Polymarket US daily bitcoin and crypto up-or-down markets

By Benny Ricciardi · prices refresh every 5 minutes · as of 7:52 PM ET

Polymarket US lists bitcoin, ether, solana and XRP up-or-down markets in daily windows, one day each. As of 7:52 PM ET, the bitcoin window (Sat, Nov 14, 5:00 PM–Sun, Nov 15, 5:00 PM ET) prices Up at 35%, an implied probability.

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Bitcoin daily

Sat, Nov 14, 5:00 PM–Sun, Nov 15, 5:00 PM ETUp 35%PolymarketPartneras of 7:52 PM ETBitcoin daily on Polymarket US →Sponsored by Polymarket US

Ether daily

Sat, Nov 14, 5:00 PM–Sun, Nov 15, 5:00 PM ETUp 33%PolymarketPartneras of 7:52 PM ETEther daily on Polymarket US →Sponsored by Polymarket US

Solana daily

Sat, Nov 14, 5:00 PM–Sun, Nov 15, 5:00 PM ETUp 50%PolymarketPartneras of 7:52 PM ETSolana daily on Polymarket US →Sponsored by Polymarket US

XRP daily

Sat, Nov 14, 5:00 PM–Sun, Nov 15, 5:00 PM ETUp 68%PolymarketPartneras of 7:52 PM ETXRP daily on Polymarket US →Sponsored by Polymarket US

Not every market we cover is listed on Polymarket US. Information only, not a recommendation.

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How the bitcoin daily window settles, in the market’s own words

This market will settle to Up if the Bitcoin price at 5:00PM ET on Nov 15, 2026 is greater than or equal to the price at 5:00PM ET on Nov 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will settle to Down. Outcome sourced from CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI), available at https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI. The price at the beginning and at the end of the time range is determined the same way: in the last minute before each of those two times, 60 BRTI prices are collected. The official value for that time is the simple average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. Please note that this market is about the price according to CF Benchmarks' BRTI, not according to other sources or spot markets.

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Polymarket US daily markets — frequently asked

Does Polymarket US have daily bitcoin up-or-down markets?

Yes. Polymarket US lists daily up-or-down windows for bitcoin, ether, solana and XRP, next to its 5- and 15-minute windows. Polymarket US is available in every state except Nevada and Louisiana.

What is bitcoin's daily up-or-down market pricing right now?

As of 7:52 PM ET, Polymarket US prices Up at 35% on the bitcoin window ending Sun, Nov 15, 5:00 PM ET. It is an implied probability, not a forecast of ours.

How does the daily window settle?

Polymarket US sets the rule. It is quoted on this page from the live market, in the market’s own words.