Main Event · Middleweight
PFL Austin: Eblen vs. Kasanganay 2
Saturday, July 18, 2026 · main card 10:00 PM EDT · Moody Center · ESPN2 / ESPN+
Quick Answer
As of July 9, 2026, PFL Austin: Eblen vs. Kasanganay 2 is headlined by Johnny Eblen () vs Impa Kasanganay () in the middleweight division, Saturday, July 18, 2026 at Moody Center. Kalshi and Polymarket list combat-fight markets close to fight night — when PFL Austin's contracts open, the tale of the tape below fills with live win probabilities for all 11 bouts.
Why you can trade this card
Texas is the biggest U.S. state with no legal sportsbooks — but Kalshi is CFTC-regulated and legal in all 50 states, Texas included. The Moody Center crowd can't bet Eblen vs. Kasanganay 2, but they can trade it on a regulated exchange.
What the market says
The full card at a glance — the market favorite, cross-platform price gap, method lean and liquidity for every bout. Market-derived, not a pick.
No bout on this card has a listed prediction market yet. Kalshi and Polymarket open combat-fight contracts close to fight night — the scanner fills with live market favorites, win probabilities and price gaps the moment they do. No prices are shown before then.
- Johnny Eblen vs Impa KasanganayMain Event · Middleweight
- Sergio Pettis vs Lewis McGrillenCo-Main Event · Bantamweight
- Caolán Loughran vs Julio ArceMain Card · Featherweight
- Jesus Pinedo vs Levy Saúl MarroquínMain Card · Featherweight
- Andrea Vázquez vs Aleksandra SavichevaMain Card · Women's Flyweight
- Sergio Cossio vs Kolton EnglundPrelims · Lightweight
- Biaggio Ali Walsh vs Gamid KhizrievPrelims · Lightweight
- Brandon Davis vs Luciano PereiraPrelims · Bantamweight
- Ashley Thiner vs Mia GrawePrelims · Women's Strawweight
- Borena Tsertsvadze vs Victoria AlbaPrelims · Women's Flyweight
- Jackson Glass vs Zak FlessasPrelims · Featherweight
Main card
Co-Main Event · Bantamweight
Main Card · Featherweight
Main Card · Featherweight
Main Card · Women's Flyweight
Prelims
Prelims · Lightweight
Prelims · Lightweight
Prelims · Bantamweight
Prelims · Women's Strawweight
Prelims · Women's Flyweight
Prelims · Featherweight
The prediction-market read
PFL Austin: Eblen vs. Kasanganay 2 brought 11 bouts to Moody Center in Austin, Texas on Saturday, July 18, 2026, live on ESPN2 / ESPN+. The card was headlined by Johnny Eblen () against Impa Kasanganay () in the middleweight division.
Kalshi and Polymarket list combat-fight markets close to fight night, so PFL Austin's win prices aren't posted yet. The card above shows the full tale of the tape — records, divisional ranks and country — and each bout flips to a live market-implied win probability the moment its contract opens. No prices are fabricated before then.
Prediction markets are not sportsbooks — you trade a contract that settles at $1 or $0, not a wager against a house line. Informational only; trade responsibly.
PFL Austin — frequently asked
Who is favored at PFL Austin?
Johnny Eblen () meets Impa Kasanganay () in the main event. PFL Austin's combat-fight markets list close to fight night — once they open, the tale of the tape above shows the market favorite and a live win probability for each bout, with no fabricated prices before then.
Can you trade PFL Austin fights on Kalshi or Polymarket?
Yes — these are prediction markets, not a sportsbook. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange available to traders in all 50 states, and PFL fights have traded on Polymarket. You take a yes/no position on a fighter in a contract that settles at $1 or $0 — no point spread, just the binary outcome.
When and where is PFL Austin?
PFL Austin: Eblen vs. Kasanganay 2 takes place Saturday, July 18, 2026 at Moody Center in Austin, Texas, broadcast on ESPN2 / ESPN+. Main card starts 10:00 PM EDT.
What is the PFL World Tournament "Road to $1M"?
PFL runs single-elimination divisional brackets that pay $1 million to each division champion. Track the live price-to-win futures on our PFL World Tournament hub, which also carries the featured tale of the tape from this card.
How do prediction-market MMA odds work?
Each fighter's price is the market-implied probability they win, quoted in cents (a 69¢ contract implies a 69% chance) and shown here as comma-free American odds. Unlike a sportsbook line, the contract settles at $1 if the fighter wins and $0 if they lose, so the price IS the probability.
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Prediction markets carry risk. Contracts can settle at $0. Informational only — not financial advice. Trade responsibly.