PMP · MMAPFL Lyon
Main Event · Inaugural PFL Bantamweight Title · Bantamweight
Taylor Lapilus25-4 · #3
VSMitch McKee11-0 · #1
Market opens soon
PFL · MMAPFL Champions Series
PFL Lyon: Lapilus vs. McKee
Saturday, December 19, 2026 · LDLC Arena · TBA
The 7 OraclesPMP · MMAPFL LyonSaturday, December 19, 2026Quick Answer
As of October 20, 2026, PFL Lyon: Lapilus vs. McKee is headlined by Taylor Lapilus (25-4, ranked #3) vs Mitch McKee (11-0, #1) in the bantamweight division, Saturday, December 19, 2026 at LDLC Arena. Kalshi and Polymarket list combat-fight markets close to fight night — when PFL Lyon's contracts open, the tale of the tape below fills with live win probabilities for all 1 bouts.
Why you can trade this card
The inaugural PFL Bantamweight World Championship goes to France: No. 3 Taylor Lapilus, chasing a home-soil belt, against unbeaten No. 1 Mitch McKee. When contracts list, Kalshi’s CFTC-regulated exchange runs the same one-account market in all 50 states.
What the market says
The full card at a glance — the market favorite, cross-platform price gap, method lean and liquidity for every bout. Market-derived, not a pick.
No bout on this card has a listed prediction market yet. Kalshi and Polymarket open combat-fight contracts close to fight night — the scanner fills with live market favorites, win probabilities and price gaps the moment they do. No prices are shown before then.
- Taylor Lapilus vs Mitch McKeeMain Event · Inaugural PFL Bantamweight Title · Bantamweight
Main card
PMP · MMAPFL Lyon
Main Event · Inaugural PFL Bantamweight Title · Bantamweight
Taylor Lapilus25-4 · #3
VSMitch McKee11-0 · #1
Market opens soon
The prediction-market read
PFL Lyon: Lapilus vs. McKee brings 1 bouts to LDLC Arena in Décines-Charpieu, France on Saturday, December 19, 2026, live on TBA. The card is headlined by Taylor Lapilus (25-4, ranked #3) against Mitch McKee (11-0, #1) in the bantamweight division.
Kalshi and Polymarket list combat-fight markets close to fight night, so PFL Lyon's win prices aren't posted yet. The card above shows the full tale of the tape — records, divisional ranks and country — and each bout flips to a live market-implied win probability the moment its contract opens. No prices are fabricated before then.
Prediction markets are not sportsbooks — you trade a contract that settles at $1 or $0, not a wager against a house line. Informational only; trade responsibly.
PFL Lyon — frequently asked
Who is favored at PFL Lyon?
Taylor Lapilus (25-4) meets Mitch McKee (11-0) in the main event. PFL Lyon's combat-fight markets list close to fight night — once they open, the tale of the tape above shows the market favorite and a live win probability for each bout, with no fabricated prices before then.
How can I watch PFL Lyon?
PFL Lyon: Lapilus vs. McKee streams on TBA on Saturday, December 19, 2026. While you watch, the live market read for every bout — market-implied win probability and comma-free American odds — is on this page the moment PFL Lyon's contracts list.
Can you trade PFL Lyon fights on Kalshi or Polymarket?
Yes — these are prediction markets, not a sportsbook. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange available to traders in all 50 states, and PFL bouts have traded on Kalshi inside its KXMMAFIGHT series. You take a yes/no position on a fighter in a contract that settles at $1 or $0 — no point spread, just the binary outcome.
When and where is PFL Lyon?
PFL Lyon: Lapilus vs. McKee takes place Saturday, December 19, 2026 at LDLC Arena in Décines-Charpieu, France, broadcast on TBA.
What is the PFL World Tournament "Road to $1M"?
PFL runs single-elimination divisional brackets that pay $1 million to each division champion. Track the live price-to-win futures on our PFL World Tournament hub, which also carries the featured tale of the tape from this card.
How do prediction-market MMA odds work?
Each fighter's price is the market-implied probability they win, quoted in cents (a 69¢ contract implies a 69% chance) and shown here as comma-free American odds. Unlike a sportsbook line, the contract settles at $1 if the fighter wins and $0 if they lose, so the price IS the probability.
More PFL predictions
Every card we cover is indexed on the PFL predictions hub, alongside the graded record for every bout that has settled.
One email 48h before every PFL card, with the full market read. Nothing else.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
Prediction markets carry risk. Contracts can settle at $0. Informational only — not financial advice. Trade responsibly.