its contract opens. No prices are fabricated before then.
Prediction markets are not sportsbooks — you trade a contract that settles at $1 or $0, not a wager against a house line. Informational only; trade responsibly.
PFL MENA 11 — frequently asked
Who is favored at PFL MENA 11?
Ylies Djiroun (25-9) meets Basel Ahmed Shalaan (7-1) in the main event. PFL MENA 11's combat-fight markets list close to fight night — once they open, the tale of the tape above shows the market favorite and a live win probability for each bout, with no fabricated prices before then.
How can I watch PFL MENA 11?
PFL MENA 11: 2026 Semifinals streams on YouTube (free) & the PFL App on Friday, October 2, 2026. While you watch, the live market read for every bout — market-implied win probability and comma-free American odds — is on this page the moment PFL MENA 11's contracts list.
Can you trade PFL MENA 11 fights on Kalshi or Polymarket?
Yes — these are prediction markets, not a sportsbook. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange available to traders in all 50 states, and PFL fights have traded on Polymarket. You take a yes/no position on a fighter in a contract that settles at $1 or $0 — no point spread, just the binary outcome.
When and where is PFL MENA 11?
PFL MENA 11: 2026 Semifinals takes place Friday, October 2, 2026 at TBA in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, broadcast on YouTube (free) & the PFL App.
What is the PFL World Tournament "Road to $1M"?
PFL runs single-elimination divisional brackets that pay $1 million to each division champion. Track the live price-to-win futures on our PFL World Tournament hub, which also carries the featured tale of the tape from this card.
How do prediction-market MMA odds work?
Each fighter's price is the market-implied probability they win, quoted in cents (a 69¢ contract implies a 69% chance) and shown here as comma-free American odds. Unlike a sportsbook line, the contract settles at $1 if the fighter wins and $0 if they lose, so the price IS the probability.
More PFL predictions
Every card we cover is indexed on the PFL predictions hub, alongside the graded record for every bout that has settled.
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Prediction markets carry risk. Contracts can settle at $0. Informational only — not financial advice. Trade responsibly.