Thursday, November 12, 2026
Play of the Day
The 7 Oracles’ prediction market play for Thursday, November 12, 2026 — permanent record.
Market not yet settled — this page updates with the graded result.
Jude Bellingham anytime goal: England vs Croatia
POSITION
YES
ENTRY PRICE
43¢
CLOSES
Today - live, 2:45 PM ET kickoff at Wembley
Jude Bellingham to score against Croatia, YES at 43 cents on Kalshi. He is starting at Wembley in the hole behind Harry Kane, scored and added three assists in England's 7-0 win in Rijeka five weeks ago, and England is 74 cents to win tonight.
The case is a starter in an attacking role against a side England already beat 7-0. Bellingham is in the starting XI at Wembley, and in Rijeka on October 3 he played the full match and finished with a goal and three assists. Kalshi has England at 74 cents to win, Croatia at 10 and the draw at 17, so the market expects England to have the ball and the chances. The price: the anytime goal for Bellingham trades at 41 bid and 43 ask. At 43 cents he has to score more than 43% of the time for this to pay. Only Harry Kane, who is also starting, is priced higher on the England side. The risk is timing and the number. This play went up live, 6 minutes in with the score England 0 to Croatia 0, at the live ask, not a pre-match price. A midfielder's goal depends on England getting forward early, and a comfortable lead means an early substitution. Size it as a coin flip with a lean, not a lock.