PFL Africa holds its first card in Morocco on Saturday, October 10, in Casablanca, starting at 1 p.m. ET. Six fights decide who reaches the 2026 PFL Africa finals, and the man on top of the card is fighting in his hometown. Every bout's tale of the tape and line is on the PFL Africa Morocco card page. New to reading prices as probabilities? Start with our PFL prediction markets guide.
The headliner: the hometown knockout artist is a 22% underdog
Badr Medkouri (9-3) is the draw, and he hits like one: eight of his nine wins came by knockout. Abdoulaye Kane (5-2) of Senegal has never needed the judges either. All five of his wins are finishes. The market still makes Kane a clear favorite at 78% (FanDuel -460, with the margin removed; DraftKings agrees).
Both men lost their last fight. Kane was stopped by Justin Clarke in the first round at PFL Africa: Pretoria on April 10. Medkouri lost by technical submission (rear-naked choke) to Eduardo Neves at UAE Warriors 70 on May 8. Twelve of their 14 combined wins came by knockout, so this one probably doesn't go the distance. Full breakdown: Kane vs. Medkouri prediction.
The co-main: a second life, and the books can't pick a side
Alain Majorique wasn't supposed to be here. He lost a split decision to Dwight Joseph in the bantamweight quarterfinals at PFL Africa: Nigeria in June. Now he replaces Karim Henniene in the bantamweight semifinal against Raphael Uchegbu (11-2) of Nigeria. Uchegbu won his quarterfinal 30-27 on all three cards.
FanDuel makes Majorique a -115 favorite. DraftKings makes Uchegbu a -115 favorite. Remove the margin and it's 51-49 either way, a true pick'em. Full breakdown: Majorique vs. Uchegbu prediction.
The six semifinals
| Division | Semifinal | Favorite (FanDuel, no margin) | How they got here |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bantamweight | Alain Majorique vs. Raphael Uchegbu | Majorique 51% (DraftKings: Uchegbu 51%) | Majorique: lost a QF split decision, back in the bracket · Uchegbu: unanimous decision |
| Bantamweight | Dwight Joseph (16-3) vs. Boule Godogo (5-2) | Joseph 61% | Joseph: split decision over Majorique · Godogo: TKO (ground and pound), R3 |
| Welterweight | Shido Boris Esperança (12-2) vs. Peace Nguphane (9-3) | Esperança 57% | Esperança: TKO, R1 · Nguphane: unanimous decision over Yabna N'Tchalá |
| Welterweight | Rivaldo Pereira (4-2) vs. David Samuel (6-0) | Samuel 79% | Pereira: TKO (body shot), R1 · Samuel: rear-naked choke, R1 |
| Lightweight | Patrick Ocheme (9-1) vs. Cornel Thompson (12-3) | Ocheme 67% | Ocheme: flying-knee KO, R1 · Thompson: unanimous decision |
| Lightweight | Demba Seck (11-3) vs. Hussain Al Kurdi (3-0) | Al Kurdi 56% | Seck: unanimous decision · Al Kurdi: rear-naked choke, R2 |
The bantamweight and lightweight quarterfinals were in Lagos in June; the welterweight quarterfinals were in Pretoria in April. Three to circle:
- David Samuel is the biggest favorite of the semifinals at 79%. He's 6-0 and choked out his quarterfinal opponent in the first round.
- Hussain Al Kurdi (3-0) is favored over a man with 14 fights. The market prices the form, not the résumé: Al Kurdi submitted Abderrahman Errachidy in his quarterfinal.
- Ocheme vs. Thompson is all-Nigerian, so the lightweight bracket is guaranteed a Nigerian finalist.
Where the books disagree
On a regional card the two big books can sit four to six points apart on the same fighter. On the undercard, Yabna N'Tchalá is 54% at FanDuel and 60% at DraftKings, and Abderrahman Errachidy is 59% and 64%. Our card page shows one labeled reference line per bout (FanDuel) and switches to an exchange price the moment Kalshi lists the fight. To turn any of these lines into a probability yourself, use the probability converter.
How to follow it
- The card page: PFL Africa Morocco, all 12 bouts priced.
- Fight pages: Kane vs. Medkouri and Majorique vs. Uchegbu.
- Every PFL card we cover: the MMA hub, with the graded record of how the favorites have done.
- Six days later: PFL Chicago, headlined by Carmouche vs. Bishop 2. Our PFL Chicago predictions cover the whole card, and our MENA 11 recap shows how the last regional card's favorites did.
Book lines are dated reference numbers from FanDuel and DraftKings, read October 8, 2026, with the margin removed; they are not prediction-market prices. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange where contracts settle at $1 or $0. Nothing here is advice. Trade responsibly.