Survivor 50 on Kalshi: Aubry Bracco's Odds Way too High | Kalshi Kash

What's up traders? You know what it is. It is time to build your portfolio with another edition of Kshi Cash. I'm your host, the spitting statistician Dane Martinez, and today I got something for all of you reality TV fans out there. There is a market right now up on Kion who will win Survivor season 50. There's been a lot of publicity going into it. The season premieres later on this month. And here's the thing. I think it's a little bit crazy because Aubrey is right now an 83% chance on the market to win the season. The season hasn't even started yet. And in this season, this special season of Survivor where you're going to have a lot of like, you know, kind of the biggest names and the favorites from seasons gone by. There are 24 contestants on this season. One out of 24. How can anybody in this market be at a number in the 80s? Now, many people might say this is like insider trading going on, and maybe that is the case, right? There's people on threads and chat rooms out there saying that Aubrey has in fact made the final three, but they don't really know who's going to win. Why? Because there is a live finale for this season. So, it is not completely predetermined. It has not been taped just yet. There are some people out there saying that the jury talks at Ponderosa about who they may want to vote for and that could be why Aubrey is as high as she is. But there's another reason that it could be. And this is why I'm telling you this could be other people just pumping up that value or that number so they can go ahead and pivot and get somebody else. I'm telling you right now, I'm getting a piece of the no on Aubrey. Okay, that's at 17%. So that's about 5.5 times your money just taking one person even though they're somehow the favorite. So much the prohibitive favorite that they will not win out of the 24 contestants of this season in Survivor. On its face, I just can't pick one out of 24 being an 83% or somewhere in the low 80s as a number. Here's another way you can do it though, and this is the way I think I'm going to do it. The way I think you guys should do it because Aubrey's at 83%. There are a ton of contestants, 18 of them to be exact, that are at a 1% chance. Some of these contestants are even big-time names like Coach, like Azie, like Rizzo, and others like Q from seasons before, right? They're only at 1%. What I would do is sprinkle the board with about five or six of these 1% guys and gals. And the thing is, they don't even need to win. All you got to do is if you sprinkle six of them and four of them make the merge, let's say three of them make the jury, you're going to have an incredible opportunity to go ahead and cash out with these contestants. So, you can bet the no on Aubrey and I don't mind doing that. I don't hate that unless of course there is some kind of crazy insider trading going on. But the other thing you can do, I think, is sprinkle some of these 1enters, some of these 2enters and get absolutely legitimate buyout, cash out kind of options. Will they win? Probably not. But all you need is one or two of them to make the jury and you can make bank with this position on who will win Survivor season 50. And here's one thing I will tell you. If Aubrey does win, then you know there is definitely some insider trading going on. And what you need to do is find a producer, a show producer from Survivor. Get close with them and go ahead and make bank in the next season of Survivor. But that'll do it for this episode of Couch Cast. Make sure you tune in because we are giving you every which way possible to make a little bit of extra cheddar there on couchy. We'll see you next time. Peace.