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Kalshi Ethereum 15-Minute Market (KXETH15M)

KXETH15M is Kalshi’s 15-minute ETH market, settled on CF Benchmarks. A window is open with YES at 4¢. Over the last 96 settled windows, 51% closed up, averaging 213,826 contracts a window.
Current window · KXETH15M-26NOV100345
closes in 0:40
YES mid
4¢
Bid / ask
4¢ / 5¢
Kalshi’s target price
2,110.70
Contracts this window
198,144
Trade this window on Kalshi →

Prices are Kalshi’s live book, refreshed every 10 seconds. The mid is shown only when both sides are quoted within 15¢. Not a recommendation.

Same contract on Polymarket USPolymarketPartner
Window
3:30 AM–3:45 AM ET
Up bid / ask
6¢ / 8¢
as of 3:43:55 AM ET
Price to beat
$2,110.70

See this window on Polymarket US →Sponsored by Polymarket US

Not every market we cover is listed on Polymarket US.

18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See https://polymarketexchange.com/files/legal/Polymarket%20US%20Rulebook%20(2026.09.30).pdf for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.

Ether on Polymarket US: same 15 minutes, same index →

Kalshi lists no 5-minute window. The Polymarket US 5-minute version, with every result →Polymarket US 15-minute Ether →

The last 96 windows

Settled up
51%
Longest up run
4
Longest down run
3
Avg contracts / window
213,826

Oldest to newest; green settled up, red settled down. 2% of windows settled within 1 basis point of the target, where a tick either way decides the contract. Past windows say nothing about the next one; this is a record, not a signal.

How KXETH15M settles

YES if the simple average of the 60 one-second prints of the coin’s CF Benchmarks real-time index in the minute before the window closes is at least the same average from the minute before it opened. A tie resolves YES.

Every 15-minute series, source by source: how Kalshi’s 15-minute markets settle. 15-minute vs. hourly vs. daily vs. perps, side by side: which Kalshi clock fits your view.

Same ETH, other clocks

For builders

Kalshi Ethereum 15-minute market — frequently asked

What is KXETH15M?

KXETH15M is Kalshi's 15-minute ETH market: one up-or-down contract per quarter hour asking whether ETH ends the window at least where it started.

What does KXETH15M settle on?

CF Benchmarks. YES if the simple average of the 60 one-second prints of the coin’s CF Benchmarks real-time index in the minute before the window closes is at least the same average from the minute before it opened. A tie resolves YES.

When does KXETH15M trade?

24/7. Each window is fifteen minutes long, and the event ticker ends with the Eastern close time: KXETH15M-26SEP261945 closes at 7:45 PM ET on September 26, 2026.

What does a ETH 15-minute trade cost?

Kalshi's taker fee is 7% × price × (1 − price) per contract, about 1.75¢ at 50¢, so getting in and out near a coin flip costs roughly 3.5¢ before the spread.

How often does KXETH15M settle up?

51% of the last 96 settled windows closed up. The longest run of ups was 4 and of downs 3. A share near 50% is what an honest coin looks like; past windows say nothing about the next one.

Prices and results are read from Kalshi’s public API. PredictionMarketsPicks is independent of Kalshi and this page makes no picks. Trade responsibly.

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