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Will above 125000 jobs be added in November 2026?

24c

YES · 24% implied

49

contracts 24h

423

open interest (contracts)

How this settles

Resolves YES if the BLS Monthly Employment Situation Report shows total non-farm payroll employment increased by more than 125,000 in November 2026.

  • Initial release vs. later revisions — BLS non-farm payroll figures are revised in subsequent months; if the rules don't specify which print is used, it's unclear whether the first (advance) release or a later revision governs resolution.
  • Strict 'above' threshold, not 'at or above' — A print of exactly 125,000 resolves NO — the job gain must strictly exceed 125,000, so positions near that boundary carry extra risk.
  • Report release date vs. November 2026 month — The November 2026 Employment Situation is typically released in early December 2026, so the contract likely settles weeks after the reference month ends — traders must account for this timing gap.

Rules read for this specific contract. Full KXPAYROLLS settlement rules →

24h move: +0.0c

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