How Kalshi settles Ethereum price Above/below
Rules last read
Settles YES when
The contract resolves YES if the simple average of the 60 one-second readings from CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) in the minute preceding the settlement time on the settlement date is strictly above the threshold price.
4 resolution traps in the KXETHD rules
The wording that changes how or when the contract settles — which data source and which print, the exact metric, rounding, date boundaries, void conditions.
Ethereum price Above/belowThe contract resolves YES if the simple average of the 60 one-second readings from CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) in the minute preceding the settlement time on the settlement date is strictly above the threshold price.4 traps
- Strictly above, not at or above threshold — The comparison is strictly greater than the threshold, so if the 60-second average lands exactly on the threshold price it resolves NO.
- Specific real-time index, not spot price — Settlement uses CF Benchmarks' ERTI exclusively — not any exchange's spot price or another CF Benchmarks index — so discrepancies between ERTI and visible market prices can affect resolution unexpectedly.
- 60-second average, not point-in-time price — The settling value is the simple mean of the 60 seconds before the cutoff, not the instantaneous price at the settlement time, so a spike or dip right at the cutoff is diluted across the full minute.
- EDT timezone boundary is strict — The cutoff is anchored to Eastern Daylight Time specifically, so traders in other timezones or during any daylight-saving ambiguity must confirm the exact UTC equivalent to avoid misjudging when the averaging window closes.
KXETHD contracts open now
A contract price in cents is already a probability — 42c is a 42% implied chance. Prices from Kalshi, refreshed periodically; check the exchange before taking a position.
Our record on KXETHD
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Frequently Asked Questions
How does Kalshi settle Ethereum price Above/below markets?
The contract resolves YES if the simple average of the 60 one-second readings from CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) in the minute preceding the settlement time on the settlement date is strictly above the threshold price. That criterion is the whole contract — the headline question is a summary of it, not the rule itself.
What can go wrong when a Ethereum price Above/below contract resolves?
We flag 4 traps in these rules. The first: Strictly above, not at or above threshold — The comparison is strictly greater than the threshold, so if the 60-second average lands exactly on the threshold price it resolves NO.
What does the KXETHD ticker mean?
KXETHD is Kalshi's series ticker for Ethereum price Above/below. Individual contracts append the event and the strike — so one series carries many contracts, all settling under the same rule. This page covers the rule; the board above lists the contracts open right now.
Do you have a record trading Ethereum price Above/below?
Not yet. We track KXETHD settlement rules, but no position on this series has been graded, so there is no record to show. We would rather say that than show a zeroed scorecard.
This is our reading of Kalshi’s published resolution rules, not a substitute for them — read the contract before taking a position. Prediction markets carry risk; contracts can settle at $0. Informational only, not financial advice.