PMP · MMAPFL New York
Main Event · Lightweight
Usman Nurmagomedov21-0
VSArchie Colgan13-0
Market opens soon
PFL · MMAPresented by Arkham
PFL New York: Nurmagomedov vs. Colgan
Friday, July 31, 2026 · main card 7:00 PM EDT · UBS Arena · ESPN / ESPN App
The 7 OraclesPMP · MMAPFL New YorkFriday, July 31, 2026Quick Answer
As of July 22, 2026, PFL New York: Nurmagomedov vs. Colgan is headlined by Usman Nurmagomedov (21-0) vs Archie Colgan (13-0) in the lightweight division, Friday, July 31, 2026 at UBS Arena. Kalshi and Polymarket list combat-fight markets close to fight night — when PFL New York's contracts open, the tale of the tape below fills with live win probabilities for all 10 bouts.
Why you can trade this card
PFL's first card at UBS Arena — undefeated champion Usman Nurmagomedov defends the lightweight title on Long Island, with unbeaten star Dakota Ditcheva in the co-main. New York has sportsbooks, but Kalshi is the same CFTC-regulated exchange in all 50 states, so anyone in the country can take a position on the card without a book account or a geofence.
What the market says
The full card at a glance — the market favorite, cross-platform price gap, method lean and liquidity for every bout. Market-derived, not a pick.
No bout on this card has a listed prediction market yet. Kalshi and Polymarket open combat-fight contracts close to fight night — the scanner fills with live market favorites, win probabilities and price gaps the moment they do. No prices are shown before then.
- Usman Nurmagomedov vs Archie ColganMain Event · Lightweight
- Dakota Ditcheva vs Denise KielholtzCo-Main Event · Women's Flyweight
- Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov vs Simeon PowellMain Card · Light Heavyweight
- Amru Magomedov vs Angel AlvarezMain Card · Lightweight
- Raufeon Stots vs Lazaro DayronMain Card · Bantamweight
- David Martinez vs Omar El DafrawyPrelims · Welterweight
- Montana De La Rosa vs Tatiana PostarnakovaPrelims · Women's Flyweight
- Sean Gauci vs Allan BegossoPrelims · Bantamweight
- Moustapha Diakhaté vs Zach NishimwePrelims · Light Heavyweight
- Khabib Nabiev vs Jamelle JonesPrelims · Light Heavyweight
Main card
PMP · MMAPFL New York
Main Event · Lightweight
Usman Nurmagomedov21-0
VSArchie Colgan13-0
Market opens soon
PMP · MMAPFL New York
Co-Main Event · Women's Flyweight
Dakota Ditcheva15-0
VSDenise Kielholtz9-5
Market opens soon
PMP · MMAPFL New York
Main Card · Light Heavyweight
Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov26-8-1
VSSimeon Powell12-2
Market opens soon
PMP · MMAPFL New York
Main Card · Lightweight
Amru Magomedov10-0
VSAngel Alvarez11-2
Market opens soon
PMP · MMAPFL New York
Main Card · Bantamweight
Raufeon Stots21-4
VSLazaro Dayron10-0-1
Market opens soon
Prelims
PMP · MMAPFL New York
Prelims · Welterweight
David Martinez17-6
VSOmar El Dafrawy15-6
Market opens soon
PMP · MMAPFL New York
Prelims · Women's Flyweight
Montana De La Rosa13-9-1
VSTatiana Postarnakova7-0
Market opens soon
PMP · MMAPFL New York
Prelims · Bantamweight
Sean Gauci11-1
VSAllan Begosso10-4-1
Market opens soon
PMP · MMAPFL New York
Prelims · Light Heavyweight
Moustapha Diakhaté5-0-1
VSZach Nishimwe4-0
Market opens soon
PMP · MMAPFL New York
Prelims · Light Heavyweight
Khabib Nabiev12-0
VSJamelle Jones14-8
Market opens soon
The prediction-market read
PFL New York: Nurmagomedov vs. Colgan brings 10 bouts to UBS Arena in Long Island, New York on Friday, July 31, 2026, live on ESPN / ESPN App. The card is headlined by Usman Nurmagomedov (21-0) against Archie Colgan (13-0) in the lightweight division.
Kalshi and Polymarket list combat-fight markets close to fight night, so PFL New York's win prices aren't posted yet. The card above shows the full tale of the tape — records, divisional ranks and country — and each bout flips to a live market-implied win probability the moment its contract opens. No prices are fabricated before then.
Prediction markets are not sportsbooks — you trade a contract that settles at $1 or $0, not a wager against a house line. Informational only; trade responsibly.
PFL New York — frequently asked
Who is favored at PFL New York?
Usman Nurmagomedov (21-0) meets Archie Colgan (13-0) in the main event. PFL New York's combat-fight markets list close to fight night — once they open, the tale of the tape above shows the market favorite and a live win probability for each bout, with no fabricated prices before then.
How can I watch PFL New York?
PFL New York: Nurmagomedov vs. Colgan streams on ESPN / ESPN App. Prelims start 4:00 PM EDT, with the main card at 7:00 PM EDT on Friday, July 31, 2026. While you watch, the live market read for every bout — market-implied win probability and comma-free American odds — is on this page the moment PFL New York's contracts list.
Can you trade PFL New York fights on Kalshi or Polymarket?
Yes — these are prediction markets, not a sportsbook. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange available to traders in all 50 states, and PFL fights have traded on Polymarket. You take a yes/no position on a fighter in a contract that settles at $1 or $0 — no point spread, just the binary outcome.
When and where is PFL New York?
PFL New York: Nurmagomedov vs. Colgan takes place Friday, July 31, 2026 at UBS Arena in Long Island, New York, broadcast on ESPN / ESPN App. Main card starts 7:00 PM EDT.
What is the PFL World Tournament "Road to $1M"?
PFL runs single-elimination divisional brackets that pay $1 million to each division champion. Track the live price-to-win futures on our PFL World Tournament hub, which also carries the featured tale of the tape from this card.
How do prediction-market MMA odds work?
Each fighter's price is the market-implied probability they win, quoted in cents (a 69¢ contract implies a 69% chance) and shown here as comma-free American odds. Unlike a sportsbook line, the contract settles at $1 if the fighter wins and $0 if they lose, so the price IS the probability.
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Prediction markets carry risk. Contracts can settle at $0. Informational only — not financial advice. Trade responsibly.