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Polymarket US spread & total ladders, scanned for strikes priced out of order

Every Polymarket US full-game spread and total strike in NFL · CFB · NBA · NHL starting inside six hours, read from the public gateway and checked for strikes priced out of order. Shown for information, with the time each price was read.

The monotonicity rule, on Polymarket US
For strikes Xlo < Xhi on one side of one game:  P(margin > Xhi) ≤ P(margin > Xlo)
LOCKED    ask(Xlo) < bid(Xhi) · INVERTED  bid(Xhi) > bid(Xlo) · ask(Xhi) > ask(Xlo) · both books ≤ 15¢ wide · WIDE   ask − bid ≥ 3¢ on real volume
CROSS     same strike, two venues: ask(A) < bid(B) net of both venues' fees · GAP   |mid(A) − mid(B)| ≥ 3¢ on two real books
Fees come from each venue's published schedule; the board sorts and tiers on NET. Polymarket US rows are shown for information — no orders, no sizing.

PolymarketPartner: PredictionMarketsPicks is a paid Polymarket partner. Polymarket US prices are shown for information. Every price on this page carries the time it was read; no link, code, offer or execution layer attaches to a Polymarket US row.

Quick Answer

Polymarket US lists a full-game spread and total as a ladder of strikes — measured November 9, 2026, 33 spread strikes and 29 total strikes per NBA game, with two-sided quotes on 32 or 33 of the 33 spread lines. A higher strike can never be worth more than a lower one on the same side; when the book says otherwise it is here, labelled LOCKED, INVERTED or WIDE, and the same strikes are set beside Kalshi as CROSS or GAP. Every price carries the time it was read and is never shown past 30 minutes. The arithmetic uses the published Polymarket US schedule (Taker fee 6.95% × price × (1 − price) per contract, max $1.74 per 100). These rows are information: no resting orders, sizing or link attaches to them.

Polymarket US spread & total ladders, scanned for strikes priced out of order

The same rule as the all-venue board, one order book at a time: a higher strike can never be worth more than a lower one on the same side of the same game. This page reads only Polymarket US's ladders — NFL · CFB · NBA · NHL — and sets each strike beside the other venues where they list it. Other venues: Kalshi · Novig.

Ladder integrity this scan

2 of 274 adjacent pairs out of order · scanned Mon 8:10 PM ET

Adjacent strike pairs priced out of order on real two-sided books (both ≤ 15¢ wide), pre-kickoff, by venue and league.

  • NFL
    0.0%
    66 pairs · Polymarket US
  • NBA
    1.1%
    186 pairs · Polymarket US
  • NHL
    0.0%
    22 pairs · Polymarket US
Loading the board…

Polymarket US ladder depth

Pre-kickoff strikes per game on two-sided books, by venue, league and market kind — measured on each venue's latest scan, not quoted from a brochure.

VenueLeagueSpread strikes / gameTotal strikes / gameGames
Polymarket USNFL40291
Polymarket USNBA33.731.33
Polymarket USNHL682

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How the Polymarket US scan works

Every scan indexes the games starting inside six hours, reads each event once a day for its ladder slugs, polls the prices of every full-game spread and total strike in batches through the public gateway, normalises each market to one side per strike and checks every adjacent pair. Every price carries the time it was read and is never shown past 30 minutes.

The same strikes are then set beside the other venues: a CROSS is the ask on one venue under the bid on another net of both venues' fees, a GAP two mids three cents or more apart on real books. The integrity tiles above the board and the depth table below it are measured on the latest scan, never quoted from a brochure.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does Polymarket US list?

Full-game spreads and totals as ladders of strikes for NBA, NHL, NFL and college football games, alongside team totals, first-half lines and player props the scanner does not read. Measured November 9, 2026 on an NBA game: 33 spread strikes and 29 total strikes, with two-sided quotes on 32–33 of the 33 spread lines. The depth table beside the board is the live count for the games inside the scan window.

What does a Polymarket US fill cost?

Taker fee 6.95% × price × (1 − price) per contract, max $1.74 per 100; a retail maker pays nothing. The shape is Kalshi's; the coefficient differs. The scanner nets that fee on both legs of every Polymarket US row before it tiers, and shows the result as arithmetic — it does not place, size or recommend a trade on these rows.

How do Polymarket US books differ from Kalshi's?

Polymarket US is a CFTC-regulated exchange with a central order book on $1 contracts quoted in quarter-cent ticks; the scanner rounds those to whole cents to sit beside Kalshi's book. Every spread market's long side is the away team with a signed handicap, so a "+N" market reads as the home team covering N and a "−N" market as the away team covering N — the scanner normalises both to one side per strike, the same way it reads Kalshi's "wins by over N". Polymarket US publishes no liquidity figure, so the Liquidity column is blank on its rows.

Why are the Pro cells blank on these rows?

Because Polymarket US rows are shown for information only. PredictionMarketsPicks is a paid Polymarket partner, and under that arrangement a Polymarket US price here is a disclosure, not a recommendation: no resting orders, no sizing, no link and no code attach to it. The row shows the two prices, the time each was read and the arithmetic between them. Kalshi and Novig rows keep the full Pro layer.

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