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Big Brother 28 Finale Prediction: Rick Devens is the Favorite to Win, But Who Finishes Second?

September 30, 2026 · 2:33 · Big Brother · Dane Martinez

What’s in this video

The hosts look at the Kalshi market for Big Brother 28 and note Rick Devens is the favorite to win, with Dane Martinez arguing the more interesting play is the market for who finishes second. He reasons through the endgame scenarios among Devens, Taylor, and Drew to explain why he favors Drew for second place over taking a position in the overall winner market.

Key points

Full transcript

We didn't talk about this, but just like you're saying, I am still not worried about who is going to win, per se. Right. You see it here. Devons is the favorite. I think he is a deserving favorite. It's crazy to me. He's a former survivor along with D and they kind of let him continue go on through. But here's the way I'm playing it, Gene, because there are three people still left, right? And there's going to be a series of competitions and one person is going to be able to pick from among the other two on who they want to sit next to in the finale and have the jury. Right. So Nando, don't even worry about the winner. Scroll down and pick the market for who will finish in second place right there. Number two. Okay. Drew is going to finish second in this one, Jean. And here's why. the other contestants, right? Taylor and Rick Deans, they both know that they can beat Drew in the two in the finale when it's just two people and the jury are voting them, right? If it is Rick, he is going to take Drew with him to the finale because he doesn't want to go up against Taylor. That could be something of a tossup, but he knows he can beat Drew. Taylor will never want to go ahead and face Devons in the finale. So, they're gonna cut Devons. And Taylor would also take Drew. And there are votes because the rest of the jury, the composition are people that were aligned with Taylor kind of in the middle to later stages of the game. That alliance is what got kind of voted out. So, they would vote for Taylor. So, you know, the the idea that Deans is going to win, I think he's a deserving favorite. I think he might win, but if he doesn't have the choice, both Taylor and Drew know that. So, they're gonna bounce him as soon as they can as the final eviction. Both of the other players want to sit next to Drew because they both think they can beat Drew in the final. So, when you put that all together, just like you're saying, Jean, I'm not messing with the overall winning market. I'm not messing with the overall winning market because there's all sorts of variables and surprises and catches that happen as you know in these reality TV shows, right? So, I think the best way to play it is with the strategic arc, just like you're saying, think about the strategy of how the voting is cast and how these people have fan followings or whatever. I think the strategic part here is that knowing that both of the players will want to take Drew and both of the players probably have the votes to ultimately beat Drew in the finale.

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