Matchweek 7 runs Saturday through Monday, ten fixtures out of the international break. Below is every fixture as Kalshi priced it Friday night, the goals ladders worth knowing, and the goalscorer record for the five names people actually search for. The live fixture board reprices every 15 minutes and puts Kalshi beside Polymarket US on every leg, so use it for anything after Friday night.
Every Matchweek 7 fixture, priced
Prices are the Kalshi ask, the cost of one Yes contract that pays $1, so 79¢ reads as roughly a 79% implied chance. The bid sat one cent below on almost every leg.
| Kickoff (ET) | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 7:30 AM | Everton 31¢ | 27¢ | Chelsea 44¢ |
| Sat 10:00 AM | Brentford 40¢ | 27¢ | Liverpool 35¢ |
| Sat 10:00 AM | Fulham 57¢ | 24¢ | Hull City 20¢ |
| Sat 10:00 AM | Man City 79¢ | 13¢ | Ipswich 8¢ |
| Sat 12:30 PM | Newcastle 42¢ | 27¢ | Aston Villa 33¢ |
| Sun 9:00 AM | Bournemouth 46¢ | 28¢ | Sunderland 28¢ |
| Sun 9:00 AM | Brighton 65¢ | 22¢ | Crystal Palace 16¢ |
| Sun 9:00 AM | Leeds 42¢ | 27¢ | Man United 33¢ |
| Sun 11:30 AM | Nottingham Forest 16¢ | 25¢ | Arsenal 60¢ |
| Mon 3:00 PM | Tottenham 66¢ | 21¢ | Coventry 15¢ |
Read at 11 p.m. ET, Friday, October 16, 2026. The three legs of a match add up to a little over $1; that overround is the market's margin, before Kalshi's fee. Verify: curl -s -H 'User-Agent: PredictionMarketsPicks/1.0' 'https://api.elections.kalshi.com/trade-api/v2/markets?series_ticker=KXEPLGAME&status=open'.
Three reads stand out:
- Brentford over Liverpool. The home side is the favorite at 40¢ and Liverpool are 35¢. Liverpool's win contract alone has traded more than 170,000 contracts, so this is not a thin-market quirk.
- Leeds over Manchester United. Leeds at 42¢, United at 33¢. Bruno Fernandes's goal record below helps explain why the market isn't paying for United's attack.
- Arsenal at the City Ground. Arsenal are 60¢ away to Forest, the shortest road price of the weekend.
Haaland: 5 of 6, priced like a coin flip
Kalshi lists a 1+ goal contract for each named player on match day. For the live price before every City match, see live Haaland goalscorer odds. It pays $1 if he scores at least once, including in stoppage time, and nothing otherwise. Here is every Haaland contract Kalshi has settled this season:
| Match (Kalshi date) | Scored? | Pre-kickoff trade |
|---|---|---|
| Man City vs Bournemouth (Aug 23) | No | 54¢ |
| Crystal Palace vs Man City (Aug 28) | Yes | — |
| Man City vs Coventry (Sep 5) | Yes | — |
| Man United vs Man City (Sep 13) | Yes | 47¢ |
| Man City vs Sunderland (Sep 20) | Yes | 58¢ |
| Liverpool vs Man City (Oct 11) | Yes | 48¢ |
"Pre-kickoff trade" is the last Kalshi trade in the first 40 minutes after the contract opened, before kickoff. A dash means no trade printed in that window. Six matches is a small sample.
Across the four matches with a price, the market averaged about 52¢. He scored in five of six. Haaland is also the most-traded player contract on Kalshi this season, at more than 666,000 contracts, more than four times the next name (Cole Palmer). That volume tells you who people are looking for.
For Saturday, the team ladder is the best guide to what Haaland's contract should open at. Kalshi prices City's goals against Ipswich as a ladder:
| Man City goals vs Ipswich | Bid / Ask |
|---|---|
| 1 or more | 94¢ / 96¢ (thin book) |
| 2 or more | 78¢ / 79¢ |
| 3 or more | 53¢ / 54¢ |
| Ipswich 1 or more | 57¢ / 58¢ |
| Ipswich 2 or more | 21¢ / 22¢ |
The market expects City to score multiple goals, and Haaland takes a large share of them. When his contract opens Saturday morning, the question is whether it opens above or below the range it has traded in all season. Turn any price into a probability with the Probability Converter, and run your own number through the EV Calculator before you enter.
The other names: Palmer, Isak, Saka, Bruno
Same table for the attackers who drew the most Kalshi volume this season, each with a fixture this weekend:
| Player | This weekend | Scored (Kalshi-listed matches) | Pre-kickoff trades |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Palmer | at Everton, Sat 7:30 AM | 2 of 5 | 47¢, 33¢ |
| João Pedro | at Everton, Sat 7:30 AM | 3 of 4 | — |
| Alexander Isak | at Brentford, Sat 10:00 AM | 3 of 5 | 38¢ |
| Bukayo Saka | at Forest, Sun 11:30 AM | 3 of 5 | 27¢, 26¢ |
| Kai Havertz | at Forest, Sun 11:30 AM | 2 of 5 | 33¢ |
| Bruno Fernandes | at Leeds, Sun 9:00 AM | 1 of 6 | 26¢, 28¢, 28¢ |
- Saka has scored in three of five while trading in the mid-20s.
- Palmer has blanked in his last three listed matches, and the market has moved from 47¢ to 33¢ with him.
- Bruno Fernandes has scored once in six listed matches. That's consistent with United being underdogs at Leeds.
The goals ladder: Brentford vs Liverpool
Brentford–Liverpool is the one fixture where Kalshi lists the full total-goals ladder this early:
| Total goals | Bid / Ask |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95¢ / 96¢ |
| Over 1.5 | 83¢ / 84¢ |
| Over 2.5 | 61¢ / 62¢ |
| Over 3.5 | 39¢ / 40¢ |
| Over 4.5 | 21¢ / 22¢ |
| Over 5.5 | 9¢ / 10¢ |
At 61¢, Over 2.5 says the market expects an open match between two sides priced close together. For Saturday's early fixture, Everton vs Chelsea, Over 2.5 trades at 58¢ / 59¢ and Over 3.5 at 36¢ / 37¢. These ladder books run in the hundreds of contracts, not the hundreds of thousands, so expect to pay the ask.
Verify the ladders: curl -s -H 'User-Agent: PredictionMarketsPicks/1.0' 'https://api.elections.kalshi.com/trade-api/v2/markets?event_ticker=KXEPLTOTAL-26OCT17BRELFC' and …?event_ticker=KXEPLTEAMTOTAL-26OCT17MCIIPS.
New to three-way soccer contracts? How the draw contract works on Kalshi covers pricing and settlement, and the season board tracks the title, top-four and relegation markets. For the bigger picture, see the Premier League title odds read.