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Every Kalshi 15-minute window, priced against the late-flip risk

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Every 2026 race priced on Kalshi and Polymarket

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Options vs. Kalshi on weekly silver brackets

Connect Claude to Kalshi and Polymarket

Quick Answer

to give Claude live Kalshi and Polymarket prices, add https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/connect as a custom connector in claude.ai or Claude Desktop (Settings → Connectors) and sign in with a free PredictionMarketsPicks account: about 30 seconds, no API key, and the full board once a day. Prefer no account? https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp?via=site-claude works too, and 37 of the 44 tools answer on it immediately.

Connector URL — free account, full board once a day
https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/connect
No account? Use this URL instead
https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp?via=site-claude

No sign-in at all: 37 of the 44 tools answer, with a lighter daily allowance.

Set it up in claude.ai or Claude Desktop

  1. Open Settings → Connectors and choose Add custom connector.
  2. Name it PredictionMarketsPicks and paste https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/connect as the remote MCP server URL. Leave the OAuth fields empty.
  3. Click Connect. A PredictionMarketsPicks window asks for your email and a one-time code; allow access and you are signed in. Members get Pro depth on the same connector.
  4. Start a new chat, make sure the connector is switched on in the tools menu, and ask about a market.
Claude Code — run once in a terminal
claude mcp add --transport http predictionmarketspicks https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp?via=site-claude

The connector you add on claude.ai also appears in Claude Desktop and the Claude mobile apps on the same account. In Claude Code, claude mcp list confirms it is connected.

Sixty seconds: one connector, then live NFL prices, a strike ladder, a same-game combo and a position size — answered by the server’s own tools. Watch on YouTube

Five prompts to try in Claude

Copy one into a new chat and swap in your own team, player or market.

Build me a strike ladder for Josh Allen’s passing yards this week on Kalshi.

What you get back: Every Kalshi strike for that prop with its price and our probability at each line.

Is there a price gap between Kalshi and Polymarket on tonight’s NBA or NHL games?

What you get back: The largest cross-venue gap in percentage points, which venue is cheaper and whether it reads as WATCH or ARB.

Who wins the Michigan Senate race according to Kalshi?

What you get back: Every candidate’s live Kalshi price and volume, the seat holder, the race rating and the forecaster bands.

What does the market expect from the Fed for the rest of 2026?

What you get back: Kalshi’s odds for each remaining meeting and the rate path, with a Polymarket and CME check on the next meeting.

I have a $2,000 bankroll, the contract is 45¢ and I think it is 51%. Size it with quarter Kelly.

What you get back: The dollar amount to put in at quarter Kelly and a risk rating.

Claude and prediction markets — frequently asked

What if I cannot find “Add custom connector” in Claude?

Anthropic decides which plans and workspaces can add custom connectors, and on Team and Enterprise an owner may have to allow them first. If the option is missing, ask your workspace owner, or use Claude Code, which adds the server from the terminal with the command above.

Does Claude Code need anything besides the one command?

No. The command registers the server over Streamable HTTP; there is no package to install and no key to export. Restart the session if the tools do not appear, then ask about a market.

What can Claude answer once the connector is on?

Live prices and probabilities: NFL props venue by venue, strike ladders, win probability, Fed and election odds, cross-venue price gaps, the 15-minute and perpetual boards, plus expected-value, Kelly and Bayesian calculators. 37 tools are free; Pro adds the model’s edge calls.

Does the connector see my Claude conversations?

It only receives the arguments of the tool Claude decides to call — for example a player name or a market ticker — and returns market data. It never receives the rest of the chat.

Using ChatGPT, Gemini, Cursor or Grok? setup for every host → · what every tool returns →