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Home/MMA/PFL Chicago/Khamidov vs. Nascimento

PFL Chicago · Main Card · Bantamweight

Khamidov vs. Nascimento Prediction & Odds

Friday, October 16, 2026 · Wintrust Arena, Chicago, Illinois · ESPN2 & ESPN Deportes (main card) · ESPN App (prelims)

Quick Answer

Sarvarjon Khamidov (17-1) meets Rafael do Nascimento (13-2) in a main-card bout of PFL Chicago, Friday, October 16, 2026, main card 11:00 PM EDT on ESPN2 & ESPN Deportes. Sarvarjon Khamidov is favored at 73% (-325) on FanDuel's reference line, de-vigged. No Kalshi or Polymarket contract has listed yet.

PMP · MMAPFL ChicagoThe 7 Oracles

Bantamweight

Sarvarjon Khamidov17-1 · #6
VS
Rafael do Nascimento13-2
Market opens soon
Sportsbook line · FanDuel

Prediction-market contracts (Kalshi/Polymarket) aren’t listed for PFL yet — FanDuel line shown for reference.

Last time out

How to watch Khamidov vs. Nascimento

PFL Chicago is Friday, October 16, 2026 at Wintrust Arena in Chicago, Illinois, on ESPN2 & ESPN Deportes (main card) · ESPN App (prelims). Prelims start 6:00 PM EDT. The main card starts 11:00 PM EDT, and this bout is on it.

Khamidov vs. Nascimento — frequently asked

Who is favored in Khamidov vs. Nascimento?

Sarvarjon Khamidov is favored at 73% (-325) on FanDuel's reference line, de-vigged. No Kalshi or Polymarket contract has listed yet.

When is Khamidov vs. Nascimento?

Friday, October 16, 2026 at Wintrust Arena in Chicago, Illinois. The main card starts 11:00 PM EDT, after prelims at 6:00 PM EDT. It is a main-card bout of PFL Chicago.

How can I watch Khamidov vs. Nascimento?

PFL Chicago airs on ESPN2 & ESPN Deportes (main card) · ESPN App (prelims); the main card starts 11:00 PM EDT. The full card, with every bout's tale of the tape, is on our PFL Chicago page.

What did Khamidov and Nascimento do in their last fights?

Sarvarjon Khamidov beat Justin Wetzell by technical submission (rear-naked choke) in round 2 at PFL San Diego (Jun 27, 2026) as a -390 favorite on FanDuel's line. Rafael do Nascimento beat Lewis McGrillen by submission (rear-naked choke) in round 2 at PFL Austin (Jul 18, 2026) as a +225 underdog on FanDuel's line.

Can you trade Khamidov vs. Nascimento on Kalshi?

When Kalshi lists it, yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange open in all 50 states and lists PFL bouts inside its KXMMAFIGHT series, usually close to fight night. You take a yes/no position on a fighter in a contract that settles at $1 or $0, so the price is the market-implied probability.

Prediction markets are not sportsbooks: you trade a contract that settles at $1 or $0. Informational only; trade responsibly.