Which 7 Oracles Tools Are Actually Winning? The Full Graded Scoreboard
Everybody on prediction-market Twitter shows you their wins. We grade every tool we publish — in public, losers included — and put the receipts on one page. Here's where all six recommendation tools stand.
The short version: Bitcoin Edge is the most accurate tool we run, full stop — 208-53 lifetime, a 0.089 Brier score, and +$35.65 on graded units. Silver and Gold are the workhorses, and both are running hotter than their lifetime average right now (~77% over the last 7 days). Oil Edge is basically breakeven. Weather Edge is broken, and we're rebuilding it. We're not going to pretend otherwise.
Lifetime, graded recommendations (as of Jun 5, 2026)
| Tool | Record (W-L) | Win % | P/L | Brier | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Edge | 208-53 (261) | 79.7% | +$35.65 | 0.089 | Best calibrated by far |
| Silver Edge | 151-64 (215) | 70.2% | +$32.31 | 0.123 | Workhorse, clean green |
| Gold Edge | 142-55 (197) | 72.1% | +$19.19 | 0.167 | Solid |
| Pick of the Day | 11-8 (19) | 57.9% | +$3.00 | 0.325 | Green, small sample |
| Oil Edge | 70-97 (167) | 41.9% | +$1.00 | 0.227 | Below 50% — basically breakeven |
| Weather Edge | 18-97 (115) | 15.7% | −$0.04 | 0.223 | Broken — being rebuilt |
Last 7 days
| Tool | W-L (7d) | Win % | P/L (7d) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Edge | 208-53 † | 79.7% † | +$35.65 † |
| Silver Edge | 128-36 | 78.0% | +$36.70 |
| Gold Edge | 119-37 | 76.3% | +$26.43 |
| Oil Edge | 68-89 | 43.3% | +$1.95 |
| Weather Edge | 6-31 | 16.2% | +$2.40 |
| Pick of the Day | 3-0 | 100% | +$1.29 |
† Bitcoin Edge's rolling 7-day window isn't isolated in the current data pull, so this row shows its lifetime figures. Every other row is a true last-7-days number.
What "Brier" means — and why we lead on it
A Brier score grades calibration, not just hit rate — lower is better, and 0 is perfect. A tool can win a lot of coin-flips and still be poorly calibrated. Bitcoin Edge at 0.089 means when it says 70%, it's right about 70% of the time. That's the number the sharp money actually cares about. Try it on the live Bitcoin Edge board.
The honest part: what's not working
- Oil Edge sits at 41.9% lifetime and roughly breakeven. The OPEC ±5-day haircut helps, but WTI's been chop. Use it for direction, not size. → Oil Edge
- Weather Edge is broken at 15.7% and we've pulled sizing while we rebuild the distribution model across the 13 cities. → Weather Edge
We'd rather tell you than let you find out with your own bankroll.
Want the rest of the toolkit?
The graded tools above are a slice. The full set — EV Calculator, Kelly sizing, Probability Converter, Bayes Updater, Arb Scanner, and more — lives on the free tools page. Free shows direction; Pro shows the signed edge in pp on every strike.
Frequently asked questions
What is the most accurate 7 Oracles tool?
Bitcoin Edge is the most accurate, with a 79.7% win rate (208-53), +$35.65 P/L, and a 0.089 Brier score as of June 5, 2026.
Which 7 Oracles tools are not profitable?
Oil Edge is roughly breakeven (41.9% win rate) and Weather Edge is currently broken (15.7%) and being rebuilt.
What does the Brier score measure?
The Brier score measures probability calibration; lower is better and 0 is perfect. Bitcoin Edge's 0.089 means its stated probabilities closely match real outcomes.
Trade responsibly. Markets are speculative. Past tool performance does not guarantee future results.