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Home/How it settles/Ethereum price Above/below
CryptoKXETHD

How Kalshi settles Ethereum price Above/below

Reviewed by Benny Ricciardi

Rules last read

Settles YES when

Resolves YES if the simple average of the 60 one-second ERTI prints in the 60 seconds before 8 AM EDT on the settlement date exceeds 2,439.99 (strictly above the threshold), as published by CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI).

4 resolution traps in the KXETHD rules

The wording that changes how or when the contract settles β€” which data source and which print, the exact metric, rounding, date boundaries, void conditions.

Ethereum price Above/below
Resolves YES if the simple average of the 60 one-second ERTI prints in the 60 seconds before 8 AM EDT on the settlement date exceeds 2,439.99 (strictly above the threshold), as published by CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI).
4 traps
  • Strictly above threshold β€” exact hit resolves NO β€” The rules require the average to be *above* the threshold, so an average landing exactly at the threshold resolves NO, not YES.
  • CF Benchmarks ERTI, not spot-exchange price β€” Resolution uses CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) exclusively β€” prices on Coinbase, Binance, or any other venue are irrelevant even if they diverge materially at settlement time.
  • 60-second average window, not a single print β€” The settling value is the simple average of all 60 one-second ERTI reads in the 60 seconds *before* 8 AM EDT, so a single-second spike or dip through the threshold does not alone determine outcome.
  • EDT timezone β€” daylight-saving shift risk β€” Settlement is specified in EDT (UTC-4); if clocks have changed or are ambiguous, confusing EDT with EST (UTC-5) shifts the effective settlement window by a full hour.

KXETHD contracts open now

ContractYESImplied
Ethereum price at Oct 1, 2026 at 10pm EDT?49c49%
Ethereum price at Oct 1, 2026 at 10pm EDT?10c10%
Ethereum price at Oct 1, 2026 at 10pm EDT?75c75%
Ethereum price at Oct 1, 2026 at 10pm EDT?23c23%
Ethereum price at Oct 1, 2026 at 10pm EDT?99c99%
Ethereum price at Oct 1, 2026 at 10pm EDT?3c3%
Ethereum price at Oct 1, 2026 at 10pm EDT?91c91%
Ethereum price at Oct 1, 2026 at 10pm EDT?96c96%
Ethereum price at Oct 1, 2026 at 10pm EDT?7c7%
Ethereum price at Oct 1, 2026 at 10pm EDT?1c1%
Ethereum price at Oct 1, 2026 at 10pm EDT?1c1%
Ethereum price at Oct 1, 2026 at 10pm EDT?1c1%

A contract price in cents is already a probability β€” 42c is a 42% implied chance. Prices from Kalshi, refreshed periodically; check the exchange before taking a position.

Our record on KXETHD

We have not graded a position on KXETHD. Rather than show a zeroed scorecard, this stays empty until there is a real one. Everything we have graded is on the track record.

Go deeper

Read the official KXETHD rules on Kalshi β†’All settlement rules β†’

Frequently Asked Questions

How does Kalshi settle Ethereum price Above/below markets?

Resolves YES if the simple average of the 60 one-second ERTI prints in the 60 seconds before 8 AM EDT on the settlement date exceeds 2,439.99 (strictly above the threshold), as published by CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI). That criterion is the whole contract β€” the headline question is a summary of it, not the rule itself.

What can go wrong when a Ethereum price Above/below contract resolves?

We flag 4 traps in these rules. The first: Strictly above threshold β€” exact hit resolves NO β€” The rules require the average to be *above* the threshold, so an average landing exactly at the threshold resolves NO, not YES.

What does the KXETHD ticker mean?

KXETHD is Kalshi's series ticker for Ethereum price Above/below. Individual contracts append the event and the strike β€” so one series carries many contracts, all settling under the same rule. This page covers the rule; the board above lists the contracts open right now.

Do you have a record trading Ethereum price Above/below?

Not yet. We track KXETHD settlement rules, but no position on this series has been graded, so there is no record to show. We would rather say that than show a zeroed scorecard.

This is our reading of Kalshi’s published resolution rules, not a substitute for them β€” read the contract before taking a position. Prediction markets carry risk; contracts can settle at $0. Informational only, not financial advice.