Thursday, April 2, 2026
Play of the Day
The 7 Oracles’ prediction market play for Thursday, April 2, 2026 — permanent record.
Will Pam Bondi leave as Attorney General?
POSITION
YES
ENTRY PRICE
52¢
CLOSES
Dec 31, 2026
CNN, WaPo, and Politico all reported on April 2 that Trump is replacing Bondi. Polymarket has her at 77%. Kalshi is sitting at 48-56%. The cross-platform spread is 20+ points — Kalshi YES is the underpriced side.
The trade is simple: two liquid markets are pricing the same event 20+ points apart. Polymarket has Bondi as the next to leave the cabinet at 77%, out by June 30 at 83%, and out by year-end at 95%. Kalshi is 48-56% YES. Multiple credible sources — CNN, WaPo, Politico — confirm Trump has told Bondi she is out. Lee Zeldin (EPA) is the leading replacement. Buy Kalshi YES while the gap exists. Position before the official WH announcement — that is when Kalshi converges fast.
Graded April 2, 2026 · P/L math per our published track-record method.